Summary of the Conference Call for 德业股份 Company Overview - **Company**: 德业股份 - **Industry**: Energy Storage, specifically focusing on household and commercial storage solutions Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance and Projections - **Q3 Revenue Expectation**: Projected revenue for Q3 is between 900 million to 1 billion CNY, indicating a quarter-on-quarter growth but facing year-on-year pressure due to a high base last year [2][5] - **Q4 Outlook**: October production may remain flat or slightly decrease due to the National Day holiday, with November expected to see an increase, while December may enter a seasonal downturn [2][5] - **2026 Profit Forecast**: Anticipated profit for 2026 is expected to exceed 4 billion CNY, with a growth rate of around 20% [2][6] - **Market Valuation**: The company's valuation is expected to gradually align with its 2026 and 2027 projections, with an optimistic market capitalization outlook [2][6] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - **Market Share**: 德业股份 holds over 40% market share in Southeast Asia, with some countries reaching 50-60%. It also has significant shares in Africa, South Africa, and Pakistan [2][7] - **Core Competencies**: The company’s strengths lie in product quality, channel advantages, and cost control. It leads in low-voltage household storage with rapid product iteration and high customization capabilities [2][12][13] Industry Dynamics - **Global Household Storage Market**: The global household storage market is expected to grow at an annual rate of around 20%, with emerging markets like Africa showing even higher growth rates [2][8] - **Commercial Storage Systems**: Commercial storage systems have higher power and profit margins compared to household systems, with 德业 currently averaging 10,000 units shipped monthly, indicating significant growth potential [2][19] Inventory and Supply Chain - **Inventory Situation**: The household storage industry has seen a significant alleviation of inventory issues, with a notable demand for battery cells, which are currently in short supply [3][15] - **Impact on Orders**: The real demand is expected to be more directly reflected in future orders due to improved inventory conditions [3][15] Regional Market Insights - **Southeast Asia**: Strong export data from countries like Vietnam, the Philippines, and Thailand, with significant potential in Indonesia's distributed solar projects [9] - **European Market**: Focus on Eastern European countries where demand for low-voltage household storage is high, while Western Europe shows stable growth in commercial storage [10] Future Growth Potential - **Global Market Growth**: Despite low penetration rates, the global household storage market has a potential demand exceeding 100 million units, suggesting a robust growth trajectory for 德业股份 over the next 3 to 5 years [11] - **Financial Expectations**: Conservative estimates for 2025 project revenues of at least 3.3 billion CNY, with potential to reach 4.5 billion CNY in 2026, leading to a market cap exceeding 80 billion CNY [16] Industry Trends - **Commercial Storage Demand**: The commercial storage sector is experiencing healthy growth, with domestic installations expected to increase by 50% in 2025 [17][18] - **Advantages of Commercial vs. Household Storage**: Commercial systems offer significantly higher power and profit margins compared to household systems, indicating a strategic focus for future growth [19] Strategic Initiatives - **Diversification**: The company is also exploring opportunities in IDC and SST product lines, which may not directly impact current valuations but are expected to contribute positively to long-term growth [20][21] Conclusion 德业股份 is positioned for significant growth in the energy storage market, driven by strong financial projections, competitive advantages, and favorable industry dynamics. The company’s strategic focus on emerging markets and commercial storage solutions further enhances its growth potential in the coming years.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [3] Core Views - Solid-state battery technology continues to make breakthroughs, with significant developments in the lithium battery industry expected by 2025, indicating a potential supply-demand inflection point and a 2-3 year upward cycle for the industry [5][11] - The report highlights the strong demand in the energy storage sector, with September's energy storage procurement reaching 42.6 GWh and a 31% increase in the average price of 2-hour systems [5][19] - The report recommends key companies in the lithium battery sector, including CATL and EVE Energy, and suggests focusing on solid-state battery-related companies [5] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - The report notes that China will implement export controls on certain high-end lithium batteries and related materials starting November 8, 2025, which may impact the market [10] - The battery industry index fell by 5.76%, underperforming the broader market, primarily due to the export control announcement [8][10] Energy Storage Sector - In September, the energy storage procurement reached 42.6 GWh, with the average price of 2-hour systems increasing by 31% [5][19] - The demand from Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia contributed nearly half of the total procurement volume [17] - The report indicates a stable EPC pricing environment despite fluctuations in system prices [19] Electric Power Equipment Sector - The report discusses the issuance of the "Energy Planning Management Measures," which will guide energy planning across various levels [23][24] - It highlights the support for green electricity direct connection projects in Shandong, aimed at promoting renewable energy integration [25][26] Photovoltaic Sector - The report mentions stable prices for polysilicon, with no significant changes observed in the market [27][28] - It notes a decrease in demand for photovoltaic components, leading to a downward price trend [5] Wind Power Sector - The report outlines ongoing developments in offshore wind projects in various countries, indicating a robust construction pace in the domestic market [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The demand for energy storage is on the rise, with significant investment opportunities in the energy storage sector [2][3] - China's new national commitment aims for non-fossil energy consumption to exceed 30% of total energy consumption by 2035, with wind and solar power capacity expected to reach over six times that of 2020, targeting 3.6 billion kilowatts [2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Energy Storage Growth - New energy storage installations are expected to see sustained high growth, driven by clear growth in renewable energy generation over the next decade [3] - By the end of 2024, the cumulative installed capacity of new energy storage projects in China is projected to reach 73.76 million kilowatts, with an energy scale of 168 million kilowatt-hours, which is approximately 20 times that of the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan, and over 130% growth compared to the end of 2023 [3] Market Dynamics - The liberalization of the electricity market is anticipated to drive independent energy storage demand growth, with market transactions widening the price gap between peak and valley electricity, thereby enhancing the economic viability of energy storage [3] - Several provinces in China, including Inner Mongolia, Hebei, Gansu, Ningxia, and Shandong, have introduced capacity pricing and compensation policies, providing strong baseline returns for energy storage [3] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the energy storage sector, highlighting companies such as Sungrow Power Supply, CATL, EVE Energy, Tongrun Equipment, Haibo Science and Technology, and Deye Co., Ltd. [3] - Material companies to watch include Tinci Materials, Dofluorid, Putailai, Shanta Technology, and Fulin Precision [3]

Market Overview - The photovoltaic equipment sector experienced a decline of 4.89% on October 10, with Airo Energy leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3897.03, down 0.94%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13355.42, down 2.7% [1] Stock Performance - Airo Energy (688717) closed at 74.94, down 14.38% with a trading volume of 128,900 shares [1] - Shangneng Electric (300827) closed at 31.62, down 13.72% with a trading volume of 709,800 shares [1] - Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical (300316) closed at 42.53, down 10.58% with a trading volume of 570,700 shares [1] - Other notable declines include Jinlang Technology (300763) down 9.19% and Yangguang Power (300274) down 7.79% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The photovoltaic equipment sector saw a net outflow of 6.917 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 4.268 billion yuan [3] - Notable stocks with significant capital flow include Foster (603806) with a net outflow of 32.1915 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Hongyuan Green Energy (603185) had a net inflow of 23.8808 million yuan from institutional investors [3] ETF Information - The Huaxia Sci-Tech 100 ETF (product code: 588800) tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech 100 Index and has seen a 5-day change of 3.31% [5] - The ETF's current price-to-earnings ratio is 295.08, with a recent reduction in shares by 27.5 million, and a net inflow of 1.285 million yuan from institutional investors [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the solar industry [1] Core Insights - The solar industry has experienced a significant decline in new installations, with August 2025 showing a 55.3% year-on-year decrease, totaling 7.4 GW. However, cumulative installations from January to August 2025 reached 230.61 GW, reflecting a 64.7% increase year-on-year [3][12] - Solar module exports in August 2025 amounted to 20.4% year-on-year growth, with a total export value of 20.95 billion yuan, and a month-on-month increase of 31.9%. Cumulatively, from January to August 2025, exports totaled 132.21 billion yuan, down 18.0% year-on-year [3][14] - Inverter exports also showed a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in August 2025, with a total export value of 6.29 billion yuan, despite a month-on-month decline of 3.4%. Cumulative inverter exports from January to August 2025 reached 43.4 billion yuan, up 8.0% year-on-year [4][22] - Solar power generation in August 2025 increased by 15.9% year-on-year, contributing to 5.75% of the total national power generation, which was 936.3 billion kWh, reflecting a 1.6% year-on-year increase [5][35] Summary by Sections New Installations - In August 2025, new solar installations in China were 7.4 GW, down 55.3% year-on-year and 33.3% month-on-month. Cumulative installations from January to August reached 230.61 GW, up 64.7% year-on-year [3][12] Exports - Solar module exports in August 2025 were valued at 20.95 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 20.4% and a month-on-month increase of 31.9%. Cumulative exports from January to August totaled 132.21 billion yuan, down 18.0% year-on-year [3][14] - Inverter exports in August 2025 were valued at 6.29 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.2% and a month-on-month decrease of 3.4%. Cumulative inverter exports from January to August reached 43.4 billion yuan, up 8.0% year-on-year [4][22] Power Generation - Solar power generation in August 2025 was 53.82 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.9% and accounting for 5.75% of the total national power generation [5][35] Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include companies focused on new technologies such as Aikang Co. and Longi Green Energy, supply-side companies like Daqo New Energy and Flat Glass Group, and companies with overseas layouts such as Bowei Alloy and Hengdian East Magnet. Additionally, companies in energy storage like Sungrow Power Supply and Deye Technology are highlighted [40]

证券代码：605117 证券简称：德业股份 公告编号：2025-088 宁波德业科技股份有限公司 关于 2022 年股票期权激励计划 2025 年第三季度 自主行权结果暨股份变动的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 2022 年股票期权激励计划首次授予股票期权第二个行权期行权结果：公 司 2022 年股票期权激励计划首次授予股票期权第二个行权期可行权股票期权数 量为 299.0066 万份，实际可行权期间为 2024 年 8 月 1 日至 2025 年 7 月 25 日， 行权方式为自主行权。2025 年第三季度，共行权并完成股份过户登记 1.3317 万 股，占可行权股票期权总量的 0.4454%。 2022 年股票期权激励计划首次授予股票期权第三个行权期行权结果：公 司 2022 年股票期权激励计划首次授予股票期权第三个行权期可行权股票期权数 量为 400.1817 万份，实际可行权期间为 2025 年 7 月 26 日至 2026 年 7 月 25 日， 行权方式为自主行权。202 ...

10月9日，德业股份盘中上涨2.00%，截至09:47，报82.62元/股，成交6.77亿元，换手率0.92%，总市值 747.26亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，德业股份十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 通股东，持股3229.13万股，相比上期增加948.08万股。泉果旭源三年持有期混合A（016709）位居第五 大流通股东，持股864.14万股，相比上期增加270.26万股。广发小盘成长混合(LOF)A（162703）位居第 六大流通股东，持股770.16万股，相比上期增加220.05万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第七 大流通股东，持股651.75万股，相比上期增加207.80万股。交银先进制造混合A（519704）位居第九大 流通股东，持股585.05万股，为新进股东。广发高端制造股票A（004997）退出十大流通股东之列。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，宁波德业科技股份有限公司位于浙江省宁波市北仑区大碶甬江南路26号，成立日期2000年8 月4日，上市日期2021年4月20日，公司主营业务涉及从事蒸发器、冷凝器和变频控制芯片等部件以及除 湿机和空气源 ...

Core Insights - The groundbreaking ceremony for the new production base of Deye Co., Ltd. (605117) took place on October 2 in Johor, Malaysia, marking a significant step in the company's international expansion and global supply chain development [1] Company Developments - The new facility will focus on the production and manufacturing of photovoltaic inverters and energy storage systems, indicating a strategic move towards renewable energy solutions [1]

Market Overview - The photovoltaic equipment sector rose by 1.48% on September 30, with GoodWe leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78, up 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13526.51, up 0.35% [1] Key Performers - GoodWe (688390) closed at 64.69, up 12.68% with a trading volume of 178,400 shares and a turnover of 1.094 billion [1] - DeYee (605117) closed at 81.00, up 7.28% with a trading volume of 322,400 shares and a turnover of 2.540 billion [1] - Other notable performers include ST Quanwang (300093) up 5.68%, Star Energy Technology (688348) up 5.45%, and Dike Co. (300842) up 5.45% [1] Decliners - Yicheng New Energy (300080) fell by 7.14% to 5.46, with a trading volume of 2,205,300 shares and a turnover of 126.3 million [2] - ST Muban (603398) decreased by 4.99% to 8.95, with a trading volume of 343,800 shares and a turnover of 310 million [2] - Other notable decliners include Sunshine Power (300274) down 1.83% and Motewei (688516) down 1.69% [2] Fund Flow Analysis - The photovoltaic equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 573 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 338 million [2] - Notable net inflows from retail investors were observed in GoodWe (688390) and Dike Co. (300842) [3] - The main net inflow was from Longxi Green Energy (601012) at 253 million, while DeYee (605117) saw a net outflow of 66.3 million from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - DeYe Co., Ltd. has shown significant stock price growth and strong financial performance in recent months, indicating a positive outlook for the company in the renewable energy sector, particularly in inverter and energy storage solutions [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, DeYe Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 5.535 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.58% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 1.522 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23.18% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 4.238 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.897 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - On September 30, 2023, DeYe Co., Ltd.'s stock price increased by 2.09%, reaching 77.08 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 341 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.50% [1]. - The company's stock has risen by 31.28% year-to-date, with notable increases of 8.89% over the last five trading days, 22.00% over the last 20 days, and 40.30% over the last 60 days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "龙虎榜" (a list of stocks with significant trading activity) once this year, with the most recent appearance on September 5 [1]. Shareholder Composition - As of June 30, 2025, DeYe Co., Ltd. had 52,300 shareholders, an increase of 76.28% from the previous period, with an average of 17,284 circulating shares per shareholder, down by 20.57% [2]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 32.2913 million shares, an increase of 9.4808 million shares from the previous period [3].