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时代电气(03898):轨交业务平稳释放,看好反内卷政策下新兴业务发展
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 55.0, indicating a potential upside of 39% from the current price of HKD 39.62 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a steady performance in the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue of RMB 18.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, and a net profit of RMB 2.72 billion, up 10.9% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit grew by 30.9% year-on-year to RMB 2.61 billion [2][3]. - The rail transit business showed stable growth, with maintenance services accounting for approximately 22% of rail transit revenue, reflecting a significant increase compared to the previous year. The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for maintenance services in national rail and urban rail systems [3]. - The semiconductor factory reached full production capacity, generating significant revenue growth. The new energy generation division has started to operate independently and has achieved slight profitability, with plans for further business expansion in solar and energy storage sectors [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 27.83 billion, RMB 30.92 billion, and RMB 34.63 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 11.7%, 11.1%, and 12.0% [4][7]. - Net profits are expected to be RMB 4.10 billion, RMB 4.58 billion, and RMB 5.06 billion for the same years, with growth rates of 10.7%, 11.8%, and 10.4% [4][7]. - The report estimates a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 15 times for 2026, supporting the target price of HKD 55.0 [4].
瑞银:升时代电气(03898)目标价至48.3港元 上调盈测 评级“买入”
智通财经网· 2025-11-03 09:30
Core Viewpoint - UBS has adjusted the earnings per share forecast for Times Electric (03898) for 2025 to 2027 upwards by 3%, reflecting an improvement in profit margins [1] - The target price based on the sum-of-the-parts valuation method has been raised from HKD 45.2 to HKD 48.3, corresponding to a 13.7 times expected price-to-earnings ratio for 2026, due to a market revaluation of the power semiconductor business [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating for its H-shares, considering its solid core business and growth potential in new business areas [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company's operating revenue and net profit increased by 15% and 11% year-on-year, reaching RMB 18.8 billion and RMB 2.7 billion, respectively, driven by healthy growth in rail passenger volume and rapid growth in emerging equipment products [1] - In the third quarter, revenue and net profit grew by 10% and 8% year-on-year, amounting to RMB 6.6 billion and RMB 1 billion, which is in line with market expectations [1] - The gross margin for the first three quarters improved by 3 percentage points due to product structure upgrades in the rail transit business [1] - The gross margin and net margin for the third quarter increased by 1 percentage point and decreased by 0.3 percentage points, reaching 33.2% and 15.9%, respectively [1] - The net cash inflow from operating activities for the first three quarters was RMB 2.1 billion, compared to a net inflow of RMB 554 million in the same period last year [1]
瑞银:升时代电气目标价至48.3港元 上调盈测 评级“买入”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 09:28
Core Viewpoint - UBS has adjusted the earnings per share forecast for Times Electric (03898) for 2025 to 2027 upwards by 3%, reflecting an improvement in profit margins [1] - The target price based on the sum-of-the-parts valuation method has been raised from HKD 45.2 to HKD 48.3, corresponding to a 13.7 times expected price-to-earnings ratio for 2026, due to a market re-evaluation of the power semiconductor business [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating for its H-shares, considering its solid core business and growth potential in new business areas [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company's operating revenue and net profit increased by 15% and 11% year-on-year, reaching RMB 18.8 billion and RMB 2.7 billion, respectively, driven by healthy growth in rail transit business and rapid growth in emerging equipment products [1] - In the third quarter, revenue and net profit grew by 10% and 8% year-on-year, amounting to RMB 6.6 billion and RMB 1 billion, respectively, which is in line with market expectations [1] - The gross margin for the first three quarters improved by 3 percentage points due to product structure upgrades in the rail transit business [1] - The third quarter gross margin and net profit margin increased by 1 percentage point and decreased by 0.3 percentage points, reaching 33.2% and 15.9%, respectively [1] - The net cash inflow from operating activities for the first three quarters was RMB 2.1 billion, compared to a net inflow of RMB 554 million in the same period last year [1]
时代电气(688187):轨交装备业务稳健增长,新兴装备业务发展迅速
EBSCN· 2025-11-03 08:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company’s A-shares and H-shares [4][6] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 18.83 billion CNY in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.72 billion CNY, up 10.9%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 2.61 billion CNY, marking a significant increase of 30.9% [1][4] - The company's gross margin improved to 32.4%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin slightly decreased to 15.3%, down 0.7 percentage points [1] - The rail transit equipment business showed stable growth, with revenue reaching 10.31 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%. The company maintained a stable market share in the bidding for train sets and locomotives, which is expected to support the annual performance [2] - The emerging equipment business experienced rapid development, with revenue of 8.43 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.3%. The company made significant progress in IGBT chip technology and is expanding its production capacity in power semiconductors [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.62 billion CNY, a 9.6% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.05 billion CNY, up 7.7% [1] - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 4.30 billion CNY, 4.81 billion CNY, and 5.35 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.17 CNY, 3.54 CNY, and 3.94 CNY [4][5] Revenue Breakdown - The rail transit equipment segment generated 10.31 billion CNY in revenue, with specific contributions from various sub-segments: electrical equipment (8.08 billion CNY), engineering machinery (0.90 billion CNY), communication signals (0.76 billion CNY), and other equipment (0.57 billion CNY) [2] - The emerging equipment segment's revenue was 8.43 billion CNY, with notable growth in basic components (3.84 billion CNY), electric drive systems for new energy vehicles (1.87 billion CNY), and renewable energy generation (1.59 billion CNY) [3] Profitability and Valuation - The company’s projected P/E ratios for A-shares are 23, 19, 16, 15, and 13 for the years 2023 to 2027, respectively [5][11] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 8.42% in 2023 to 10.45% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [11]
美银证券:升时代电气(03898)目标价至45港元 第三季表现逊预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 08:17
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has raised the target price for Times Electric (03898) to HKD 45, despite the company's third-quarter performance falling short of expectations [1] Financial Performance - Times Electric reported third-quarter revenue of RMB 6.6 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 10% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 14%, which was 3% lower than the bank's expectations [1] - The net profit for the period was RMB 1 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1%, but was 11% below the bank's forecast due to a reduction in government subsidies [1] Target Price Adjustment - Based on the downward revision of sales forecasts and government subsidy income, the bank has adjusted its earnings estimates for 2025 to 2027 down by 3% each year [1] - The target price for H-shares has been increased from HKD 43 to HKD 45, while the target price for A-shares has been raised from RMB 53 to RMB 60 [1] - The bank maintains a "Neutral" rating on the stock [1]
美银证券:升时代电气目标价至45港元 第三季表现逊预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 08:13
美银证券发布研报称,时代电气(03898,688187.SH)第三季收入66亿元人民币(下同),同比增长10%、按 季下降14%,较该行预期低3%,主要因轨道装备业务收入低于预期。期内净利润为10亿元,同比增长 8%、按季增长1%,较该行预期低11%,主要因政府补助款项减少。基于下调销售预测及政府补助收 入,该行将2025至27年各年盈测各下调3%,H股目标价由43港元升至45港元,A股目标价由53元人民币 升至60元人民币;重申"中性"评级。 ...
时代电气(688187.SH):少量双极器件应用于数据中心机房设备中
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-03 07:36
Core Viewpoint - The company is actively monitoring and evaluating market opportunities in the data center power supply sector, indicating a strategic focus on this growing industry [1]. Company Summary - The company has already integrated a small number of bipolar devices into data center equipment, showcasing its current involvement in the sector [1].
第一上海:维持时代电气“买入”评级 目标价55港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 07:09
Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai maintains a "Buy" rating for Times Electric (03898) with a target price of HKD 55.0, projecting revenue growth from 2025 to 2027 at 11.7%, 11.1%, and 12.0% respectively, and net profit growth at 10.7%, 11.8%, and 10.4% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of CNY 18.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 2.72 billion, up 10.9% year-on-year [1] - The company's non-recurring net profit reached CNY 2.61 billion, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 30.9% [1] - The overall gross margin improved by 3.1 percentage points to 32.4%, primarily due to changes in revenue structure [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The rail transit business generated revenue of CNY 10.31 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, while the emerging equipment business achieved revenue of CNY 8.43 billion, growing by 22.3% [1] - Within the emerging equipment segment, revenue from basic components reached CNY 3.84 billion, up 30.4%, and revenue from new energy generation was CNY 1.59 billion, increasing by 25.3% [1] - The electric drive for new energy vehicles generated CNY 1.87 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.3% [1] Group 3: Industry Trends - The rail transit business is experiencing stable growth, with maintenance services accounting for approximately 22% of rail transit revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a significant increase compared to the same period last year [2] - The demand for rail maintenance is expected to rise due to high passenger volumes and the replacement of old diesel locomotives, creating a continuous demand for new locomotives [2] - The company is expanding into new areas within rail transit, such as communication signals and other rail equipment, which are expected to become new growth drivers [2] Group 4: Semiconductor and New Energy - The new semiconductor factory in Yixing has reached full production capacity of 30,000 wafers per month, contributing to significant revenue growth [3] - The 8-inch silicon carbide production line in Zhuzhou is progressing, with equipment installation expected to be completed by the end of 2025 [3] - The new energy generation division has begun independent operations and has achieved slight profitability, with future business expansion anticipated in photovoltaic and energy storage sectors through collaborations with CRRC and Zhuzhou Institute [3] - The automotive electric drive segment has established partnerships with major automakers, including Chery and SAIC, with a notable increase in delivery volumes in Q3 2025 [3]
第一上海:维持时代电气(03898)“买入”评级 目标价55港元
智通财经网· 2025-11-03 07:05
Core Viewpoint - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Times Electric (03898) with a target price of HKD 55.0, projecting revenue growth from 27.8 billion to 34.6 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, with net profit increasing from 4.1 billion to 5.1 billion RMB during the same period [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 18.83 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.72 billion RMB, up 10.9% year-on-year [1] - The company's non-recurring net profit reached 2.61 billion RMB, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 30.9% [1] - The overall gross margin improved by 3.1 percentage points to 32.4%, primarily due to changes in revenue structure [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The rail transit business generated revenue of 10.31 billion RMB, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, while the emerging equipment business achieved revenue of 8.43 billion RMB, up 22.3% [1] - Within the emerging equipment segment, the revenue from basic components was 3.84 billion RMB, growing by 30.4%, and revenue from new energy generation reached 1.59 billion RMB, increasing by 25.3% [1] - The automotive electric drive segment reported revenue of 1.87 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.3% [1] Group 3: Industry Trends - The rail transit business is experiencing stable growth, with maintenance services accounting for approximately 22% of rail transit revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a significant increase compared to the same period last year [2] - The demand for rail maintenance is expected to rise due to high passenger volumes and the replacement of old diesel locomotives, creating continuous incremental demand [2] - The semiconductor new factory has reached full production capacity of 30,000 pieces per month, contributing to rapid revenue growth [3]
2026年中国可控硅整流器‌行业政策、产业链图谱、运行现状、竞争格局及未来发展趋势研判:特高压需求持续释放,细分市场结构优化升级[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-11-03 01:08
Core Insights - The article highlights the significance of Silicon Controlled Rectifiers (SCR) in the power electronics sector, emphasizing their efficiency in energy control and their role in industrial automation and renewable energy applications [1][6][9]. Industry Overview - SCRs are based on a four-layer, three-terminal semiconductor structure, allowing precise control of high current with minimal input [2][3]. - The Chinese government is promoting the development of the energy electronics industry through various policies aimed at technological innovation and industry collaboration [6][9]. Market Structure - The SCR industry is characterized by a supply chain where the upstream includes high-purity silicon wafers, with an increase in self-sufficiency for 8-inch wafers but continued reliance on imports for 12-inch wafers [6][7]. - The downstream market is dominated by applications in power and industrial control, accounting for nearly two-thirds of the market, with renewable energy as a key growth driver [7][8]. Market Size and Growth - The SCR market in China is projected to reach 5.6 billion yuan in 2024, driven by the demand for ultra-high voltage power grids and photovoltaic energy storage [9][10]. - The high-voltage direct current (HVDC) market is expected to grow significantly, reaching 89.2 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 42.3% [8][9]. Competitive Landscape - The industry is marked by a clear division where domestic companies dominate the mid-to-low-end market, while international giants control the high-end segment [10][11]. - Local firms are increasingly focusing on high-end applications, leveraging cost advantages and integrated device manufacturing (IDM) models [10][11]. Development Trends - The SCR industry is undergoing a transformation driven by the adoption of third-generation semiconductor materials like silicon carbide (SiC) and gallium nitride (GaN), enhancing product performance [11][12]. - There is a shift towards smart integrated systems, with products evolving to include real-time monitoring and predictive maintenance capabilities [12][13]. - The trend towards domestic production and supply chain integration is strengthening the competitive position of local companies in the global market [13].