Core Insights - Circulose and Jilin Chemical Fiber (JLC) have formed a strategic partnership for the exclusive marketing and sale of Jirecell globally from 2026 to 2028, aiming to scale production to meet international demand for sustainable alternatives to synthetic fibers [1][3] - The current composition of viscose filament yarn includes 70% FSC-certified wood and 30% recycled cotton Circulose pulp, with a target to increase recycled input to 50% [2] - JLC has committed to purchasing increasing volumes of Circulose pulp annually, which is made from 100% recycled textiles, to enhance its fiber portfolio [4] Company Developments - Circulose, emerging from bankruptcy under private equity firm Altor, views this partnership as a cornerstone for accelerating the transition to circularity in the industry [3] - The partnership is expected to support the scaling of viscose filament yarn production using Circulose, ensuring necessary volume for Circulose's factory [3] - JLC's expansion plans for next-generation man-made cellulosic fiber (MMCF) product lines aim to increase production capacity to 10,000 metric tons annually, with potential for an additional 10,000 metric tons of Jirecell [5] Industry Context - The collaboration between Circulose and JLC is seen as a positive signal of growing momentum within the MMCF sector, emphasizing the importance of scaling next-generation materials [6] - JLC's efforts to reduce reliance on Ancient and Endangered Forest inputs align with broader industry trends towards circular cellulose solutions [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the chemical industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The PTA industry is expected to see a cyclical bottoming out, with leading companies discussing coordinated production cuts to improve supply-demand dynamics [27][28] - The domestic PTA capacity has rapidly expanded from 46.69 million tons in 2019 to 84.28 million tons in 2024, with a CAGR of 12.5% [27] - The report highlights the potential for a new cyclical upturn in the PTA market, driven by the exit of older, high-cost production capacities and a stabilization in domestic and international textile demand [28][29] Market Performance - The basic chemical sector underperformed the market, with the industry index declining by 1% during the week of September 19-26, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.2% [15][20] - Year-to-date, the basic chemical industry index has increased by 22.3%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 8 percentage points [15][21] Key News and Company Announcements - Recent discussions among leading PTA companies regarding coordinated production cuts are expected to enhance industry self-discipline and avoid disorderly competition [26][27] - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber announced a planned shutdown of 31,200 tons of viscose filament capacity for maintenance starting October 1, 2025, which is anticipated to tighten supply in the viscose filament market [26][29] Price and Margin Analysis - The report notes that the price difference for PTA has narrowed to within 200 RMB/ton, indicating significant pressure on profitability for many companies [27] - The viscose filament industry is expected to see price increases driven by seasonal demand and coordinated actions among leading companies [29] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Tongkun Co., and Xinfonming, which are well-positioned to benefit from the expected improvements in the PTA market [28][29] - For viscose filament, attention is drawn to Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Jilin Chemical Fiber, which may experience profit elasticity due to potential price increases [29]

Group 1 - The event "Olympic Athletes Public Service Action" in Jilin promotes the integration of sports spirit with industry and healthy living through carbon fiber products [1][3] - Jilin City, known as "Chemical City," leverages its significant carbon fiber raw silk production capacity to innovate applications in sports and leisure [3] - The athletes highlighted the advantages of carbon fiber in enhancing performance due to its lightweight and rigidity, applicable in bicycles and sports equipment [3] Group 2 - The event featured interactive games that engaged employees, promoting participation in sports and sharing of athletic skills [3] - The initiative is part of the Chinese Olympic Committee's broader strategy to merge Olympic spirit with corporate culture and promote public health [3][4] - Future plans include continued efforts to bring Olympic athletes into grassroots and corporate settings to support the "Healthy China" and "Sports Power" strategies [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [5][6][20] Core Insights - The petrochemical industry is expected to see stable growth due to the introduction of policies aimed at enhancing industry health and eliminating outdated capacity [5][6] - The demand for viscose filament is anticipated to tighten, leading to an upward trend in prices, while the grass herbicide market is expected to optimize its structure [5][6] - The global GDP growth is projected to remain at 2.8%, with stable oil demand despite some slowdown due to tariff policies [5][6] Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable [5][6] - The coal market is anticipated to experience long-term price stabilization, with easing pressures on downstream sectors [5][6] - Natural gas exports from the U.S. are likely to accelerate, potentially lowering import costs [5][6] Chemical Sector Analysis - The report highlights that the viscose filament industry will see a supply-demand tightening, with a projected increase in operating rates from 84% to over 95% [5][6] - The grass herbicide market is set to address issues of low pricing and quality through upcoming industry meetings aimed at regulating competition [5][6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy, including textiles, agriculture, and export-related chemicals [5][6] - Specific companies to watch include Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, Jilin Chemical Fiber, and Lier Chemical, which are expected to benefit from market dynamics [5][6][20] Key Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies, indicating various ratings such as "Buy" and "Increase" for companies like Hailir Chemical, Yunnan Chemical, and Wanhu Chemical [20]

Core Viewpoint - The leading company Xinxiang Chemical Fiber has initiated a price increase trend in the viscose filament industry, responding to supply constraints and policy support against "involution" [1][2]. Industry Overview - The viscose filament industry is undergoing consolidation, with only four major companies remaining, leading to a high concentration of production capacity. As of H1 2025, the total industry capacity is projected to be 27.5 million tons, with Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Jilin Chemical Fiber holding the majority [2]. - The viscose filament is derived from cellulose and is primarily used in high-end clothing and home textiles due to its desirable properties such as breathability and vibrant dyeing [1]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber announced a maintenance shutdown of 31,200 tons of viscose filament capacity, representing approximately 11.35% of its total capacity, which is expected to compress industry supply [2]. - The demand for viscose filament is anticipated to increase during the "Golden September and Silver October" period, with a rise in domestic orders for autumn and winter textiles [3]. Price Trends - As of September 22, the price of viscose filament was reported at 43,500 yuan per ton. The industry is expected to experience several rounds of price increases, potentially raising prices by 1,000 to 1,500 yuan per ton [4]. - The profit elasticity for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Jilin Chemical Fiber from these price increases is estimated to be between 0.6-0.9 billion yuan and 0.8-1.1 billion yuan, respectively [4]. Investment Focus - Companies to watch include Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (000949.SZ) and Jilin Chemical Fiber (000420.SZ) due to their strong market positions and potential for profit growth amid rising prices [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the basic chemical industry [2][6]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the upcoming seasonal demand in the textile industry, particularly for viscose filament, driven by the "Golden September and Silver October" period, which is expected to lead to price increases [4]. - The report discusses the strategic move by Xinxiang Chemical Fiber to temporarily halt production for upgrades, affecting 31,200 tons per year of viscose filament capacity, which is approximately 11.35% of the industry total [4]. - The viscose filament industry is experiencing consolidation, with only four major players remaining, leading to a higher concentration of capacity and a greater likelihood of coordinated price increases [4]. - The report notes that the domestic demand for home textiles is increasing, with weaving enterprises' operating rates rising to 68.8%, and exports of viscose filament have also seen significant growth [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The basic chemical industry has shown a performance increase of 0% to 51% from September 2024 to May 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index [3]. Industry Dynamics - The viscose filament production process is highlighted for its environmental impact, leading to industry consolidation and a focus on self-regulation among remaining players [4]. - The report indicates that the total industry capacity is 275,000 tons, with Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Jilin Chemical Fiber holding the majority of the market share [4]. Price Outlook - As of September 22, the price of viscose filament is reported at 43,500 yuan per ton, with expectations for multiple price increases driven by supply disruptions and seasonal demand [4]. - Potential profit elasticity for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Jilin Chemical Fiber is estimated to be between 60 to 90 million yuan and 80 to 110 million yuan, respectively, with each price increase of 1,000 to 1,500 yuan per ton [4]. Recommended Stocks - The report suggests focusing on Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Jilin Chemical Fiber as key investment targets in the viscose filament sector [4].

Market Overview - On September 22, the chemical fiber sector rose by 0.42% compared to the previous trading day, with Jilin Chemical Fiber leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.58, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13157.97, up 0.67% [1] Stock Performance - Jilin Chemical Fiber (code: 000420) closed at 4.74, with a significant increase of 7.73% and a trading volume of 4.35 million shares, amounting to a transaction value of 2.058 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Jilin Carbon Valley (code: 836077) with a 3.40% increase, Shenda Co. (code: 600810) up by 3.27%, and Haiyang Technology (code: 603382) rising by 2.36% [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The chemical fiber sector saw a net inflow of 355 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 124 million yuan [2] - The main funds showed a significant net inflow into Jilin Chemical Fiber, amounting to 530 million yuan, representing 25.77% of the total [3] - In contrast, retail investors had a net outflow of 297 million yuan from Jilin Chemical Fiber, accounting for 14.43% of the total [3]

每经AI快讯，9月22日，化纤板块持续拉升，吉林化纤一度涨停，新乡化纤、万凯新材等跟涨。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the growth in China's chemical fiber industry, with a projected production of 7.35 million tons in May 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.2% [1] - Cumulative production from January to May 2025 is reported at 35.037 million tons, showing a cumulative growth of 5.5% [1] - The articles reference a market analysis report by Zhiyan Consulting, which covers the operational status and investment prospects of the chemical fiber industry in China from 2025 to 2031 [1][2] Group 2 - Listed companies in the chemical fiber sector include Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, Hengli Petrochemical, Huafeng Superfiber, and others [1] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, providing comprehensive industry research reports and tailored services [2]

Market Overview - On September 19, the chemical fiber sector rose by 0.41% compared to the previous trading day, with Baolidi leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3820.09, down 0.3%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13070.86, down 0.04% [1] Top Performers - Baolidi (300905) closed at 35.46, up 2.87% with a trading volume of 181,100 shares and a transaction value of 658 million yuan [1] - Jilin Chemical Fiber (000420) closed at 4.40, up 2.56% with a trading volume of 1,354,100 shares and a transaction value of 591 million yuan [1] - Zhongfu Shenying (688285) closed at 27.27, up 2.52% with a trading volume of 52,800 shares and a transaction value of 144 million yuan [1] Underperformers - Suzhou Longjie (603332) closed at 14.08, down 4.48% with a trading volume of 134,700 shares and a transaction value of 191 million yuan [2] - Nanjing Chemical Fiber (600889) closed at 15.73, down 3.97% with a trading volume of 118,900 shares and a transaction value of 189 million yuan [2] - Sanfangxiang (600370) closed at 2.09, down 3.24% with a trading volume of 340,000 shares and a transaction value of 71.55 million yuan [2] Fund Flow Analysis - The chemical fiber sector saw a net inflow of 79.70 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 38.46 million yuan [2] - Jilin Chemical Fiber had a net inflow of 1.01 billion yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 85.84 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Huafeng Chemical (002064) had a net inflow of 25.42 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 1.15 million yuan from retail investors [3]