金融界消息 截至2025年7月29日收盘，长青股份（002391）报收于6.57元，下跌2.67%，换手率8.36%， 成交量38.80万手，成交金额2.55亿元。 通过天眼查大数据分析，江苏长青农化股份有限公司共对外投资了9家企业，参与招投标项目95次，知 识产权方面有商标信息66条，专利信息159条，此外企业还拥有行政许可162个。 资金流向方面，今日主力资金净流出3521.17万元，占比成交额13.78%。其中，超大单净流出1035.57万 元、占成交额4.05%，大单净流出2485.61万元、占成交额9.73%，中单净流出流出3812.52万元、占成交 额14.93%，小单净流入7333.69万元、占成交额28.71%。 来源：金融界 天眼查商业履历信息显示，江苏长青农化股份有限公司，成立于2001年，位于扬州市，是一家以从事化 学原料和化学制品制造业为主的企业。企业注册资本64959.255万人民币，实缴资本64959.255万人民 币。公司法定代表人为于国权。 长青股份最新一期业绩显示，截至2025一季报，公司营业总收入9.20亿元、同比增长7.00%，归属净利 润1668.97万元，同比增长11 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the launch of a three-year "Rectification and Governance" action in the pesticide industry to address issues such as hidden additives, illegal production, and disorderly competition, aiming for significant improvements by the end of 2027 [1] - The action will focus on curbing low-price disorderly competition, enhancing self-discipline among companies, and encouraging innovation to improve product quality and market competitiveness [1] - The glyphosate sector, being the largest single product in the pesticide industry, is expected to benefit from this initiative, leading to an improved competitive landscape and increased market share for leading companies [1] Group 2 - The industry is currently facing "involution" issues such as resource duplication and shrinking profit margins, which are hindering sustainable development [2] - A transition from "de-stocking" to "capacity reduction" is anticipated by 2025, indicating a potential recovery in the market [2] - Specific companies have already begun to raise prices for certain herbicides, with Li Er Chemical increasing the price of fluorochloride raw materials by 15% starting July 22 [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the chemical industry, with specific recommendations for companies such as Wanhua Chemical, Yancheng Chemical, and Runfeng Shares [13]. Core Insights - The chemical industry is experiencing a recovery, particularly in the pesticide sector, driven by regulatory actions against illegal production and price increases for key products [1][2]. - The report highlights the impact of macroeconomic factors on oil and gas prices, with a stable global GDP growth rate of 2.8% and expectations of increased oil supply from non-OPEC sources [2][4]. - The report suggests that the elimination of outdated production capacity may improve the industry structure, particularly in key sectors like steel and petrochemicals [1]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the current macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry, noting a stable increase in oil demand despite some slowdown due to tariffs [2]. - It mentions that coal prices are expected to decline in the medium to long term, alleviating pressure on downstream industries [2]. Price Trends - Recent price movements include a 15% increase in the price of certain herbicides and a general upward trend in pesticide prices due to regulatory actions [1]. - The report notes that TDI prices are expected to rise due to production halts in Europe, with global TDI inventory at low levels [1]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential, such as Wanhua Chemical, Yancheng Chemical, and Runfeng Shares, among others [1][13]. - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the performance of companies in the agricultural chemicals sector, particularly those involved in pesticide production [1][13]. Market Conditions - The report indicates that the chemical industry is currently in a recovery phase, with signs of improvement in demand and pricing for key products [1]. - It highlights the importance of regulatory compliance and the impact of government policies on market dynamics [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pesticide industry, suggesting a "Buy" rating for key companies such as Yangnong Chemical, Lier Chemical, and Runfeng Shares [3][20]. Core Insights - The pesticide industry is experiencing a recovery due to the "Zhengfeng Zhijuan" initiative aimed at regulating the market, which has led to price increases for key products like fluorocarbon herbicides [3][4]. - The report highlights the impact of maintenance shutdowns at major production facilities, such as Wanhua's Hungarian plant, which may lead to supply shortages and price increases in the TDI market [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the potential for improved industry dynamics through the elimination of outdated production capacity, as indicated by government initiatives targeting key sectors [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Current macroeconomic conditions indicate a stable global GDP growth of 2.8%, with oil demand expected to rise despite some slowdown due to tariffs [4]. - The report notes that coal prices are expected to decline in the medium to long term, alleviating pressure on downstream industries [4]. Chemical Prices - Recent price movements include a 15% increase in the price of Lier Chemical's fluorocarbon herbicide and a similar rise for Zhongqi Shares [3][11]. - The report mentions that the price of TDI is expected to rise due to low global inventory levels and potential supply disruptions from maintenance activities [3][4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on traditional cyclical stocks and specific sectors such as coal chemical, real estate chain, and agricultural chemicals, highlighting companies like Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng [3][20]. - Growth stocks with recovery potential are identified, including semiconductor materials and OLED panel materials, with specific companies recommended for investment [3][20].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the potential reopening of the market for the herbicide glyphosate in the U.S. following the EPA's proposal to approve three glyphosate-containing products, which is expected to drive new demand [4][5] - Glyphosate's demand is anticipated to grow due to the elimination of high-toxicity pesticides and the promotion of glyphosate-resistant crops, particularly in the U.S. market [5] - The report suggests that glyphosate's price has reached a historical low, indicating significant potential for price increases in the future [5] Market Performance - The report provides a market performance comparison, indicating a decline of 17% for the basic chemical sector compared to the CSI 300 index [3] Supply and Demand Analysis - The supply side is concentrated, with major producers like BASF and domestic companies in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces [5] - The report notes that the demand for glyphosate is expected to benefit from the promotion of glyphosate-resistant crop seeds [5] Price Outlook - The report expresses optimism regarding the future price increase potential for glyphosate, with current prices at approximately 54,000 yuan per ton, significantly lower than the peak price of 145,000 yuan per ton in 2014, suggesting a potential increase of about 169% [5] Recommended Stocks - The report recommends关注标的: Yangnong Chemical, Changqing Co., Zhongnong United, and Runfeng Co. as potential investment opportunities in the glyphosate market [5]

Group 1 - Seli Medical's therapeutic hypertension vaccine project faces significant uncertainty despite recent market interest, with a 2024 revenue of 26,800 yuan and a net loss of 2,382,300 yuan [3] - Renfu Pharmaceutical's shareholder plans to increase their stake with a loan commitment of up to 750 million yuan, aiming to acquire 1% to 2% of the company's shares at a maximum price of 25.53 yuan per share [4] - China Northern Rare Earth's third-quarter trading price for rare earth concentrate is set at 19,109 yuan per ton, with price adjustments based on REO percentage changes [7][9] Group 2 - Saisir expects a net profit increase of 66.2% to 96.98% for the first half of 2025, driven by new product launches and improved sales [13] - WuXi AppTec anticipates a 44.43% increase in adjusted net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue expected to reach approximately 20.799 billion yuan [15] - Yiyuan Communication forecasts a 121.13% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, capitalizing on the growth of 5G and AI technologies [16] Group 3 - Longqing Co. expects a net profit increase of 106.02% to 131.77% for the first half of 2025, attributed to production capacity release and cost reduction [17] - Guosheng Financial Holdings predicts a net profit increase of 236.85% to 394.05% for the first half of 2025, supported by improved brokerage and investment banking performance [18] - Dali Long anticipates a net profit increase of 162.38% to 249.84% for the first half of 2025, driven by market expansion and operational efficiency [19] Group 4 - Tianbao Infrastructure expects a staggering net profit increase of 1581.8% to 2329.27% for the first half of 2025, largely due to a significant tax refund [20] - China Shipbuilding anticipates a net profit increase of 98.25% to 119.49% for the first half of 2025, benefiting from improved production efficiency and order structure [21] - Shanghai Xiba expects a net profit increase of 136.47% to 181.85% for the first half of 2025, influenced by non-recurring income [22] Group 5 - *ST Yanzhen reports a total of 53.773 million shares accepted in a tender offer, representing 20.47% of total equity, with a new major shareholder emerging [12] - Shanghai Mechanical and Electrical's major shareholder has received approval for a share transfer that will not change the company's control [10] - Good Products plans to suspend trading due to a potential change in control, with a suspension expected for no more than two trading days [11]

股票代码：002391 股票简称：长青股份 公告编号：2025-018 2025 年半年度业绩预告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 1、业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 6 月 30 日。 | □同向下降 | | --- | | □√同向上升 | | 2、业绩预告情况：□扭亏为盈 | | 项 目 | 本报告期 | | | | | | 上年同期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股 东的净利润 | 盈利：4,000.00 | | 万元 | — | 4,500.00 | 万元 | 盈利：1,941.55 | 万元 | | | 比上年同期增长：106.02% — | | | | | 131.77% | | | | 扣除非经常性损益 后的净利润 | 盈利：3,900.00 | | 万元 | — | 4,400.00 | 万元 | 盈利：2,079.13 | 万元 | | | 比上年同期增长：87.58% ...

Core Viewpoint - ST Hongtai announced a price adjustment for its 97% chlorantraniliprole product to 300,000 yuan per ton, a more than 40% increase compared to last year's low of 210,000 yuan per ton, primarily due to limited upstream raw material supply and rising costs [1][3]. Industry Overview - Chlorantraniliprole is the world's largest insecticide, with annual global sales exceeding $2 billion. After the expiration of its compound patent in China in August 2022, market prices continued to decline, with a cumulative drop of 34.38% in 2024. However, since 2025, prices have rebounded due to low effective capacity release influenced by intermediates and operating rates, rising to 228,000 yuan per ton on May 25, an increase of 8.57% [3]. - Currently, there are over 100,000 tons per year of chlorantraniliprole production capacity under construction or planning in China, but the progress of planned capacity construction has slowed due to the impact of intermediate K amine supply and declining raw material prices [3]. Market Reaction - Following the price adjustment announcement, the pesticide sector continued to show strength on June 9, with stocks such as Changqing Co. and Guangkang Biochemical hitting historical highs, and ST Hongtai and other stocks also rising [3]. - Analysts generally believe that chlorantraniliprole prices are likely to experience a phase of upward momentum. Future project approvals and production regulations involving hazardous chemical reactions such as nitration and chlorination are expected to become stricter, benefiting leading companies in the chemical industry that can maintain stable production of existing products [3]. Company Responses - Due to changes in market supply dynamics, investor interest in companies involved in chlorantraniliprole has increased, prompting several listed companies to respond. Lianhua Technology stated that it provides advanced intermediates through a CDMO model and does not directly produce the product, indicating limited overall impact on the company. Huailong Co. is steadily advancing its chlorantraniliprole raw material and intermediate project with an annual output of 2,000 tons. Lier Chemical is orderly constructing a 5,000 tons/year production facility. Changqing Co. confirmed that its insecticides are currently in normal production. Liming Co. noted that if chlorantraniliprole supply tightens, it would boost demand for alternatives such as abamectin and methomyl [4].

股票代码：002391 股票简称：长青股份 公告编号：2025-017 江苏长青农化股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、股票交易异常波动的情况介绍 江苏长青农化股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票（股票简称：长青股 份，股票代码：002391）于 2025 年 6 月 6 日、2025 年 6 月 9 日连续两个交易日 收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过 20%，根据深圳证券交易所相关规定，属于股票交 易异常波动的情况。 二、公司核实情况说明 针对公司股票异常波动情况，经与公司经营层、董事会、实际控制人就相关 问题进行核实，现将核实情况说明如下： 1、公司前期披露的信息不存在需要更正之处； 2、未发现近期公共传媒报道了可能或已经对本公司股票交易价格产生较大 影响的未公开重大信息； 3、近期公司生产经营情况正常，公司经营情况及内外部经营环境未发生重 大变化； 4、公司实际控制人不存在关于公司应披露而未披露的重大事项，或处于筹 划阶段的重大事项；实际控制人在公司股票交易异常波动期间未买卖本公司股票。 公司前期披露的信息不 ...

Group 1 - The agricultural pesticide sector continues its strong performance, with Changqing Co., Ltd. achieving a two-day consecutive limit-up [1] - Guangkang Biochemical surged over 15%, reaching a new historical high, while Lianhua Technology approached the limit-up [1] - Other companies such as Nuobixin, Yabenn Chemical, Hailier, and Huillong also experienced gains [1] Group 2 - On June 5, ST Hongtaiyang announced a price adjustment for its 97% chlorantraniliprole product, raising the price to 300,000 yuan per ton, with limited supply [1] - This price increase represents a more than 40% rise compared to the market's low point of 210,000 yuan per ton last year [1]