Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook on profitability and market conditions, suggesting a favorable investment perspective [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.07 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 37.0% to 217 million yuan [1]. - The report highlights an expected price increase for two-piece cans in 2026 due to improved competitive dynamics, which could significantly enhance profitability for the company [2]. - The company’s gross margin for Q3 2025 was 9.5%, showing a year-on-year decline of 4.2 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.5 percentage points, indicating stabilization in profitability [2]. - Operating cash flow for Q3 2025 was reported at 126 million yuan, down by 261 million yuan year-on-year, indicating temporary pressure on cash flow [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 297 million yuan, a decrease of 29.8% year-on-year, with a revenue forecast of 7.099 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decline of 0.4% [3]. - The gross margin is expected to be 10.1% in 2025, with a gradual recovery anticipated in subsequent years, reaching 12.5% by 2027 [3]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 8.2% in 2025, improving to 12.4% by 2027 [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.30 yuan in 2025, with a forecasted increase to 0.56 yuan by 2027 [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][18]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.07 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.51%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 217 million yuan, a decrease of 36.99% year-on-year [3]. - The industry is currently facing challenges, with a supply-demand imbalance and weak demand in the beverage and beer markets, but there are expectations for a turnaround in profitability as the industry moves towards a "value competition" model [5][6]. - The company is effectively managing its expenses, with a slight decrease in the expense ratio to 5.3% [6]. The overseas business is seen as a key growth driver, with ongoing projects in Cambodia, Indonesia, and Vietnam [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.845 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.03%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 69.21 million yuan, a decrease of 37.13% year-on-year [3]. - The gross margin and net margin for the first three quarters were 10.0% and 4.3%, respectively, both showing a decline compared to the previous year [6]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 297 million yuan, 440 million yuan, and 583 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a significant decrease in 2025 but a recovery in subsequent years [6][8]. Industry Context - The metal packaging industry is experiencing ongoing pain points, with the beer production in China showing a slight decline of 0.2% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [5]. - The average price of aluminum, a key raw material, increased by 5.9% year-on-year in Q3 2025, further squeezing profit margins [5]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards more cooperative competition among leading companies, which is expected to improve the overall profitability outlook [5].

Core Viewpoint - Shengxing Co., Ltd. (002752.SZ) reported its Q3 2025 results, highlighting a significant presence of institutional investors holding 66.48% of its total shares, although there was a slight decline in institutional ownership compared to the previous quarter [1] Institutional Ownership - As of October 28, 2025, five institutional investors disclosed holdings in Shengxing Co., totaling 649 million shares, which represents 66.48% of the company's total equity [1] - The institutional ownership decreased by 0.55 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] Public Fund Activity - One new public fund disclosed its holdings this quarter, namely the Jinyuan Shun'an Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund [1] - A total of 23 public funds were not disclosed in this quarter compared to the previous one, including notable funds such as the CSI 2000, Huashan Anxin Consumer Mixed A, and others [1] Foreign Investment Trends - One foreign fund, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, reduced its holdings this quarter, with a decrease of 0.25% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes the accuracy and completeness of its quarterly financial report, ensuring no false records or misleading statements exist, and that all responsible parties bear legal liability for the report's content [2][3]. Financial Data Summary - The third-quarter financial report has not been audited [7]. - The company confirms that there are no adjustments or restatements required for previous accounting data [3]. - There are no non-recurring profit and loss items applicable for this quarter [3]. Shareholder Information - The report includes details on the total number of common shareholders and the top ten shareholders' holdings, but there are no changes reported due to share lending activities [5].

Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 5.07 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.51% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 217 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 36.99% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 196 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 39.98% [1]

Group 1 - The company's Q3 revenue reached 1.845 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.03% [1] - The net profit for Q3 was 69.2091 million, showing a decline of 37.13% compared to the previous year [1] - For the first three quarters, the total revenue was 5.07 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 1.51% [1] Group 2 - The net profit for the first three quarters amounted to 217 million, reflecting a decrease of 36.99% year-on-year [1]

昇兴集团股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告 证券代码：002752 证券简称：昇兴股份 公告编号：2025-035 昇兴集团股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 1、董事会及董事、高级管理人员保证季度报告的真实、准确、完整，不存在虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并承担个别和连带的法律责任。 2、公司负责人、主管会计工作负责人及会计机构负责人(会计主管人员)声明：保证季度报 告中财务信息的真实、准确、完整。 3、第三季度财务会计报告是否经过审计 □是 否 1 昇兴集团股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告 一、主要财务数据 （一） 主要会计数据和财务指标 公司是否需追溯调整或重述以前年度会计数据 □是 否 本报告期 本报告期比上年 同期增减 年初至报告期末 年初至报告期末 比上年同期增减 营业收入（元） 1,845,097,972.20 4.03% 5,069,985,198.35 1.51% 归属于上市公司股东的净利润（元） 69,209,115.43 -37.13% 216,545,89 ...

Group 1 - The metal packaging sector is experiencing significant growth due to an improving supply-demand landscape, with clear signals indicating a bottoming out of the cycle [1] - The fourth quarter is typically a negotiation window for industry pricing, and attention should be paid to the pricing strategies of leading companies [1] - Leading companies are expected to collaborate in the negotiation process to implement price increases, with a focus on companies such as Orijin (002701.SZ), Baosteel Packaging (601968.SH), and Shengxing Co. (002752.SZ) [1] Group 2 - The supply-side landscape is becoming more concentrated, with increasing industrial synergy effects [1] - Orijin's acquisition of COFCO Packaging has resulted in a CR3 of over 70% in the metal two-piece can industry, with Orijin holding approximately 40% market share [1] - The industry is shifting its focus from scale expansion to stable profit growth, which is expected to enhance overall profitability [1] Group 3 - The beer canning rate in China is expected to increase, driving steady growth in demand [2] - Approximately 70% of the demand in China's metal packaging market comes from the food and beverage sector, with a significant difference in channel structure compared to overseas markets [2] - China's beer canning rate is currently over 30%, significantly lower than Japan's (over 80%) and the global average (50%), indicating substantial room for growth as non-immediate consumption channels increase [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to optimize the asset structure of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Hong Kong Shengxing, by increasing its capital with self-owned funds of 11 million USD, enhancing its financial strength [1] Group 1 - The capital increase will raise the registered capital of Hong Kong Shengxing from 16.7 million USD to 27.7 million USD [1] - The equity structure of Hong Kong Shengxing will remain unchanged, with the company retaining 100% ownership [1]

中信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信证券"或者"保荐机构"）作为昇 兴集团股份有限公司（以下简称"昇兴股份"或者"公司"）2019 年度非公开 发行股票的保荐机构，根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《深圳证券交易 所股票上市规则》《上市公司募集资金监管规则》和《深圳证券交易所上市公司 自律监管指引第 13 号——保荐业务》等有关法律法规和规范性文件的要求，对 昇兴股份募集资金投资项目拟结项并将节余募集资金永久性补充流动资金情况 进行了核查。具体情况如下： 一、募集资金基本情况 经中国证券监督管理委员会证监发行字[2020]2644 号文核准，公司于 2021 年 1 月向特定对象非公开发行人民币普通股（A 股）143,737,949 股，每股发行 价为 5.19 元，应募集资金总额为人民币 745,999,955.31 元，根据有关规定扣除发 行费用（不含增值税）人民币 9,457,519.34 元后，实际募集资金净额为人民币 736,542,435.97 元。该募集资金已于 2021 年 2 月到账。上述资金到账情况业经容 诚会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙）容诚验字[2021]361Z0021 号《验资报告》 ...