增加借款却不能带来业务利润的增长。近几年来，国恩股份收入虽有增长，但净利润徘徊不前，包括公 司实控人在内的一众高管，并没有因为国恩股份利润徘徊而放弃加薪。与此同时，公司员工的人均收入 却不增反降。 2025年6月底递交港股上市招股书后，9月初国恩股份（002768）收到证监会反馈意见，就公司股本变 化、实控人债务和控制权以及业务经营等问题提出问询。 国恩股份不只存在实控人偿债能力问题，近些年来，国恩股份的资产负债率一年高比一年，有息债务不 断增长。尤其是短期债务方面，公司短期债务的增长尤为明显，由之而来的利息费用不断膨胀。 利润徘徊短债攀升 国恩股份已经在A股上市，此次港股上市成功后，公司将成为实现"A+H"两地上市公司中新的一员。 国恩股份横跨化工和健康两大领域，化工是公司核心收入来源。公司以有机高分子材料改性业务为基 石，向上游延伸至苯乙烯、聚苯乙烯、可发性聚苯乙烯及聚丙烯等绿色石化材料业务。 公司援引弗若斯特沙利文资料，按2024年中国高分子材料改性相关板块营收计算，国恩股份是中国第二 大的有机高分子材料改性生产企业。按2024年中国聚苯乙烯相关产能计，公司是中国最大的聚苯乙烯生 产企业。 2022年， ...

Market Overview - In September, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks exhibited a volatile pattern, with domestic economic recovery showing uneven momentum and real estate chain drag persisting[5] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut led to short-term market fluctuations, while sectors like batteries and semiconductors outperformed due to policy expectations and price rebounds[5] Investment Focus - The focus for October is on "technology growth," with A-shares confirming a tech narrative and Hong Kong stocks advancing in both technology and non-ferrous metals[5] - Key events include the unveiling of Xiaopeng's fifth-generation humanoid robot on October 24 and new drug progress announcements from Chinese pharmaceutical companies at the ESMO conference in mid-October[5] Policy and Economic Outlook - October is a critical policy layout window, with the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session focusing on the "14th Five-Year Plan," leading to rising capital market expectations[5] - The market anticipates another interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in October, which could benefit the Hong Kong market due to its linked exchange rate system[5] Key Investment Themes - **Technology Growth and High-End Manufacturing**: Emphasis on digital economy, aerospace information, and high-end equipment, with recommendations to focus on satellite internet and AI[5] - **Resource Cycle Optimization**: Global inventory cycles are bottoming out, with industrial metals like copper and cobalt expected to see price increases driven by demand from new energy[5] - **Structural Recovery in Consumption**: Anticipated strong consumption data during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, with a focus on high-quality segments like medical consumption and travel chains[5] Risk Factors - Risks include unexpected policy changes, commercialization outcomes falling short of expectations, and delays in product development and market entry[5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the non-metallic building materials sector and an "Overweight" rating for the construction and engineering sector [5]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments issued the "Building Materials Industry Steady Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", focusing on quality and efficiency while prohibiting new capacity [2][3]. - The new plan emphasizes the need for coordinated efforts on both supply and demand sides, aiming to enhance profitability levels effectively [3]. - The plan sets a specific target for 2026, aiming for green building material revenue to exceed 300 billion yuan [2]. Summary by Sections Policy Background - The new plan is introduced against a backdrop of weak market demand and prominent structural issues in the building materials industry, contrasting with the previous plan which was released during the early recovery phase post-pandemic [2]. Overall Requirements - The current plan focuses on quality and efficiency, integrating technological and industrial innovation, and emphasizes strict control over new capacity while promoting traditional material upgrades and advanced inorganic non-metallic materials [2][3]. Main Goals - Unlike the previous plan, which set specific growth targets for industrial added value, the current plan does not set total industry targets but emphasizes improving profitability and achieving specific revenue goals for green materials [2]. Key Measures - The new plan prioritizes strengthening industry management and promoting the survival of the fittest, with a focus on strict capacity control in cement and glass production [2][3]. - It outlines specific development directions for advanced materials, including advanced glass, artificial crystals, and high-performance fibers, while promoting pilot platform construction and application verification [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the new materials sector such as China Jushi, Guoen Co., Puyang Huicheng, Keda Manufacturing, Hongrun Construction, and Jiemai Technology, as well as companies in the infrastructure and real estate chain like China State Construction, Oriental Yuhong, and Anhui Conch Cement [4].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On September 23, several A-share listed companies disclosed their shareholding changes, with notable increases in holdings by some companies and reductions by others [1]. Group 1: Companies Increasing Holdings - Baba Foods: Some directors and senior management plan to further increase their shareholdings [2]. - Huakai Yibai: Luo Chun plans to increase his shareholdings by no less than 20 million yuan within six months [2]. Group 2: Companies Decreasing Holdings - Yingfang Software: Good Hope Cape and its concerted actors plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% [2]. - Meili Technology: Shareholder Changjiang Capital plans to reduce holdings by no more than 2,110,746 shares [2]. - Zhongtian Rocket: Shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% [2]. - Fangyuan Co., Ltd.: Shareholder Zhongke Ziyun plans to reduce holdings by no more than 1% [2]. - Funeng Technology: Deputy General Manager Wang Zhigang plans to reduce holdings by no more than 100,000 shares [2]. - Chaoxun Communication: The company's management has completed their reduction plan [2]. - Zhongke Jiangnan: Shareholders holding more than 5% plan to reduce holdings by no more than 1.73% [2]. - Bozhong Precision: The controlling shareholder's concerted actors have cumulatively reduced 5,495,900 shares recently [2]. - Fulongma: Former supervisor Shen Jiaqing reduced holdings by 199,600 shares [2]. - Dongtianwei: Specific shareholder Xinyu Ruitian reduced holdings by 458,900 shares from September 19 to September 22 [2]. - ST Lutong: Senior management member Zhuang Xiaozheng plans to reduce holdings by no more than 671,700 shares [2]. - Lakala: Legend Holdings has cumulatively reduced its holdings by 8,078,100 shares recently [2]. - *ST Xingnong: Shareholder Li Weihong plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [2]. - Tianji Co., Ltd.: Some directors and senior management plan to reduce their holdings [2]. - Yashiguangdian: Shareholders plan to reduce holdings by a total of 2.46% [2]. - Zhejiang Zhengte: Supervisor Hou Xiaohua plans to reduce holdings by no more than 275,300 shares [2]. - Binglun Environment: Some directors and senior management plan to reduce their holdings [2]. - Zhejiang Lino: The actual controller and concerted actors plan to reduce holdings by no more than 3.25% [2]. - Zhejiang Shibao: The controlling shareholder Shibao Holdings has recently reduced 1.50% of its A-share holdings [2]. - Kuaijingtong: Due to a securities repurchase contract dispute, shareholders will passively reduce holdings by no more than 1% [2]. - Nanxing Co., Ltd.: Shareholders plan to reduce holdings by no more than 3.03% [2].

Market Performance - The PEEK materials concept declined by 2.65%, ranking among the top losers in the concept sector as of the market close on September 19 [1] - Key stocks within the PEEK materials sector included Jinfa Technology, which hit the daily limit down, and other notable decliners such as Changying Precision, Guoen Co., and Zhongyan Co. [1] - Conversely, eight stocks within the sector saw price increases, with Taihe Technology, Brother Technology, and China Jushi leading the gains at 3.43%, 2.96%, and 2.29% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The PEEK materials sector experienced a net outflow of 3.634 billion yuan, with 32 stocks seeing net outflows and seven stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in outflows [1] - Jinfa Technology led the outflows with a net outflow of 1.663 billion yuan, followed by Changying Precision, Guangqi Technology, and Shuanglin Co. with net outflows of 455 million yuan, 368 million yuan, and 242 million yuan respectively [1] - On the other hand, stocks such as Ningbo Huaxiang, Guoen Co., and Brother Technology saw net inflows of 71.36 million yuan, 51.19 million yuan, and 19.27 million yuan respectively [1][2] Sector Comparison - Among the concept sectors, the top gainers included photolithography machines at 2.09%, while the PEEK materials sector was among the top losers at -2.65% [1] - Other sectors with notable performance included civil explosives at 1.70% and lithium extraction from salt lakes at 1.11%, contrasting with the decline in the PEEK materials sector [1]

Group 1 - The PEEK material concept stocks have weakened significantly, with Jinfa Technology hitting the daily limit down [1] - Guoen Co., Ltd. has seen a decline of over 8% [1] - Changying Precision, Yokogawa Precision, and Weike Technology are among the stocks with the largest declines [1]

Group 1 - The plastic sector saw a slight increase of 0.23% on September 18, with Jinfa Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3831.66, down 1.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13075.66, down 1.06% [1] - Jinfa Technology and Guoen Co., Ltd. both experienced a 10% increase in their stock prices, closing at 24.08 and 52.47 respectively [1] Group 2 - The plastic sector experienced a net outflow of 1.115 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.035 billion yuan [2] - The trading volume for Jinfa Technology reached 575.86 thousand shares, contributing to a significant market presence [1] - The stock performance of various companies in the plastic sector showed mixed results, with some companies like Jiangsu Boyun and Pan-Asia Micro透 experiencing declines of over 4% [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth and current status of China's plastic products industry, projecting a production increase in the coming years based on statistical data from the National Bureau of Statistics [1]. Industry Summary - In July 2025, China's plastic products production reached 6.69 million tons, marking a year-on-year growth of 1.7% [1]. - From January to July 2025, the cumulative production of plastic products in China was 45.452 million tons, reflecting a cumulative growth of 4.3% [1]. - The report is part of a comprehensive analysis provided by Zhiyan Consulting, which specializes in industry research and consulting services [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [6][12]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic judgment indicates that non-OPEC countries are expected to lead an increase in oil production, with a significant overall supply growth anticipated. Global GDP growth is projected to remain at 2.8%, with stable oil demand, although the growth rate may slow due to tariff policies [6][7]. - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut is likely to boost demand during the peak season of September and October. Additionally, the leakage incident of GFL R32 in India may enhance China's export opportunities [6][12]. - The report highlights the ongoing investigation into anti-dumping practices against imported semiconductor chips from the U.S., which may benefit domestic semiconductor materials [6][12]. Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Analysis - Oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable despite potential slowdowns due to tariffs. Geopolitical factors, including U.S.-China tariff relief and the Russia-Ukraine situation, are influencing oil prices [6][7]. - Coal prices are anticipated to stabilize at a low level, and natural gas export facilities in the U.S. may accelerate, leading to lower import costs [6][7]. Chemical Sector Configuration - The report suggests a strategic focus on four areas: textile and apparel chain, agricultural chemicals, export chain, and sectors benefiting from "de-involution" policies. Specific companies are recommended for investment based on their market positions and growth potential [6][12]. Key Material Focus - Emphasis is placed on the importance of self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor and panel materials, with specific companies highlighted for their potential in these sectors [6][12]. Price Trends - Recent data indicates fluctuations in various chemical prices, with PTA prices down by 0.3% and MEG down by 2.0%. The report notes that the overall industrial product PPI has shown a year-on-year decline of 2.9% [12][13][16]. Company Valuations - A detailed valuation table is provided, showcasing various companies in the agricultural chemicals and chemical sectors, with ratings ranging from "Buy" to "Increase" based on their market performance and projected earnings [20].

Group 1 - The plant-based meat concept index rose by 1.67%, ranking 8th among concept sectors, with 18 stocks increasing in value [1][2] - Leading stocks in the plant-based meat sector included SuoBao Protein, LingGe Technology, and HaiXin Food, which rose by 7.15%, 6.71%, and 4.42% respectively [1][2] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 0.14 billion yuan, with nine stocks receiving net inflows, led by SuoBao Protein with a net inflow of 28.15 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top net inflow ratios in the plant-based meat sector were SuoBao Protein at 8.52%, JiaHua Co. at 7.55%, and FuXiang Pharmaceutical at 7.10% [3][4] - The trading volume for SuoBao Protein was 16.09%, while other notable stocks included AnQi Yeast and FuXiang Pharmaceutical with trading volumes of 1.03% and 3.10% respectively [3][4] - Stocks that saw declines included GuoEn Co. and XueRong Biological, which fell by 3.09% and 0.83% respectively [1][4]