Core Insights - The "Pet Economy Index" reached a historical high on September 1, with a year-to-date increase of over 44%, indicating strong performance among popular sectors [1][3] - Several companies, including Jinhe Biological, Delisi, and Yongli Co., are actively seeking to enter the pet economy sector, which is viewed as a high-potential market [1][5] Market Performance - The "Pet Economy Index" has shown significant growth, with stocks like Zhejiang Zhengte rising over 90%, and others like Yuanfei Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Shitou Co. increasing by over 60% [3] - Financial reports from pet food companies indicate solid fundamentals, with revenues for Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Lusi Co. reaching 3.221 billion, 2.432 billion, and 391 million respectively, showing year-on-year growth rates of 32.72%, 24.32%, and 11.32% [3] Fund Holdings - As of the end of June, public funds held 18.25% of Guibao Pet, making it a top holding for several funds, while Zhongchong Co.'s public fund ownership increased from 8.06% to 15.74% [4] - Yuanfei Pet's public fund ownership surged from 1.69% to 15.27% during the same period, indicating growing interest from institutional investors [4] Industry Trends - The domestic pet market is characterized by growth potential and low industry concentration, with leading brands increasing their market share [6] - Companies are focusing on product innovation and quality supply chains to meet the evolving demands of pet owners [6] Company Initiatives - Jinhe Biological announced the establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary for pet technology, launching an intelligent pet care app that utilizes a multimodal emotional analysis model [7] - Delisi has entered into strategic partnerships for product development and market expansion in the pet food sector [7] - Yongli Co. is actively developing smart pet appliances, while Hasi Lian has expanded its business scope to include pet food sales [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Viewpoints - The swine industry is experiencing high-quality development with significant policy transformations aimed at protecting farmers' rights and stimulating enterprise innovation. Future growth stocks will likely focus on technological content and innovative models that balance farmer interests [4][12] - The overall profitability of listed pig companies has significantly increased due to a stable pig price year-on-year and a substantial decrease in costs. Although pig prices may face pressure in the second half of the year, the trend of improving efficiency suggests that profitability will remain strong [4][12] - The poultry sector is facing a persistent contradiction of "high capacity, weak consumption," leading to losses that force breeding farms to reduce capacity. Integrated enterprises and contract farming are expected to gain market share [5][13] - The feed sector is recommended to focus on Hai Da Group, which is expected to see growth due to improved management and increased capacity utilization [6][14] - The pet industry is witnessing a concentration of market share among leading brands, with potential growth opportunities for mid-tier brands. The impact of tariffs on exports is expected to diminish over time [7][16] - The agricultural sector is closely monitoring the effects of US-China trade negotiations, with expectations of tightening soybean supply and potential price increases for soybean meal [8][17] Summary by Sections 1. Swine - Latest pig price is 13.70 CNY/kg (down 0.01 CNY/kg month-on-month), with an average slaughter weight of 127.83 kg (down 0.15 kg month-on-month) and a price of 445 CNY for 15 kg piglets (down 18 CNY month-on-month). Short-term price declines may be due to policy-driven weight reductions [3][12] - The industry is undergoing profound policy transformations, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and stimulating innovation. Companies with cost advantages and strong connections with farmers are expected to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [4][12][13] 2. Poultry - As of September 1, the price of chicken seedlings in Yantai is 3.45 CNY/piece (down 5.5% month-on-month) and the price of broiler chickens is 3.55 CNY/kg (down 1.39% month-on-month) [5][13] - The white feather chicken industry is facing ongoing challenges of high capacity and weak consumption, leading to a reduction in breeding capacity among chicken farms [5][13] 3. Feed - The feed sector is recommended to focus on Hai Da Group, which is expected to benefit from industry recovery and improved management effects [6][14] 4. Pets - The pet industry is characterized by a stable four-brand dominance, with increasing concentration expected. The impact of tariffs on exports is anticipated to lessen, and leading companies are expected to maintain high growth rates [7][16] 5. Agricultural Products - The agricultural sector is closely watching the impact of US-China trade negotiations, with expectations of tightening soybean supply and potential price increases for soybean meal [8][17] 6. Market and Price Situation - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 4497, up 2.71% from the previous week, while the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index closed at 3001, up 2.02% [18][21]

Core Insights - The pet industry is witnessing a clear capital landscape as the mid-year financial reporting season concludes, characterized by leading companies maintaining their positions, accelerated expansion in niche markets, and deepening global layouts [1] - Most companies have achieved varying degrees of revenue growth, while a few face performance pressures due to single business models, reflecting rapid domestic market expansion, the rise of private brands, and product structure optimization [1] Revenue Growth - Yuanfei Pet leads with a 45.52% year-on-year revenue growth, totaling 791 million yuan, driven by a 64.63% increase in pet snacks and a 55.39% rise in pet food [2] - Guobao Pet reported a total revenue of 3.22 billion yuan, up 32.72%, with a net profit of 378 million yuan, a 22.55% increase, primarily from domestic private brand contributions [2] - Zhongchong Co. achieved a revenue of 2.432 billion yuan, a 24.32% increase, with a net profit of 203 million yuan, reflecting strong cost control [2] - Tianjin Langnuo's revenue reached 138 million yuan, up 21.16%, with cat food sales driving growth [3] - Jianhe Group's pet nutrition and care products generated 1.08 billion yuan, an 8.6% increase, with high-end supplements growing by 14.3% [3] - Peti Co. is one of the few companies experiencing revenue decline, with a total revenue of 727 million yuan, down 13.94% [3] Strategic Investments - Companies are increasingly investing in global capacity layout, supply chain extension, private brand development, and digital transformation, which are expected to provide long-term competitive advantages [4] - Zhongchong Co. has established a factory in Mexico, becoming the first Chinese pet food company to do so, aiming to create a responsive global supply chain [4] - Yiyi Co. has also made progress in overseas capacity layout with a factory in Cambodia, producing nearly 300 million pet pads annually [4] - Ruipuhua is focusing on building a supply chain network with 13 regional companies covering 13,000 clients, including 8,400 pet hospitals and 3,500 pet stores [5] Brand Development - The establishment of factories is accelerating the development of private brands, with companies like Yuanfei Pet and Jianhe Group increasing investments in brand building to enhance product value and consumer loyalty [6] - Yuanfei Pet is expanding its domestic market presence through its own brands and distribution of international brands, creating a comprehensive product matrix [5][6] Market Outlook - The pet industry is optimistic about the second half of the year, with companies planning to focus on product innovation, market expansion, and supply chain optimization [7] - Ruipuhua plans to launch new products such as cat interferon and probiotics, while Haizheng Dongbao will expand into innovative and non-pharmaceutical areas [7] - Companies like Yuanfei Pet and Zhongchong Co. are aiming to balance domestic and international market structures through strategic expansions [7][8]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, particularly in the pig farming industry, with a focus on the potential for value reassessment of pig farming companies [2][5] - The agricultural sector has shown a mixed performance recently, with the overall index up by 2.02% week-on-week, while the pig farming segment has seen a notable increase of 4.39% [11][12] Livestock Farming Data Tracking - Pig prices have slightly declined this week due to sufficient supply and market sentiment being buoyed by government stockpiling efforts [7][16] - The number of breeding sows has shown a slight decrease, with July figures indicating a 0.02% month-on-month decline [20][22] - The average price for market pigs as of August 28 is 13.70 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.51% [30][36] - Profitability in pig farming remains positive for self-bred pigs, with a profit of 32.24 CNY per head, while purchased piglets show a loss of 148.41 CNY per head [38][41] Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The price of white feathered chickens remains stable, with an average price of 7.33 CNY/kg as of August 29 [39][42] - The ongoing avian influenza outbreaks in Europe and the U.S. create uncertainty in the supply of breeding chickens, which may benefit the white feathered chicken industry [39][40] Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, driven by the recovery in livestock numbers and the introduction of new products [47] - Significant growth in the issuance of veterinary vaccine approvals has been noted, particularly for African swine fever vaccines, which may enhance market interest [47][51] Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn have decreased slightly, with wheat at 2429 CNY/ton, soybean meal at 3071 CNY/ton, and corn at 2365 CNY/ton as of August 29 [52][53] - The USDA's August report indicates a decrease in global corn stocks for the 2025/26 season compared to the previous year, while soybean stocks are also projected to decline [54][56] Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports have seen a decline, with July figures showing a 3.0% year-on-year decrease, amounting to 930 million CNY [58][60] - Domestic sales in the pet food market continue to grow, with notable increases in sales for brands like Guai Bao and Pei Di [60][61] - The recent Asia Pet Expo showcased over 2600 exhibitors and more than 20000 brands, indicating a robust growth in the pet industry [61][62]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector's profit growth in H1 2025 is driven by the recovery of the breeding chain, with a revenue of 569.91 billion yuan, up 9.28% year-on-year, and a net profit of 25.79 billion yuan, up 193.46% year-on-year [12][19] - The pig price is expected to rise in H2 2025, supported by both fundamental and policy factors, improving the investment logic for pig farming [21] - The pet food sector continues to thrive, with domestic brands gaining market share due to consumption upgrades and tariff barriers [22] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The recovery of the breeding chain has driven significant profit growth in the agricultural sector for H1 2025, with a notable increase in net profit and revenue [12][19] - The average price of pigs in H1 2025 was 14.81 yuan/kg, down 4.00% year-on-year, but profitability improved due to lower breeding costs and increased output from leading companies [12][19] Weekly Viewpoint - The investment logic for pig farming is improving, with expected price increases in H2 2025 due to supply and demand dynamics [21] - The feed sector benefits from strong domestic and overseas demand, with recommendations for companies like Haida Group and New Hope [21] - The pet food market is projected to grow significantly, with domestic brands strengthening their position [22] Market Performance (8.25-8.29) - The agricultural index outperformed the market by 1.18 percentage points, with a 2.02% increase in the agricultural index compared to a 0.84% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [24][27] - Leading stocks included Aonong Biological (+22.67%), Yuanfei Pet (+15.71%), and Xiaoming Co. (+10.86%) [24][29] Price Tracking (8.25-8.29) - The average price of pigs was 13.66 yuan/kg, with a slight decrease from the previous week, while the average price of beef increased to 65.05 yuan/kg [31][39] - The price of corn futures rose by 1.39% to 2187.00 yuan/ton, while soybean meal futures fell by 2.04% to 2496.00 yuan/ton [46] Key News (8.25-8.29) - The Ministry of Agriculture held a meeting to promote strict variety management, emphasizing the importance of new varieties and resource management [30] - The total output of aquatic products from January to July 2025 increased by 4.37% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in the aquaculture sector [30] Subsector Financial Data - In H1 2025, the breeding, feed, poultry, and animal health sectors saw significant year-on-year profit growth, with breeding profits increasing by 668.38% [20][19] - The pet food sector also experienced a profit increase of 17.92% year-on-year, reflecting strong market demand [20][19]

2025 年 8 月 31 日 行业研究 7 月降重去库存延续，出栏超季节性增长 ——光大证券农林牧渔行业周报（20250825-20250831） 要点 7 月农业农村部生猪专题数据解读。（1）能繁母猪：产能持平微降。25 年 7 月底能繁母猪存栏量 4042 万头，同环比均基本持平。 （2）生猪供给：降重去 库存加速，宰量增幅超越往年。7 月生猪出栏屠宰量 3166 万头，环比+5.3%， 同比+30.4%，降重去库加速，7 月底宰后均重降至 89 公斤低位，对应的当月 出栏呈现超季节性增长，7 月屠宰量环比增速达到近 5 年最高。（3）价格&利 润：7 月商品猪价小幅反弹，行业维持微利。1）价格方面，7 月商品猪出栏均 价小幅回升至 14.84 元/公斤，环比+1.9%，同比-21.6%。仔猪销售均价为 35.73 元/公斤，环比-4.1%，同比-18.6%。2）盈利方面，7 月行业整体维持微 利。7 月规模场肥猪头均利润 21 元/头（6 月为 7 元/头），散户肥猪头均利润 6 元/头（6 月为-6 元/头）。 本周猪价下跌。根据博亚和讯，8 月 29 日全国外三元生猪均价为 13.66 元 /kg ...

Group 1 - The feed sector increased by 1.33% on August 29, with Guai Bao Pet Food leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] - Key stocks in the feed sector showed varied performance, with Guai Bao Pet Food closing at 97.60, up 3.30%, and Da Bei Nong down 0.24% at 4.23 [1] Group 2 - The feed sector experienced a net outflow of 103 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 110 million yuan [2] - The trading volume for Guai Bao Pet Food was 46,200 hands, with a transaction value of 447 million yuan [1] - The stock performance of other companies in the sector varied, with Hai Da Group and Zhong Chong Co. also showing positive gains [1][2] Group 3 - The main fund inflows and outflows for specific stocks indicated mixed investor sentiment, with Tang Ren Shen seeing a net outflow of 9.63 million yuan from main funds [3] - Retail investors showed a positive net inflow in several stocks, including Tang Ren Shen and Bo En Group, indicating potential interest from smaller investors [3] - The overall market dynamics reflect a cautious approach from institutional investors while retail investors are more active in certain stocks [3]

本报记者 于 宏 值得一提的是，头部券商整体上调研较为活跃。按调研次数排列，中信证券调研次数居首，累计达304 次；其次为中金公司，月内累计调研281次；国泰海通、长江证券、天风证券月内调研次数分别为269 次、242次、237次。 关注企业"出海" 值得注意的是，在券商调研过程中，中国企业"出海"、海外业务拓展情况备受关注。据梳理，月内接受 券商调研次数前十名的上市公司中，有9家在调研中都被问及在海外市场的销售情况或对海外市场的布 局情况。例如，中宠股份被问及目前公司旗下品牌"出海"发展情况、海外产业链布局进展及墨西哥工厂 的建设情况；若羽臣被问及未来在品牌"出海"方面有哪些计划、主要锚定哪些区域市场；水晶光电被问 及公司新加坡运营总部和越南基地建设进展、全球化人才队伍建设情况等。 "当前，'出海'已成为中国企业重要的战略布局方向。"中国国际经济交流中心经济研究部副部长刘向东 在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，通过全面布局与深耕海外市场，中国企业能够有效把握发展机 遇，开拓业务版图，打造新的盈利增长点，为业绩增长提供坚实支撑。未来，中国企业需进一步搭建全 球化组织架构与运营体系，可与海外企业合作以实现快速突 ...

随着A股上市公司密集披露上半年业绩，券商也在积极对上市公司展开调研，挖掘投资机遇。Wind资讯 数据显示，截至8月28日，月内券商已对627家上市公司进行了调研，累计调研次数超过8000次。整体来 看，工业机械、电子元件等领域的调研热度较高，中企"出海"则成为调研中的高频话题。 本报记者 于宏 值得一提的是，头部券商整体上调研较为活跃。按调研次数排列，中信证券调研次数居首，累计达304 次；其次为中金公司，月内累计调研281次；国泰海通、长江证券、天风证券月内调研次数分别为269 次、242次、237次。 关注企业"出海" 值得注意的是，在券商调研过程中，中国企业"出海"、海外业务拓展情况备受关注。据梳理，月内接受 券商调研次数前十名的上市公司中，有9家在调研中都被问及在海外市场的销售情况或对海外市场的布 局情况。例如，中宠股份被问及目前公司旗下品牌"出海"发展情况、海外产业链布局进展及墨西哥工厂 的建设情况；若羽臣被问及未来在品牌"出海"方面有哪些计划、主要锚定哪些区域市场；水晶光电被问 及公司新加坡运营总部和越南基地建设进展、全球化人才队伍建设情况等。 "当前，'出海'已成为中国企业重要的战略布局方向。" ...

Core Viewpoint - The pet economy in China is experiencing significant growth, with leading companies reporting impressive financial results and expanding their overseas markets, indicating a robust future for the industry [2][3][6]. Company Performance - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. reported a 42.56% year-on-year increase in net profit and a 24.32% increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, with its main grain business revenue soaring by 85.79% [2]. - Guobao Pet's revenue reached 3.221 billion yuan, a 32.72% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 378 million yuan, up 22.55% [2]. - Yiyi Co. achieved a remarkable 108.34% growth in net profit for 2024, reflecting the positive outlook for the pet industry in China [2]. International Expansion - Leading pet companies have a high proportion of revenue from overseas markets, with Zhongchong's overseas revenue accounting for 64.75% of total revenue, while other companies like Xinbao and Peiti have even higher percentages at over 78% and around 93.47%, respectively [3][5]. - Zhongchong has established over 22 modern production bases globally and has been actively acquiring overseas brands to enhance its market presence [4]. Market Trends - The Chinese pet market is diversifying, with a growing trend towards premium products and services, as pet owners increasingly view pets as family members [6][7]. - The average annual spending per pet is rising, with the urban pet consumption market expected to grow by 7.5% in 2024, reaching 300.2 billion yuan [6]. - Companies are expanding their product offerings beyond basic necessities to include high-margin items like pet snacks, toys, and smart devices, indicating a shift towards more diversified revenue streams [7][8]. Industry Dynamics - The pet economy is characterized by a low concentration of leading companies, with many new entrants from various sectors, including technology and consumer goods, looking to capitalize on the growing market [8]. - Major brands from different industries, such as Adidas and Xiaomi, are entering the pet market, suggesting a trend of cross-industry collaboration and innovation [8].