Financial Performance - Analog Devices, Inc. reported revenue of $2.64 billion for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, representing a 22% increase year-over-year from $2.16 billion in the same quarter of the previous year [3][31] - The gross margin for the quarter was $1.61 billion, with a gross margin percentage of 61.0%, up from 54.7% a year ago, reflecting a 630 basis points improvement [3][33] - Operating income increased by 76% to $678 million, with an operating margin of 25.7%, compared to 17.9% in the prior year [3][33] - Diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose 87% to $1.14, compared to $0.61 in the same quarter last year [3][33] Adjusted Results - Adjusted gross margin was $1.83 billion, with an adjusted gross margin percentage of 69.4%, up from 66.7% year-over-year [3][33] - Adjusted operating income was $1.09 billion, with an adjusted operating margin of 41.2%, compared to 39.0% in the previous year [3][33] - Adjusted diluted EPS for the quarter was $1.85, a 32% increase from $1.40 in the same quarter last year [3][34] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - The company generated $819 million in net cash from operating activities, representing 31% of revenue, and $729 million in free cash flow, or 28% of revenue [3][29] - Analog Devices returned $740 million to shareholders through dividends and stock repurchases during the second quarter [7][29] - A quarterly cash dividend of $0.99 per share was declared, payable on June 18, 2025 [9] Market Outlook - For the third quarter of fiscal 2025, the company forecasts revenue of $2.75 billion, with an expected operating margin of approximately 27.2% and adjusted operating margin of approximately 41.5% [5][36] - Reported EPS is anticipated to be $1.23, with adjusted EPS expected to be $1.92 [5][36] Revenue Trends by End Market - Revenue growth was observed across all end markets, with industrial revenue at $1.16 billion (44% of total revenue), automotive at $849 million (32%), consumer at $318 million (12%), and communications at $315 million (12%) [31][32] - Year-over-year growth rates for these segments were 17% for industrial, 32% for automotive, 12% for consumer, and 32% for communications [31][32]

Earnings Report - Analog Devices, Inc. is set to release its second-quarter earnings results on May 22, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.70 per share, an increase from $1.40 per share in the same period last year [1] - The company is projected to report quarterly revenue of $2.51 billion, compared to $2.16 billion a year earlier [1] Stock Performance - Analog Devices shares fell 1% to close at $222.22 on Wednesday [2] Analyst Ratings - Stifel analyst Tore Svanberg maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $225 to $248 [8] - Citigroup analyst Christopher Danely maintained a Buy rating and increased the price target from $235 to $260 [8] - Cantor Fitzgerald analyst C J Muse maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $230 to $250 [8] - Oppenheimer analyst Rick Schafer maintained an Outperform rating and boosted the price target from $225 to $265 [8] - UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri maintained a Buy rating but reduced the price target from $300 to $295 [8]

Group 1 - The company "Chip Superhero" has a 1,600 square meter intelligent chip storage base with over 1,000 stock models and around 100 brands, totaling 50 million chips in stock valued at over 100 million [1] - The company operates an independent laboratory in Shenzhen, ensuring quality control (QC) for each material [1] - The company serves over 8,000 users by matching inventory releases with demand and facilitating the buying and selling of surplus materials [2] Group 2 - The article highlights the sale of advantageous materials at special prices, listing specific brands, models, quantities, and years of production [2] - The article suggests that companies should focus on surplus materials to generate revenue [3]

Company Overview - Analog Devices (NASDAQ: ADI) is set to announce its Q2 FY'25 earnings on May 22, 2025, with consensus revenue estimates of $2.51 billion, reflecting a 16% year-over-year increase, and anticipated earnings of approximately $1.70 per share, up from $1.40 in the same period last year [1] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $113 billion, with revenue for the past twelve months at $9.3 billion, operating profits of $2.0 billion, and net income of $1.6 billion [2] Industry Insights - The semiconductor cycle appears to be recovering, with expected increased demand from the industrial and automotive sectors, as well as data centers [1] - Gross margins for Analog Devices may improve due to better volumes and alleviated inventory concerns [1] Earnings Performance - Historical data indicates that Analog Devices has a slightly higher likelihood of a positive stock move after earnings announcements, with positive one-day (1D) returns occurring approximately 53% of the time over the last five years, increasing to 64% over the last three years [5] - The median of the 10 positive returns is 5.4%, while the median of the 9 negative returns is -1.6% [5]

Core Viewpoint - Analog Devices (ADI) is expected to report a strong Q2 performance with a revenue growth of 16.3% year-over-year, reaching $2.51 billion, contrasting with a 33.8% decline in the same period last year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Analog Devices is projected to be $1.70 [1] - In the previous quarter, Analog Devices exceeded analyst expectations with a revenue of $2.42 billion, a year-over-year decline of 3.6% [1] - Analysts expect Q2 revenue to reach $2.51 billion, a year-over-year increase of 16% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 3.4% [2] Group 2: Market and Sector Analysis - Morgan Stanley highlights strong growth in the industrial and automotive sectors for Analog Devices, despite uncertainties related to semiconductor tariffs [2] - The industrial sector revenue is anticipated to be $1.15 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 15.1%, while the automotive sector is expected to generate $0.75 billion, growing 12.6% year-over-year [2] - Citigroup has raised its target price for Analog Devices from $235 to $260, citing strong order growth in the analog chip market, particularly in the industrial sector [3] Group 3: Competitive Positioning - Analog Devices has a higher exposure to the industrial market (45% of revenue) compared to Texas Instruments (34%), but may adopt a more conservative financial outlook due to tariff uncertainties [3] - Morgan Stanley considers Analog Devices to be one of the most defensive analog chip companies due to its high-quality business mix and robust profit margins [3] - Cantor Fitzgerald maintains a "neutral" rating but has increased its target price from $230 to $250, expecting the company to deliver an "outperforming report" [4]

Core Viewpoint - Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) is expected to report strong second-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with projected revenues of $2.50 billion, reflecting a 15.9% increase year-over-year, and adjusted earnings per share of $1.68, indicating a 20.7% rise from the previous year [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Expectations - ADI anticipates revenues of $2.50 billion (+/- $100 million), aligning with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, which also stands at $2.50 billion [1]. - The consensus estimate for adjusted earnings per share is $1.69, with ADI projecting $1.68 (+/- 10 cents), showing a consistent outlook over the past 60 days [2]. Group 2: Performance Drivers - The second-quarter performance is likely to benefit from inventory normalization across direct and distribution channels, alongside improved bookings and lean inventory levels following the semiconductor industry's cyclical downturn [3]. - Recent U.S. tariff reductions on the Chinese market are expected to positively impact ADI's revenues, along with strong design wins in sectors such as industrial automation, healthcare, automotive, and communications [4]. - Secular growth trends in industrial automation, healthcare and surgical robotics, automotive, AI infrastructure, and high-end consumer devices are anticipated to drive ADI's top line [5]. Group 3: Challenges - Despite positive growth factors, macroeconomic challenges such as prolonged inflation and high interest rates may pose risks to ADI's performance in the upcoming quarter [5]. Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The current earnings prediction model indicates that ADI does not conclusively predict an earnings beat, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6].

Group 1 - Analysts project Analog Devices (ADI) will announce quarterly earnings of $1.69 per share, a 20.7% increase year over year [1] - Revenues are expected to reach $2.5 billion, reflecting a 15.9% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [1][2] Group 2 - Revenue by end market for Consumer is projected at $304.22 million, indicating a year-over-year change of +24.1% [4] - Revenue by end market for Communications is estimated at $280.53 million, showing a change of +16.5% from the previous year [4] - Revenue by end market for Automotive is expected to be $754.45 million, reflecting a +14.6% year-over-year change [5] Group 3 - Revenue by end market for Industrial is estimated at $1.14 billion, indicating a +12.6% change from the year-ago quarter [5] - Analog Devices shares have increased by +28.8% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +13.1% move [5] - ADI holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [5]

Core Insights - 3G Capital's total market value for Q1 2025 is $348 million, a decrease of 2.48% from the previous quarter's $349 million [1][2] - The firm added 5 new stocks, increased holdings in 6 stocks, reduced holdings in 4 stocks, and completely sold out of 5 stocks during the quarter [1][2] - The top ten holdings account for 91.96% of the total market value [1][2] Holdings Summary - The largest holding is Meta (META.US) with 85,000 shares valued at approximately $48.99 million, representing 14.07% of the portfolio [3][4] - Analog Devices (ADI.US) is the second largest holding with 200,000 shares valued at $40.33 million, making up 11.58% of the portfolio [3][4] - Pinduoduo (PDD.US) ranks third with 300,000 shares valued at $35.51 million, accounting for 10.20% of the portfolio [3][4] - MercadoLibre (MELI.US) is fourth with 16,000 shares valued at approximately $31.21 million, representing 8.96% of the portfolio [3][4] - At the fifth position is Atour (ATAT.US) with 1,050,000 shares valued at about $29.77 million, making up 8.55% of the portfolio [3][4] Trading Activity - The firm initiated positions in BBB Foods (TBBB.US), Intuit (INTU.US), Monday (MNDY.US), Workday (WDAY.US), and Klaviyo (KVYO.US) [5][6] - The firm completely exited positions in BILL Holdings (BILL.US), Uber (UBER.US), Broadcom (AVGO.US), Sprout Social (SPT.US), and Affirm Holdings (AFRM.US) [5][6] - The top buys by percentage change in the portfolio include Carvana (CVNA), Analog Devices (ADI), Amazon (AMZN), BBB Foods (TBBB), and Intuit (INTU) [7] - The top sells by percentage change include BILL Holdings (BILL), Uber (UBER), Broadcom (AVGO), and Pinduoduo (PDD) [6][7]

Core Insights - The company "Chip Superhero" operates a 1,600 square meter intelligent chip storage base with over 1,000 stock models and around 100 brands, holding a total of 50 million chips valued at over 100 million [1] Group 1 - The company has an independent laboratory in Shenzhen where each material undergoes QC inspection [1] - It serves over 8,000 users by providing inventory release, demand matching, and trading of surplus materials [3] Group 2 - The company is actively seeking to purchase specific chip models, including TE 2337019-1 (60K), NXP MIMXRT1064CVL5B (80K), and Infineon IKD10N60RATMA1 (50K) [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations, particularly focusing on Analog Devices (ADI), and emphasizes the importance of using these recommendations in conjunction with other analytical tools for making investment decisions [1][5]. Brokerage Recommendations for Analog Devices - Analog Devices has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.74, indicating a position between Strong Buy and Buy, based on recommendations from 31 brokerage firms [2]. - Out of the 31 recommendations, 20 are classified as Strong Buy, accounting for 64.5%, while one is classified as Buy, making up 3.2% of the total recommendations [2]. Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Solely relying on brokerage recommendations for investment decisions may not be advisable, as studies indicate these recommendations often do not effectively guide investors towards stocks with the highest potential for price appreciation [5]. - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings due to vested interests, leading to a disproportionate number of Strong Buy recommendations compared to Strong Sell recommendations [6][10]. Comparison with Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank, which classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimate revisions, is presented as a more reliable indicator of near-term price performance compared to the ABR [8][11]. - Unlike the ABR, which is based solely on brokerage recommendations, the Zacks Rank is a quantitative model that reflects timely changes in earnings estimates, making it a more effective tool for predicting stock price movements [9][12]. Current Earnings Estimates for Analog Devices - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Analog Devices remains unchanged at $7.11 for the current year, indicating steady analyst views on the company's earnings prospects [13]. - Due to the lack of change in the consensus estimate and other related factors, Analog Devices holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting a cautious approach despite the Buy-equivalent ABR [14].