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Stock Of The Day: Is Analog Devices Due For Breakout Or Breakdown?
Benzinga· 2025-02-20 20:02
Core Viewpoint - Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) experienced a significant price movement, gaining over 21% following an earnings release, but has now hit a resistance level at $242, causing trading to flatten out [1]. Price Levels and Market Dynamics - Traders recognize important price levels, known as support and resistance levels, which influence stock behavior when reached [2]. - In May, when ADI reached $242, sellers overwhelmed buyers, leading to a price decline [2]. - Investors who bought shares around $242 began to feel regret, leading many to hold their shares in hopes of breaking even [3][4]. Resistance Formation - As the stock returned to $242 in July, a concentration of sell orders emerged from those looking to exit at breakeven, reinforcing the resistance at this price level [4][5]. - The current situation mirrors past dynamics, with new sell orders from investors who bought at $242 creating resistance once again [5]. Potential Market Movements - If the resistance at $242 breaks, it may indicate that sellers have exited the market, potentially setting up for a bullish move if buyers enter [6]. - Conversely, if resistance holds, sellers may lower their asking prices, leading to a possible downtrend [7]. - Important price levels act as critical decision points for traders, who are currently observing ADI to determine its next trend direction [7].
Analog Devices Posts Q4 Beat, Analysts Say Industry Shows Early Signs Of Cyclical Recovery
Benzinga· 2025-02-20 16:23
Core Viewpoint - Analog Devices Inc reported strong fiscal first-quarter results, with sales and earnings exceeding consensus expectations, leading to a rise in share prices [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $2.43 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.36 billion, and earnings of $1.63 per share, exceeding expectations of $1.54 per share [4]. - Sales were 3% above consensus, and earnings were 6% higher than expected, with all verticals showing improvement during the quarter [2]. Guidance and Outlook - For the fiscal second quarter, Analog Devices provided guidance of 2% revenue growth and 1% earnings growth, both above consensus [2]. - Analysts project a revenue growth of 9% for fiscal 2025, driven by strength in the Industrial and Automotive sectors [6]. Dividend and Share Repurchase - The company announced an 8% increase in its dividend and authorized an additional $10 billion for share repurchases, indicating a positive outlook on business performance [3]. Market Trends - Analysts noted signs of a cyclical recovery in the market, with China identified as a primary growth driver in the automotive sector, contributing to better-than-expected results [5]. - Inventory levels have normalized across various channels and markets, allowing the company to align shipments with consumption in the upcoming quarter [5]. Analyst Ratings - Oppenheimer raised its price target from $245 to $270 while maintaining an Outperform rating [7]. - JPMorgan increased its price target from $280 to $300, reiterating an Overweight rating [7]. - Benchmark raised its price target from $245 to $275, reaffirming a Buy rating [7]. - Needham maintained a Hold rating on the stock [7].
ADI Q1 Earnings Beat: Will a Strong Guidance Lift the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-02-20 16:15
Core Insights - Analog Devices (ADI) reported first-quarter fiscal 2025 non-GAAP earnings of $1.63 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.8% and marking a 6% decline year over year [1][2] - The company's revenues for the same quarter were $2.42 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.5%, but reflecting a 3.6% year-over-year decline due to weakness in industrial, communications, and automotive sectors [2][4] Financial Performance - The consumer market showed strong performance with revenues of $323 million, a 19% increase year over year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $309.7 million [5][6] - Industrial revenues were $1.08 billion, accounting for 44% of total revenues, but fell 10% year over year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.02 billion [4][5] - Communications revenues were $289.86 million, down 4% year over year, but above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $273.3 million [5] - Automotive revenues totaled $732.5 million, down 2% year over year, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $744.9 million [5] Guidance and Outlook - Management provided optimistic guidance for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, expecting net sales of $2.50 billion (+/- $100 million), which indicates a year-over-year growth of 14.5% [10] - Non-GAAP earnings for the second quarter are anticipated to be $1.68 (+/-10 cents) per share, reflecting an 11.3% year-over-year increase [10] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of February 1, 2025, cash and cash equivalents, along with short-term investments, stood at $2.72 billion, an increase from $2.36 billion as of November 2, 2024 [7] - Long-term debt was reported at $6.61 billion, slightly down from $6.63 billion at the end of the previous quarter [7] - The company generated operating cash flow of $1.13 billion and free cash flow of $977.8 million in the first quarter [7][8] Stock Performance - ADI's share price has surged 27.6% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Semiconductor - Analog and Mixed industry's return of 4.6% [3]
S&P 500 Edges Higher; Analog Devices Earnings Top Views
Benzinga· 2025-02-19 18:29
Market Overview - U.S. stocks showed mixed trading patterns, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slightly increasing while the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.39% to 44,382.16 [1] - The S&P 500 rose by 0.03% to 6,131.45, and the Nasdaq increased by 0.04% to 20,049.09 [1] Sector Performance - Health care shares experienced a rise of 0.7% [1] - Materials shares saw a decline of 1.4% [1] Company Earnings - Analog Devices, Inc. reported fiscal first-quarter results with a revenue decline of 4% year-on-year to $2.42 billion, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $2.36 billion [2] - The adjusted EPS of $1.63 also exceeded the analyst consensus estimate of $1.54 [2] Commodity Prices - Oil prices increased by 0.6% to $72.31, while gold prices decreased by 0.4% to $2,937.10 [5] - Silver fell by 0.9% to $33.065, and copper dropped by 0.7% to $4.5580 [5] European Market Performance - European shares declined, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 falling by 0.91% [6] - Germany's DAX 40 decreased by 1.80%, and France's CAC 40 fell by 1.17% [6] Asian Market Performance - Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei 225 down by 0.27% and China's Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.93% [7] Notable Stock Movements - SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. shares surged by 25% to $21.15 after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter sales and issuing positive first-quarter revenue guidance [9] - Compass, Inc. shares increased by 24% to $9.92 following better-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue results [9] - Sintx Technologies, Inc. shares rose by 58% to $4.45 after announcing the issuance of a U.S. patent [9] - Nikola Corporation shares dropped by 41% to $0.4538 due to the announcement of a comprehensive voluntary chapter 11 sale process [9] - Allurion Technologies Inc. shares fell by 32% to $3.79 after announcing plans to raise $6.1 million [9] - CNS Pharmaceuticals, Inc. shares decreased by 35% to $0.0931 following a 1-for-50 reverse stock split announcement [9] Housing Market Data - U.S. housing starts fell by 9.8% month-over-month to an annualized rate of 1.366 million in January [10] - Building permits rose by 0.1% to an annualized rate of 1.483 million in January [10]
Analog Devices(ADI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-19 18:21
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter revenue was $2.42 billion, above the midpoint of the outlook, reflecting a 1% sequential decrease and a 4% year-over-year decline. Adjusting for an extra week in fiscal Q1 2024, this performance represents a 4% increase year-over-year, marking the first growth since Q2 2023 [23][24] - Gross margin for the first quarter was 68.8%, up 90 basis points sequentially due to a favorable product mix [27] - Operating margin was 40.5%, with operating expenses at $687 million, up $32 million sequentially [28] - Adjusted EPS was $1.63, at the high end of the guided range [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Industrial segment represented 44% of revenue, up 1% sequentially, benefiting from improved customer inventory and stronger demand in automatic test and aerospace and defense businesses [24] - Automotive segment accounted for 30% of revenue, finishing up 2% sequentially, with double-digit year-over-year growth in connectivity and functionally safe power solutions [25] - Communications represented 12% of revenue, up 6% sequentially, driven by wireline growth from data center infrastructure build-outs fueled by AI demand [26] - Consumer segment represented 13% of revenue, down 15% sequentially due to seasonal factors [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a recovery in industrial bookings, with stabilization across automation, healthcare, and energy sectors [66] - Strong results were observed in the automotive market, particularly in China, which has shown three consecutive quarters of double-digit growth [40][41] - The communications market is experiencing growth driven by AI infrastructure investments, while consumer demand is expected to improve in the second half of fiscal 2024 [19][26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging its hybrid manufacturing model to enhance customer engagement and pipeline growth [9][21] - Investments are being made in analog mixed signal and power portfolios, integrating higher levels of digital and software into solutions to meet customer needs [22] - The company anticipates strong growth in various sectors, including automation, digital healthcare, electrification, and automotive, driven by new product introductions and increased content in existing solutions [21][88] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in a return to double-digit year-over-year growth in the second quarter, despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges [7][10] - The normalization of inventory levels across direct and distribution channels is seen as a positive indicator for demand visibility and growth [46][48] - The company is well-positioned to weather geopolitical uncertainties and has secured dual sourcing for 95% of its products by the end of 2026 [56][58] Other Important Information - The company announced an 8% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.99 and authorized an additional $10 billion for share repurchases, totaling approximately $11.5 billion in remaining buyback potential [32] - Free cash flow over the trailing twelve months was $3.2 billion, representing 34% of revenue, with over $2.4 billion returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on the auto market dynamics, particularly regarding China - Management noted stronger share and content position at major Chinese EV OEMs, with expectations for continued growth driven by automotive demand in China [40][41] Question: Clarification on long-term model growth expectations - Long-term model growth is expected to return to a range of 7% to 10%, with potential for capturing more growth as macro conditions improve [49] Question: Insights on industrial strength and demand - Industrial growth is attributed to inventory replenishment and improved demand, with bookings showing strength across various areas [66][70] Question: Strategic considerations regarding the hybrid manufacturing model amid geopolitical turmoil - The company emphasized the benefits of diversity in markets and products, ensuring resilience and optionality in its supply chain [56][58] Question: Confidence in the recovery and demand visibility - Management highlighted stabilization in business and growth across various sectors, with a focus on sell-through signals to guide supply planning [94][95] Question: Conversion rate of new products and market opportunities - The introduction of new products is driving growth, with strong conversion rates and capturing opportunities in new markets [105]
Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Analog Devices (ADI) Q1 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-02-19 15:35
Core Insights - Analog Devices (ADI) reported revenue of $2.42 billion for the quarter ended January 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 3.6% and an EPS of $1.63 compared to $1.73 a year ago, with a revenue surprise of +2.79% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.36 billion and an EPS surprise of +5.84% over the consensus estimate of $1.54 [1] Revenue Performance by End Market - Consumer revenue was $322.90 million, slightly above the nine-analyst average estimate of $322.60 million, showing a year-over-year increase of +17.8% [4] - Communications revenue reached $289.86 million, exceeding the nine-analyst average estimate of $271.98 million, but reflecting a year-over-year decline of -4.2% [4] - Automotive revenue was $732.51 million, surpassing the average estimate of $711.51 million, with a year-over-year change of -0.9% [4] - Industrial revenue totaled $1.08 billion, above the nine-analyst average estimate of $1.05 billion, indicating a year-over-year decline of -9.9% [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Analog Devices have returned -0.6% over the past month, in contrast to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.7% change, with the stock currently holding a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]
Analog Devices Revenue Beats Estimates
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-19 14:17
Core Insights - Analog Devices surpassed earnings expectations for Q1 2025 but reported a decline in revenue and profits compared to the previous year [1][2] - Actual revenue was $2.423 billion, exceeding the estimate of $2.360 billion, while adjusted EPS was $1.63, above the anticipated $1.54 but lower than the previous year's $1.73 [2][3] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for Q1 2025 was $1.63, down 5.8% from $1.73 in Q1 2024 [3] - Revenue decreased by 3.6% year-over-year from $2.513 billion in Q1 2024 to $2.423 billion in Q1 2025 [3] - Adjusted operating margin fell to 40.5%, down from 42.0% in the previous year [3] - Free cash flow reached $978 million, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [3][8] Business Segments - The industrial segment, contributing 44% of overall revenue, experienced a significant 10% decline due to macroeconomic pressures [6] - The automotive segment saw a revenue decrease of 2% year-over-year, totaling $732.5 million [6] - In contrast, the consumer segment grew by 19%, achieving $322.9 million in revenue, reflecting robust market demand [7] - The communications sector's revenue declined by 4%, impacted by reduced demand [7] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on new product launches and strategic partnerships, including innovations like CodeFusion Studio and ADI Assure Trusted Edge Security Architecture [5] - Recent fiscal strategies include an 8% dividend increase and a $10 billion share repurchase authorization, aimed at enhancing shareholder value [5] - Analog Devices is addressing inventory issues affecting performance in key segments and is enhancing product lines to optimize future offerings [9] Future Outlook - The company forecasts second-quarter revenue in the range of $2.50 billion and expects adjusted EPS to grow to $1.68, indicating anticipated improvements in market conditions [11] - Monitoring market receptivity, product innovation pace, and fiscal strategies will be crucial for potential growth as the company navigates evolving market trends [12]
Analog Devices (ADI) Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-02-19 14:10
Group 1: Earnings Performance - Analog Devices reported quarterly earnings of $1.63 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.54 per share, but down from $1.73 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 5.84% [1] - The company posted revenues of $2.42 billion for the quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.79%, although this is a decrease from year-ago revenues of $2.51 billion [2] - Over the last four quarters, Analog Devices has consistently surpassed consensus EPS and revenue estimates [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - Analog Devices shares have increased by approximately 1% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 4% [3] - The future performance of the stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the earnings outlook [4][6] - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.68 on revenues of $2.47 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $7.09 on revenues of $10.17 billion [7] Group 3: Industry Context - The Semiconductor - Analog and Mixed industry is currently ranked in the bottom 12% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stocks in this sector [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Analog Devices' stock performance [5]
Analog Devices(ADI) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-02-19 12:15
Revenue and Income - Revenue for the three months ended February 1, 2025, was $2,423,174, a decrease of 4% compared to $2,512,704 for the same period in the prior fiscal year[56]. - Net income decreased by 15% to $391,316 for the three months ended February 1, 2025, down from $462,727 in the same period last year[73]. - Revenue from the Industrial end market decreased by 10% year-over-year, while Consumer revenue increased by 19%[59][60]. Margins and Expenses - Gross margin percentage increased to 59.0% for the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to 58.7% for the same period in the prior year[64]. - Research and Development (R&D) expenses were $391,427, a decrease of 3% from $402,892 in the prior year, representing 17% of revenue[65]. - Special charges, net increased significantly by 296% to $63,887 for the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $16,140 in the same period last year[69]. - Nonoperating expense decreased to $55,737 for the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $72,546 in the same period last year[71]. - Diluted EPS decreased to $0.78 for the three months ended February 1, 2025, down from $0.93 in the same period last year, reflecting a 16% decline[73]. Cash Flow and Investments - Net cash provided by operating activities for the three months ended February 1, 2025, was $1,126.8 million, representing 47% of revenue, compared to $1,138.8 million and 45% of revenue for the same period in fiscal 2024[76]. - Cash used for investing activities decreased to $194.3 million for the three months ended February 1, 2025, down from $219.1 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year, primarily due to reduced capital expenditures[76][79]. - Capital expenditures for the first three months of fiscal 2025 were $149.0 million, with expectations for annual capital expenditures to be between 4% and 6% of fiscal 2025 revenue[91]. Balance Sheet and Liabilities - As of February 1, 2025, the company had $2.7 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, with approximately $1.4 billion held in the United States[74]. - Total debt obligations as of February 1, 2025, amounted to $7.67 billion, with various notes maturing between 2025 and 2054[85]. - Current liabilities decreased to $2,971.0 million as of February 1, 2025, compared to $2,988.3 million at the end of fiscal 2024[83]. Shareholder Returns and Stock Repurchase - The company declared a cash dividend of $0.99 per share, expected to total approximately $491.0 million, payable on March 17, 2025[92]. - The company has $1.5 billion remaining available for stock repurchases under its authorized program, with an additional $10.0 billion authorized on February 18, 2025[89][90]. Inventory and Receivables - Accounts receivable decreased by $143.9 million to $1,192.4 million, reflecting variations in the timing of collections and decreased revenue levels[81][82]. - Inventory increased by 2% to $1,474.7 million, driven by efforts to balance manufacturing production and demand[81][82]. Taxation - The effective income tax rate for the three months ended February 1, 2025, was 10.2%, slightly higher than 9.9% for the same period in the prior year[72]. - The percentage of total revenue from distributors decreased to 57% in the three months ended February 1, 2025, down from 61% in the prior year[62].
Analog Devices(ADI) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-02-19 12:11
Revenue Performance - Revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 was $2.423 billion, a decrease of 4% year-over-year from $2.513 billion[5] - Revenue for the three months ended February 1, 2025, was $2,423,174, a decrease of 4% compared to $2,512,704 for the same period in 2024[24] - Reported revenue for the three months ending May 3, 2025, was $2.5 billion, with an adjustment range of +/- $100 million[36] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin was $1.430 billion, with a gross margin percentage of 59.0%, up 30 basis points from 58.7% in the prior year[5] - Operating income decreased by 16% to $491 million, resulting in an operating margin of 20.3%, down 300 basis points year-over-year[5] - Net income decreased to $391,316, resulting in diluted earnings per share of $0.78, down from $0.93 in the previous year[24] - Operating margin reported at 24.2%, with an adjusted margin of 40.5%, including $406 million of acquisition-related expenses[36] Earnings Per Share - Diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $0.78, a decline of 16% compared to $0.93 in the same quarter last year[5] - Adjusted diluted EPS for the second quarter is projected to be $1.68, with a margin of error of +/- $0.10[7] - Earnings per share reported at $0.97, with an adjusted EPS of $1.68, reflecting $0.71 from acquisition-related adjustments[36][37] Cash Flow and Dividends - Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months was $3.8 billion, with free cash flow of $3.2 billion[4] - Free cash flow for the three months ended February 1, 2025, was $977,831, representing 40% of revenue[34] - The company raised its quarterly dividend by 8% to $0.99, marking the 21st consecutive year of increases[4] Shareholder Returns - The company increased its share repurchase authorization by $10 billion, bringing the total remaining authorization to approximately $11.5 billion[4] Sector Performance - Bookings showed gradual improvement, particularly in the Industrial and Automotive sectors, positioning the company for sequential and year-over-year growth[3] - The company reported a 10% decline in revenue from the industrial sector, which accounted for 44% of total revenue[31] - The automotive sector revenue decreased by 2%, maintaining a 30% share of total revenue[31] Expenses and Assets - Operating expenses totaled $938,990, which is 38.8% of revenue, up from 35.3% in the same period last year[33] - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $2,349,994 from $1,991,342 at the end of the previous quarter[28] - Total current assets rose to $5,733,076, compared to $5,484,654 in the prior quarter[26] - The company made payments for acquisitions totaling $45,652 during the quarter[28] Tax and Nonoperating Expenses - Nonoperating expenses were approximately $60 million, consistent across reported and adjusted figures[36] - Tax rate maintained between 11% and 13%, including $53 million of tax effects from acquisition-related adjustments[37]