机构：华泰证券 公司发布年度业绩盈喜，利润大幅超预期 研究员：刘俊/边文姣/苗雨菲 +30.5%/36.6%，我们预计新增电源设备订单兑现有望持续贡献业绩增量，2025H1 煤电、水电、核电营 收已实现同比+61.9%、23.6%、68.7%，未来雅江等大型水电启动、抽蓄有序布局、核电核准常态化等 有望保障订单需求延续。此外，公司2022 年起优化签约策略，高毛利优质订单陆续兑现或能进一步提 振盈利。 2. 四代核电布局有望打开盈利增长空间：公司核电产品包括蒸汽发生器、稳压器、以及常规岛设备等， 布局华龙一号、国和一号等机型。24 年公司核电业务毛利率为30.7%，高于行业平均（上海电气15- 18%，东方电气24.0%）。公司布局四代蒸汽发生器、超临界二氧化碳循环发电技术等，未来厂址限 制、资源约束驱动下，高温气冷堆、钠冷快堆、钍基熔盐堆等四代核电技术或在"十五五"迎来关键机遇 期。 海外缺电逻辑下电源设备或有出海机遇 数据中心与再工业化推动下，海外缺电主线逻辑强化。当前海外燃机产能仅约50GW，难以匹配约 85GW 需求（根据西门子能源指引，未来可能上升至100GW）；传统用于油服的中小燃机产能亦被锁 定 ...

证券研究报告 哈尔滨电气 (1133 HK) 全年利润大幅超预期 2026 年 1 月 27 日│中国香港 电气设备 公司发布年度业绩盈喜，利润大幅超预期 哈尔滨电气发布 2025 年业绩盈喜，预计 25 年实现归母净利润 26.5 亿元， 同比大增 57%（24 年公司归母净利润 16.86 亿元），超出 VA 预期 10.5%。 利润增长主要系公司新增设备订单兑现带来营收增长，叠加内部管理提效+ 高毛利订单兑现提振盈利能力。公司作为国内传统电源设备龙头"三大电气" 之一，我们认为其有望受益于：1）国内电力需求增长和最高负荷上行，煤 气水核等传统电源保供价值凸显，"十五五"规划再次强调多能并举；2） 数据中心带动海外缺电主线延续，海外燃机紧供需下公司小燃机或有望实现 出口。我们维持"买入"评级，给予公司目标价 27.05 港币。 传统基荷电源需求带动设备订单高增，四代核电布局打开增长空间 我们预测全国用电量 2025-30 年或维持 CAGR 6%，最高负荷同步上行，电 力系统"安全充裕"有赖于煤水核等可控装机予以保障。最新"十五五"国 网固定资产投资预计达 4 万亿元，较"十四五"增长 40%，且此前"十 ...

哈尔滨电气 (1133 HK) 全年利润大幅超预期 2026 年 1 月 27 日│中国香港 电气设备 公司发布年度业绩盈喜，利润大幅超预期 哈尔滨电气发布 2025 年业绩盈喜，预计 25 年实现归母净利润 26.5 亿元， 同比大增 57%（24 年公司归母净利润 16.86 亿元），超出 VA 预期 10.5%。 利润增长主要系公司新增设备订单兑现带来营收增长，叠加内部管理提效+ 高毛利订单兑现提振盈利能力。公司作为国内传统电源设备龙头"三大电气" 之一，我们认为其有望受益于：1）国内电力需求增长和最高负荷上行，煤 气水核等传统电源保供价值凸显，"十五五"规划再次强调多能并举；2） 数据中心带动海外缺电主线延续，海外燃机紧供需下公司小燃机或有望实现 出口。我们维持"买入"评级，给予公司目标价 27.05 港币。 证券研究报告 传统基荷电源需求带动设备订单高增，四代核电布局打开增长空间 我们预测全国用电量 2025-30 年或维持 CAGR 6%，最高负荷同步上行，电 力系统"安全充裕"有赖于煤水核等可控装机予以保障。最新"十五五"国 网固定资产投资预计达 4 万亿元，较"十四五"增长 40%，且此前"十 ...

Core Insights - The Guangdong Taipingling Nuclear Power Project Unit 1 and the Zhejiang San'ao Nuclear Power Project Unit 1 have received operating licenses and commenced the first nuclear fuel loading, marking their entry into the nuclear commissioning phase [1] - China Dongfang Electric Corporation has provided core equipment for these "Hualong One" units, achieving breakthroughs in domestic production [1] Group 1: Project Details - The Taipingling and San'ao nuclear power stations are located in Huizhou, Guangdong Province, and Cangnan County, Zhejiang Province, respectively, with plans to construct six 1,000 MW pressurized water reactor units at each site [1] - Dongfang Electric and its subsidiaries have achieved breakthroughs in the independent production and mass supply of several key components for the "Hualong One" nuclear island and conventional island [1] Group 2: Technological Achievements - During the development of the reactor pressure vessel and stabilizer equipment, Dongfang Heavy Machinery overcame several technical challenges, including automatic TIG welding and deformation prevention welding [1] - In the development of reactor coolant pumps, Dongfang Famatong achieved full domestic production of key components, breaking through core technologies for full-size processing of impeller flow passages [1] - In the manufacturing of nuclear control rod drive mechanisms, Dongfang Turbine conquered core technologies for high-precision part processing and dissimilar material cladding, achieving full domestic production of key components [1] - The R&D team has established a patent layout around relevant core technologies [1] Group 3: Environmental Impact - Once operational, each unit is expected to provide nearly 10 billion kWh of clean electricity annually, sufficient to meet the annual electricity needs of 1 million people [2] - The projects are expected to reduce standard coal consumption by over 3 million tons and decrease carbon dioxide emissions by 9.24 million tons, equivalent to afforesting 22,500 hectares [2]

Core Insights - The voltage stabilizer market in China is projected to grow from 17 billion yuan in 2020 to 22.2 billion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.9% [1][9] - The growth is driven by advancements in technology, government support for power infrastructure, and emerging application areas [1][9] Industry Overview - Voltage stabilizers are essential devices that automatically adjust output voltage to provide stable and reliable power for various electronic devices [3][9] - They are classified into linear and switching voltage stabilizers, with switching stabilizers being more efficient and suitable for high-power demands [3][10] Market Size and Growth - The market size for voltage stabilizers in China is expected to reach 23.4 billion yuan by 2025 [1][9] - The linear voltage stabilizer market is projected to grow to 10.893 billion yuan, while the switching stabilizer market is expected to reach 12.507 billion yuan by 2025 [11] Industry Policies - The Chinese government has implemented policies to support the growth of the voltage stabilizer industry, including the "Power Equipment Industry Growth Work Plan (2023-2024)" aiming for an average annual revenue growth of over 9% [4][5] Competitive Landscape - Major companies like Zhejiang Chint Electric, ST Yishite, and Tianzheng Electric dominate the market, leveraging scale and service networks [12][14] - Smaller companies focus on niche markets to establish unique advantages [12] Industry Trends - There is a growing demand for energy-efficient and low-loss voltage stabilizers due to increasing energy efficiency standards [16] - The integration of smart and digital features is transforming voltage stabilizers from passive devices to active power management nodes [17] - Customization and modular design are becoming essential to meet diverse market needs across different industries [18]

Group 1: Company Overview and Technology - The company specializes in high-end equipment manufacturing and advanced materials for nuclear power, hydropower, wind power, petrochemical, metallurgy, and defense industries [7][20] - The company possesses key manufacturing technologies for nuclear equipment, including modular manufacturing capabilities for pressure vessels, stabilizers, evaporators, and main pipelines [15][14] - The company has advanced manufacturing technologies for second and third-generation nuclear power main pipelines, covering major domestic technology routes [15] Group 2: Financial Performance and Market Concerns - The company reported a total revenue of 338 million yuan for the first half of 2025, which raised concerns due to the significant drop in stock price, approximately 30% from a peak of 10.18 yuan to 7.17 yuan [12][20] - The management is focused on stabilizing the company's operational fundamentals through budget control, market expansion, and collection of accounts receivable [4][9] - The company acknowledges the impact of various complex factors on stock price fluctuations and is committed to enhancing internal value [5][9] Group 3: Project Development and Future Outlook - The company is actively involved in multiple ongoing projects aimed at enhancing production capacity and optimizing manufacturing processes [4][18] - The management expresses confidence in the future growth of the nuclear equipment manufacturing industry, particularly in light of national strategies for carbon neutrality and the development of coastal nuclear power [18] - The company is exploring opportunities in the hydropower sector and is committed to expanding its market presence [11][18] Group 4: Investor Relations and Communication - The company holds regular investor relations activities, including performance briefings and Q&A sessions to address investor concerns [2][20] - Investors are encouraged to submit inquiries regarding shareholding proof and other related matters, with prompt responses promised [6][10] - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining investor confidence, particularly among small and medium-sized investors, through effective market management [25][30]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor spot market remains relatively flat in August, but certain chip models are experiencing increased demand and even signs of shortages [3][10]. Group 1: Chip Models with Increased Demand - The NOR Flash model W25Q128JVSIQ has seen a price increase from around 3 RMB in July to approximately 4 RMB in August, maintaining its position as a hot search item [6][10]. - The ADXL355BEZ accelerometer has experienced a price rise from 220 RMB in June to over 300 RMB in August, driven by demand in smart automotive navigation and drone applications [11][13]. - The TI chip TPS5430DDAR has stabilized at around 0.95 RMB after fluctuating due to tariff impacts, previously peaking at 1.5 RMB [15][17]. - The LTM4644IYPBF voltage regulator has seen a price range of 250-300 RMB, with a notable price drop from a peak of 450 RMB earlier in the year [19][23]. - The BCM84891LB0KFEBG Ethernet transceiver's price surged from around 55 RMB to 200 RMB before settling at 170 RMB, still significantly higher than pre-increase levels [29]. - The TI chip THS6222IRHFR has seen a price increase from approximately 2 RMB to around 4 RMB due to rising demand [30][32]. - The MCU EFM8BB51F16G-C-QFN20R is reportedly in short supply, with prices rising to over 6 RMB, reflecting tight market conditions [33][36]. Group 2: Market Trends and Insights - The semiconductor industry is witnessing a mix of price fluctuations and demand spikes, indicating a complex market environment [3][10]. - The ongoing trends suggest that while some components are experiencing shortages, others are stabilizing or declining in price, reflecting varying levels of demand across different sectors [11][15][19].