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ADP +77K, Far Lower than Expected; Tariff News Forthcoming?
ZACKS· 2025-03-05 16:35
Group 1: Tariff Policy Impact - The stock market has been significantly affected by tariff policies discussed by President Trump, with market indexes declining between 2.5% to 5% over the past five days due to the potential imposition of tariffs of 20% or 25% on major trading partners [1] - Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick indicated that the White House may consider reducing tariffs based on compliance with the U.S. MCA trade policy, particularly affecting domestic automakers [3] Group 2: Employment Data - The ADP private-sector payrolls report showed an increase of only 77,000 jobs in February, which is about half of the expected 148,000 and the lowest since July of the previous year [4] - Goods-producing jobs increased by 42,000, outperforming the services sector, which added only 36,000 jobs [5] - Small firms lost 12,000 positions, while large companies gained 37,000 and medium-sized businesses added 46,000 jobs, with the Leisure & Hospitality sector leading job growth [6] Group 3: Wage Growth Metrics - Job Stayers experienced an average wage increase of 4.7% year-over-year, while Job Changers saw a 6.7% increase, indicating a slight decrease from the previous month [7] Group 4: Upcoming Economic Reports - Anticipated economic reports include the final S&P Services PMI for February, expected to approach the growth threshold, and Factory Orders for January, which are projected to show a positive swing after a previous decline [8]
ADP: Job Growth Slows Amid Concerns About Uncertain Economic Outlook
PYMNTS.com· 2025-03-05 15:46
Core Insights - Private sector job growth slowed significantly in February, with only 77,000 jobs added, down from 186,000 in January, marking the lowest level of gains since July [1][2] - Concerns about policy uncertainty and a slowdown in consumer spending are contributing to hiring hesitancy among employers [2] - The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS) for January on March 11 [2] Job Openings and Labor Market Conditions - The BLS reported a decrease of 556,000 job openings in December, bringing the total to 7.6 million, down from 8.2 million at the end of November [3] - Consumer confidence has declined, affecting perceptions of current labor market conditions [3] Sector Performance - Among the 10 industry sectors tracked by ADP, six sectors experienced job gains in February, including leisure/hospitality (41,000), professional/business services (27,000), construction (26,000), financial activities (26,000), manufacturing (18,000), and other services (17,000) [4] - The four sectors that saw job losses included trade/transportation/utilities (33,000), education/health services (28,000), information (14,000), and natural resources/mining (2,000) [5] Establishment Size Impact - Small businesses (1-49 employees) lost a total of 12,000 jobs, while medium establishments (50-499 employees) added 46,000 jobs, and large establishments (500 or more employees) added 37,000 jobs [5] Wage Growth - Pay gains remained relatively unchanged in February, with job-changers experiencing a slight decrease in year-over-year pay gains from 6.8% in January to 6.7% in February, while job-stayers maintained a flat rate of 4.7% [6]
Gold prices holding $2,900 as ADP shows 77K jobs created in February
KITCO· 2025-03-05 13:30
Core Insights - The article discusses the financial sector and highlights the author's extensive experience in journalism and reporting, particularly in the context of Canadian politics and economics [2][3] Group 1 - The author, Neils Christensen, has over a decade of experience in reporting, specifically within the financial sector since 2007 [2] - The author's background includes covering both territorial and federal politics in Canada, indicating a strong understanding of the economic landscape [2] - The article emphasizes the importance of accuracy in financial reporting, although it acknowledges that complete accuracy cannot be guaranteed [3]
Aeroports De Paris: I Love This Stock For Its Potential Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-02-28 15:54
Group 1 - The article discusses the performance of Aeroports de Paris or Groupe ADP, which has seen a 7% decline in stock value since a previous buy rating was issued in November 2024 [1] - The investing group, The Aerospace Forum, aims to identify investment opportunities within the aerospace, defense, and airline sectors, leveraging data analytics for informed analysis [1] - The analyst, with a background in aerospace engineering, provides insights into the industry's growth prospects and the implications of various developments on investment strategies [1]
Private Payrolls Grow More Than Expectation in January
ZACKS· 2025-02-05 17:00
Group 1: Employment Data - The ADP Jobs Report revealed an addition of +183K new private-sector jobs in January, surpassing the expected +150K [2] - Customer-facing jobs outperformed goods-producing jobs, with Trade/Transportation/Utilities adding +56K positions, Leisure & Hospitality +54K, and Education/Healthcare +20K [3] - Manufacturing saw a loss of -13K positions, while wage gains for Job Stayers were +4.7% and for Job Changers +6.8%, indicating a stable labor market without significant inflationary pressure [4] Group 2: Trade Deficit - The U.S. Trade Deficit for December reached -$98.4 billion, worse than the estimated -$96.8 billion and significantly deeper than the previous month's -$78.9 billion [5] - Imports decreased by -2.6%, while exports increased by +3.5%, suggesting a pull-forward of trade activity due to uncertainties related to global tariffs [5] Group 3: Company Earnings - The Walt Disney Co. reported fiscal Q1 earnings of $1.76 per share, exceeding the anticipated $1.44, marking an earnings beat of +22.22% and the eighth consecutive earnings beat [6] - Disney's revenues for the quarter were $24.69 billion, slightly above expectations, and the stock rose +1.5% following the announcement [6] Group 4: Market Expectations - Upcoming reports include final S&P Services PMI and ISM Services for January, both expected to remain above the growth-contraction threshold of 50, aligning with the strength indicated in the ADP report [7] - Qualcomm is expected to report fiscal Q1 earnings with anticipated gains of +6.55% and revenues increasing by +9.9% year-over-year, currently holding a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [8]
ADP Jobs Report Strong in January; Q4 Earnings Roll Along
ZACKS· 2025-02-05 16:30
Economic Indicators - The ADP Jobs Report for January revealed an addition of +183K new private-sector jobs, surpassing the expected +150K, marking the highest figure since October of the previous year [2][3] - Customer-facing jobs outperformed goods-producing jobs, with Trade/Transportation/Utilities adding +56K positions, Leisure & Hospitality +54K, and Education/Healthcare +20K [3] - Manufacturing saw a decline of -13K positions, while wage gains for Job Stayers were +4.7% and for Job Changers +6.8%, indicating a narrow spread and low inflationary pressure [4] Trade Deficit - The U.S. Trade Deficit for December reached -$98.4 billion, worse than the estimated -$96.8 billion and significantly deeper than the previous month's revised -$78.9 billion [5] - Imports decreased by -2.6%, while exports increased by +3.5%, suggesting a pull-forward of trade activity due to uncertainties surrounding global tariffs [5] Company Earnings - The Walt Disney Co. reported fiscal Q1 earnings of $1.76 per share, exceeding the anticipated $1.44, resulting in an earnings beat of +22.22% and marking the eighth consecutive earnings beat [6] - Disney's revenues for the quarter were $24.69 billion, slightly above expectations, and shares rose by +1.5% following the announcement [6] Market Expectations - The final S&P Services PMI and ISM Services for January are expected to remain above the growth-contraction threshold of 50, aligning with the strength indicated in the ADP report [7][8] - Qualcomm is set to report quarterly results, with anticipated earnings growth of +6.55% and revenue growth of +9.9% year-over-year [9]
Gold prices holding at fresh record highs as ADP says 183K jobs were created in January
KITCO· 2025-02-05 13:31
Group 1 - The document contains employment application forms for a company, indicating a focus on recruitment processes [1] - The forms include sections for essential functions and accommodations, suggesting a commitment to inclusivity in hiring practices [1] - The employer's name and address are placeholders, indicating that the document is a template for various companies [1] Group 2 - Neils Christensen is a journalist with over a decade of experience, particularly in financial reporting since 2007 [3] - His background includes covering politics in Canada, which may provide insights into economic factors affecting the financial sector [3] - Contact information for Neils Christensen is provided, indicating a point of contact for further inquiries related to financial news [3]
Automatic Data Processing: A Dividend Growth Legend For Your Watch List
Seeking Alpha· 2025-01-31 12:49
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of decades of dividend growth as a key indicator of a company's proven business model [1]. Group 1 - The author has been investing since September 2017 and has a long-standing interest in dividend investing since 2009 [2]. - The blog "Kody's Dividends" documents the journey towards financial independence through dividend growth investing [2]. - The author expresses gratitude for the blog's role in connecting with the Seeking Alpha community as an analyst [2]. Group 2 - The article does not provide specific financial data or performance metrics related to any company or industry [3].
Automatic Data Processing: It Has Always Been Expensive, Try Range Trading
Seeking Alpha· 2025-01-31 08:24
Core Insights - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, highlighting its growth potential [1] - The diversification of investment portfolios has become a trend, with a shift from traditional savings in banks and properties to stock market investments [1] - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines has influenced investment strategies, leading to increased interest in blue-chip companies and various industries [1] Investment Focus - The current focus includes banks, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels, indicating a strategic approach to sector selection [1] - The entry into the US market has expanded investment opportunities, with holdings in US banks, hotels, shipping, and logistics companies [1] - The use of analytical tools and comparisons between different markets, such as the PH market and the US market, enhances investment decision-making [1]
ADP(ADP) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-01-30 19:40
Revenue and Earnings Growth - Revenue growth of 8% to $9,881.1 million for the six months ended December 31, 2024, with 7% organic constant currency growth[86] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 12% to $4.69 for the six months ended December 31, 2024[86] - For the three months ended December 31, 2024, EBIT increased to $1,261.3 million, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth from $1,143.8 million[99] - Adjusted EBIT for the same period was $1,272.0 million, an 11% increase compared to $1,147.1 million in the prior year[99] - Net earnings for the three months ended December 31, 2024, were $963.2 million, a 10% increase from $878.4 million in 2023[106] - Diluted EPS rose to $2.35 for the three months ended December 31, 2024, marking a 10% increase from $2.13 in the previous year[106] Shareholder Returns - Cash returned via shareholder-friendly actions totaled $1,790 million, including $1,145 million in dividends and $645 million in share repurchases[86] - The company achieved a milestone by increasing its dividend for the 50th consecutive year[84] - The company repurchased approximately 0.9 million shares during the three months ended December 31, 2024, contributing to the increase in diluted EPS[107] - The company repurchased approximately 2.4 million shares at an average price of $274.42 during the six months ended December 31, 2024[133] Operating Performance - Operating expenses increased by 7% to $4,661.9 million for the six months ended December 31, 2024, compared to $4,370.9 million in 2023[91] - Employer Services revenues increased by 7% to $3,388.5 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, compared to $3,125.2 million in 2023[109] - PEO Services revenues reached $1,663.3 million, an 8% increase from $1,546.1 million in the same period last year[114] - Employer Services' earnings before income taxes increased by 11% for the three months ended December 31, 2024, due to client funds interest revenues and operational efficiencies[111] - PEO Services' earnings before income taxes decreased by 1% for the three months ended December 31, 2024, due to increased costs[115] Cash Flow and Investments - Cash provided by operating activities for the six months ended December 31, 2024, was $1,974.7 million, an increase of $615.8 million from $1,358.9 million in 2023[130] - Net cash flows used in investing activities were $(2,902.3) million, a significant increase of $2,824.5 million compared to $(77.8) million in 2023, primarily due to the acquisition of Workforce Software for $1,160.6 million[131] - Net cash flows from financing activities increased to $7,482.5 million, up $3,666.4 million from $3,816.1 million in 2023, driven by a net increase in cash flow from client funds obligations[132] Acquisitions and Integration - The integration of WorkForce Software into the global HCM ecosystem has commenced following its acquisition in October[84] - The company acquired Workforce Software for $1,160.6 million, impacting investing activities significantly[131] Tax and Effective Rates - The effective tax rate for the three months ended December 31, 2024, was 23.6%, up from 23.2% in 2023[102] - The adjusted effective tax rate for the six months ended December 31, 2024, was 23.1%, compared to 22.3% in the same period of 2023[122] Capital Expenditures and Debt - Capital expenditures for the six months ended December 31, 2024, were $98.2 million, up from $94.0 million in the same period of 2023, a 2.3% increase[138] - The company expects capital expenditures in fiscal 2025 to be between $180 million and $200 million, down from $211.7 million in fiscal 2024[138] - The company has $4.0 billion in senior unsecured notes maturing in 2025, 2028, 2030, and 2034, and may refinance existing debt or finance acquisitions[134] Investment Portfolio and Market Risk - The investment portfolio is structured to maximize interest income while ensuring safety of principal and liquidity, with no exposure to sub-prime or non-investment grade securities[137] - The company limits credit risk by investing primarily in AAA-rated and AA-rated securities, ensuring a focus on investment-grade securities[147] - The company is exposed to market risk from changes in foreign currency exchange rates, which could impact consolidated results of operations and cash flows[148] Accounting and Compliance - Management continually evaluates accounting policies and estimates used in preparing the Consolidated Financial Statements, which are based on historical experience and reasonable assumptions[149] - Recent accounting pronouncements are discussed in Note 2 of the Consolidated Financial Statements, indicating ongoing compliance with new standards[150]