Core Viewpoint - The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, continuing a trend of positive earnings surprises [1]. Earnings Performance - The company has a strong history of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 8.77% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, BK achieved earnings of $1.94 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74 per share by 11.49%. In the previous quarter, it reported earnings of $1.58 per share against an expectation of $1.49 per share, resulting in a surprise of 6.04% [3]. Earnings Estimates - Recent changes in earnings estimates for BK have been favorable, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5]. - The current Earnings ESP for BK is +1.07%, suggesting that analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential. This positive ESP, combined with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicates a potential for another earnings beat [8]. Predictive Metrics - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may be more accurate [7].

Core Points - Canadian Banc Corp. has successfully completed an overnight offering of Preferred Shares, raising total gross proceeds of $62.7 million [1] - The Preferred Shares will trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol BK.PR.A [1] Investment Portfolio - The net proceeds from the offering will be invested in a portfolio primarily consisting of six publicly traded Canadian banks: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, The Bank of Nova Scotia, National Bank of Canada, and The Toronto-Dominion Bank [2] Investment Objectives - The investment objectives for the Preferred Shares include providing holders with cumulative preferential floating rate monthly cash dividends at a rate per annum equal to the prevailing Canadian prime rate plus 1.50%, with a minimum annual rate of 5.0% and a maximum annual rate of 8.0% based on the original $10 issue price [3] - On or about the termination date, currently set for December 1, 2028, the company aims to pay holders the original $10 issue price of those shares, subject to potential five-year extensions [3]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has adjusted its model for North American large banks' Q3 2025 performance forecasts, indicating a mild impact on EPS growth of 0-1% and a median EPS estimate 3% higher than market consensus [1][2] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - The median EPS forecast for North American banks in Q3 2025 is 3% above market consensus, with the largest increases expected for money center banks and State Street Bank (STT.US) [1] - Citigroup (C.US) is projected to have an EPS of $1.99, exceeding the market consensus of $1.83 by 9% [1] - Bank of America (BAC.US) is expected to report an EPS of $1.01, which is 7% higher than the consensus of $0.94 [1] - State Street Bank's EPS is forecasted to be 6% above consensus, while Northern Trust (NTRS.US) is expected to be 3% higher [1] - Most super-regional banks are projected to be 1-3% above consensus, with Truist Financial (TFC.US) and Wells Fargo (WFC.US) both expected to be 3% higher [1] Group 2: Key Financial Metrics - The model incorporates a macro assumption of an additional 125 basis points rate cut by the end of 2026, with a focus on Citigroup, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US) due to expected outperformance in investment banking fees and trading income [2] - Money center banks are expected to lead in asset growth, with JPMorgan Chase's average total assets projected to reach $4.43 trillion, an 8.4% year-over-year increase, and Bank of America expected to reach $3.47 trillion, a 5.5% increase [2] - The deposit structure shows a gradual decline in non-interest-bearing deposits, with Bank of America projected to have 26.0% in 2025, down from 26.7% in 2024 [2] - The net interest margin (NIM) is expected to remain stable, with a median estimate of 2.50% for 2025, while super-regional banks are projected to have higher NIMs [2] Group 3: Revenue Growth Drivers - Fee income is a core growth driver, with M&A fees expected to grow 30% year-over-year, significantly above the consensus growth of 11% [3] - Equity Capital Markets (ECM) fees are projected to increase by 41%, compared to a consensus of 30%, while Debt Capital Markets (DCM) fees are expected to grow by 4% against a consensus of 3% [3] - Money center banks like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs are expected to see over 9% year-over-year growth in fee income for 2025 [3] Group 4: Capital Returns - The median dividend payout ratio for banks in 2025 is expected to be around 30%, with money center banks showing a slight decrease from 27% to 29% [3] - JPMorgan is projected to pay $5.80 per share in dividends, while Citigroup is expected to pay $2.32 per share [3] - Stock buybacks are anticipated to increase significantly, with JPMorgan expected to repurchase $38.01 billion in 2025, up from $18.84 billion in 2024, and Citigroup expected to repurchase $13.47 billion, a substantial increase from $2.5 billion in 2024 [3] Group 5: Overall Outlook - The report maintains a cautiously optimistic view on North American large banks, suggesting that money center banks will outperform due to investment banking and trading income, while super-regional banks show stable asset quality [4] - Trust banks are expected to face pressure on net interest margins but still demonstrate resilience supported by fee income [4]

Core Insights - The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (BK) is exploring tokenized deposits to modernize its payment network and enhance blockchain usage in global finance [1][8] - The initiative aims to facilitate real-time, instant, and global transactions across BK's international network [2] Rationale Behind BNY Mellon's Move - Tokenized deposits serve as a digital representation of customer deposits, enabling quick transfers and real-time settlement without intermediary delays [3] - This approach aims to help banks overcome legacy technology constraints, improving deposit and payment efficiency [3] Payment Volume and Benefits - BNY Mellon's treasury services division processes nearly $2.5 trillion in payments daily, with tokenized deposits expected to make these transactions cheaper, faster, and available 24/7 [4] Broader Blockchain Strategy - The move aligns with BK's broader blockchain strategy, including a collaboration with Goldman Sachs to use blockchain for money market fund ownership records [5] - BK is also part of over 30 financial institutions working with SWIFT on a blockchain-based shared ledger for real-time cross-border payments [5] Price Performance - Over the past six months, BK shares have increased by 34.8%, outperforming the industry growth of 26.2% [6] Industry Comparisons - Other major banks are also pursuing similar initiatives, such as HSBC expanding its tokenized deposit service for corporate clients to enable real-time currency transfers [10] - JPMorgan has partnered with Coinbase to facilitate direct crypto purchases and enhance compliance and security in fiat-to-crypto transactions [12][13]

Core Insights - The current investment landscape highlights persistent skepticism towards the Energy and Financial sectors, which are identified as undervalued [1] Financial Sector Summary - Bank of New York Mellon (BK) has an Acquirer's Multiple (AM) of 2.1 and a free cash flow (FCF) yield of 3.2%, while Synchrony Financial (SYF) shows an AM of 2.2 and an exceptional FCF yield of 37.2%, indicating a strong deep-value case in financials despite market concerns over credit and interest-rate risks [2] - The market's pricing reflects ongoing credit and interest-rate risks, which disciplined value investors may view as opportunities [2] Energy Sector Summary - Petrobras (PBR) trades at an AM of 4.1 with a 36.4% FCF yield, and Equinor (EQNR) has an AM of 2.7 with an 11.4% FCF yield and a near-double-digit dividend payout, showcasing a disconnect between strong cash generation and market doubts about fossil fuel demand [3] - Both Petrobras and Equinor maintain strong balance sheets and shareholder distributions, yet their valuations remain low [3] Healthcare Sector Summary - Molina Healthcare (MOH) appears with an AM of 6.0 and a 3.9% FCF yield, indicating consistent profitability and steady operating income growth, which is appealing in uncertain markets [4] Market Implications - The convergence of multiple sectors at the top of value screens signals broad-based pessimism regarding future earnings durability, particularly in Energy and Finance due to transition risks and credit concerns [5] - The presence of a healthcare company suggests selective investment opportunities beyond typical cyclical sectors [5] Conclusion - The value landscape is dominated by Energy and Financials, which offer high free cash flow and strong capital returns amidst market skepticism, presenting opportunities for patient contrarian investors [6] - Select healthcare names provide diversification, indicating fertile ground for disciplined value seekers in a cautious market environment [6]

Core Insights - Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is testing tokenized deposits to modernize its payments infrastructure and expand blockchain use in global finance [1] - The initiative aims to facilitate blockchain-based payments using tokenized versions of traditional deposits [1][3] Group 1: Project Overview - The project supports real-time, instant, and cross-border transactions across BNY Mellon's global network [2] - BNY Mellon's treasury services division processes approximately $2.5 trillion in payments daily [3] Group 2: Technology and Benefits - Tokenized deposits serve as digital representations of cash held at commercial banks, enabling instant transfers and real-time transaction settlements [4] - This technology is expected to make payments cheaper, faster, and available 24/7 [4] Group 3: Industry Context - BNY Mellon's move aligns with growing blockchain adoption among major financial institutions, with JPMorgan and HSBC also launching similar initiatives [5] - Several European banks are exploring fiat-linked stablecoins, indicating a trend towards modernizing the global payments ecosystem [6] Group 4: Regulatory Environment - The acceleration of blockchain adoption in traditional finance is influenced by emerging regulatory clarity in the U.S. and Europe [7]

Core Insights - Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) is exploring tokenized deposits to facilitate client payments using blockchain technology [1][2] - The bank is modernizing its infrastructure, particularly its treasury services, which processes $2.5 trillion in payments daily [2] - Tokenized deposits are seen as a solution to overcome legacy technology constraints, enhancing the movement of deposits and payments within banking ecosystems [3] Group 1: BNY's Initiatives - BNY launched a tokenization project in collaboration with Goldman Sachs to utilize blockchain for tracking ownership of money market funds [3] - The project aims to improve the utility and transferability of existing money market fund shares [4] Group 2: Industry Developments - JPMorgan Chase announced plans to launch a "deposit token" for institutional clients, representing commercial bank money [5] - HSBC expanded its tokenized deposit service to include cross-border transactions, successfully conducting its first U.S. dollar transactions between Hong Kong and Singapore [6]

Core Viewpoint - The global head of investments and wealth at Bank of New York Mellon Corp advocates for a 50/30/20 asset allocation model, suggesting a shift from the traditional 60/40 model due to the increasing complexity of markets [1][3]. Group 1: Portfolio Allocation - Jose Minaya recommends a portfolio split of 50% equities, 30% bonds, and 20% alternative investments, such as hedge funds, real estate, and commodities [1][3]. - The traditional allocation of 60% stocks and 40% bonds is becoming less suitable as markets evolve [1][3]. Group 2: Role of AI in Investing - Minaya emphasizes that the future winners in investing will be diversified businesses that can leverage AI alongside their wealth management services [2]. - AI is seen as a tool to enhance portfolio management, capable of processing and assimilating vast amounts of information [2][3]. - The Bank of New York Mellon has already implemented AI agents to assist in investment strategies [2].

Real-World Assets RWA Tokenization Tokenized Real Estate, binance research. Photo by BeInCrypto BNY Mellon confirmed it is exploring tokenized deposits to let clients move money on blockchain rails. The initiative is part of its plan to modernize a $2.5 trillion-a-day payments network. The pilot aims to show how regulated deposits can settle in seconds instead of days, without leaving the banking system’s protection. BNY Explores Tokenized Deposits Amid Evolving Policy Frameworks Earlier this year, the ...

Core Insights - Bank of New York Mellon (BK) is testing tokenized deposits to modernize its global payment infrastructure and adapt to the shift towards blockchain-based finance [1][2] - The initiative aims to enable clients to make payments using tokenized deposits, facilitating near-instant settlement and potentially lowering transaction costs [2][3] - BNY Mellon currently processes approximately $2.5 trillion in payments daily [3] Company Developments - Carl Slabicki from BNY Mellon stated that the new technology could help banks overcome legacy constraints, allowing for faster money movement within networks and across the financial system [4] - BNY Mellon is part of a trend among major banks exploring tokenized funds, with JPMorgan and other European banks also engaging in similar initiatives [4] - Over the summer, BNY Mellon collaborated with Goldman Sachs to launch tokenized money market funds for clients [5] - CEO Robin Vince has indicated that BNY Mellon will not pursue crypto deposits as aggressively as some competitors [5]