Company Overview - Cameco is a supplier to the nuclear power industry, mining uranium and processing it into fuel for nuclear power plants [1] - The company has invested alongside Brookfield Asset Management to acquire Westinghouse, holding a 49% stake, which expands its services into nuclear power plant design and maintenance [1] Market Dynamics - The demand for nuclear power is expected to grow due to its low carbon emissions, ability to provide base load power, and the development of new, safer, and more cost-effective nuclear plants [2][3] - As global demand for nuclear power increases, the demand for uranium and related services provided by Cameco and Westinghouse is likely to rise [3] Historical Context - Cameco's stock has experienced significant volatility, particularly following the 2011 Fukushima disaster, which led to a 70% decline in stock price by the end of 2015 due to a drop in uranium prices [6][8] - The past decade has seen Cameco's stock transition from stagnation to a general upward trend, although it remains sensitive to commodity price fluctuations [6] Investment Considerations - Despite the growth potential in the nuclear sector, Cameco's performance is heavily influenced by uranium prices, which can be volatile [5][6] - For conservative investors, utilities with nuclear power exposure may be a more stable investment option compared to Cameco, which is more of a speculative play on nuclear power [11][12] - Cameco may be a worthwhile investment below $45 per share for those who believe in long-term uranium demand growth and can withstand periods of weak commodity prices [12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 24%, gross profit rose by 44%, adjusted net earnings grew by 52%, and adjusted EBITDA was up by 5% compared to the previous year [20] - The average realized price for the first quarter increased year over year, despite a 30% decline in the average uranium spot price [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The uranium segment produced 6 million pounds in Q1 2025, slightly higher than 5.8 million pounds in Q1 2024, with an expected total production of 18 million pounds for the year [22] - The Westinghouse segment reported a net loss in Q1 2025, with an expected annual net loss between $20 million and $70 million, but adjusted EBITDA improved by 19% compared to the previous year [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Long-term uranium contracting activity is expected to gain momentum, with the long-term price increasing from $68 per pound in January 2024 to around $80 per pound [24] - There remains a significant uncovered requirement of approximately £3.2 billion in uranium needs through 2045, with about £1.3 billion of that not yet sourced [56][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes a long-term contracting strategy to create value, focusing on operational, marketing, and financial discipline [20] - The management is cautious about capital allocation, prioritizing financial conservatism while exploring growth opportunities in uranium, conversion, and enrichment [33][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed optimism about the long-term demand for nuclear energy, citing global commitments to nuclear projects and the need for energy security [16][18] - The geopolitical environment poses risks, but the company is prepared to adapt and manage these challenges [15][27] Other Important Information - The company has a strong balance sheet and expects robust cash flow generation in 2025, having fully repaid a $600 million term loan used for the Westinghouse acquisition [25][27] - The company is actively managing its capital resources to ensure a strong financial position amid geopolitical challenges [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the priorities for capital allocation moving forward? - The management highlighted the importance of maintaining financial discipline and being cautious with capital allocation, considering the current supply discipline in the uranium market [31][33] Question: What are the implications of the recent IP legal settlement with Korea for Westinghouse? - The settlement allows Westinghouse to collaborate with Korea rather than compete, potentially expanding opportunities in new builds [40][42] Question: What industry markers indicate a transition to normal buying prioritization? - The management noted that there is a significant uncovered requirement for uranium, and while there is no panic yet, they expect demand to eventually drive the market [50][52] Question: What is the outlook for the Kazakhstan business and sulfuric acid procurement? - Relations with Kazatomprom have stabilized, and production targets are back on track, but risks related to sulfuric acid availability remain [60][63] Question: How is the company planning for new exploration given the global slowdown? - Exploration remains a critical part of the strategy, with a focus on maintaining and developing key properties in the Athabasca Basin [101][102] Question: What is the current situation regarding pricing and contracting in the fuel services business? - The company is seeing strong pricing due to new contracts and expects further upside as they continue to contract forward [110][116]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 24% increase in revenue, a 44% increase in gross profit, a 52% increase in adjusted net earnings, and a 5% increase in adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [21][22][27] - The average realized price for uranium increased year over year, despite a 30% decline in the average uranium spot price [21][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The uranium segment produced 6 million pounds in Q1 2025, slightly up from 5.8 million pounds in Q1 2024, with an expected total production of 18 million pounds for the year [23][24] - The Westinghouse segment reported a net loss in Q1 2025, with an expected annual net loss between $20 million and $70 million, but a 19% improvement in adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year [22][23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Long-term contracting activity is expected to gain momentum, with the long-term price increasing from $68 per pound in January 2024 to around $80 per pound [26] - There remains a significant uncovered demand for uranium, with approximately £3.2 billion of needs through 2045 still uncontracted [20][56] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes a long-term strategy focused on operational, marketing, and financial discipline, while remaining cautious due to the current supply discipline in the uranium market [21][34] - The company is exploring growth opportunities in uranium production, conversion, and enrichment, while also considering capital returns to shareholders in the future [31][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the positive long-term demand outlook for nuclear energy, despite current geopolitical and trade policy distractions [10][16] - The company is prepared to adapt to ongoing risks in the supply chain and is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet amid geopolitical challenges [28][34] Other Important Information - The company has made significant repayments on its term loan used for the Westinghouse acquisition, indicating a strong financial position [27][28] - The company is actively managing its capital resources to ensure flexibility in delivering long-term value [27][28] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the priorities for capital allocation moving forward? - The company remains in supply discipline and is focused on financial conservatism, with potential capital returns to shareholders being considered in the future [31][34] Question: What are the implications of the recent IP legal settlement with Korea for Westinghouse? - The settlement allows Westinghouse to collaborate with Korea, expanding its market opportunities for new builds [39][40] Question: What industry markers indicate a transition to normal buying prioritization? - The company noted that there is a significant uncovered demand for uranium, and utilities will eventually need to come to the market [49][52] Question: What is the outlook for the Kazakhstan business and sulfuric acid procurement? - Relations with Kazatomprom have stabilized, and production targets are being adjusted, but risks remain regarding sulfuric acid availability [60][62] Question: How is the fuel services business performing in terms of pricing? - The company is seeing strong pricing due to the rolling on of new contracts, with more upside expected as the market improves [110][113]

Uranium Market & Supply - Utility companies have approximately 32 billion pounds of uncovered uranium requirements through 2045, representing about 67% uncovered[15] - The uranium market faces a structural primary & secondary supply gap, indicating potential supply shortages[17] - Cameco is strategically patient in long-term contracting to optimize the market-related portion of its portfolio and focus on protection from commodity volatility[37] Cameco's Operational Performance - Cameco delivered 69 million pounds of U3O8 under contract in Q1 2025 and produced 60 million pounds U3O8 (Cameco's share)[18] - The company delivered 24 million KgU under contract in the Fuel Services segment and produced 39 million KgU[18] - Cameco's average committed sales are 28 million pounds per year for 2025-2029, with commitments spanning over a decade[20] - Long-term contracts cover approximately 220 million pounds of U3O8 and approximately 85 million KgU of UF6 as of December 31, 2024[20] Financial Position & Strategy - Cameco made a final $200 million (US) repayment of the $600 million (US) term loan used to finance the Westinghouse acquisition in Q1 2025[28] - The company received a $49 million (US) distribution from Westinghouse and an $87 million (US) dividend (net of withholdings) from JV Inkai in Q1 2025[28] - Cameco maintains a strong financial position with investment-grade credit ratings (S&P: BBB-, DBRS: BBB)[24]

The world's biggest publicly traded uranium producer faces near-term challenges.The spot price for uranium, the crucial element for producing nuclear power, has roughly doubled over the past five years. That growth was fueled by the world's renewed interest in nuclear power as a clean energy source, geopolitical conflicts driving more markets away from fossil fuels, and rapid expansion of the power-hungry artificial intelligence, cloud, and data center markets.Bank of America expects uranium's spot price to ...

Cameco Corporation (CCJ) is scheduled to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 1, before the opening bell.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CCJ’s earnings for the first quarter is pegged at 21 cents per share, which indicates a 110% improvement from the prior-year quarter’s figure. Over the past 60 days, the estimate has moved up 31.25%. Image Source: Zacks Investment ResearchCameco’s Earnings Surprise HistoryCameco’s earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters, whi ...

Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $0.96 per share and revenue of $2.45 billion, indicating changes of +95.92% and +7.49%, respectively, compared to the previous year. Additionally, investors should keep an eye on any recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Cameco. Recent revisions tend to reflect the latest near-term business trends. As such, positive estimate revisions reflect analyst optimism about the company's business and profitability. Cameco (CCJ) ended t ...

The case for uranium’s long-term growth is a familiar one, and it goes something like this: there’s a vast network of reactors currently under construction in China, India, and the restAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of CCJ either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company ...

The world's demand for electricity is increasing, and so is its appetite for cleaner energy sources. These two trends underpin what looks like a nuclear renaissance today. There are many ways to invest in it, but the one thing every nuclear power plant needs is fuel. Cameco is one of the world's largest providers of uranium fuel, mining it largely in politically stable regions like Canada, and it's working with strategic partnership Net Zero Nuclear to support tripling global nuclear capacity by 2050. Every ...

Group 1 - Cameco's stock closed at $44.85, reflecting a +1.49% change, outperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.22% [1] - Over the past month, Cameco's stock has decreased by 5.07%, which is worse than the Basic Materials sector's loss of 0.38% and the S&P 500's loss of 7.48% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings release is projected to show earnings of $0.26 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 160% [2] - For the annual period, earnings are expected to be $1.02 per share and revenue at $2.54 billion, reflecting increases of +108.16% and +11.24% respectively [2] Group 3 - Recent shifts in analyst projections for Cameco are important as they reflect changes in short-term business dynamics [3] - Positive revisions in estimates indicate analysts' confidence in the company's performance and profit potential [3] Group 4 - Estimate alterations are linked to stock price performance, and the Zacks Rank system is designed to leverage this relationship [4] - The Zacks Rank system ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) and has shown an average annual return of +25% for 1 ranked stocks since 1988 [5] Group 5 - Currently, Cameco has a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), with a 19.94% decrease in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [5] - Cameco's Forward P/E ratio is 43.32, significantly higher than the industry's average Forward P/E of 13.15 [6] Group 6 - The Mining - Miscellaneous industry, part of the Basic Materials sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 173, placing it in the bottom 32% of over 250 industries [6] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks [7]