Core Insights - Deere & Company reported a net income of $1.804 billion for Q2 2025, down 24% from $2.370 billion in Q2 2024, with earnings per share decreasing from $8.53 to $6.64 [1][3][19] - For the first half of 2025, net income was $2.673 billion, a 35% decline from $4.121 billion in the same period last year [1][19] - The company anticipates full-year net income for fiscal 2025 to be between $4.75 billion and $5.50 billion [3][12] Financial Performance - Total net sales and revenues decreased by 16% to $12.763 billion in Q2 2025, and by 22% to $21.272 billion for the first six months [2][4][19] - Net sales for Q2 2025 were $11.171 billion, down from $13.610 billion in Q2 2024, while for the first half, sales fell from $24.097 billion to $17.980 billion [2][19] - Operating profit for the total company decreased by 26% to $2.308 billion in Q2 2025, and by 41% to $3.101 billion for the first half [4][19] Segment Performance - Production & Precision Agriculture segment saw net sales drop by 21% to $5.230 billion, with operating profit down 30% to $1.148 billion [5][16] - Small Agriculture & Turf segment reported a 6% decrease in net sales to $2.994 billion, but operating profit increased by 1% to $574 million [6][16] - Construction & Forestry segment experienced a 23% decline in net sales to $2.947 billion, with operating profit falling 43% to $379 million [7][16] Market Outlook - The company expects a decline of approximately 30% in large agriculture equipment sales in the U.S. and Canada, and a 10-15% decrease in small agriculture and turf sales [10][11] - Construction equipment sales in the U.S. and Canada are projected to decrease by around 10% [11] - The outlook incorporates the effects of global import tariffs, with potential future tariff impacts not included due to uncertainty [12][14] Strategic Focus - The company emphasizes ongoing investment in advanced products and manufacturing capabilities to remain competitive [4][8] - Deere & Company aims to continue significant investments in its core U.S. market over the next decade, focusing on innovation and growth [4][8]

Financial Performance - Deere & Company reported a net income of $1.804 billion for Q2 2025, down 24% from $2.370 billion in Q2 2024, with earnings per share decreasing from $8.53 to $6.64[1][5] - Worldwide net sales and revenues decreased by 16% to $12.763 billion for Q2 2025, and by 22% to $21.272 billion for the first six months of the year[2][24] - The company forecasts full-year net income for fiscal 2025 to be in the range of $4.75 billion to $5.50 billion[3] - Production & Precision Agriculture segment net sales fell by 21% to $5.230 billion, with operating profit down 30% to $1.148 billion[6][24] - Small Agriculture & Turf segment net sales decreased by 6% to $2.994 billion, while operating profit remained stable at $574 million[9][24] - Construction & Forestry segment net sales dropped by 23% to $2.947 billion, with operating profit declining 43% to $379 million[13][24] - Financial Services net income for Q2 2025 was flat at $161 million, reflecting less favorable financing spreads[15][24] - Total net income attributable to Deere & Company for the six months ended April 27, 2025, was $2,673 million, down from $4,121 million in the same period of 2024, representing a decline of 35%[27] - Net income attributable to Deere & Company for the three months ended April 27, 2025, was $1,643 million, down 25.5% from $2,208 million in the same period of 2024[35] - Net income attributable to Deere & Company for the six months ended April 27, 2025, was $2,282 million, down 39.2% from $3,751 million in the same period of 2024[37] Sales and Revenue Trends - Net sales for the three months ended April 27, 2025, were $11,171 million, a decrease of 18% compared to $13,610 million in the same period of 2024[27] - For the six months ended April 27, 2025, net sales were $17,980 million, a decline of 25.5% from $24,097 million in the same period of 2024[37] - Total costs and expenses for the three months ended April 27, 2025, were $10,426 million, a decrease of 13.9% from $12,118 million in the same period of 2024[35] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $7,991 million as of April 27, 2025, compared to $5,553 million as of April 28, 2024[29] - The company reported a net cash provided by operating activities of $568 million for the six months ended April 27, 2025, compared to $944 million in the same period of 2024[31] - Cash flows from operating activities totaled $1,045 million in 2025, down from $3,031 million in 2024, reflecting a significant decline[43] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period increased to $6,352 million in 2025 from $3,839 million in 2024, showing a strong liquidity position[43] Investments and Future Outlook - The company plans to continue significant investments in advanced products and manufacturing capabilities over the next decade[4] - The industry outlook indicates a decline of approximately 30% in large agriculture in the U.S. and Canada, and a 10-15% decrease in small agriculture and turf[18] - The company is navigating challenges from global import tariffs and uncertain trade environments, which may impact future performance[21] Balance Sheet and Assets - Total assets as of April 27, 2025, were $106,303 million, a slight decrease from $107,320 million as of October 27, 2024[29] - Total liabilities decreased to $81,925 million as of April 27, 2025, from $84,395 million as of October 27, 2024[29] - Stockholders' equity for Deere & Company increased to $24.287 billion in April 2025, compared to $22.684 billion in April 2024, marking a growth of about 7.1%[41] Dividends and Shareholder Returns - Dividends declared for the three months ended April 27, 2025, were $1.62 per share, an increase from $1.47 per share in the same period of 2024[27] - Dividends paid increased to $843 million in 2025 from $796 million in 2024, demonstrating a commitment to returning capital to shareholders[43] Other Financial Metrics - Research and development expenses for the three months ended April 27, 2025, were $549 million, slightly down from $565 million in the same period of 2024[27] - Interest expense for the three months ended April 27, 2025, was $784 million, a decrease of 6.2% from $836 million in the same period of 2024[35] - The provision for income taxes for the three months ended April 27, 2025, was $539 million, down from $751 million in the same period of 2024[35] - The provision for credit losses increased to $174 million in 2025 from $131 million in 2024, indicating a rise in expected credit losses[43]

Earnings Report - Deere & Company is set to release its second-quarter earnings results on May 15, with expected earnings of $5.64 per share, a decrease from $8.53 per share in the same period last year [1] - The projected quarterly revenue is $10.79 billion, down from $13.61 billion a year earlier [1] First Quarter Performance - In the first quarter of 2025, Deere reported a net sales and revenue decline of 30% year-over-year, totaling $8.51 billion, which exceeded the consensus estimate of $7.70 billion [2] Stock Performance - Deere shares experienced a slight decline of 0.2%, closing at $497.50 [2] Analyst Ratings - UBS analyst Steven Fisher maintained a Neutral rating and reduced the price target from $462 to $440 [8] - Baird analyst Mircea Dobre downgraded the stock from Outperform to Neutral with a price target of $501 [8] - Evercore ISI Group analyst David Raso maintained an In-Line rating and increased the price target from $437 to $455 [8] - Truist Securities analyst Jamie Cook reiterated a Buy rating but lowered the price target from $550 to $546 [8] - JP Morgan analyst Tami Zakaria maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $470 to $500 [8]

Deere & Company DE will release its second-quarter earnings results before the opening bell on Thursday, May 15. Analysts expect the Moline, Illinois-based company to report quarterly earnings at $5.64 per share, down from $8.53 per share in the year-ago period. According to data from Benzinga Pro, Deere projects quarterly revenue at $10.79 billion, compared to $13.61 billion a year earlier. On April 22, Oppenheimer analyst Kristen Owen maintained Deere with an Outperform rating and raised the price target ...

Core Viewpoint - Deere & Company is expected to report second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 15, with strong demand from product launches but challenges from elevated production expenses and low commodity prices impacting performance [1]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Q2 Performance - Low commodity prices and weak farmer spending have led to lower shipment volumes, negatively affecting the company's fiscal second-quarter performance [2]. - High production expenses, along with increased selling, administrative, and research and development costs, are anticipated to impact the company's margins [3]. - The company is reviewing its cost structure to improve margins, with favorable price realization expected to offset some of the higher material and freight costs [4]. Group 2: Segment Projections for Q2 - The Production & Precision Agriculture segment is projected to generate revenues of $4.61 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 23.9%, with operating profit expected to fall 62.5% to $619 million [5]. - The Small Agriculture & Turf segment's revenues are estimated at $2.78 billion, indicating a 12.6% decline, with operating profit expected to decrease by 15.1% to $485 million [6]. - The Construction & Forestry segment's sales are estimated at $3.29 billion, a 14.4% dip, with operating profit predicted to drop 12% to $588 million [7]. - The Financial Services segment is projected to have revenues of $1.48 billion, a 6.7% increase, with operating profit estimated at $232 million [8]. Group 3: Overall Q2 Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deere's earnings has decreased by 1.1% to $5.68 per share, implying a 33.4% decline from the previous year, with revenue expectations at $10.6 billion, a 21.7% year-over-year decline [9]. - The earnings surprise history shows that Deere has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 8.9% [10]. Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The current Earnings ESP for Deere is -0.03%, indicating that the model does not predict an earnings beat this time [11]. - Deere holds a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a hold position [12]. Group 5: Share Price Performance - Deere's shares have increased by 22.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 18.5% [13].

Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect Deere (DE) to report a quarterly earnings of $5.68 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 33.4%, with revenues projected at $10.65 billion, down 21.8% from the previous year [1] Revenue Estimates - The consensus estimate for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Equipment Operations- Net sales' is $10.67 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of -21.6% [3] - Analysts predict 'Net Sales and Revenues- Construction & forestry net sales' to reach $3.05 billion, suggesting a decline of 20.7% year over year [4] - The combined estimate for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Agriculture and Turf' is $7.62 billion, reflecting a year-over-year change of -22% [4] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Small ag & turf net sales' is expected to be $2.77 billion, down 13.1% from the prior year [5] - The estimate for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Production & precision ag net sales' stands at $4.85 billion, indicating a decline of 26.3% year over year [5] - The overall estimate for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Net sales' is $10.62 billion, suggesting a year-over-year change of -22% [6] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Other revenues' is projected at $212.04 million, down 7.8% from the previous year [6] Financial Services Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Net Sales and Revenues- Financial services revenues' at $1.35 billion, reflecting a year-over-year change of -3.2% [7] - The total for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Financial services- Total' is projected to be $1.46 billion, indicating an 8.3% decline year over year [7] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Financial services- Finance and Interest Income' is expected to reach $1.37 billion, down 8.7% from the prior year [8] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Financial services- Other Income' is forecasted at $90.58 million, suggesting a year-over-year change of -1.5% [8] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Equipment Operations- Finance and interest income' is estimated at $110.08 million, indicating a decline of 14.7% from the previous year [9] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Deere have returned +7.3%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.8% [9]

Core Points - The recent high-level economic talks between China and the U.S. in Geneva resulted in significant agreements, including a reduction of bilateral tariffs, with the U.S. canceling 91% of additional tariffs and China reciprocating with a similar reduction [1] - The easing of trade tensions is expected to boost cross-border trade, lower input costs, and alleviate supply chain pressures in key industries, leading to positive market reactions, particularly in shipping, semiconductors, and logistics [1] Shipping and Logistics - Stocks such as ZIM, Matson, FedEx, UPS, and Uber saw significant pre-market gains, benefiting from increased trade volumes and improved cross-border transportation efficiency due to reduced tariffs [3] Semiconductors - Companies like Nvidia, AMD, Marvell Technology, TSMC, ASML, and Intel experienced notable pre-market stock increases, as tariff reductions are expected to ease supply chain disruptions and lower manufacturing costs for chipmakers [4] Retailers - Major retailers including Walmart, Amazon, Costco, and Target reported pre-market stock gains, as lower import costs could enhance profit margins and pricing power for those reliant on Chinese goods [5] Automotive and Parts - Automotive stocks such as Tesla, Ford, General Motors, and Aptiv saw pre-market increases, benefiting from reduced costs of metals and electronic components, which could enhance profitability for major manufacturers [6] Industrial Equipment - Companies like Caterpillar and Deere & Company experienced stock gains, as tariff reductions on machinery parts may improve profit margins and production capacity for firms reliant on imported components [7] Consumer Electronics - Apple and Dell saw pre-market stock increases, as supply chain cost savings are expected to enhance profitability, particularly for companies with supply chains centered in China [8] Airlines - Airline stocks including United Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Airlines, and JetBlue experienced pre-market gains, as reduced tariffs could lower operational costs and potentially increase air freight demand due to strengthened global trade [9] Chinese Tech Giants Listed in the U.S. - Stocks of Alibaba, JD.com, and Baidu saw pre-market increases, as tariff reductions are likely to alleviate supply chain pressures and improve market access conditions for these companies [10]

Group 1: Deere (DE) - Deere's stock has increased over 16% year-to-date, driven by optimism regarding easing trade tensions [3] - The company reported a first-quarter net income of $869 million, with a full-year forecast of $5 billion to $5.5 billion, but faced a 30% revenue decline and a 50% drop in net income compared to the previous year [5] - Deere's supply chain is relatively protected against tariffs due to domestic manufacturing, and the company is expected to address supply chain adjustments in its upcoming earnings call [9] Group 2: Energy Transfer (ET) - Energy Transfer has a distribution yield of 7.5% and plans to invest $5 billion in growth capital expenditures in 2025, significantly higher than its maintenance capital expenditures of $1.1 billion [12] - The company is in discussions to develop a large LNG export facility in Lake Charles, Louisiana, which could enhance its position in the energy market [13] - The current administration's business-friendly policies are expected to support the development of U.S. energy assets, benefiting companies like Energy Transfer [11] Group 3: Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) - Huntington Ingalls' shares have risen over 20% in 2025, contrasting with a nearly 4% dip in the S&P 500, and the company offers a forward yield of 2.3% [14] - The company reported first-quarter revenue of $2.7 billion, below expectations, but exceeded earnings estimates with an EPS of $3.79 [15] - Management reaffirmed a 2025 forecast of shipbuilding revenue between $8.9 billion and $9.1 billion, alongside a free cash flow projection of $300 million to $500 million [16]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in Deere's earnings due to lower revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Deere is expected to report quarterly earnings of $5.68 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 33.4% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $10.65 billion, down 21.8% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.85% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Deere is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.24% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [8]. - However, a negative Earnings ESP does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss, making predictions less reliable [9]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Deere exceeded expectations with earnings of $3.19 per share against an estimate of $3.13, resulting in a surprise of +1.92% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, Deere has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [13]. Conclusion - Despite the potential for an earnings miss, betting on stocks expected to beat earnings can improve success odds, highlighting the importance of monitoring Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank [15]. - Currently, Deere does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, suggesting investors should consider other factors before making decisions [16].

Core Viewpoint - Deere has been gaining attention in the market, with its stock performance outpacing the broader S&P 500 index and the farm equipment industry, raising questions about its future trajectory [2]. Earnings Estimates - Deere is expected to report earnings of $5.68 per share for the current quarter, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -33.4%. The consensus estimate for the current fiscal year is $18.89, indicating a -26.3% change [5][6]. - The consensus earnings estimate for the next fiscal year is $21.17, which represents a +12.1% increase compared to the previous year [6]. Revenue Projections - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $10.65 billion, showing a year-over-year decrease of -21.8%. For the current and next fiscal years, the sales estimates are $38.23 billion and $40.52 billion, indicating changes of -14.6% and +6%, respectively [11]. Recent Performance - In the last reported quarter, Deere's revenues were $6.81 billion, down -35.1% year-over-year, with an EPS of $3.19 compared to $6.23 a year ago. The reported revenues fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.7 billion by -11.51% [12]. - The company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters and has exceeded revenue estimates three times during this period [13]. Valuation Metrics - Deere's valuation metrics suggest it is trading at a premium compared to its peers, receiving a Zacks Value Style Score of D, indicating potential overvaluation [17].