一场重大矿难事故正让全球第二大铜矿陷入停产，并由此引发了全球金属市场的强烈震动。 9月24日，美国矿业巨头矿业巨头Freeport-McMoRan（FCX）发表声明宣布，其供应合同进入"不可抗力"状态。而这一突发事件被华尔街迅速定性 为"黑天鹅事件"，点燃了市场对铜供应长期短缺的忧虑，并推动铜价大幅飙升。 华尔街见闻写道，事件的核心是Freeport位于印尼的Grasberg矿山。该公司确认，9月8日发生的一场大规模泥石流事故已造成两名工人死亡，另有 五人失踪。作为应对，公司已全面暂停该矿区的生产活动，并启动了不可抗力条款，该条款允许生产商在遭遇不可预见的灾难时暂停履行供应合 同。 市场的反应立竿见影。消息传出后，纽约商品交易所（COMEX）的铜期货价格上涨近4%，报4.825美元/磅。Freeport的股价在盘前交易中重挫， 而其竞争对手如嘉能可和Boliden等铜业公司的股价则应声上涨。 丹麦盛宝银行商品策略主管Ole Hansen对此评论道："交易员们先买入，然后再问问题"，精准地描绘了市场在供应恐慌下的本能反应。 高盛："黑天鹅"来袭，供应缺口或达数十万吨 高盛的大宗商品团队将此次Grasberg矿山 ...

Freeport-McMoRan’s declaration of force majeure at its Grasberg mine in Indonesia — where two employees are dead and five missing after a massive mud flow — couldn’t have come at a worse time for the global copper market https://t.co/iAMyn0ABpJ ...

Freeport预计最早要到2027年才能恢复事故前的生产水平，2026年铜金产量较此前预期下降约35%。受供应中断预期推动，截至周三纽约尾盘时段， COMEX铜期货上涨近4%、报4.825美元/磅，嘉能可和Boliden等铜业公司股价均出现上涨。 美国矿业巨头Freeport McMoRan印尼子公司Grasberg矿山发生致命泥石流事故，推动全球铜价大幅上涨并引发供应链担忧。这座全球第二大铜矿因事 故暂停生产，公司已启动不可抗力条款。 Freeport确认，其位于印尼的Grasberg Block Cave矿9月8日发生的泥石流事故已造成两名工人死亡，另有五名工人仍下落不明。约80万公吨湿润物质 突然涌入矿井，波及多个作业层面，在该公司数十年开采历史中史无前例。 受供应中断预期推动，伦敦金属交易所三个月期铜价一度跳涨2%至每吨10172美元。Freeport股价盘前重挫9.6%，而其他铜业公司则因供应预期收紧 而大涨。欧洲市场上，Antofagasta、KGHM、英美公司、嘉能可和Boliden等铜业公司股价均出现上涨。 截至周三纽约尾盘时段，COMEX铜期货上涨近4%，报4.825美元/磅，逼近7月30 ...

Market Overview - US stock market experienced a decline for the second consecutive day, with the Dow Jones falling by 171.50 points (0.37%) to 46121.28, the Nasdaq down 0.34% to 22497.86, and the S&P 500 decreasing by 0.28% to 6637.97 [2] - The materials sector led the decline, while the energy sector rose due to a significant increase in oil prices [2] Key Company Performances - Tesla shares increased by 4.0%, while Microsoft rose by 0.2%. In contrast, Amazon fell by 0.2%, Apple and Nvidia dropped by 0.8%, and Google decreased by 1.8% [2] - Oracle's stock fell by 1.7% amid reports of the company planning to raise $15 billion through bond issuance [2] Economic Data - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by 2.8%, with Alibaba increasing by 8.2%, JD.com and Baidu rising over 5%, and Pinduoduo up by 1.9%. However, NetEase saw a decline of 1.8% [3] - In August, new home sales in the US increased by 20.5% from July, reaching an annualized total of 800,000 units, surpassing market expectations [3] - The Mortgage Bankers Association reported a 0.6% increase in mortgage applications due to a decline in the average rate for 30-year fixed mortgages [3] Federal Reserve Insights - Fed Chair Jerome Powell's cautious remarks have injected a degree of caution into the market, particularly regarding the labor market, leading some investors to take profits [3] - Powell indicated that asset prices appear to be at "relatively high valuation levels," and emphasized the need for a balance between addressing inflation risks and labor market weaknesses [3][4] - San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly suggested that further rate cuts may be necessary due to slowing economic growth and consumer spending [4] Bond Market - The yields on long-term US Treasury bonds have risen, with the 10-year yield increasing by 3.1 basis points to 4.14%, and the 2-year yield rising by 3.2 basis points to 3.60% [4] Commodity Market - International oil prices reached a seven-week high, with WTI crude oil rising by 2.49% to $64.99 per barrel and Brent crude increasing by 2.48% to $69.31 per barrel [5] - Gold prices fell from record highs, with COMEX gold futures for September delivery dropping by 1.28% to $3732.10 per ounce [5]

美国矿业巨头Freeport McMoRan印尼子公司Grasberg矿山发生致命泥石流事故，推动全球铜价大幅上涨并引发供应链担忧。这座全球第二大铜矿 因事故暂停生产，公司已启动不可抗力条款。 Freeport确认，其位于印尼的Grasberg Block Cave矿9月8日发生的泥石流事故已造成两名工人死亡，另有五名工人仍下落不明。约80万公吨湿润物 质突然涌入矿井，波及多个作业层面，在该公司数十年开采历史中史无前例。 受供应中断预期推动，伦敦金属交易所三个月期铜价一度跳涨2%至每吨10172美元。Freeport股价盘前重挫9.6%，而其他铜业公司则因供应预期收 紧而大涨。欧洲市场上，Antofagasta、KGHM、英美公司、嘉能可和Boliden等铜业公司股价均出现上涨。 截至周三纽约尾盘时段，COMEX铜期货上涨近4%，报4.825美元/磅，逼近7月30日顶部5.830美元和7月24日顶部5.957美元。 约80万公吨湿润物质的突然涌入波及了矿井的多个层面，包括失踪员工当时进行开发作业的服务层。这一规模的地质事故在PT Freeport Indonesia 数十年块状崩落开采历史中史无前例。 公司已 ...

Company Performance - Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) experienced a significant decline of 16.95%, closing at $37.67, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.29% [1] - Over the past month, FCX shares gained 2.28%, lagging behind the Basic Materials sector's gain of 4.35% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.08% [1] Upcoming Financial Results - The upcoming earnings per share (EPS) for Freeport-McMoRan is projected at $0.49, reflecting a 28.95% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is estimated to be $6.91 billion, indicating a 1.75% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Fiscal Year Projections - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $1.77 per share and revenue at $27.39 billion, representing increases of 19.59% and 7.61% respectively from the prior year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Freeport-McMoRan reflect short-term business trends, with upward revisions indicating analysts' positive outlook on the company's operations and profit generation [4] Zacks Rank and Performance - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks Freeport-McMoRan at 3 (Hold), with a consensus EPS projection moving 1.03% higher in the past 30 days [6] - Historically, 1 ranked stocks in the Zacks Rank system have yielded an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6] Valuation Metrics - Freeport-McMoRan is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 25.64, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 25.17 [7] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.85, compared to the Mining - Non Ferrous industry's average PEG ratio of 0.83 [7] Industry Context - The Mining - Non Ferrous industry, part of the Basic Materials sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 155, placing it in the bottom 38% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Group 1 - President Xi Jinping announced China's new round of Nationally Determined Contributions at the UN Climate Change Summit, aiming for a 7%-10% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2035, with non-fossil energy consumption exceeding 30% of total energy consumption [3] - The total installed capacity of wind and solar power is targeted to reach over 360 million kilowatts, six times that of 2020, and forest stock is expected to exceed 24 billion cubic meters [3] - The national carbon emissions trading market will cover major high-emission industries, and a climate-adaptive society is to be fundamentally established [3] Group 2 - Premier Li Qiang emphasized China's commitment to maintaining an open trade and investment market during a meeting with the President of the European Commission, urging fair competition and adherence to WTO rules [5] - The Chinese government will not seek new special and differential treatment in current and future WTO negotiations, reinforcing its role as a responsible developing country [5] - The People's Bank of China announced a 600 billion yuan MLF operation on September 25, marking a net injection of 300 billion yuan for the month, continuing a trend of high liquidity [5][6] Group 3 - Alibaba announced a collaboration with NVIDIA on Physical AI, with plans to invest 380 billion yuan in AI infrastructure and the launch of seven large model products, including Qwen3-Max, the largest and most capable model to date [4] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce introduced 14 measures to promote digital consumption, including trials for smart connected vehicles and drone delivery services [6] Group 4 - The A-share market saw significant gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.83% to 3853.64 points, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 2.28% [8] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 1.37%, with notable gains in tech stocks like Alibaba and SMIC, while medical stocks faced declines [8] - Chery Automobile announced its H-share final offering price at 30.75 HKD per share, set to officially list on September 25 [8] Group 5 - The State Administration for Market Regulation is seeking public opinion on new standards for food delivery platforms, addressing issues like competition and delivery personnel rights [11] - The National Press and Publication Administration approved 145 domestic games and 11 imported games in September, indicating a positive trend in the gaming industry [12] Group 6 - The global crude steel production in August was 145.3 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%, while the cumulative production from January to August saw a decline of 1.7% [23] - The UK government faced challenges in issuing new bonds, with the latest five-year bond auction seeing the lowest oversubscription rate in nearly two years [20]

Group 1: Intel and Semiconductor Industry - Intel's stock increased by 6.4% following reports of discussions with Apple regarding a potential stake purchase [3] - The rise in Intel's shares was also supported by Micron Technology's positive outlook for PCs and traditional servers, which are key markets for Intel [3] - Over the past month, Intel's stock has gained more than 25%, driven by significant investments from the U.S. government, SoftBank, and Nvidia [3] Group 2: Mining and Commodities - Freeport-McMoRan's shares fell by 17% after the company lowered its forecasts for quarterly copper and gold sales due to issues at its Indonesia unit [4] - The company declared force majeure at its Grasberg mine following a mud flow that blocked access and resulted in fatalities [4] Group 3: Law Enforcement Technology - Axon Enterprise's shares dropped by 10% after announcing the acquisition of Prepared, an AI-powered emergency communications platform [5] - Analysts from Needham maintained a "buy" rating on Axon stock, while Piper Sandler initiated coverage with a bullish "overweight" rating [5] Group 4: Energy Sector - Xcel Energy's shares rose by 6.7% after the company agreed to settle litigation related to the 2021 Marshall Fire for approximately $640 million [6] Group 5: Health Insurance - Centene's shares increased by 5.8% after its subsidiary Meridian Health paid $15 million in value-based care incentives, indicating improved health outcomes for Medicaid members [7] Group 6: Agricultural Chemicals - Shares of agricultural chemical companies Mosaic and CF Industries Holdings rose by 5.8% and 5.2%, respectively, following reports of bipartisan support for stabilizing fertilizer markets [9]

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Core Viewpoint - Pomerantz LLP is investigating potential securities fraud or unlawful business practices involving Freeport-McMoran Inc. and its officers or directors [1]. Group 1: Company Operations - On September 9, 2025, Freeport announced the suspension of mining activities at its Grasberg Block Cave operation in Indonesia due to a blockage caused by wet material, which trapped seven workers [3]. - Following the announcement, Freeport's stock price decreased by $2.80 per share, representing a decline of 5.99%, closing at $43.87 per share on the same day [3]. Group 2: Legal Investigation - Pomerantz LLP is reaching out to investors of Freeport to gather claims related to the investigation of potential securities fraud [1]. - The firm has a long history in corporate, securities, and antitrust class litigation, having recovered numerous multimillion-dollar damages awards for victims of securities fraud and corporate misconduct [4].