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Figma Stock Downside To $40
Forbes· 2025-08-19 10:20
Core Insights - Figma had a successful IPO, with shares rising from $33 to approximately $80, leading to a market capitalization of around $40 billion, driven by rapid growth and strong retention rates [2] - The current trading multiple of nearly 37 times estimated revenue for 2025 reflects high growth expectations, but any slowdown could lead to a significant re-rating of the stock [3] - A conservative growth scenario suggests Figma's stock could drop to around $44 per share, indicating a potential 50% decrease from current levels [3] Growth Potential and Risks - Figma's revenue increased from less than $100 million in 2021 to $749 million in 2024, with a 46% year-over-year increase in the March quarter, indicating strong growth [3] - Competition from Microsoft, Canva, and AI-driven tools poses a risk to Figma's growth, as these alternatives may attract users away from Figma's platform [5][6] - Figma's long-term success depends on expanding its market beyond designers to include software developers and marketers, which is a more challenging endeavor [6][7] Market Dynamics - Enterprise adoption is still in early stages, with only over 1,000 clients paying $100,000 or more annually, which could limit revenue growth and margin expansion if not addressed [7] - The IPO released a small percentage of shares, with two-thirds still held by insiders under a lockup agreement, which could lead to selling pressure once it expires in early 2026 [8] - Figma's high valuation at 37 times sales suggests that investors are expecting flawless execution, making the stock a high-risk investment [9]
Is Figma a Millionaire-Maker Stock?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-18 10:00
Figma's IPO could have been priced better Figma recently went public, but its stock has had a lot of ups and downs. Figma (FIG 4.08%) is one of the newest stocks on the market, after making its public debut on July 31. It's a name that investors may be familiar with, as Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) attempted to buy it in 2022 for $20 billion. That deal fell through, and Figma eventually went public on its own. With Figma being a rapidly growing hot tech stock, many investors might be wondering if Figma is their tic ...
Down 35% After 2 Weeks, Is Figma a Good Stock to Buy on the Dip?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-18 08:52
Figma's in the right place at the right time. Companies across industries are investing heavily in their digital transformations, and the trend is helping Figma grow by leaps and bounds. In 2024, revenue grew 48% to $749 million. The user interface design software is popular, but expectations are extremely high. Shares of Figma (FIG 4.36%) recorded gains for one day following the user interface design specialist's initial public offering (IPO) on July 31. Sadly, the good times didn't last very long. From th ...
How Figma Stock Doubles To $160
Forbes· 2025-08-14 12:10
Core Viewpoint - Figma's stock has experienced volatility after a strong IPO, but the company shows potential for significant growth driven by strong execution and favorable market trends [1] Revenue Growth - Figma's revenues have increased dramatically from under $100 million in 2021 to $749 million in 2024, with a March quarter revenue of $228.2 million, reflecting a 46% year-over-year growth and an annualized run rate of $913 million [3][4] - Consensus estimates project approximately $1.1 billion in revenue for the current fiscal year, with potential sales reaching $3.7 billion by FY'29 if the company maintains a 35% annual growth rate [3][4] Customer Engagement - Figma's Net Dollar Retention rate is 132%, indicating existing customers are spending 32% more annually, showcasing strong product stickiness and expansion [4] - The company's pricing model is seat-based, which encourages organic growth within organizations, minimizing customer acquisition costs and shortening sales cycles [4] Profitability - Figma reported a net income of $44.9 million on $228 million in revenues for the last quarter, resulting in nearly 20% net margins, with the potential to grow to 30% by FY'29 [5][6] - The company has achieved gross margins of about 90% and maintains a balanced cost structure, focusing on product innovation rather than aggressive sales tactics [6] Valuation Multiples - Figma is currently trading at over 37x estimated 2025 run-rate revenue, significantly higher than mature peers like Adobe, which trades at around 7.5x forward sales [7] - If Figma's sales reach $3.7 billion with profits of approximately $1.1 billion, a P/E multiple of 70x could yield a market cap of about $77 billion, nearly double its current valuation of $40 billion [7] Competitive Landscape - Figma must become essential across various workplace roles beyond designers, while also navigating increasing competition from companies like Microsoft and Canva [8] - The emergence of AI-native tools could also impact Figma's market position and customer reliance on traditional design platforms [8] Time Horizon - The timeline for achieving growth and margin improvements may vary, but as long as Figma continues its revenue expansion trajectory, the stock is likely to respond positively [9]
Figma's Growth Story Is Slowing, I'm Doubtful Of Its Prospects
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-13 16:41
Group 1 - Figma, Inc. is recognized as one of the largest and latest IPOs, indicating strong market interest and potential for growth [1] - The company faces challenges due to the narrative surrounding AI, which could impact its market position and investor sentiment [1] Group 2 - The marketplace highlights a portfolio of undervalued investment opportunities, focusing on stocks with rapid growth potential and strong management [1] - There is an emphasis on selecting attractive investments, with a commitment to identifying stocks that deliver strong gains [2][3] - The marketplace is experiencing rapid growth, indicating increasing interest and engagement from investors [3]
今年最大IPO,Figma定义最受欢迎的AI剧本
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-13 03:26
Core Insights - Figma has emerged as a new star in the tech stock market, with its shares soaring 250% on the first day of trading, closing at $115.5 and achieving a market capitalization of $56.3 billion [1] - The company’s IPO was oversubscribed nearly 40 times, indicating strong investor interest compared to other tech IPOs [1] - Figma's business model aligns well with current market expectations for AI applications, focusing on vertical scenarios, high monetization efficiency, and addressing low user engagement issues common in AI applications [1] Company Overview - Figma is positioned as a cloud-based collaborative design platform, competing primarily with Adobe and Canva, but focusing on UI/UX design for apps and websites [2] - The company has maintained the largest market share in the UI/UX sector since 2020, largely due to strategic adjustments made during the pandemic [3] Business Model and Product Ecosystem - Figma has transformed from a design software into a "front-end collaboration development operating system," integrating various products to facilitate collaboration across different roles in the design process [4] - The product suite includes FigJam, Figma Slides, Figma Design, Figma Draw, Dev Mode, Figma Sites, and Figma Buzz, covering the entire workflow from idea to product [4] User Engagement and Growth - Figma's AI product, Figma Make, is integrated across the platform, enhancing workflow for various roles, with 13 million monthly active users, of which only one-third are designers [5][6] - The company’s SaaS model allows individual designers to use basic features for free, with a gradual transition to paid enterprise subscriptions as usage expands [7] Financial Performance - Figma reported a revenue of $749 million for 2024, a 48% year-over-year increase, with a projected rolling 12-month revenue of $821 million [8] - The company has achieved a gross margin of around 90% and has entered a self-sustaining cash flow cycle, with significant growth in high-value enterprise customers [9] Market Position and Future Outlook - Figma's net dollar retention rate peaked at 159% after the launch of FigJam, indicating strong customer loyalty, although it has since declined due to macroeconomic factors [9][10] - The company is expected to stabilize its net retention rate around 130% starting in 2024, aided by the release of its flagship product, Dev Mode [10] AI Integration and Market Sentiment - Figma is recognized as a potential disruptor to Adobe, with its AI capabilities being a key focus for future growth, although current AI contributions to revenue are still nascent [12][13] - The market has high expectations for Figma's AI products, which are seen as integral to its future valuation, despite the current low integration of AI in its offerings [14] Valuation and Investment Considerations - Figma's high valuation is driven by strong fundamentals and anticipated AI applications, with a current market cap of approximately $40 billion and a price-to-sales ratio of 48x [14] - The company’s valuation may face volatility in the short term, similar to other tech stocks, but long-term prospects remain strong due to its solid business model and technological foundation [16]
Figma: The New Tech Titan In The Making
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-12 11:57
Core Insights - Figma (NYSE: FIG) has recently gone public and has garnered significant interest from investors due to its strong revenue growth and impressive market performance [1]. Company Performance - The company is demonstrating robust revenue growth, which is a primary factor attracting investor interest [1]. Market Interest - The massive interest in Figma's stock is attributed to its recent public offering and the company's strong financial metrics [1].
Which Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Is More Likely to Make You a Millionaire: Figma or Palantir?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-12 07:52
Core Viewpoint - The article compares two AI stocks, Palantir Technologies and Figma, evaluating their potential for significant investment returns, with a conclusion favoring Palantir as the more promising option for wealth generation [2][9]. Group 1: Company Overview - Palantir Technologies went public in September 2020 with an initial share price of $10, and its current share price is approximately $186 [1]. - Figma conducted its IPO on July 31, 2025, starting at a share price of $33, and is currently valued around $82 [1]. Group 2: Market Capitalization - Figma has a market cap of about $40 billion, significantly smaller than Palantir's market cap of roughly $440 billion [2]. Group 3: Growth Metrics - Figma's revenue grew by 46% year-over-year in its latest quarter, with a net dollar retention rate of 132% [3]. - Palantir reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 48% in Q2 2025 and has a "Rule of 40" score of 94%, indicating strong growth and profitability [5][6]. Group 4: Customer Base - Figma serves 78% of the Forbes 2000 and 95% of the Fortune 500, including major companies like Airbnb, Microsoft, and Netflix [3]. - Palantir has 485 customers, with significant contract values, closing 157 deals of at least $1 million in Q2 alone [6]. Group 5: Business Segments - The U.S. government is Palantir's largest customer, but its commercial business is growing even faster, with expectations of an 85% increase in commercial revenue this year [7]. Group 6: Investment Outlook - Palantir is viewed as having a larger opportunity compared to Figma, despite its higher share price reflecting much of its growth potential already [10].
Is Figma the Next Hot Tech Stock to Own?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-11 22:00
Core Viewpoint - Figma's recent public offering has generated significant interest, but concerns about its high valuation and profitability persist as the stock price fluctuates after an initial surge [2][11]. Group 1: Company Overview - Figma went public on July 31, with shares initially trading at $85 and peaking at just under $143 on August 1 [2]. - The company specializes in design and website creation software, facilitating collaboration on projects [1]. - Figma's revenue for the previous year was $749 million, reflecting a 48% year-over-year increase, and sales for the first three months of 2025 reached $228 million, a 46% increase [5]. Group 2: Competitive Position - Figma offers affordable subscription plans, with its full suite costing $16 per month compared to Adobe's $23 for Photoshop and up to $70 for the full Creative Cloud suite [3]. - The company boasts a net dollar retention rate of 132%, indicating that existing customers are spending more [6]. - A notable 95% of Fortune 500 companies utilize Figma, with two-thirds of users being non-designers, showcasing its user-friendly interface [6]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - Despite its growth, Figma has reported operating losses in the past two years, and its earnings per share (EPS) for the first quarter was only $0.04, leading to a high price-to-earnings multiple of around 500 at a share price of $80 [7][8]. - The company's operating expenses are substantial, consuming approximately three-quarters of its revenue, which poses challenges for future earnings growth [8]. - The rise of artificial intelligence in design tools presents competitive threats, potentially limiting Figma's growth and justifying its high valuation [9].
IPO Market Stays Hot With These 2 Debuting Stocks
MarketBeat· 2025-08-11 21:06
Core Viewpoint - The IPO market is experiencing a significant rebound in Q3 2025 after a subdued first half, with companies like Circle Internet Group Inc. and CoreWeave Inc. exceeding expectations upon their public debut [1][4]. Factors Contributing to IPO Rebound - The IPO market was previously subdued due to a poor macro-environment and private companies staying private longer than historical norms [2][3]. - Companies are now averaging nearly 11 years of being private before going public, an increase from the seven-year average in 2014 [3]. - Only 84 IPOs were issued in the first half of 2025, down from over 100 in the same period last year [4]. Recent IPO Performances - Figma Inc. had a remarkable IPO debut, opening at $33 and reaching $115 by the end of the first day, marking a gain of over 200% from the opening price [6][9]. - Figma reported over 13 million active users and $228 million in revenue for Q1 2025, reflecting a 46% year-over-year increase, with a net income of $44.9 million [7]. - MNTN Inc. reported $68.46 million in revenue for its first earnings release as a public company, representing a 25% year-over-year increase [13]. Investor Sentiment and Market Trends - There is a strong demand for IPOs, with nine out of 16 IPOs raising over $50 million occurring in June 2025 [8]. - The sectors driving this demand include artificial intelligence and crypto-related businesses, as evidenced by the strong performances of CoreWeave and Circle [8]. - Anticipation of accommodative monetary policy from the Federal Reserve could further stimulate the IPO market [8].