Guess(GES)

Search documents
Guess(GES) - 2026 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-06-05 20:19
[Q1 FY2026 Performance and Outlook](index=1&type=section&id=GUESS%3F%2C%20INC.%20REPORTS%20FISCAL%20YEAR%202026%20FIRST%20QUARTER%20RESULTS) This section covers the company's first-quarter financial results, management's strategic commentary, and details of the recent rag & bone acquisition [First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=First%20Quarter%20Fiscal%202026%20Results) Guess?, Inc. reported a 9% revenue increase to $648 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, but experienced a GAAP loss per share of $0.65, a significant downturn from the previous year's earnings, with an updated full-year outlook projecting revenue growth between 5.5% and 7.4% and an adjusted EPS of $1.32 to $1.64 Q1 FY2026 Key Metrics | Metric | Value | | :--- | :--- | | Revenues | $648 Million (+9% in USD, +12% in constant currency) | | GAAP Operating Margin | (5.1)% | | Adjusted Operating Margin | (4.0)% | | GAAP Loss per Share | $0.65 | | Adjusted Loss per Share | $0.44 | Updated Full Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook | Metric | Outlook Range | | :--- | :--- | | Revenue Increase (USD) | 5.5% to 7.4% | | GAAP Operating Margin | 3.9% to 4.6% | | Adjusted Operating Margin | 4.4% to 5.1% | | GAAP EPS | $0.87 to $1.11 | | Adjusted EPS | $1.32 to $1.64 | [Management Commentary](index=1&type=section&id=Management%20Commentary) Management expressed encouragement over the first quarter's performance, which surpassed expectations, driven by the successful integration of rag & bone and strong wholesale business in Europe and the Americas, with plans to leverage its diversified business model for future growth and proactive steps taken to mitigate tariff impacts to under $10 million - The better-than-expected performance was attributed to the successful integration of rag & bone and continued momentum in wholesale businesses across Europe and the Americas[4](index=4&type=chunk) - Future growth initiatives include expanding rag & bone into new markets, increasing distribution of the Guess Athleisure line, and launching the Guess Jeans brand to target young consumers[4](index=4&type=chunk) - The company has proactively managed tariff exposure to protect margins, limiting the fiscal year's net impact to less than **$10 million**, which is incorporated into the outlook[4](index=4&type=chunk) [rag & bone Acquisition](index=2&type=section&id=rag%20%26%20bone%20Acquisition) On April 2, 2024, Guess? and WHP Global finalized the acquisition of the fashion brand rag & bone, with Guess? acquiring all operating assets and liabilities, and a 50/50 joint venture acquiring the intellectual property, integrating the business into existing segments from the acquisition date - The company acquired all operating assets and assumed related liabilities of rag & bone[6](index=6&type=chunk) - A **50/50 joint venture** with WHP Global was formed to acquire rag & bone's intellectual property[6](index=6&type=chunk) - As of **April 2, 2024**, rag & bone has been integrated into the company's existing operational segments[6](index=6&type=chunk) [First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Analysis](index=2&type=section&id=First%20Quarter%20Fiscal%202026%20Financial%20Results%20Analysis) This section provides a detailed analysis of the company's overall financial performance and segment-specific results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 [Overall Financial Performance](index=2&type=section&id=Overall%20Financial%20Performance) In Q1 FY2026, the company shifted to a GAAP net loss of $32.9 million from a $13.0 million net profit in the prior year, largely due to a $4.3 million unrealized loss on derivatives compared to a $38.5 million gain previously, with net revenue increasing by 9% to $647.8 million, but the GAAP operating loss widened by 67.5% to $33.3 million, and the operating margin declined from -3.4% to -5.1% YoY, influenced by unfavorable business mix and higher impairment charges Q1 FY2026 vs. Q1 FY2025 Performance | Metric | Q1 FY2026 | Q1 FY2025 | Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Revenue | $647.8M | $591.9M | +9.0% | | GAAP Net Earnings (Loss) | ($32.9M) | $13.0M | -353% | | GAAP Diluted EPS (Loss) | ($0.65) | $0.23 | -383% | | Adjusted Net Loss | ($22.3M) | ($13.8M) | +61% | | Adjusted Diluted EPS (Loss) | ($0.44) | ($0.27) | +63% | | GAAP Loss from Operations | ($33.3M) | ($19.9M) | +67.5% | | GAAP Operating Margin | (5.1)% | (3.4)% | -1.7 p.p. | - The significant swing from net earnings to net loss was primarily driven by a net **$4.3 million unrealized loss on derivatives**, compared to a net **$38.5 million unrealized gain** in the prior-year quarter[7](index=7&type=chunk)[13](index=13&type=chunk) [Segment Performance](index=2&type=section&id=Segment%20Performance) Revenue growth was led by Americas Wholesale (+63%), Americas Retail (+9%), and Europe (+8%), while Asia revenues fell by 20% and Licensing by 14%, with operating margins declining across most segments, Americas Retail dropping to -10.5% and Asia turning to a negative margin of -3.1% from a positive 5.1% last year, and only the Licensing segment seeing a slight margin improvement Segment Revenue Performance (YoY) | Segment | Revenue Change (USD) | Revenue Change (Constant Currency) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Americas Wholesale | +63% | +70% | | Americas Retail | +9% | +12% | | Europe | +8% | +9% | | Licensing | -14% | -14% | | Asia | -20% | -16% | Segment Operating Margin Performance | Segment | Q1 FY2026 Operating Margin | Q1 FY2025 Operating Margin | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Americas Wholesale | 19.9% | 22.7% | | Americas Retail | (10.5)% | (7.2)% | | Europe | (2.9)% | (0.2)% | | Asia | (3.1)% | 5.1% | | Licensing | 92.1% | 92.0% | - Retail comparable sales (including e-commerce) decreased across all regions: Americas Retail (**-11%**), Asia (**-24%**), and Europe (**-4%**) in U.S. dollars[10](index=10&type=chunk) [Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook](index=5&type=section&id=Outlook) This section outlines the company's financial projections for the full fiscal year 2026 and the second quarter, including revenue, operating margin, EPS, and free cash flow forecasts [Company Outlook](index=5&type=section&id=Company%20Outlook) For the full fiscal year 2026, Guess? anticipates a revenue increase between 5.5% and 7.4%, with an adjusted operating margin of 4.4% to 5.1% and adjusted EPS between $1.32 and $1.64, while the outlook for the second quarter projects revenue growth of 2.9% to 4.7% and an adjusted EPS of $0.11 to $0.21 Fiscal 2026 Full Year and Q2 Outlook | Metric | Second Quarter of Fiscal 2026 | Full Fiscal 2026 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Revenue Increase (USD) | 2.9% to 4.7% | 5.5% to 7.4% | | GAAP Operating Margin | 2.5% to 3.3% | 3.9% to 4.6% | | Adjusted Operating Margin | 2.5% to 3.3% | 4.4% to 5.1% | | GAAP Diluted EPS | $0.11 to $0.18 | $0.87 to $1.11 | | Adjusted Diluted EPS | $0.11 to $0.21 | $1.32 to $1.64 | - The full-year adjusted operating margin outlook of **4.4% to 5.1%** is derived from a GAAP outlook of **3.9% to 4.6%** after accounting for restructuring charges, asset impairments, and other costs[18](index=18&type=chunk) [Free Cash Flow Outlook](index=6&type=section&id=Free%20Cash%20Flow%20Outlook) The company projects a free cash flow of approximately $55 million for the full fiscal year 2026, based on an expected $125 million in net cash from operating activities, offset by $65 million in property and equipment purchases and $5 million in payments for finance leases Fiscal 2026 Free Cash Flow Outlook (in millions) | Item | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $125 | | Less: Purchases of property and equipment | ($65) | | Less: Payments for property and equipment under finance leases | ($5) | | **Free cash flow** | **$55** | [Shareholder Returns and Other Information](index=7&type=section&id=Shareholder%20Returns%20and%20Other%20Information) This section details the company's dividend policy and provides an overview of its global retail store and concession data [Dividends](index=7&type=section&id=Dividends) The Board of Directors has approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share on the company's common stock, payable on July 3, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 18, 2025 - A quarterly cash dividend of **$0.30 per share** has been approved[22](index=22&type=chunk) - The dividend is payable on **July 3, 2025**, to shareholders of record on **June 18, 2025**[22](index=22&type=chunk) [Store and Concession Data](index=19&type=section&id=Retail%20Store%20Data) As of May 3, 2025, Guess? and its partners operated 1,601 retail stores globally, an increase of 20 stores from the previous year, with the total number of directly operated stores growing to 1,074 from 1,048, while partner-operated stores slightly decreased Global Store Count Comparison | Store Type | As of May 3, 2025 | As of May 4, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total Stores | 1,601 | 1,581 | | Directly Operated | 1,074 | 1,048 | | Partner Operated | 527 | 533 | [Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements](index=11&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) This section presents the company's condensed consolidated income statements, balance sheet data, cash flow information, and reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted results [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss)](index=11&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Income%20(Loss)) For the first quarter of FY2026, the company reported net revenue of $647.8 million, up from $591.9 million in the prior year, but increased cost of product sales and higher SG&A expenses led to a loss from operations of $33.3 million, a significant increase from the $19.9 million loss in the same period last year, resulting in a final net loss attributable to Guess?, Inc. of $32.9 million, a reversal from a $13.0 million net earning in Q1 FY2025 Q1 Income Statement Highlights (in thousands) | Line Item | Three Months Ended May 3, 2025 | Three Months Ended May 4, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net revenue | $647,801 | $591,943 | | Gross profit | $258,457 | $248,101 | | Loss from operations | $(33,308) | $(19,888) | | Net earnings (loss) attributable to Guess?, Inc. | $(32,928) | $13,022 | [Reconciliation of GAAP Results to Adjusted Results](index=12&type=section&id=Reconciliation%20of%20GAAP%20Results%20to%20Adjusted%20Results) The company's GAAP net loss of $32.9 million was adjusted to a non-GAAP net loss of $22.3 million for the quarter, with key adjustments including adding back $6.1 million in asset impairment charges and a $4.3 million loss from the fair value remeasurement of derivatives, aiming to provide a clearer view of underlying business performance by excluding non-recurring or non-operational items Reconciliation of GAAP to Adjusted Net Loss (in thousands) | Description | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | **Reported GAAP net loss attributable to Guess?, Inc.** | **$(32,928)** | | Asset impairment charges | $6,089 | | Fair value remeasurement of derivatives | $4,253 | | Proposed transaction costs | $1,834 | | Other adjustments (net) | $(1,468) | | **Adjusted net loss attributable to Guess?, Inc.** | **$(22,260)** | [Selected Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet Data](index=17&type=section&id=Selected%20Condensed%20Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheet%20Data) As of May 3, 2025, the company's balance sheet showed total assets of $2.86 billion, with cash and cash equivalents at $151.2 million, a decrease from $241.7 million a year prior, inventories increasing to $638.2 million from $554.9 million YoY, and total stockholders' equity declining to $483.6 million from $565.5 million in the previous year Key Balance Sheet Items (in thousands) | Account | May 3, 2025 | May 4, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Cash and cash equivalents | $151,192 | $241,654 | | Inventories | $638,188 | $554,903 | | Total assets | $2,863,425 | $2,748,641 | | Total liabilities | $2,329,838 | $2,140,808 | | Guess?, Inc. stockholders' equity | $483,566 | $565,473 | [Condensed Consolidated Cash Flow Data](index=18&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Cash%20Flow%20Data) In the first quarter, net cash used in operating activities was $73.4 million, a significant increase from the $22.9 million used in the prior-year period, with net cash used in investing activities at $22.5 million, resulting in a negative free cash flow of $96.4 million, deteriorating from a negative $45.6 million in the same quarter last year Cash Flow Summary (in thousands) | Cash Flow Activity | Three Months Ended May 3, 2025 | Three Months Ended May 4, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net cash used in operating activities | $(73,412) | $(22,921) | | Net cash used in investing activities | $(22,479) | $(77,923) | | Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities | $52,551 | $(15,720) | Free Cash Flow Reconciliation (in thousands) | Line Item | Three Months Ended May 3, 2025 | Three Months Ended May 4, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net cash used in operating activities | $(73,412) | $(22,921) | | Less: Purchases of property and equipment | $(21,907) | $(21,100) | | Less: Payments for property and equipment under finance leases | $(1,103) | $(1,533) | | **Free cash flow** | **$(96,422)** | **$(45,554)** |
Guess? Q1 Earnings Coming Up: What Investors Need to Understand
ZACKS· 2025-06-03 13:20
Key Takeaways GES expects Q1 sales to rise 5.8-7.5%, signaling wholesale gains in Europe and the Americas. Q1 loss is expected for GES despite revenue growth, as cost pressures and price sensitivity weigh. GES maintains a projected net currency headwind for FY26, with Q1 expected to be the most impacted.Guess?, Inc. (GES) is likely to register top-line growth when it reports first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on June 5. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $631 million, implying a 6.6% i ...
How Will Guess Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-05-28 12:05
Group 1 - Guess is set to announce its fiscal first-quarter earnings on May 29, 2025, with analysts forecasting earnings of -69 cents per share and revenue of $631 million, compared to -24 cents per share and $592 million in the previous year [1] - The company has faced challenges in the Americas sector, including elevated stock levels and substantial markdowns, which have adversely affected profitability [2] - Guess's acquisition of Rag & Bone is aiding revenue growth, but profit margins have sharply declined [2] Group 2 - The company is reevaluating its strategy in China, shifting from direct operations to a potential collaboration with a local firm [2] - In North America, Guess plans to shut approximately 20 underperforming stores due to ongoing reductions in foot traffic [2] - The company holds a market capitalization of $574 million, with revenue of $3.0 billion, operational profits of $173 million, and net income of $60 million over the past twelve months [2] Group 3 - Historically, Guess stock has seen an increase 63% of the time following earnings reports, with a median one-day gain of 10.3% and a maximum increase of 26% [1] - There have been 19 earnings data points logged over the last five years, with 12 positive and 7 negative one-day returns recorded [5] - Positive one-day returns occurred approximately 63% of the time, dropping to 55% when considering data from the last 3 years [5]
Earnings Preview: Guess (GES) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 15:06
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Guess (GES) despite higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Guess is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.51 per share, reflecting an 88.9% decline year-over-year [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $630.96 million, indicating a 6.6% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 15% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Guess is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -40.59% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a solid Zacks Rank have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time [8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Guess exceeded earnings expectations with a surprise of +4.96%, reporting earnings of $1.48 per share against an expectation of $1.41 [12]. - Over the past four quarters, Guess has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13]. Conclusion - Guess does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, but other factors should also be considered for investment decisions [16].
Guess(GES) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-04-11 20:46
Financial Performance - The company reported a significant increase in revenue, with a year-over-year growth of 15% to $1.5 billion[7]. - The gross margin improved to 45%, up from 42% in the previous year, due to cost-saving initiatives[7]. - The company provided an optimistic outlook, projecting a revenue growth of 10-12% for the next fiscal year[7]. User Engagement - User data showed a 20% increase in active users, reaching 5 million by the end of the quarter[7]. Product Development - New product launches contributed to a 25% increase in sales in the last quarter, with the introduction of three new product lines[7]. - The company is investing $100 million in research and development for new technologies over the next two years[7]. Market Expansion - The company is expanding its market presence, planning to enter two new international markets by Q3 2024[7]. Strategic Initiatives - A strategic acquisition was completed, enhancing the company's technology capabilities and expected to generate $50 million in annual synergies[7]. - A new sustainability initiative was launched, targeting a 30% reduction in carbon emissions by 2025[7]. - The company aims to reduce operational costs by 15% through efficiency improvements in supply chain management[7]. Risks and Challenges - The company faces various risks including currency fluctuations, which could adversely impact financial condition and results of operations[19]. - The company may be affected by economic sanctions and export controls targeting Russia, which could harm business operations[19]. - The company has experienced slowing in-person customer traffic, potentially reducing sales and increasing pressure on margins[19]. - The company’s Americas Wholesale business is highly concentrated, and a decrease in purchases from any large customer could negatively impact business[21]. - The company is subject to risks related to legal and regulatory matters, which could adversely affect business and financial performance[21]. - The company’s ability to attract and retain key personnel is critical, as failure to do so could harm business operations[21]. - The company may not fully realize expected cost savings from cost-saving initiatives, which could impact profitability[19]. - The company’s reliance on its intellectual property poses risks, as methods of protection may not be adequate[19]. - The company’s stock price may be volatile, influenced by fluctuations in quarterly performance and market conditions[21]. - The company’s co-founders own a significant percentage of common stock, which may lead to differing interests from other shareholders[21].
Guess? Joins Forces With Sequel to Launch High-End rag & bone Watches
ZACKS· 2025-04-11 11:45
Core Insights - Guess?, Inc. is expanding its presence in the premium accessories market through a new five-year licensing partnership with Sequel to develop a line of premium watches under the rag & bone brand, with the first collection set to launch in fall 2025 [1][2] - This strategic move aims to leverage Sequel's expertise in high-quality fashion watches, targeting a more upscale consumer base and enhancing rag & bone's product offerings [2][3] - The company is positioned for sustained growth due to strategic acquisitions, strong performance in international markets, and an expanding product portfolio [4] Company Strategy - The partnership with Sequel combines design aesthetics, brand equity, and operational know-how, allowing Guess? to strengthen its footprint in the premium fashion accessories segment [3] - Guess? is focusing on growing direct-to-consumer channels and maintaining disciplined cost management to deliver long-term shareholder value [4] Market Environment - The company acknowledges challenges in the consumer environment, including cautious spending due to inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions affecting global supply chains [5] - Despite these challenges, Guess? has shown resilience compared to the industry, with its shares losing 24.3% over the past three months, slightly better than the industry's 26.8% decline [6]
Guess? Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Increase 4.6% Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-04-04 17:20
Core Insights - Guess?, Inc. (GES) reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results with both net sales and earnings surpassing Zacks Consensus Estimates, although earnings decreased compared to the previous year [1][3] - The sales growth was primarily attributed to the acquisition of rag & bone and modest gains in GES's core operations [1][4] Financial Performance - Adjusted quarterly earnings were $1.48 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.41, but down 26.4% from $2.01 in the prior-year period [3] - Net revenues reached $932.3 million, a 4.6% year-over-year increase, surpassing the consensus mark of $899 million; on a constant-currency basis, revenues rose 9% [4] - Gross margin contracted to 44.1% from 45.4% in the year-ago quarter, while SG&A expenses as a percentage of sales increased to 32.8% from 29.1% [5] Segment Performance - Americas Retail segment revenues rose 4% in U.S. dollars, but retail comparable sales declined 14% [7] - Americas Wholesale revenues surged 63% on a reported basis, but the operating margin fell to 12.8% due to newly acquired businesses [8] - Europe segment revenues increased 2% on a reported basis, with retail comp sales remaining flat [9] - Asia revenues decreased 15% on a reported basis, with retail comp sales dropping 16% [10] Financial Health - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $187.7 million and long-term debt of approximately $150.7 million [11] - Free cash flow for fiscal 2025 was $29.8 million, with expectations of $55 million for fiscal 2026 [11] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2026, GES anticipates revenue growth of 3.9-6.2% and adjusted EPS of $1.32-$1.76, down from $1.96 in fiscal 2025 [13] - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, management expects revenue growth of 5.8-7.5% but anticipates a loss of 74-65 cents per share on an adjusted basis [14]
Guess(GES) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-04 07:43
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4, revenues increased by 5% to $932 million, with an adjusted growth of 14% when accounting for currency and last year's extra week [12][53] - For the full year, revenues grew by 8% in U.S. dollars to $3 billion, and by 10% in constant currency [21] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 was $1.48, down from $2.01 in the previous year [66] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Rag & Bone acquisition contributed 9 points to the 14% growth, while the core guest business contributed 5 points [12] - The licensing business grew by 18% in Q4, driven by strong performance in footwear, fragrances, handbags, and eyewear [15][61] - The Americas retail business saw a 14% constant currency comp decline, while the European retail business had a 5% constant currency comp increase [15][56] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, revenues grew by 2% to $494 million, with a constant currency growth of 13% [53] - Asia revenues decreased by 15% to $70 million, with a constant currency decline of 4% [60] - The U.S. and Canadian stores experienced a 14% comp decline, while e-commerce in the region delivered an 8% increase in constant currency [55][56] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to strengthen brand awareness and customer engagement, improve retail store and e-commerce productivity, and optimize its business model for better profitability [22][51] - Plans include opening new stores for Rag & Bone and Guess Jeans, with a focus on expanding in Europe and Asia [92][128] - The company is exploring the integration of its infrastructures across different regions to improve cost structure and profitability [35][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged challenges such as inflationary pressures, the Red Sea crisis, and traffic declines in retail stores [10][70] - Despite these challenges, the company expects revenue growth in fiscal 2026 between 3.9% and 6.2%, with adjusted operating margins between 4.5% and 5.4% [47][79] - The company plans to address consumer price sensitivity by expanding entry price point offerings [32][105] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $563 million in inventory, a 21% increase, primarily due to the Rag & Bone acquisition [66] - A new Chief Financial Officer, Alberto Toni, will join the company in June, bringing extensive experience [24] - The board approved a quarterly cash dividend of 30 cents per share [70] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the drivers for Rag & Bone's growth? - Management expressed excitement about the Rag & Bone acquisition, highlighting strong e-commerce performance and plans for new store openings in Europe and North America [90][92] Question: What is the strategy for the Americas business? - Management discussed plans to improve retail productivity through exclusive product collections and a speed-to-market model to capitalize on current trends [100][102] Question: What is the opportunity for Guess Jeans? - Management noted strong initial performance in Europe and plans for expansion in the U.S. and Japan, with a focus on sustainability and appealing to younger customers [120][128]
Markets Tank on Tariff Policy; Services PMI and Guess? Beat
ZACKS· 2025-04-03 23:10
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced one of its worst trading days recently, with major indexes closing at session lows due to newly imposed tariffs on trading partners, leading to increased market uncertainty [1][2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1,679 points, a decrease of 3.98%, while the S&P 500 dropped 274 points, or 4.84%. The Nasdaq saw a significant loss of 1,050 points, down 5.97%, and the Russell 2000 fell by 134 points, a decline of 6.59% [2] Economic Indicators - The final S&P U.S. Services PMI for March was reported at 54.4, slightly above estimates and 10 basis points higher than the previous month. The ISM Services index remained above the 50% threshold at 50.8%, although it was lower than the expected 52.9% and the prior month's 53.5% [3][4] - Analysts anticipate a potential drop in the ISM Services index in the upcoming month, given its proximity to the 50-level [4] Company Performance - Specialty retailer Guess? reported fiscal Q4 earnings of $1.48 per share, exceeding Zacks consensus estimates by 7 cents, with revenues of $932 million surpassing the anticipated $899 million [5] - The company has adjusted its full-fiscal year guidance to reflect growth of 3.9%-6.2%, with EPS guidance revised to a range of $1.32-$1.76 per share, down from a previous expectation of $2.02 per share [6] - Despite an 11% sell-off prior to the earnings report, Guess? shares showed only a slight decline in late trading [6] Labor Market Expectations - The upcoming nonfarm payroll report is expected to show the addition of 135,000 to 140,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate remaining steady at 4.1% [7] - Wage growth is anticipated to remain stable both month-over-month and year-over-year, indicating a healthy labor market despite mild job losses reflected in weekly jobless claims [8]
Guess(GES) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-03 20:45
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4, revenues increased by 5% to $932 million, with an adjusted growth of 14% when accounting for currency and last year's extra week [12][53] - For the full year, revenues grew by 8% in U.S. dollars to $3 billion, and by 10% in constant currency [21] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 was $1.48, down from $2.01 in the previous year [66] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Rag & Bone acquisition contributed 9 points to the 14% growth, while the core guest business added 5 points [12] - The licensing business grew by 18% in Q4, driven by strong performance in footwear, fragrances, handbags, and eyewear [15][61] - The Americas retail business saw a 14% constant currency comp decline, while the European retail business had a 5% constant currency comp increase [15][56] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, revenues grew by 2% to $494 million, with a constant currency growth of 13% [53] - Asia revenues decreased by 15% to $70 million, with a constant currency decline of 4% [60] - The U.S. and Canadian guest stores experienced a 14% comp decline, while e-commerce in the region also faced challenges [15][56] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to strengthen brand awareness and customer engagement, focusing on improving retail store and e-commerce productivity [22][51] - Plans include optimizing the business model, enhancing product offerings, and expanding into new markets such as India and the Middle East [22][43] - The company is exploring the integration of its infrastructures across different regions to improve cost structure and profitability [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged challenges such as inflationary pressures, traffic declines in retail stores, and the impact of the U.S. dollar on revenues and margins [10][70] - For fiscal year 2026, the company expects revenue growth between 3.9% and 6.2%, with adjusted operating margins between 4.5% and 5.4% [47][79] - Management remains optimistic about growth opportunities, particularly with the Rag & Bone brand and the new Guess Jeans initiative [44][120] Other Important Information - The company plans to close approximately 20 non-strategic stores in North America by the end of the year [39][76] - A new Chief Financial Officer, Alberto Toni, will join the company in June, bringing extensive experience [24] - The company ended the quarter with $563 million in inventory, a 21% increase, largely due to the Rag & Bone acquisition [66] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the drivers for Rag & Bone's growth? - Management expressed excitement about the Rag & Bone acquisition, highlighting strong e-commerce performance and plans for new store openings in Europe and North America [90][92] Question: What is the strategy for the Americas business? - Management discussed plans to improve retail productivity through exclusive product collections and a speed-to-market model to capitalize on current trends [100][102] Question: What opportunities exist for Guess Jeans? - Management noted strong initial performance in Europe and plans for expansion in the U.S. and Japan, emphasizing the brand's alignment with younger consumers [120][129]