巧克力制造商好时(HSY.US)盘初一度涨超6.8%，最高触及199美元，创去年12月以来新高。消息面上， 好时第二季度净销售额为26.1亿美元，同比增长26%，分析师预期为25.2亿美元；调整后每股收益为 1.21美元，分析师预期为0.99美元。(格隆汇) ...

来源：格隆汇APP 展望全年，好时预计调整后每股收益在5.81至6美元之间，之前预期为6至6.18美元，分析师预期为5.91 美元。公司预计关税相关支出将在1.7亿至1.8亿美元之间，此前预期为1500万至2000万美元。 格隆汇7月30日｜巧克力制造商好时公布第二季度业绩，净销售额为26.1亿美元，同比增长26%，分析 师预期为25.2亿美元；调整后每股收益为1.21美元，去年同期为1.27美元，分析师预期为0.99美元。 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is experiencing top-line momentum and has profit recovery plans underway, indicating a positive outlook despite previous headwinds [12][13] - The pricing actions taken are expected to have a mid-teens impact on revenue in 2026, with 80% of the profit benefit anticipated to materialize in that year [80][89] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The instant consumables segment is gaining share and growing ahead of the category, driven by effective distribution and innovation strategies [65] - The salty snacks portfolio, including brands like Dots and Skinny Pop, is performing well due to strong consumer acceptance and marketing efforts [53][54] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chocolate category is seeing overall growth, attributed to innovation, emotional well-being benefits of products, and effective retail partnerships [38][40] - Cocoa prices remain inflationary, but there are signs of potential recovery in the cocoa market, with expectations of a modest surplus in the upcoming crop [105][106] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on long-term investments in brands and capabilities to drive sustainable growth, with a commitment to margin recovery through pricing adjustments [12][78] - The new CEO, Kirk, is expected to leverage his extensive experience in consumer packaged goods to further enhance the company's growth trajectory [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the future, citing ongoing discussions regarding potential tariff exemptions for cocoa, which could positively impact costs [44] - The company is closely monitoring consumer trends, particularly regarding health and wellness, to ensure its product offerings align with evolving consumer preferences [73] Other Important Information - The company is planning significant innovation initiatives for the upcoming year, including major marketing events tied to the Olympics and new product launches [32][38] - The management team is committed to maintaining agility in response to market conditions, particularly regarding pricing elasticity and consumer demand [125][126] Q&A Session Summary Question: Is there a need for a reset in earnings and margins with the new CEO? - Management believes there is no need for a reset as the company has consistently invested in growth and has momentum on its side [12][14] Question: What is the expected elasticity of pricing actions? - The company anticipates a one-to-one elasticity for the new pricing, with favorable conditions compared to historical data [19][20] Question: How is the company addressing cocoa cost inflation? - Pricing actions are expected to significantly impact margin recovery, but will not fully offset cocoa inflation experienced up to 2025 [28][30] Question: What is the outlook for the instant consumables segment? - The company is seeing growth in this segment due to effective distribution and innovation, with expectations for continued improvement [65][66] Question: How is the company planning for potential tariff exemptions? - Management is optimistic about ongoing discussions regarding tariff exemptions for cocoa, which could alleviate some cost pressures [44] Question: What is the strategy for the salty snacks portfolio? - The company is focusing on flavor innovation and marketing to drive growth in the salty snacks category, leveraging consumer trends [53][54] Question: How is the company managing tax rate challenges? - The company is facing challenges with tax rates due to various factors, including lower income and changes in tax credit availability, which are expected to persist into 2026 [117][119]

Core Insights - The collaboration between OREO® and REESE'S brands aims to meet consumer demand for innovative snacking experiences by combining their iconic flavors [2][4] - The new products include the OREO® REESE'S Cookie and the REESE'S OREO® Cup, both designed to appeal to fans of both brands [3][4] Product Details - The OREO® REESE'S Cookie features OREO® chocolate sandwich cookies filled with REESE'S peanut buttery crème and OREO cookie crumbs [3] - The REESE'S OREO® Cup combines milk chocolate and white crème peanut butter cups with OREO® cookie crumbs, representing a significant collaboration between the two brands [4] Availability - Both products will be available for presale starting August 18, 2025, with nationwide rollout planned for September 2025 [5][6] - The OREO® REESE'S Cookies will return to shelves as part of the OREO brand's portfolio in January 2026 [6] Company Background - The Hershey Company, which owns the REESE'S brand, generates over $11.2 billion in annual revenues and operates in approximately 70 countries [8] - OREO® is a leading cookie brand, selling over 60 billion cookies annually, with more than 20 billion sold in the U.S. [10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is expecting a mid-teens impact from pricing actions in 2026, with 80% of the profit benefit anticipated to occur in that year [75][80] - The company noted that the pricing increase is primarily to recover cocoa inflation and does not fully compensate for the inflation experienced up to 2025 [24][80] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The instant consumables segment is gaining share and growing ahead of the category, with significant improvements in distribution and productivity [60] - The salty snacks segment, particularly Dots and Skinny Pop, is performing well due to strong consumer acceptance and innovative marketing strategies [48][50] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chocolate category is experiencing growth driven by innovation, emotional well-being, and strategic partnerships with retailers [34] - The company is optimistic about the cocoa supply dynamics, expecting a modest surplus and improved agricultural practices in West Africa [99][100] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on long-term investments in brands and capabilities to drive sustainable growth, with a commitment to margin recovery through pricing and cost savings [10][72] - The new CEO, Kirk, is expected to leverage his extensive experience in consumer packaged goods to enhance the company's strategic direction [15][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism regarding the potential for tariff exemptions on cocoa, indicating that discussions with the government are progressing positively [40] - The company is monitoring consumer trends related to health and wellness, with no significant impact expected from GLP-1 medications in 2025 [67] Other Important Information - The company is planning significant marketing investments and innovation initiatives for the upcoming year, including major events like the Olympics [28][66] - The company is actively working on optimizing its supply chain to mitigate tariff impacts and enhance operational efficiency [92] Q&A Session Summary Question: Is there a need for a reset in earnings and margins with the new CEO? - Management believes there is no need for a reset, as the company has consistently invested in growth and has momentum on its side [12] Question: What is the expected elasticity for the new pricing? - The company anticipates a one-to-one elasticity for the new pricing, with favorable conditions compared to historical data [17][18] Question: How will pricing impact the P&L in 2026? - Pricing actions are expected to significantly improve margins, but will not fully recover cocoa inflation experienced up to 2025 [24][25] Question: What is the outlook for the Halloween season? - Management is optimistic about Halloween sales, citing strong retailer plans and consumer trends [43] Question: How is the company addressing competition in the instant consumables segment? - The company is gaining share through improved distribution and innovative marketing strategies [60] Question: What are the expectations for cocoa supply and pricing? - Management is optimistic about cocoa supply dynamics, expecting a modest surplus and improved agricultural practices [99][100] Question: How is the company planning to mitigate tariff impacts? - The company is focusing on supply chain optimization and is hopeful for tariff exemptions on cocoa [92][40]

在与分析师的电话会议的发言中，首席财务官史蒂夫·沃斯库尔(Steve Voskul)表示："鉴于可可这一大宗 原料无法在美国本土种植，我们仍对贸易谈判中与重要贸易伙伴的关税政策改善抱以希望，"但他补充 表示，该公司今年并未计入任何程度的关税减免。 7月22日，改公司宣布由于可可大宗商品价格处于历史最高位附近，将把巧克力与糖果等好时品牌的零 食价格上调至双位数幅度。此次提价不仅提高了标价，也通过减少包装内糖果重量和数量(即"收缩通 胀"策略)来调整该公司在关税与高原料成本重压之下的经营策略。这是继去年提价后的又一次显著调 价。 过去两年，可可大宗商品价格因象牙海岸和加纳(两国通常占全球可可供应规模逾60%)遭遇病害和恶劣 天气导致供应短缺而持续大幅飙升。 本月早些时候，好时任命柯克·坦纳(Kirk Tanner)为下一任总裁兼首席执行官。坦纳此前担任温迪公司总 裁兼首席执行官，他将于8月18日走马上任。 这家总部位于宾夕法尼亚州，主要生产巧克力类零食以及Reese花生酱杯的零食制造商现在预测，全年 经调整后的每股收益将下降36%至38%。而在5月，该公司曾预计调整后每股收益将下滑约35%，但当时 并未纳入全年关 ...

分组1 - Hershey reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.01 per share, but down from $1.27 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +19.80% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $2.61 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.62%, and up from $2.07 billion year-over-year [2] - Hershey has outperformed the S&P 500, with shares increasing about 10% since the beginning of the year compared to the S&P 500's gain of 8.3% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.26 on revenues of $3.14 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $5.77 on revenues of $11.52 billion [7] - The Food - Confectionery industry, to which Hershey belongs, is currently ranked in the top 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 26% increase in net sales compared to the same period last year, with organic constant currency net sales growth of 26.3% driven by net price realization of approximately five points and volume growth of approximately 21 points [26] - Adjusted gross margin decreased by five to ten basis points to 38.1% due to commodity inflation and incremental tariff expenses, although gross margin was higher than expected due to timing of cocoa hedges and lower tariff expenses [30][37] - Adjusted earnings per share declined by 4.7% year over year, impacted by incremental commodity costs and a higher tax rate [34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America Confectionery segment net sales grew by 32%, with volume increasing by 25%, benefiting from Easter timing and inventory changes related to ERP system implementation [27] - North America Salty Snacks segment net sales increased by 8.8%, with volume growth of over 4% driven by brands like Dots and Skinny Pop [28] - The International segment saw a 4.4% increase in net sales, but volume growth was below expectations due to category softness in Mexico and lower export demand [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hershey's U.S. retail sales for candy, mint, and gum increased by 21.8%, outpacing the category growth of 17.9% [8] - The company gained approximately 90 basis points in market share, with everyday chocolate retail takeaway accelerating to 6.7% [9] - In the International segment, constant currency net sales increased double digits in Brazil, while growth in Europe was mid-single digits, led by the U.K. [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to be a leading snacking powerhouse, with a focus on balanced growth and mitigating cocoa inflation through productivity and strategic pricing [7][19] - Hershey announced a new price action on its U.S. Confection portfolio, which represents roughly 80% of total net sales, expected to deliver an estimated 16 points of pricing contribution [23] - The company is implementing a Smart Complexity initiative to simplify packaging and optimize manufacturing efficiency, raising its savings target to $400 million [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the underlying trajectory of the business, expecting robust results to continue in the second half of the year [19] - The company anticipates adjusted earnings per share to decline between 36% and 38% for the year, reflecting higher cocoa costs and tariff expenses [37] - Management remains hopeful for improvements in tariff conditions over time, although no relief is planned for 2025 [36] Other Important Information - The company announced the appointment of Kirk Tanner as the new President and CEO, effective August 18, following Michele Buck's retirement [5][6] - Hershey's advertising and related consumer marketing expenses increased by 35.5% in the second quarter, reflecting the timing of expenses in prior years [30] - Capital expenditures for the second quarter were $231 million, with full-year expectations between $425 million and $450 million [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for cocoa prices and inflation? - Management indicated that cocoa prices remain volatile and elevated, with expectations of inflation in cocoa input costs year over year in 2026 [20][21] Question: How is the company addressing tariff impacts? - The company has embedded incremental tariff costs in its full-year outlook and is taking steps to mitigate tariff exposures over time [36] Question: What is the outlook for the International segment? - The full-year constant currency segment net sales growth outlook for the International segment remains low single digits, with expectations for reacceleration in the second half [18]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 26% increase in net sales compared to the same period last year, with organic constant currency net sales growth of 26.3% driven by net price realization of approximately five points and volume growth of approximately 21 points [29] - Adjusted gross margin decreased by five to ten basis points to 38.1% due to commodity inflation and incremental tariff expenses, although gross margin was higher than expected due to timing of cocoa hedges and lower tariff expenses [33][40] - Adjusted earnings per share declined by 4.7% year over year, impacted by incremental commodity costs and a higher tax rate [37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America Confectionery segment net sales grew by 32%, with volume increasing by 25%, benefiting from Easter timing and inventory changes related to ERP system implementation [30] - North America Salty Snacks segment net sales increased by 8.8%, with volume growth of over 4% driven by Dots and Skinny Pop [31] - International segment net sales increased by 4.4%, but volume growth was below expectations primarily due to category softness in Mexico and lower export market demand [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hershey's U.S. retail sales for candy, mint, and gum increased by 21.8%, outpacing the category increase of 17.9% [8] - The company gained approximately 90 basis points of market share in the non-seasonal candy, mint, and gum category [9] - Constant currency net sales in Brazil increased by double digits, while growth in Europe was mid-single digits led by the U.K. [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to be a leading snacking powerhouse, with a focus on balanced growth and mitigating cocoa inflation through enhanced productivity and strategic pricing [7][21] - A new pricing action on the entirety of the U.S. Confection portfolio is expected to deliver an estimated 16 points of pricing contribution to overall company sales [25] - The company is implementing a Smart Complexity initiative to simplify packaging and optimize manufacturing efficiency, raising its savings target to $400 million [27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the underlying trajectory of the business, expecting robust results to continue in the second half of the year [21] - The company anticipates adjusted earnings per share to decline between 36% to 38% for the year due to higher cocoa costs and tariffs [40] - Management remains hopeful for improvements in tariff conditions but does not plan for relief in 2025 [39] Other Important Information - The company announced the appointment of Kirk Tanner as the new President and CEO, effective August 18 [5] - The Pokémon program has shown strong initial velocities, significantly outperforming other limited-time offers [14] - Capital expenditures in Q2 totaled $231 million, with full-year expectations between $425 million and $450 million [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for the second half of the year? - Management expects an acceleration in performance to 2% to 4% growth, supported by strong innovation and merchandising plans [38] Question: How is the company addressing cocoa inflation? - The company is implementing pricing actions and hedging strategies to manage cocoa costs and restore margins over time [22][28] Question: What is the outlook for international markets? - The full-year constant currency segment net sales growth outlook for international markets remains low single digits, with expectations for reacceleration in the second half [20]

Financial Performance - Hershey lowered its full year profit guidance due to higher tariff costs than previously estimated [1]