Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...

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Trading in leveraged ETFs tied to Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC) is flashing a sharp change in investor sentiment after the chipmaker's latest earnings report. • Intel stock is taking a hit today. What’s weighing on INTC shares?The Direxion Daily INTC Bull 2X ETF (NASDAQ:LINT) , which had surged earlier this year as traders piled into bullish bets ahead of Intel's results, is now in focus as shares of Intel slid roughly 13% in after-hours trading Thursday, and dipped more than 14% after markets opened Friday mor ...

分组1: Memory Prices and Consumer Electronics - Memory prices are significantly impacting consumer electronics, with memory costs accounting for approximately 20% of the bill of materials [2][3] - If memory prices double, it could lead to increased pricing and reduced demand for consumer electronics [3] 分组2: Intel's Supply Constraints - Intel has lowered its guidance for the upcoming quarter due to reported supply constraints, indicating a bottleneck in the supply chain [3] - The demand for Intel's products is not the issue; rather, it is the supply and execution that are causing challenges [4] 分组3: Meta's Strategic Position - Meta is undergoing a strategic shift, particularly in its investments in AI and the metaverse, which may amplify financial results [6][7] - The engagement on Meta's platform, particularly with Threads surpassing X, indicates a strong network effect and user attention [8]

Core Viewpoint - Intel's disappointing forecast is primarily attributed to supply constraints rather than lower-than-expected demand, particularly from AI data centers for traditional CPUs [1][2]. Group 1: Supply Constraints and Production Outlook - Intel anticipates that supply constraints will be most pronounced in the first quarter of the year, with improvements expected as yields increase throughout the year [2]. - The company has faced challenges in ramping up production due to underestimating the demand for server upgrades, which has delayed the availability of new products until the end of Q1 [31][32]. - The CEO indicated that capital expenditures will not increase until significant customer contracts are secured, which may delay production ramp-up for new processes until 2028-2029 [8]. Group 2: Foundry Business and Customer Announcements - Intel's foundry business is a key focus for investors, with expectations for customer announcements related to their new processes, particularly 14A, by the end of this year or early next year [8][41]. - There is speculation that Apple may utilize Intel's upcoming processes, which could enhance Intel's position in the foundry market [5][6]. - The success of Intel's internal product, Panther Lake, has raised optimism about securing external customers for their foundry business [7][42]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Reaction - Intel reported earnings of 15 cents per share, exceeding expectations of 8 cents, marking an 88% beat, although guidance disappointed due to supply issues [14]. - The stock had seen a significant run-up of 46% leading up to the Q4 results, indicating high investor expectations that may have been misaligned with management's messaging [4][30]. - Analysts noted that rising memory prices and limited availability could negatively impact Intel's revenue, particularly in the PC and data center markets [10][45]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Market Position - Intel faces stiff competition in the foundry space, particularly from Taiwan Semiconductor, which holds a 60% market share [16]. - The company is positioned to become a domestic alternative to TSMC, with government and private investments signaling improved confidence in Intel's competitiveness [42]. - The memory chip shortage is expected to limit Intel's ability to capitalize on demand, particularly affecting the client side of their business [45].

Welcome back to Morning Trade Live. Let's focus on chip stocks. Now, Intel is selling off this morning after earnings.More on that momentarily, but here is the price action for the other major names in the space. So, we do have Nvidia high by 1 and a half% right now. AMD is also higher by 4% almost and Broadcom is lower on the day.So, a very mixed split picture across our major semiconductor stocks this morning. So, let's get the details on this. Intel is the focus of the morning trade.Obviously, joining us ...

Core Insights - Intel Corp. reported mixed fourth-quarter results, beating profit expectations but guiding for weaker near-term revenue and flat earnings, indicating uneven progress in its turnaround [1] - The company posted revenue of $13.67 billion, exceeding the consensus of $13.37 billion, while adjusted earnings reached 15 cents per share, surpassing expectations of eight cents [2] - Revenue declined 4% year over year, with strength in Data Center and AI partially offsetting weakness in the Client Computing Group [2] Financial Performance - For the first quarter, Intel forecasts revenue between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, below the Street estimate of $12.49 billion, and guided for breakeven adjusted earnings, contrasting with expectations for a modest profit [2] - Analysts noted that tight chip supply continues to cap shipment volumes, particularly affecting Intel 10 and 7, where much of the company's output is concentrated [3] Analyst Perspectives - Needham analyst maintained a Hold rating, highlighting that Intel's guidance fell below both his forecast and Wall Street's despite beating fourth-quarter expectations [3] - Benchmark analyst reiterated a Buy rating and raised the price forecast to $57 from $50, suggesting that the stock pullback was driven by cautious guidance despite a solid quarter [5] - JP Morgan analyst maintained an Underweight rating and increased the forecast to $35 from $30, citing weaker guidance due to persistent internal wafer capacity limits [6] Market Outlook - Looking ahead, analysts expect Intel to streamline its server roadmap and accelerate product timing to mitigate share losses to Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. [7] - JPMorgan's global team anticipates a 9% decline in PC shipments next year, but demand in Data Center and AI is expected to drive low- to mid-single-digit overall revenue growth for Intel this year [7] Stock Performance - Intel shares were down 15.70% at $45.78 at the time of publication [8]

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分组1 - The company experienced strong data center demand in Q4 but provided weaker guidance for Q1 revenue and gross margins, leading to a 50% drop in shares [1] - Intel's management acknowledged being unprepared for the surge in AI server demand, resulting in capacity constraints on older manufacturing processes [1] - The CEO indicated that chip yields are below desired levels, contributing to further declines in stock value [1] 分组2 - Analysts noted that the stock had risen over 100% in the past year but was deemed overvalued at nearly 83 times 2027 earnings compared to 27 times for the SMH [2][1] - There is a cautious outlook on the company's turnaround, with investors potentially needing to wait longer for improvements [2] - The company is facing challenges in fulfilling demand due to older manufacturing processes and inventory depletion, with expectations of peak supply issues in Q1 [5][6] 分组3 - Nvidia is reportedly receiving favorable treatment from China regarding the approval of H200 chip shipments, which could benefit larger companies like ByteDance and Tencent [8] - The ongoing situation with China remains uncertain, but there are indications that sales of Nvidia chips may proceed [9]

Core Viewpoint - Investors are selling Intel shares after the company reported strong Q4 earnings but provided disappointing guidance, primarily due to demand outpacing supply [1]. Group 1: Earnings and Guidance - Intel's Q4 earnings exceeded market expectations, but the guidance was soft, indicating a mismatch between demand and supply [1]. - The company's management acknowledged that they do not have enough products to meet customer demand [1]. Group 2: Analyst Recommendations - Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya advises investors to sell Intel shares, citing valuation concerns despite the stock being up over 15% year-to-date [2][3]. - Arya's bearish stance is not linked to Intel's outlook but rather to its high valuation compared to competitors like Nvidia [3][4]. - Arya highlighted that Intel's stock is trading at 90 times price earnings, while Nvidia trades at about 25 times [4]. Group 3: Competitive Position and Future Outlook - Arya expressed concerns about Intel's ability to compete with Taiwan Semiconductor in manufacturing and with Nvidia or AMD in design in the near term [4]. - Intel's commitment to establishing chip manufacturing in the US is seen as positive, but it will take another two to three years to realize [6]. - The stock has appreciated ahead of what Intel can realistically deliver by 2026, suggesting a potential sell-off at current levels [6]. Group 4: Price Targets and Market Sentiment - Arya reiterated an "underperform" rating on Intel with a price target of $40, indicating a potential downside of 13% from current levels [7]. - Intel shares are currently above their 20-day moving average, and a drop below $44 could lead to increased downward momentum [7]. - Other Wall Street firms share a similar cautious view, with a consensus rating of "hold" and a mean target of about $41, suggesting over 10% downside potential [9].