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Recent Price Trend in Jefferies (JEF) is Your Friend, Here's Why
ZACKS· 2025-01-07 14:52
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of timing and sustainability in stock trends for successful short-term investing, highlighting that sound fundamentals and positive earnings revisions are crucial for maintaining momentum in stock prices [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Jefferies (JEF) has shown a solid price increase of 25.3% over the past 12 weeks, indicating strong investor interest and potential upside [4]. - The stock has also maintained a price increase of 2.3% over the last four weeks, suggesting that the upward trend is still intact [5]. - Currently, JEF is trading at 96.9% of its 52-week high-low range, indicating a potential breakout [6]. Group 2: Fundamental Strength - JEF holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, which are key indicators of near-term price movements [6]. - The stock has an Average Broker Recommendation of 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting high optimism from the brokerage community regarding its near-term performance [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The "Recent Price Strength" screen is a useful tool for investors looking to identify stocks with strong upward trends supported by solid fundamentals [3]. - The article suggests that JEF may not experience a trend reversal soon, making it a viable option for trend investing [8].
IB & Trading to Aid Jefferies' Q4 Earnings, High Costs to Hurt
ZACKS· 2025-01-07 14:06
Core Viewpoint - Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is expected to report improved fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2024 results, with anticipated growth in revenues and earnings compared to the previous year [1][14]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Expectations - The consensus estimate for Jefferies' earnings is 85 cents per share, indicating a significant year-over-year increase of 183.3% [14]. - The expected sales for the quarter are $1.75 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 46.2% [14]. - Jefferies has a history of earnings surprises, having surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 7.49% [3]. Group 2: Investment Banking Performance - The investment banking (IB) income is projected to rise significantly, with a consensus estimate of $1.03 billion, suggesting a year-over-year increase of 78.8% [8]. - Advisory fees are expected to reach $566.9 million, representing a substantial year-over-year surge of 81.5% [5]. - Debt underwriting fees are estimated at $197.6 million, indicating a 52.6% increase, while equity underwriting fees are projected at $217.1 million, reflecting a 64.2% rise [7]. Group 3: Trading Income - Jefferies' trading business is anticipated to perform well, driven by increased client activity and market volatility, with equity trading revenues expected to be $348 million, a rise of 28.2% from the prior year [10]. - Fixed-income trading revenues are estimated at $220.5 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.1% [10]. - Total capital markets income is projected to be $568.5 million, reflecting an 18.1% increase compared to the previous year [10]. Group 4: Expense Considerations - Overall costs are expected to be elevated due to investments in franchises and technology upgrades, which may offset the benefits of cost reduction strategies [11][12].
Jefferies (JEF) Q4 Earnings Preview: What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-01-03 15:20
Core Viewpoint - Analysts project Jefferies (JEF) will report quarterly earnings of $0.85 per share, a 183.3% increase year over year, with revenues expected to reach $1.75 billion, reflecting a 46.2% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has not changed over the past 30 days, indicating analysts have not revised their initial projections [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are linked to short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Asset Management Net revenues' will reach $148.25 million, a 5.4% year-over-year increase [5]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking and Capital Markets Net revenues' are projected at $1.60 billion, indicating a 51.2% year-over-year increase [5]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Asset Management Net revenues- Investment return' is expected to be $36.30 million, reflecting a 42.3% decrease from the previous year [6]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Capital Markets' is projected to be $568.47 million, a year-over-year increase of 18.1% [6]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Capital Markets- Equities' is estimated at $348.02 million, indicating a 28.2% year-over-year increase [7]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Capital Markets- Fixed income' is expected to be $220.45 million, reflecting a 5.1% year-over-year increase [7]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking- Total underwriting- Advisory' is projected at $566.86 million, an 81.5% increase from the prior year [8]. - The consensus for 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking' stands at $1.03 billion, indicating a 78.8% year-over-year increase [8]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking- Total underwriting- Debt underwriting' is expected to reach $197.56 million, a 52.6% year-over-year increase [9]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking- Total underwriting- Equity underwriting' is projected at $217.07 million, reflecting a 64.3% year-over-year increase [9]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking- Total underwriting' is estimated at $414.63 million, indicating a 58.5% increase from the previous year [10]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Asset Management Net revenues- Asset management fees and revenues' is expected to be $22.01 million, reflecting a 17.7% year-over-year increase [10]. Stock Performance - Jefferies shares have increased by 1.3% over the past month, contrasting with a -2.8% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [11].
Jefferies Financial Group: I Keep Buying This Expensive Stock
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-29 10:26
Core Insights - Mr. Mavroudis is a professional portfolio manager with a focus on risk management and in-depth financial market analysis [1] - He has successfully navigated major crises, including the COVID-19 pandemic and the PSI [1] - Mr. Mavroudis is the CEO of FAST FINANCE Investment Services, a registered Greek company [1] Company Profile - FAST FINANCE Investment Services is registered by the Hellenic Capital Market Commission [1] - The company specializes in managing institutional and private portfolios globally across various financial instruments [1] Professional Background - Mr. Mavroudis holds multiple degrees, including an MSc in Financial and Banking Management, an LLM in Law, and a BSc in Economics, graduating as valedictorian [1] - He is certified in various financial disciplines, including portfolio management and derivatives [1] Engagement and Contribution - Mr. Mavroudis writes daily articles for reputable financial media and participates as a guest commentator on television and online programs [1] - He aims to foster a community of mutual growth and knowledge sharing through his contributions on platforms like Seeking Alpha [1]
Jefferies Shares Hit All-Time High: Will the Uptrend Continue in 2025?
ZACKS· 2024-12-17 14:36
Core Viewpoint - Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) has experienced significant stock price appreciation, reaching an all-time high of $82.04, with a year-to-date increase of 102.3%, outperforming both the industry and the S&P 500 Index [1][2]. Stock Performance - JEF shares surged nearly 27% since the U.S. presidential election on November 5 [1]. - The stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum and price stability [2][5]. Investment Banking (IB) Business Recovery - Jefferies' IB revenues fell sharply in fiscal 2022 and 2023, with declines of 37.9% and 20.7%, respectively. However, there has been a notable recovery, with a 45.6% increase in the first nine months of fiscal 2024 [6][10]. - The revival of the IB business is expected to be driven by a more favorable economic environment and a potential increase in deal-making activities due to recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [10][11]. Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures - Jefferies is strengthening its partnership with Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, collaborating on corporate and IB deals, which has seen a significant increase in deal volume from 30 to around 130 over the past year [14]. - The company's joint ventures, particularly with Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Company and Berkshire Hathaway, are expected to contribute positively to its financials as market conditions improve [13]. Analyst Sentiments and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Jefferies' earnings for fiscal 2024 remains at $2.92, while the estimate for fiscal 2025 has been revised upward to $4.79, indicating a projected growth of 158.4% for fiscal 2024 and 63.9% for fiscal 2025 [15][18]. - The earnings estimates reflect a strong year-over-year growth trajectory, with significant increases anticipated in both current and next fiscal years [18]. Overall Outlook - The combination of a recovering IB business, strategic partnerships, and a strong balance sheet positions Jefferies favorably for future growth, making it an attractive investment opportunity despite its recent stock price highs [19].
Jefferies' Q3 Earnings & Revenues Miss Estimates, Stock Slides 1.1%
ZACKS· 2024-09-26 12:51
Shares of Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) lost 1.1% in after-hours trading in response to lower-than-expected third-quarter fiscal 2024 (ended Aug. 31) results. Adjusted earnings of 75 cents per share lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 80 cents. In the prior-year quarter, the company recorded adjusted earnings of 32 cents. Results were hurt by higher expenses. However, an improvement in net revenues driven by a solid rebound in the investment banking (IB) business acted as a tailwind. The performance of ...
Compared to Estimates, Jefferies (JEF) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2024-09-25 23:00
For the quarter ended August 2024, Jefferies (JEF) reported revenue of $1.68 billion, up 42.4% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.75, compared to $0.32 in the year-ago quarter. The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.72 billion, representing a surprise of -2.25%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -6.25%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.80. While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street ex ...
Jefferies (JEF) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-09-25 22:31
Jefferies (JEF) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.75 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.80 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.32 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for nonrecurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -6.25%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this investment banking and capital markets company would post earnings of $0.63 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.67, delivering a surprise of 6.35%. Over the ...
Ahead of Jefferies (JEF) Q3 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2024-09-20 14:16
Wall Street analysts expect Jefferies (JEF) to post quarterly earnings of $0.80 per share in its upcoming report, which indicates a year-over-year increase of 150%. Revenues are expected to be $1.72 billion, up 45.2% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. This represents how the covering analysts, as a whole, have reassessed their initial estimates during this timeframe. Before a company reveals its earnings, it is vital to take in ...
Why Earnings Season Could Be Great for Jefferies Financial (JEF)
ZACKS· 2024-09-19 13:50
Investors are always looking for stocks that are poised to beat at earnings season and Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) may be one such company. The firm has earnings coming up pretty soon, and events are shaping up quite nicely for their report. That is because Jefferies Financial is seeing favorable earnings estimate revision activity as of late, which is generally a precursor to an earnings beat. After all, analysts raising estimates right before earnings — with the most up-to-date information possib ...