Moody’s(MCO)
Search documents
Moody’s(MCO) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-10-23 20:35
Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 reached $2,007 million, a 10.7% increase from $1,813 million in Q3 2024[16] - Operating income for Q3 2025 was $917 million, up 24.3% from $738 million in Q3 2024[16] - Net income attributable to Moody's for Q3 2025 was $646 million, representing a 21% increase compared to $534 million in Q3 2024[16] - Earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025 were $3.61, a 22.7% increase from $2.94 in Q3 2024[16] - Comprehensive income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,951 million, compared to $1,728 million for the same period in 2024[19] - Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,851 million, an increase from $1,664 million in 2024, representing a growth of 11.2%[24] - Total external revenue of $5,829 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, up from $5,416 million in the same period of 2024, representing a growth of 7.6%[52] - Adjusted Operating Income for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,062 million, compared to $867 million for the same period in 2024, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 22.5%[127] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of September 30, 2025, were $15,415 million, slightly down from $15,505 million at the end of 2024[22] - Total liabilities decreased to $11,303 million from $11,778 million at the end of 2024, indicating improved financial health[22] - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $2,181 million, down from $2,408 million at the end of 2024[22] - Total shareholders' equity increased to $4,068 million as of September 30, 2024, up from $3,938 million at June 30, 2024, reflecting a growth of 3.3%[25] - As of September 30, 2025, total shareholders' equity stood at $4,112 million, an increase from $3,727 million at the end of 2024[35] - The company reported a total long-term debt of $7,168 million, with a carrying value of $6,983 million after adjustments for unamortized discounts and issuance costs[110] Cash Flow and Investments - Net cash provided by operating activities decreased to $2,043 million in 2025 from $2,164 million in 2024, a decline of 5.6%[24] - Cash flows from investing activities showed a net inflow of $44 million in 2025, a significant recovery compared to a net outflow of $875 million in 2024[24] - The company repurchased treasury shares amounting to $1,170 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $812 million in the same period of 2024[24] - Dividends paid in the nine months ended September 30, 2025, totaled $534 million, an increase from $465 million in 2024, marking a rise of 14.8%[24] Revenue Segmentation - Decision Solutions (DS) revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was $424 million, a 10.7% increase from $383 million in the third quarter of 2024[50] - Research and Insights (R&I) revenue increased to $252 million in Q3 2025 from $235 million in Q3 2024, reflecting a growth of 7.2%[50] - Data and Information (D&I) revenue rose to $233 million in Q3 2025, compared to $213 million in Q3 2024, marking a growth of 9.4%[50] - Corporate Finance (CFG) revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was $576 million, up from $515 million in the same quarter of 2024, an increase of 11.8%[51] - Total ratings revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was $1,091 million, a 12.0% increase from $974 million in Q3 2024[52] Restructuring and Efficiency - The company reported a restructuring charge of $21 million in Q3 2025, up from $6 million in Q3 2024, indicating ongoing adjustments in operations[16] - The Strategic and Operational Efficiency Restructuring Program is expected to yield annualized savings of $250 million to $300 million, with completion anticipated by the end of 2026[96] - Total restructuring expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2025, amounted to $21 million, while for the nine months, it was $81 million, leading to a cumulative expense of $126 million[97] Tax and Compliance - The effective tax rate (ETR) for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was 24.2%, up from 23.5% in the same period of 2024, reflecting an increase of 0.7%[68] - The company paid $644 million in income taxes for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $391 million for the same period in 2024, indicating a significant increase of 65%[72] - The company expects to reverse $64 million in reserves for uncertain tax positions in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to a lapse of a statute of limitations[71] Employee and Stock Compensation - The company granted 0.1 million employee stock options with a weighted average grant date fair value of $163.59 per share during the first nine months of 2025[64] - Stock-based compensation expenses rose to $174 million in 2025 from $166 million in 2024, reflecting a growth of 4.8%[24] - The total number of employees decreased by 2% to 15,952 as of September 30, 2025, compared to 15,776 in the previous year[147] Market and Segment Insights - Moody's has two reportable segments: MA (Moody's Analytics) and MIS (Moody's Investors Service), focusing on integrated risk assessment solutions and credit ratings respectively[38] - Moody's Analytics (MA) external revenue increased by 9% to $909 million, driven by sustained demand for insurance and KYC offerings, as well as credit research products[146] - Moody's Investors Service (MIS) external revenue rose by 12% to $1,098 million, supported by strong investor demand and increased leveraged finance issuance[146]
Moody's Named #1 in Chartis RiskTech100® for the Fourth Year Running
Businesswire· 2025-10-23 15:30
Core Insights - Moody's Corporation has been ranked 1 in the 2026 Chartis RiskTech100® report, marking its fourth consecutive year at the top of the ranking [1] - The RiskTech100® is recognized as a leading guide for risk and compliance technology providers, highlighting Moody's industry-leading solutions and commitment to customers [1] - Moody's sustained leadership is attributed to a clear strategy and dedication to innovation in risk management technology [1]
Moody's projects high single-digit revenue growth for 2025 amid record Q3 performance and raised guidance (NYSE:MCO)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-22 17:34
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content or key points related to a company or industry [1]
Moody's Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Y/Y Revenue Growth
ZACKS· 2025-10-22 17:16
Core Insights - Moody's reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $3.92 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.70, with a year-over-year growth of 22.1% [1][8] - The revenue for the quarter was $2.01 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.96 billion, and reflecting a 10.7% increase year over year [3][8] - The company's liquidity position remained strong, although operating expenses increased, presenting a challenge [1][3] Financial Performance - Net income attributable to Moody's was $646 million or $3.60 per share, up from $534 million or $2.93 per share in the prior-year quarter [2] - Total expenses rose to $1.09 billion, an increase of 1.4% year over year [3] - Adjusted operating income was $1.06 billion, marking a 22.5% increase year over year, with an adjusted operating margin of 52.9%, up from 47.8% a year ago [3] Segment Performance - Moody's Investors Service (MIS) revenues increased by 11.8% year over year to $1.10 billion, driven by strong performance across various finance sectors [4] - Moody's Analytics (MA) revenues rose 9.4% year over year to $909 million, supported by growth in Decision Solutions, Research and Insights, and Data & Information [4] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of September 30, 2025, Moody's had total cash and short-term investments of $2.26 billion, down from $2.97 billion at the end of 2024 [5] - The company reported $7 billion in outstanding debt and $1.25 billion in additional borrowing capacity [5] Share Repurchase Program - In the quarter, Moody's repurchased 1 million shares at an average price of $503.66, with $398 million of share repurchase authorization remaining [6] - The board authorized an additional $4 billion in share repurchase authority with no expiration date [6] Updated Guidance - Moody's updated its 2025 guidance, expecting adjusted earnings of $14.50-$14.75 per share, up from the previous target of $13.50-$14.00 [9] - Revenue growth is projected in the high-single-digit percent range, an increase from the prior mid-single-digit range [9] - The adjusted operating margin is expected to be 51%, up from the previously mentioned 49-50% [10] Strategic Developments - Moody's announced plans to secure majority equity ownership in MERIS, enhancing its presence in the Middle East and Africa [12]
Moody’s(MCO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-22 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's achieved record quarterly revenue exceeding $2 billion for the first time, marking an 11% increase from the same quarter last year [6] - Adjusted operating margin reached almost 53%, up over 500 basis points year-over-year, indicating significant operating leverage [6] - Adjusted diluted EPS was $3.92, reflecting a 22% increase from the previous year [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Ratings business (MIS) reported a 12% revenue growth, surpassing $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the third consecutive quarter [7] - Transaction revenue in MIS rose 14%, with recurring revenue increasing by 8% year-over-year [20] - Moody's Analytics (MA) experienced a 9% revenue growth, with ARR reaching nearly $3.4 billion, up 8% compared to last year [12][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The issuance pipeline remains robust, with demand for debt financing strong in private credit, AI-powered data center expansion, and infrastructure development [8][9] - Refunding needs over the next four years are projected to exceed $5 trillion, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 10% from 2018 to 2025 [9] - Spec-grade bond maturities in the U.S. increased by over 20%, while EMEA spec-grade bonds and loans rose by approximately 20% [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Moody's is focused on investing in scalable solutions across high-growth markets while simplifying its product suite [12] - The company is expanding its presence in emerging markets, including acquiring a majority interest in Meris, a leading ratings agency in Egypt [18] - Partnerships, such as with Salesforce, are crucial for embedding data into partner ecosystems, enhancing customer integration and retention [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the issuance environment heading into 2026, citing tight spreads and potential Fed easing as positive factors [58] - The company anticipates continued growth in private credit and a robust M&A environment, with expectations for M&A issuance to increase by 15% to 20% for the full year 2025 [25][58] - Risks remain, including ongoing tariff negotiations and potential impacts from a prolonged government shutdown [26] Other Important Information - Moody's is increasing its full-year guidance across almost all metrics, reflecting strong growth and operating leverage [5][19] - The company is raising its adjusted diluted EPS guidance to a range of $14.50 to $14.75, implying roughly 17% growth at the midpoint compared to last year [34] - Free cash flow is anticipated to be approximately $2.5 billion, with share repurchase guidance increased to at least $1.5 billion [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on AI in the analytics business - Management indicated that AI is being embedded into various workflow solutions and that they have developed over 50 domain-specific agents leveraging proprietary data [38][40] Question: Impact of third quarter's record issuance - Management noted that pull forward activity is more prevalent in spec-grade than in investment-grade issuers, with healthy maturity walls expected [44] Question: Proprietary data sets in KYC solutions - Management highlighted the unique data sets used in KYC solutions, including Orbis and politically exposed persons data, which provide a comprehensive view of business relationships [47][49] Question: Differences in refi walls portrayal - Management clarified that the article referenced a decline in U.S. spec-grade refi walls, which is a subset of broader maturities, and emphasized the overall favorable refinancing environment [52][54] Question: Outlook for issuance in 2026 - Management expressed optimism about the issuance environment, citing more tailwinds than headwinds, including tight spreads and a robust M&A pipeline [58][60] Question: Concerns about private credit health - Management acknowledged potential credit stress in the private market but emphasized the importance of independent credit assessments and the flow back into public markets [70]
Moody’s(MCO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-22 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's achieved record quarterly revenue exceeding $2 billion for the first time, marking an 11% increase from the same quarter last year [6] - Adjusted operating margin reached almost 53%, up over 500 basis points year-over-year, indicating significant operating leverage [6] - Adjusted diluted EPS was $3.92, reflecting a 22% increase from the previous year [6][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's Investors Service (MIS) reported a 12% revenue growth, surpassing $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the third consecutive quarter [7][20] - Revenue from private credit grew over 60% in the third quarter, driven by strong demand in fund finance and business development companies [11] - Moody's Analytics (MA) revenue grew 9% year-over-year, with an ARR of nearly $3.4 billion, up 8% from last year [12][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The issuance pipeline remains robust, with projected refunding needs exceeding $5 trillion over the next four years, a 10% compound annual growth rate from 2018 to 2025 [9] - Spec-grade bond maturities in the U.S. increased by more than 20%, indicating a favorable backdrop for future issuance [10] - Investment-grade revenue declined by 17% year-over-year, reflecting a 6% drop in issuance, but overall activity remained solid due to large M&A transactions [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on investing in scalable solutions across high-growth markets while simplifying its product suite [12][13] - Moody's is expanding its presence in emerging markets, acquiring a majority interest in Meris, a leading ratings agency in Egypt [18] - The strategy includes embedding AI into workflows and enhancing partnerships, such as with Salesforce, to drive growth [16][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the issuance environment heading into 2026, citing tight spreads and potential Fed easing as positive factors [56] - The company anticipates mid-single-digit issuance growth for the full year, with M&A activity expected to contribute positively [25] - Risks remain from ongoing trade negotiations and potential government shutdown impacts, but the updated guidance accounts for plausible scenarios [26] Other Important Information - The company is increasing its full-year guidance across almost all metrics, reflecting strong growth and operating leverage [5][19] - Free cash flow is anticipated to be approximately $2.5 billion, with share repurchase guidance increased to at least $1.5 billion [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on AI in the analytics business - Management indicated that AI is seen as an opportunity rather than a threat, with plans to embed AI into various workflow solutions and applications [37][39] Question: Impact of record issuance in Q3 - Management noted that pull forward activity is more prevalent in spec-grade than investment-grade issuers, with healthy maturity walls expected [43][44] Question: Proprietary data sets in KYC solutions - Management highlighted unique data sets such as Orbis and politically exposed persons data, which enhance the value of KYC solutions [46][48] Question: Differences in refi walls perception - Management clarified that the article referenced a decline in U.S. spec-grade refi walls, which is a subset of broader maturities that remain healthy [50][51] Question: Outlook for issuance in 2026 - Management expressed optimism about the issuance environment, citing tight spreads and a potential increase in M&A activity as tailwinds [56][60] Question: Growth expectations for Moody's Analytics - Management confirmed that the medium-term outlook for MA is high single-digit growth, with ongoing investments in strategic areas [72]
Moody’s(MCO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-22 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's achieved record quarterly revenue exceeding $2 billion for the first time, representing an 11% increase from the same quarter last year [5] - Adjusted operating margin reached almost 53%, up over 500 basis points year-over-year, indicating strong operating leverage [5] - Adjusted diluted EPS was $3.92, a 22% increase from the previous year, reflecting consistent earnings power growth [5][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's Investors Service (MIS) reported a 12% revenue growth, surpassing $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the third consecutive quarter [6][21] - Revenue from private credit grew over 60% in the third quarter, driven by strong demand in fund finance and securitization [11] - Moody's Analytics (MA) delivered a 9% year-over-year revenue growth, with an 11% increase in decision solutions [12][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The issuance pipeline remains robust, with projected refunding needs over the next four years exceeding $5 trillion, a 10% compound annual growth rate from 2018 to 2025 [9] - Spec-grade bond maturities increased by over 20% in both the U.S. and EMEA regions, indicating a favorable backdrop for future issuance [10] - The number of private credit-related deals grew almost 70% in the third quarter, highlighting the sector's growth potential [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Moody's is focused on investing in scalable solutions across high-growth markets while simplifying its product suite [12] - The company is expanding its presence in emerging markets, including acquiring a majority interest in Meris, a leading ratings agency in Egypt [19] - Strategic partnerships, such as with Salesforce, are being leveraged to enhance customer integration and drive durable growth [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the issuance environment heading into 2026, citing tight spreads and potential Fed easing as positive factors [60] - The company anticipates continued strong demand for credit insights, particularly in the private credit market amid rising concerns about credit health [70] - Management acknowledged risks related to ongoing tariff negotiations and potential government shutdown impacts on market conditions [28] Other Important Information - Moody's is increasing its full-year guidance for adjusted diluted EPS to a range of $14.50 to $14.75, implying approximately 17% growth at the midpoint [37] - Free cash flow is expected to be around $2.5 billion, with share repurchase guidance increased to at least $1.5 billion [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on AI in the analytics business - Management clarified that AI is being embedded into various workflow solutions and that they have developed over 50 domain-specific agents leveraging proprietary data [41] Question: Impact of record issuance in Q3 - Management noted that pull forward activity is more prevalent in spec-grade than investment-grade issuers, with healthy maturity walls expected [46] Question: Proprietary data sets in KYC solutions - Management highlighted the unique data sets used in KYC solutions, including Orbis and AI-curated news, which provide a comprehensive view of business relationships [50] Question: Differences in refi walls portrayal - Management explained that the article referenced a decline in U.S. spec-grade refi walls, which is a subset of broader maturities that remain healthy [52] Question: Outlook for issuance in 2026 - Management indicated more tailwinds than headwinds for 2026, with expectations for continued strong issuance driven by M&A activity and infrastructure investments [60]
Moody’s(MCO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-22 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's achieved record quarterly revenue exceeding $2 billion for the first time, marking an 11% increase from the same quarter last year [6] - Adjusted operating margin reached almost 53%, up over 500 basis points year-over-year, indicating strong operating leverage [7] - Adjusted diluted EPS was $3.92, reflecting a 22% increase from the previous year, and more than doubling from three years ago [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Ratings business (MIS) reported a 12% revenue growth, surpassing $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the third consecutive quarter [8] - Transaction revenue in MIS rose 14%, with corporate finance transaction revenue increasing by 13% [28][30] - Moody's Analytics (MA) saw a 9% year-over-year revenue growth, with ARR reaching nearly $3.4 billion, up 8% from last year [15][38] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The issuance pipeline remains robust, with demand for debt financing strong in private credit, AI-powered data center expansion, and infrastructure development [9][10] - Refunding needs over the next four years are projected to exceed $5 trillion, representing a compound annual growth rate of 10% from 2018 to 2025 [11] - Spec grade maturities in the U.S. increased by over 20%, indicating a favorable backdrop for future issuance [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Moody's is focused on investing in scalable recurring revenue businesses and simplifying its product suite, as evidenced by the sale of its Learning Solutions business [17] - The company is expanding its footprint in emerging markets, acquiring a majority interest in Meris, a leading ratings agency in Egypt [23][24] - The strategy includes leveraging AI capabilities to enhance customer workflows and embedding data into partner ecosystems, such as Salesforce [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the issuance environment heading into 2026, citing tight spreads and potential Fed easing as positive factors [78] - The company anticipates continued growth in private credit and infrastructure investments, particularly in digital infrastructure and data centers [82] - Risks include ongoing tariff negotiations and the potential impact of a prolonged government shutdown on market conditions [37] Other Important Information - Moody's is increasing its full-year guidance across almost all metrics, reflecting strong growth and operating leverage [5][27] - The company expects free cash flow to reach approximately $2.5 billion and plans to return over 85% of free cash flow to shareholders [48] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on AI in Analytics Business - Management indicated that AI is an opportunity for growth, with plans to embed AI into various workflow solutions and develop agentic solutions [51][52][55] Question: Impact of Record Issuance in Q3 - Management noted that pull forward activity is more common in spec grade than investment grade, with healthy maturity walls expected [58][60] Question: Proprietary Data in KYC Business - Management highlighted unique datasets in KYC solutions, including Orbis and politically exposed persons data, which provide a comprehensive view for customers [62][66] Question: Refi Walls and Market Conditions - Management clarified that the article referenced a decline in U.S. spec grade, while overall maturities remain healthy, with a positive outlook for refinancing [68][70] Question: Issuance Expectations for 2026 - Management anticipates more tailwinds than headwinds for issuance in 2026, driven by tight spreads and a robust M&A environment [76][78] Question: Growth in Moody's Analytics - Management confirmed that MA growth is tracking as expected, with a strong pipeline for Q4 and a focus on high single-digit growth [86][88] Question: Health of Private Credit Market - Management acknowledged concerns in the private credit market but emphasized the importance of independent credit assessments and the potential for demand for insights [91][94]
穆迪Q3业绩超预期 新增40亿美元股票回购计划
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-22 13:35
Core Insights - Moody's reported a Q3 revenue increase of 11% to $2.01 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.96 billion [1] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $3.92, higher than the anticipated $3.70 by analysts [1] - The company raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $14.50 to $14.75, up from the previous forecast of $13.50 to $14.00, while analysts expected $14.14 [1] - Moody's expects revenue growth in the high single-digit percentage range, an improvement from the prior expectation of mid single-digit percentage growth [1] - The board approved an additional $4 billion stock repurchase authorization [1]
Moody's: Ratings Recovery Not Enough At This Valuation
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-22 13:09
Group 1 - The company aims to invest in firms with strong qualitative attributes and purchase them at attractive prices based on fundamentals, with a long-term holding strategy [1] - The investment strategy focuses on maintaining a concentrated portfolio to avoid underperforming stocks while maximizing exposure to high-potential winners [1] - The company plans to publish articles about selected companies approximately three times a week, including extensive quarterly follow-ups and constant updates [1]