Merck(MRK)
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Nasdaq big crash today: Nasdaq falls over 400 points, wipes out $1.1 trillion as AI stocks tumble — why AI shares are falling
The Economic Times· 2026-02-03 18:08
Core Viewpoint - The Nasdaq Composite experienced a significant decline of 422.49 points, or 1.79%, closing at 23,169.62, indicating a harsh reality check for the tech sector as the "AI honeymoon phase" ends, resulting in a $1.1 trillion market cap erosion [1][16]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Nasdaq 100 specifically fell by 1.9%, while the S&P 500 Index retreated 1.12% to 6,898.54, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 368 points to 49,039.05, highlighting the volatility in tech stocks [2][16]. - High-growth AI stocks reached multi-month lows, with the market shifting from pricing in potential to demanding immediate proof of productivity, which many incumbents have yet to deliver [4][17]. Group 2: Shift in AI Perception - A fundamental shift in enterprise views on Artificial Intelligence is occurring, with companies moving away from expensive SaaS licenses from traditional providers like Salesforce and ServiceNow towards open-source and bespoke internal solutions [3][17]. - This structural change has led to an 18% decline in software stocks over the last six months, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's 9% gain during the same period [3][17]. Group 3: Impact on Specific Companies - PayPal saw a significant drop of 17.33% to close at $43.26, followed by TriNet Group, which fell 14.12% to $93.64, and other notable declines in companies like Intuit and Atlassian [7][17]. - ServiceNow and Salesforce experienced losses of 7% and 5% respectively, as fears grow that custom AI agents can automate tasks previously requiring costly third-party subscriptions [8][17]. Group 4: Hardware Sector Challenges - The hardware sector also faced challenges, with NXP Semiconductors leading the decline at 8.39% to $211.70, and design-tool companies like Synopsys and Cadence Design falling 7.50% and 6.37% respectively [10][17]. - Concerns about "capex exhaustion" are rising, as investors worry that significant capital expenditures on AI infrastructure are not yielding proportional revenue growth [10][17]. Group 5: Broader Market Trends - Despite the tech sector's downturn, there was a rotation into value and defensive sectors, with Walmart surging nearly 3% to join the $1 trillion market capitalization club, driven by gains in its digital business [12][17]. - The healthcare and consumer staples sectors also provided refuge for capital, with Merck climbing 3.5% and PepsiCo rising 4% due to resilient organic sales growth [13][17]. Group 6: Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook - Investor skepticism is growing regarding the actual productivity gains from AI, as job cuts in 2026 are trending 50% higher than the previous year, shifting the narrative from AI as a growth engine to a tool for margin preservation [15][16][17]. - The disconnect between high valuations of semiconductor stocks and their performance suggests that profit-taking may occur as AI-driven momentum stalls [11][17].
默沙东2025全年营收650亿美元,同增1%,26年营收指引655亿至670亿美元,低于预期|财报见闻
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-02-03 17:47
Core Insights - Merck's financial performance for 2025 shows steady growth driven by Keytruda, new products like Winrevair and Capvaxive, and stable animal health business, with total sales reaching $65 billion, a 1% year-over-year increase [1] - The company projects 2026 sales between $65.5 billion and $67 billion, with adjusted EPS expected to be between $5.00 and $5.15, both below Wall Street expectations [1][6] - A significant one-time expense from the acquisition of Cidara Therapeutics is expected to impact 2026 adjusted EPS, which includes approximately $3.65 per share related to this acquisition [1][6] Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, sales were $16.4 billion, a 4% increase from Q4 2024, while total sales for the year were $65.011 billion, up 1% [2] - Non-GAAP EPS for 2025 was $8.98, reflecting a 17% increase year-over-year, while GAAP EPS was $7.28, an 8% increase [2] Product Performance - Gardasil sales faced significant challenges, with Q4 sales at $1.031 billion, a 35% decline year-over-year, and annual sales down 39% to $5.233 billion [3] - Keytruda sales reached $8.4 billion in Q4, a 7% increase, with annual sales surpassing $30 billion for the first time, totaling $31.68 billion [4] - New products like Winrevair and Capvaxive showed strong performance, with Winrevair achieving $1.443 billion in annual sales, and Capvaxive reaching $759 million [5] Strategic Outlook - Merck is focusing on product portfolio transformation to mitigate the impact of patent expirations and competition, with strategic acquisitions being a key part of this strategy [5] - The company has identified potential acquisition opportunities valued in the billions to drive future growth [4] 2026 Guidance - The 2026 guidance includes significant one-time costs from the Cidara acquisition, with adjusted EPS expected to be impacted by these costs [6][7] - The company anticipates a gross margin of approximately 82% for 2026, with adjusted operating expenses projected between $35.9 billion and $36.9 billion [7]
MSD’s 2026 sales forecast falls short amid patent losses despite strong Q4
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-03 17:40
Despite posting strong results in the final quarter of 2025, MSD (Merck & Co) has cut its 2026 guidance more than analysts had expected as the drugmaker prepares for the loss of exclusivity of several of its medicines. MSD reported Q4 global sales of $16.4bn, a 5% increase from the same period in 2024. Full-year sales in 2025 grew 1% to reach $65bn. While year-end results outperformed consensus analyst expectations, investor buoyancy was overshadowed by the 2026 sales forecast. The big pharma company an ...
MRK Q4 Earnings & Sales Beat Estimates, Stock Down on Weak '26 View
ZACKS· 2026-02-03 17:40
Core Insights - Merck (MRK) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $2.04, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.03, with a 19% year-over-year increase [1] - Q4 revenues rose 5% year-over-year to $16.40 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.19 billion [1][10] Sales Performance - Keytruda generated $8.37 billion in Q4 sales, a 5% increase, driven by strong uptake in earlier-stage indications and metastatic indications, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.31 billion [3] - Alliance revenues from Lynparza and Lenvima contributed to oncology sales, with Lynparza revenues increasing 4% to $389 million and Lenvima revenues totaling $272 million, up 6% [4] - Welireg recorded sales of $220 million, up 37%, benefiting from higher demand in the U.S. and launch uptake in Europe [5] - HPV vaccine sales (Gardasil and Gardasil 9) fell 35% to $1.03 billion due to lower demand in China and Japan, narrowly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.04 billion [6] - Capvaxive, a newly launched pneumococcal vaccine, generated $279 million in sales, while Bridion injection sales reached $499 million, up 11% [7] - Januvia/Janumet franchise sales rose 3% to $501 million, driven by higher net pricing in the U.S. [8] Full-Year Results - Full-year 2025 sales increased 1% to $65.01 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $64.80 billion, with pharmaceutical sales also growing 1% to $58.10 billion [12] - Adjusted earnings for 2025 were $8.98 per share, a 17% year-over-year increase, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.95 per share [12] 2026 Guidance - Merck's 2026 revenue guidance is projected between $65.5 billion and $67.0 billion, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $67.36 billion [13] - Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $5.00 and $5.15, significantly lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.20 per share, including a one-time charge of $9 billion related to the acquisition of Cidara Therapeutics [14] - The adjusted gross margin is anticipated to be around 82% [14] Market Reaction - Despite strong Q4 results, investor sentiment was dampened by the weak 2026 guidance, leading to a decline in stock price during pre-market trading [17] - Over the past six months, Merck's shares have increased by 42.4%, outperforming the industry average increase of 26.4% [17] Pipeline and Future Outlook - Merck's late-stage pipeline has nearly tripled in the past three years, positioning the company for several new product launches over the next five years [19] - The company is also pursuing external growth opportunities through mergers and acquisitions to diversify its product lineup [19]
Merck (MRK) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2026-02-03 17:01
Core Insights - Merck reported $16.4 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, a 5% year-over-year increase, with an EPS of $2.04 compared to $1.72 a year ago, exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates for both revenue and EPS [1] Financial Performance - Revenue surprise was +1.33% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.19 billion, while the EPS surprise was +0.62% over the consensus estimate of $2.03 [1] - Merck's shares returned +5.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.8% change [3] Key Product Sales - Hospital Acute Care (Bridion) in the U.S. generated $451 million, exceeding the estimated $418.39 million, reflecting an 18.1% year-over-year increase [4] - Oncology (Keytruda) international sales reached $3.45 billion, surpassing the $3.39 billion estimate, with a 15% year-over-year increase [4] - Diabetes (Janumet) in the U.S. reported $57 million, below the estimated $69.57 million, marking a significant decline of 37.4% year-over-year [4] - Oncology (Lynparza) alliance revenue in the U.S. was $180 million, slightly above the $176.62 million estimate, with a 1.7% year-over-year increase [4] - Cardiovascular (Winrevair) sales were $467 million, exceeding the estimated $452.86 million [4] - Vaccines (Vaxneuvance) generated $140 million, below the $178.52 million estimate, reflecting a 13% year-over-year decline [4] - Oncology (Welireg) sales reached $220 million, surpassing the $195.53 million estimate [4] - Oncology (Keytruda) domestic sales were $8.34 billion, slightly above the $8.31 billion estimate, with a 6.4% year-over-year increase [4] - Oncology (Lenvima) alliance revenue was $272 million, exceeding the $243.71 million estimate, with a 6.7% year-over-year increase [4] - Vaccines (Gardasil) reported $1.03 billion, close to the $1.04 billion estimate, but down 33.5% year-over-year [4] - Virology (Lagevrio) sales were $57 million, above the $45.95 million estimate, but down 52.9% year-over-year [4] - Oncology (Reblozyl) alliance revenue was $164 million, exceeding the $138.97 million estimate, with a significant 49.1% year-over-year increase [4]
Merck's Annual Outlook Falls Short But Keytruda, Animal Health Segments Grow
Benzinga· 2026-02-03 16:06
Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) on Tuesday reported its fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.04, surpassing consensus estimates of $2.01, a jump from $1.72 a year ago.Merck reported sales of $16.40 billion, a 5% increase year-over-year, and exceeded the analysts' projections of $16.19 billion.Segment And Drug PerformanceThe pharmaceutical segment recorded $14.84 billion in sales, up 6% year over year, driven by growth in oncology as well as cardiometabolic and respiratory, partially offset by a dec ...
2 Pharma Stocks React to Quarterly Results, Guidance
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-02-03 16:04
Pfizer Inc (NYSE:PFE) shares are down 3.2% to trade at $25.40 at last check, despite surpassing earnings and revenue expectations for the fourth quarter. The drugmaker has struggled with weak demand for its Covid-19 vaccine, and reaffirmed its lackluster outlook for 2026.Overhead pressure near the $27 level has been capping gains since November, though the equity still sports a 13.1% nine-month lead. PFE is on track to snap a three-day win streak with its worst loss since December, and earlier gapped below ...
Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Moderna Stock?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-03 15:37
Cambridge, Massachusetts-based Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) is a biotechnology company that provides messenger RNA medicines. Valued at a market cap of $17.2 billion, the company gained global prominence with its COVID-19 vaccine and continues to expand its pipeline across infectious diseases, oncology, rare diseases, and autoimmune conditions. This biotechnology company has outperformed the broader market over the past 52 weeks. Shares of MRNA have rallied 19.3% over this time frame, while the broader S&P 500 I ...
美股异动丨默沙东涨约4.5%创逾一年新高,Q4销售额及调整后EPS超预期
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-03 15:07
默沙东(MRK.US)涨约4.5%,最高触及118.45美元,创2024年9月以来新高。消息面上,默沙东第四季度 总销售额同比增长5%至约164亿美元,高于分析师平均预期的约162亿美元;调整后净利润同比增长 16%至约50.88亿美元,调整后每股收益为2.04美元,略高于分析师预期。期内,Keytruda销售额同比增 长7%至约84亿美元,亦超预期。(格隆汇) ...
Merck(MRK) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-03 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company revenues for Q4 2025 were $16.4 billion, reflecting a 5% increase, or 4% excluding foreign exchange impact [14] - Earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $2.04, with guidance for 2026 EPS expected to be between $5.00 and $5.15 [21][22] - Gross margin decreased to 79.7%, down 1.1 percentage points due to higher inventory reserves [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Oncology sales, particularly from the Keytruda family, increased by 5% to $8.4 billion, driven by strong demand in earlier-stage cancers [15] - Sales of Welireg grew 37% to $220 million, primarily due to increased use in advanced renal cell carcinoma [16] - Vaccine sales for Gardasil decreased by 35% to $1 billion, attributed to lower demand in China and Japan [16] - The animal health business saw a 6% increase in sales, with livestock sales growing by 9% [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., Keytruda sales were negatively impacted by approximately $200 million due to timing of purchases [15] - Capvaxive sales reached $279 million, driven by demand from retail pharmacies and increased seasonal immunization activity [17] - Winrevair achieved global sales of $467 million, reflecting strong demand for pulmonary arterial hypertension treatment [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to deliver transformative medicines and vaccines, with a focus on breakthrough science and innovation [6] - A significant commercial opportunity of over $70 billion is projected by the mid-2030s, bolstered by new product launches and acquisitions [7] - The company is committed to investing in its innovative pipeline and business development to drive long-term growth [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in sustainable growth post-Keytruda LOE, emphasizing a robust pipeline and potential for new product launches [6][66] - The company anticipates challenges from generic competition and price setting but expects to achieve growth driven by new launches and strong performance in oncology and animal health [23][66] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation and business development [24] Other Important Information - The company completed the acquisition of Cidara Therapeutics, enhancing its portfolio in infectious diseases [9] - Positive results were reported for several investigational drugs, including Islatravir for HIV and MK-1406 for influenza prevention [30][29] - The company is focused on executing multiple product launches and advancing its clinical pipeline [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on CD388 asset and interim trial data - Management acknowledged the importance of the flu season and emphasized the need for robust data across multiple populations before interim disclosures [42][44] Question: Plans for sac-TMT in first-line settings - Management defended the ambitious development strategy for sac-TMT, highlighting ongoing phase III studies and the potential for best-in-class status [47][49] Question: Keytruda's intellectual property runway - Management clarified the patent situation for Keytruda, indicating potential extensions beyond 2028 and strategies for QLEX adoption [53][55] Question: Importance of dual regimen for HIV treatment - Management expressed excitement about Islatravir's potential as a next-generation treatment option, emphasizing the need for diverse treatment regimens [58][60] Question: Long-term growth expectations for Merck - Management projected confidence in sustainable growth driven by a robust pipeline and significant commercial opportunities, countering concerns about modest growth [63][66] Question: Updates on Winrevair and related indications - Management highlighted Winrevair's impact on the standard of care in pulmonary arterial hypertension and ongoing advancements in related therapies [82][84]