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Match Group (MTCH) Lags Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 23:31
Core Insights - Match Group reported quarterly earnings of $0.82 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.91 per share, but showing an increase from $0.51 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -9.89% [1] - The company posted revenues of $914.28 million for the quarter ended September 2025, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.08%, but up from $895.48 million year-over-year [2] - Match Group shares have underperformed the market, losing about 0.6% since the beginning of the year compared to the S&P 500's gain of 16.5% [3] Earnings Outlook - The earnings outlook for Match Group is mixed, with current consensus EPS estimates at $1.00 for the coming quarter and $3.37 for the current fiscal year, with revenues expected to be $879.9 million and $3.49 billion respectively [7] - The company's Zacks Rank is currently 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which Match Group belongs, is currently in the top 32% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]
Match Group(MTCH) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-11-04 23:03
Revenue Performance - Total revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $914.3 million, a 2% increase from $895.5 million in 2024[115] - Total Direct Revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $2.55 billion, a slight decrease of $18.1 million, or 1%, from $2.57 billion in 2024[115] - Indirect Revenue increased by 8% to $17.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $16.3 million in 2024[115] - Total revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $866,547,000, which reflects an increase from $928,423,000 in the same period of 2024, showing a decline of approximately 6.7%[159] - Total revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $914,275,000, representing a $18,791,000 increase or 2% compared to the same period in 2024[163] Direct Revenue Breakdown - Direct Revenue from Tinder decreased by $12.6 million, or 3%, due to a 7% decline in Payers, despite a 5% increase in Revenue Per Payer (RPP)[115] - Hinge's Direct Revenue grew by $39.2 million, or 27%, driven by a 17% increase in Payers and a 9% increase in RPP[116] - Match Group Asia's Direct Revenue decreased by $3.0 million, or 4%, with a total of $69.1 million in Q3 2025[115] - E&E Direct Revenue declined 4% in 2025 versus 2024, driven by a 13% decrease in Payers, partially offset by a 10% increase in RPP[117] - MG Asia Direct Revenue declined $3.0 million, or 4%, in 2025 versus 2024, with RPP decreasing 10% and Payers increasing 6%[118] - Tinder Direct Revenue declined $65.5 million, or 4%, in 2025 versus 2024, impacted by a 7% decrease in Payers, with a consistent foreign exchange rate decline of $67.0 million or 5%[120] - Hinge Direct Revenue grew $101.7 million, or 25%, in 2025 versus 2024, driven by an 18% increase in Payers and a 6% increase in RPP[121] Expenses and Costs - Cost of revenue decreased 2% to $247,043 thousand in Q3 2025, primarily due to a $4.0 million decrease in Variable Expenses[124] - Selling and marketing expense increased 8% to $169,142 thousand in Q3 2025, primarily due to higher acquisition costs[126] - General and administrative expense increased 42% to $148,021 thousand in Q3 2025, primarily due to a legal settlement of $60.5 million at Tinder[128] - Product development expense remained relatively flat at $104,969 thousand in Q3 2025, with a slight increase in stock-based compensation[130] - Impairments and amortization of intangibles decreased 79% to $8,921 thousand in Q3 2025, primarily due to prior year impairments related to terminated services[134] - Depreciation decreased 41% to $14,845 thousand in Q3 2025, primarily due to fully depreciated assets and write-offs related to live streaming services[132] Income and Profitability - Net income attributable to Match Group, Inc. shareholders for Q3 2025 was $160.7 million, an increase of 18% from $136.5 million in Q3 2024[136] - Tinder's operating income decreased by 22% to $183.7 million in Q3 2025, while Adjusted EBITDA fell by 23% to $203.8 million, primarily due to legal settlement costs and revenue decline[137] - Hinge's operating income increased by 10% to $46.3 million, with Adjusted EBITDA rising by 22% to $62.6 million, driven by continued payer growth across all markets[137] - Adjusted EBITDA for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $301,406,000, compared to $342,540,000 for the same period in 2024, indicating a decrease of about 12.0%[158] - Adjusted EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $866.5 million, a decrease of 7% from $928.4 million in the same period of 2024[152] Cash Flow and Capital Structure - Total cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2025, amounted to $1,053,240,000, up from $965,993,000 as of December 31, 2024[165] - Net cash provided by operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $757,600,000, compared to $678,009,000 in 2024[167] - Net cash used in investing activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $(67,883,000), an increase from $(51,072,000) in 2024[167] - Total long-term debt as of September 30, 2025, was $4,073,629,000, compared to $3,875,000,000 as of December 31, 2024[165] - The company expects 2025 cash capital expenditures to be between $55 million and $65 million, an increase compared to 2024[177] - The company repurchased 17.4 million shares for $549.9 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2025[179] - As of September 30, 2025, $499.4 million was available under the Credit Facility[174] - The Company may need to raise additional capital through future debt or equity financing to support acquisitions and investments[182] Tax and Interest - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, interest expense decreased by 13% to $104.4 million compared to $120.5 million in the same period of 2024, mainly due to the repayment of the Term Loan[140] - The effective income tax rate for Q3 2025 was 17%, down from 23% in Q3 2024, primarily due to changes in tax reserves[143] - The company’s total interest expense for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $37,024,000, compared to $40,120,000 in the same period of 2024, indicating a reduction of approximately 7.0%[158] Market and Foreign Exchange Impact - The impact of foreign exchange rates on revenue is significant, with the company noting that a weaker U.S. dollar positively affects international revenue, while a stronger dollar has the opposite effect[161] - Revenue excluding foreign exchange effects for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was calculated to provide a clearer comparison of performance by eliminating currency volatility[162] Other Financial Information - Match Group reported $365.4 million of unrecognized compensation cost related to stock-based awards as of September 30, 2025, expected to be recognized over approximately 2.0 years[138] - Other income, net for Q3 2025 increased by 31% to $9.3 million, compared to $7.1 million in Q3 2024[142] - MG Asia's operating income improved to $0.8 million in Q3 2025 from a loss of $18.9 million in Q3 2024, with Adjusted EBITDA at $15.3 million[137] - There were no material changes to the Company's critical accounting policies and estimates during the nine months ended September 30, 2025[185] - The Company reported no material changes to its instruments or positions sensitive to market risk since the last annual report[186]
Match Group(MTCH) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-04 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Match Group's total revenue for Q3 2025 was $914 million, up 2% year over year, and up 1% year over year on a foreign exchange-neutral basis [27] - Adjusted EBITDA was $301 million, down 12% year over year, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33% [28] - Excluding a $61 million legal settlement charge, adjusted EBITDA would have been $364 million, up 6% year over year, with a margin of 40% [28] - Payers declined 5% year over year to 14.5 million, while revenue per payer (RPP) increased 7% year over year to $20.58 [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Tinder's direct revenue in Q3 was $491 million, down 3% year over year, with payers declining 7% to 9.3 million and RPP increasing 5% to $17.66 [29] - Hinge's direct revenue was $185 million, up 27% year over year, with payers increasing 17% to 1.9 million and RPP increasing 9% to $32.87 [30] - E&E's direct revenue was $152 million, down 4% year over year, with payers decreasing 13% to 2.3 million, while RPP increased 10% to $22.22 [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Match Group Asia's direct revenue was $69 million, down 4% year over year, with payers increasing 6% to 1.1 million, while RPP declined 10% to $20.73 [31] - Azar's direct revenue was flat year over year, negatively impacted by an estimated $3 million due to regulatory issues in Turkey [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a three-part turnaround strategy: reset, revitalize, and resurgence, with a strong emphasis on product excellence and long-term growth [4] - The marketing strategy aims to fuel category consideration and attract new users through product-led storytelling [5] - Hinge is positioned as a serious dating app, while Tinder aims to be the first dating app for users, targeting different market segments [54] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the early investments and improvements in user outcomes, particularly at Tinder and Hinge [40] - The company anticipates a continued focus on user experience and product innovation, with plans for significant product events in 2026 [48] - Management acknowledged potential short-term revenue impacts from user experience testing but emphasized the long-term benefits of improved user outcomes [22] Other Important Information - The company has seen a 60% reduction in user views of profiles identified as bad actors due to the implementation of the Face Check feature [18] - The company plans to fully roll out alternative payments across major apps in Q4, expecting to generate approximately $14 million in savings in Q4 2025 and $90 million in 2026 [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you expand on the green shoots seen across the company and at Tinder specifically? - Management highlighted improvements in user outcomes at Tinder, with a clear mission statement and metrics like Sparks indicating better product efficacy [40] Question: How do you view the impact of user outcome testing on revenue? - Management noted that while some tests may initially hurt monthly active users, the overall stabilization of MAUs is a positive sign [62] Question: What is the expected impact of the $90 million savings on revenue headwinds next year? - Management indicated that the $90 million provides flexibility, but it is too early to determine its necessity to offset potential revenue declines [51] Question: How is Hinge's engagement profile changing with its expansion? - Management confirmed that Hinge's positioning as a serious dating app remains consistent, and its recent launch in Mexico has shown promising early results [54]
Match Group(MTCH) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-04 22:00
Q3 2025 Supplemental Materials February X, 2025 Disclosures and Definitions Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures in addition to financial measures presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These non-GAAP financial measures are in addition to, and not a substitute for or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. See pages 20-37 for a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures to their most comparable GAAP m ...
Match Results Improve, Though Tinder Is Still Searching for Love From Users
WSJ· 2025-11-04 21:29
Core Insights - Tinder has reported a decline in revenue and a 7% decrease in paying users, indicating challenges in user retention and monetization [1] Company Performance - The company experienced a revenue decline, which suggests potential issues in its business model or market competition [1] - There was a 7% drop in the number of paying users, highlighting difficulties in attracting and retaining subscribers [1] Product Development - Despite the overall decline, Chief Executive Spencer Rascoff noted that certain new product offerings are gaining traction specifically with Gen Z users, indicating a potential area for growth [1]
Match Group forecasts quarterly revenue below estimates as payers continue to slide
Reuters· 2025-11-04 21:15
Core Insights - Match Group forecasts fourth-quarter revenue below analysts' estimates, highlighting ongoing challenges in its turnaround efforts [1] - The company struggles to convert casual users on Tinder into paying subscribers, which is critical for revenue growth [1] Financial Performance - The revenue forecast for the fourth quarter is expected to be lower than analysts' expectations, indicating potential difficulties in meeting financial targets [1] User Engagement - There are significant challenges in converting casual swipers into paying users, which is essential for the company's growth strategy [1]
Match Group(MTCH) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-11-04 21:13
Financial Performance - Match Group's Q3 2025 Total Revenue was $914 million, up 2% year-over-year (Y/Y), with a 1% increase on a foreign exchange neutral (FXN) basis[41]. - Tinder Direct Revenue in Q3 was $491 million, down 3% Y/Y, with payers declining 7% Y/Y to 9.3 million and revenue per payer (RPP) increasing 5% Y/Y to $17.66[43]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Match Group in Q3 was $301 million, down 12% Y/Y, representing an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 33%[43]. - Hinge's Direct Revenue in Q3 was $185 million, up 27% Y/Y, with payers increasing 17% Y/Y to 1.9 million and RPP increasing 9% to $32.87[45]. - Match Group expects Q4 2025 Total Revenue to be between $865 million and $875 million, reflecting a 1% to 2% Y/Y increase[48]. - The company anticipates Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $350 million to $355 million, representing a Y/Y increase of 9%[48]. - Year-to-date through Q3, Match Group delivered Operating Cash Flow of $758 million and Free Cash Flow of $716 million[47]. - The company is increasing its 2025 full year Free Cash Flow guidance to $1.11 to $1.14 billion[53]. - Net income attributable to Match Group, Inc. shareholders for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $136,468,000[56]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the same period was $342,540,000, with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 38%[58]. - Total revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was reported at $914.3 million, reflecting a 2% increase from $895.5 million in 2024[64]. - Free Cash Flow for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $715,500,000[60]. - Forecasted revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, is projected to be between $865 million and $875 million[63]. - Hinge Direct Revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, increased by 27% to $184.7 million compared to $145.4 million in 2024[64]. - Tinder Direct Revenue for the same period decreased by 3% to $490.6 million from $503.2 million in 2024[64]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the twelve months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,190,491,000[61]. - The net income margin for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was 15%[58]. - The company reported a capital expenditure of $42,100,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[60]. User Engagement and Growth - There are approximately 250 million actively dating singles worldwide not currently on dating apps, with a target to re-engage 30 million lapsed users and attract 220 million potential first-time entrants[6]. - Tinder's new features, such as Chemistry and Modes, have driven a 30% increase in Double Date adoption in the U.S. since September[13]. - Hinge's revenue and user growth remain strong, with a successful launch in Mexico and plans for Brazil in Q4[33]. - The recent acquisition of HER™ has resulted in over a 20% revenue increase in test markets, expanding reach among queer women and gender-diverse communities[36]. Operational Efficiency - Financial discipline earlier this year generated approximately $100 million in annualized savings, allowing for reinvestment of $50 million across the portfolio[37]. - Face Check™, a new facial verification feature, has led to a 60% reduction in user views of profiles identified as bad actors and a 40% decrease in reports of bad actor activity[25]. - Ongoing optimization efforts have resulted in improved app performance, with Tinder's startup times now 38% faster and crash rates reduced by more than 32% on Android[20]. - The company expects to generate approximately $14 million in savings in Q4 2025 and approximately $90 million in 2026 from alternative payments testing[35]. Financial Metrics and Definitions - Direct Revenue includes both subscription and à la carte revenue received directly from end users, while Indirect Revenue primarily consists of advertising revenue[80]. - Payers represent unique users at a brand level from whom Direct Revenue is earned, with average monthly values calculated for respective periods[81]. - Revenue Per Payer (RPP) is calculated as Direct Revenue divided by the number of Payers, providing insight into average monthly revenue earned from each Payer[84]. - Monthly Active Users (MAU) are unique registered users who have engaged with the brand's app or website in a given month, with potential duplicate users across multiple brands[85]. - Leverage on a gross basis is calculated as principal debt balance divided by Adjusted EBITDA, while net leverage accounts for cash and cash equivalents[86]. - Forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance and business prospects are subject to uncertainties and risks, including user base growth and competition[87].
Match Group Announces Third Quarter Results
Prnewswire· 2025-11-04 21:11
Core Insights - Match Group reported financial results for Q3 2025, achieving revenue expectations and exceeding Adjusted EBITDA expectations, despite a $61 million legal settlement charge [1][3][5] - The company is focusing on innovation and user outcomes, with a strategy aimed at long-term growth and operational efficiency [1][11] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $914 million, a 2% increase year-over-year, with Direct Revenue also up by 2% to $897 million [5][6] - Net income rose 18% year-over-year to $161 million, resulting in a Net Income Margin of 18% [5][6] - Adjusted EBITDA was $301 million, down 12% year-over-year, but would have been $364 million (up 6% year-over-year) excluding the legal settlement charge [5][6] - Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow for the year-to-date through September 30, 2025, were $758 million and $716 million, respectively [14] Shareholder Returns - The company repurchased 17.4 million shares at an average price of $32 per share, totaling $550 million, and paid $141 million in dividends, utilizing 97% of free cash flow for capital returns [5][15] - A cash dividend of $0.19 per share was declared, payable on January 21, 2026 [9] Strategic Initiatives - Match Group is executing a $50 million reinvestment plan to enhance user-first features, marketing, and international expansion [1][11] - The company is rolling out AI-driven features like Chemistry for Tinder, which personalizes user matches, and Face Check for enhanced user verification [11] - Hinge is expanding internationally, with launches in Mexico and Brazil, and continues to develop AI-powered features to improve user engagement [11] Legal and Regulatory Developments - The company resolved a decade-long legal case regarding Tinder's age-based pricing practices, allowing it to focus on future growth [2]
Tinder to Expand Facial Verification Feature Across the U.S., Setting a New Standard for Dating Safety
Prnewswire· 2025-10-22 13:00
Core Viewpoint - Match Group has launched Face Check, a facial verification feature for Tinder, aimed at enhancing user safety and authenticity in online dating [1][2]. Group 1: Face Check Implementation - Face Check is now mandatory for all new users in seven countries and California, with plans for further rollout across the U.S. [1] - The feature requires new members to take a short video selfie to verify their identity and match their profile photos [3]. Group 2: User Safety and Trust - Users who successfully complete Face Check receive a Photo Verified badge, indicating their authenticity [4]. - The feature also detects duplicate accounts using the same face, providing additional protection against impersonation [4]. - Early results show over a 60% decrease in exposure to potential bad actors and over a 40% decrease in bad actor reports [8][9]. Group 3: Future Plans and Commitment - Match Group plans to introduce Face Check across additional apps in its portfolio starting in 2026 [7]. - The company emphasizes its commitment to responsible innovation and user privacy, ensuring that video selfies are deleted after verification [6].