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App Store Fee Cuts Set To Boost Duolingo, Match, Bumble Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-07-02 18:49
Core Viewpoint - Recent legal challenges for Apple Inc. regarding alleged monopolistic practices and new App Store fee policies may positively impact subscription service companies like Duolingo, Match Group, and Bumble by reducing app store fees, which are a significant cost of revenue [1][2]. Financial Outlook - A reduction in app store fees could enhance earnings for Duolingo, Match Group, and Bumble, as these fees currently account for 17% of Duolingo's cost of revenues and 20% for both Match Group and Bumble [2][3]. - A 500 basis-point shift in subscription revenue to off-app payments could increase Duolingo's EBITDA by 3.3%, Match's by 2.8%, and Bumble's by 3.0%. Additionally, a 100 basis-point reduction in app store fees could raise their EBITDA by 3.2%, 2.7%, and 3.5%, respectively [4]. Price Forecast Adjustments - Price forecasts have been raised for Bumble to $5.50 from $5.25 and for Match Group to $34 from $32, while Duolingo's price forecast remains at $450 due to higher sector valuation [5]. Revenue Impact - The anticipated fee reduction is expected to result in a 1-2% increase in U.S.-based revenues for these companies, while the impact on EU-based revenues is estimated to be smaller, leading to only a 0.5% EBITDA increase [6]. Company-Specific Insights - Bumble is projected to benefit the most from a potential drop in U.S. app fees, supported by recent legal developments that allow developers to direct users to off-app payment options [7]. - Bumble, Duolingo, and Match are already testing off-app payments, with expectations for updates during the second-quarter earnings in August. A 500 basis-point shift to off-app payments and a 100 basis-point cut in U.S. app fees could boost Bumble's total EBITDA by 1.7% [8]. - Duolingo, Match, and Bumble derive only about 20% of their subscription revenue from the EU, limiting their earnings upside from EU app fee reductions due to DMA compliance [9].
Here's Why Match Group (MTCH) is a Strong Growth Stock
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 14:51
Core Insights - The article discusses the Zacks Style Scores, a system designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential for outperforming the market over the next 30 days [2][3]. Summary by Category Zacks Style Scores Overview - Zacks Style Scores rate stocks based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, providing a rating from A to F, where A indicates the highest potential for outperformance [3][4][5]. Value Score - The Value Style Score focuses on identifying stocks that are undervalued based on financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow, appealing to value investors [3]. Growth Score - The Growth Style Score assesses a company's financial strength and future outlook, analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow to identify stocks with sustainable growth potential [4]. Momentum Score - The Momentum Style Score helps investors capitalize on price trends by evaluating one-week price changes and monthly earnings estimate changes, indicating favorable times to buy high-momentum stocks [5]. VGM Score - The VGM Score combines the Value, Growth, and Momentum Scores, serving as a comprehensive indicator to identify stocks with attractive value, strong growth forecasts, and promising momentum [6]. Zacks Rank Integration - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that utilizes earnings estimate revisions to assist investors in building successful portfolios, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks historically achieving an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988 [7][8]. Stock Selection Strategy - Investors are encouraged to select stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 that also possess Style Scores of A or B to maximize upside potential, while stocks with lower ranks should also have strong Style Scores to mitigate risks [9][10]. Company Spotlight: Match Group - Match Group, Inc. is highlighted as a leading provider of dating products, operating over 45 brands including Tinder and Match.com, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of A [11]. - The company is positioned as a growth opportunity, with a Growth Style Score of A and a forecasted year-over-year earnings growth of 13% for the current fiscal year, alongside an upward revision in earnings estimates [12].
“裁员潮”席卷美国大公司
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-19 00:31
美国企业界正经历一场前所未有的裁员潮。过去被视为增长象征的人才扩张,如今却成了企业眼中的负 担。当美国企业利润在去年底创下历史新高时,标普500公司中却有五分之一在过去十年中缩减了规 模。 据《华尔街日报》6月18日报道,过去三年美国上市公司白领岗位缩减3.5%,标普500成分股中每五家 就有一家持续十年瘦身。裁员潮罕见脱离经济周期,伴随去年末美企利润创纪录增长,亚马逊、美银等 巨头借AI与组织扁平化推行"人效改革",普通员工与管理层同时沦为优化目标。 宝洁本月宣布将裁减7000个职位,占其非制造业员工的15%,目标是创建"更广泛的角色和更小的团 队"。雅诗兰黛和约会应用运营商Match Group最近均表示已裁减约20%的管理人员。微软也计划在未来 几周内裁减销售部门和其他团队的数千名员工。 这场裁员潮的独特之处在于,它并非源于业绩下滑的被迫之举。而是在AI时代,"人多力量大"正被"精 兵强将"取代。对于这个现象,美银CEO直言: 更少的人力和更低的成本造就更高产出。 AI催化"人效崇拜" 越来越多的公司正在注重效率而不是规模,人多反而成了发展的阻碍。报道称,从西雅图的大型企业到 北卡罗来纳州夏洛特的美国银 ...
Why Match Group (MTCH) is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 14:51
Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market engagement and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market in the short term [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - Stocks are rated from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, with A being the highest score indicating better chances of outperforming [3] - The Style Scores are categorized into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score [3][4][5][6] Value Score - Focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow [3] Growth Score - Concentrates on a company's financial health and future growth potential, analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] Momentum Score - Targets stocks with upward or downward price trends, utilizing factors like one-week price change and monthly earnings estimate changes [5] VGM Score - Combines all three Style Scores to provide a comprehensive rating, highlighting stocks with attractive value, strong growth forecasts, and promising momentum [6] Zacks Rank Integration - The Zacks Rank uses earnings estimate revisions to simplify portfolio building, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks historically yielding an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988 [7][8] - Investors are encouraged to select stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B for optimal returns [9] Stock Highlight: Match Group (MTCH) - Match Group, Inc. operates over 45 dating brands, including Tinder and Match.com, and serves a global market [11] - Currently rated 3 (Hold) with a VGM Score of A, MTCH is also a strong candidate for growth investors, projecting a 13% year-over-year earnings growth for the current fiscal year [12] - Recent upward revisions in earnings estimates and a Zacks Consensus Estimate increase to $3.38 per share further support its potential [12]
Match Group: A Love Connection With Value Investors
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-31 12:29
Company Performance - Match Group's performance has been declining, with an annual growth rate decreasing by 10% over the last five years, while competitors have seen a 30% annual increase [1] - The flagship app, Tinder, has been losing market traction [1] Investment Approach - The investment strategy focuses on high-growth opportunities across industries, utilizing a value investing approach that emphasizes strong business models and strategic foresight [1] - The discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation methodology is primarily employed, with adaptability to various valuation techniques [1] - Business model frameworks from institutions like Harvard Business School are leveraged for in-depth analysis, ensuring a comprehensive understanding of a company's intrinsic value and strategic positioning [1]
Here's Why Match Group (MTCH) is a Strong Momentum Stock
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 14:56
Group 1 - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors, including daily updates on Zacks Rank and Industry Rank, access to the Zacks 1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens to enhance investment confidence [1][2] - The Zacks Style Scores are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on value, growth, and momentum methodologies, helping investors identify stocks likely to outperform the market in the next 30 days [2][3] Group 2 - Each stock receives a rating from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, with higher scores indicating a better chance of outperforming the market [3] - The Value Score identifies attractive and discounted stocks using ratios like P/E, PEG, and Price/Sales [3] - The Growth Score focuses on a stock's future prospects and financial health, analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] - The Momentum Score assesses trends in stock price and earnings outlook, using factors like one-week price change and monthly earnings estimate changes [5] - The VGM Score combines all three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive indicator for investors [6] Group 3 - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock-rating model that utilizes earnings estimate revisions to assist investors in building successful portfolios [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have produced an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - To maximize returns, investors should focus on stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B [9][10] Group 4 - Match Group, Inc. is a leading provider of dating products, operating over 45 brands, including Tinder and Match.com, and offering services in 42 languages across more than 190 countries [11] - Match Group has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of A, with a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating potential for growth [11][12] - The company's shares have increased by 2% over the past four weeks, and there has been an upward revision in earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 [12]
Juve Stabia Wins First Match in Serie A Playoff Semifinal 2-1 Against Cremonese; Second Leg to be Broadcast Live in English via Destination Calcio TV Sunday
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-05-23 12:00
Group 1 - Brera Holdings PLC is focused on expanding its global portfolio of men's and women's football clubs through a multi-club ownership strategy, with Juve Stabia being a key part of this strategy [2][8] - The live streaming of Juve Stabia's Serie A playoff match on Destination Calcio TV highlights the club's growing international profile and demand [2][3] - Juve Stabia's recent performance, including a 2-1 victory in the semifinal opener and finishing 5th in the Serie B standings, showcases the club's competitive potential [4][5] Group 2 - Brera Holdings aims to enhance international media visibility, matchday revenue growth, and community engagement to build sustainable football brands [5] - The company has made strategic investments and acquisitions, including a 90% stake in Fudbalski Klub Akademija Pandev and a majority stake in UYBA Volley, diversifying its portfolio [7] - The acquisition of a majority stake in Juve Stabia marks a significant expansion of Brera's multi-club ownership model, with a current 38.46% equity ownership interest [8]
Tinder CEO steps down after less than 2 years in latest shakeup amid activist pressure
New York Post· 2025-05-22 19:20
Leadership Changes - Tinder's CEO Faye Iosotaluno is stepping down in July after less than two years in the role, amid challenges in user growth and pressure from activist investors [1][4] - Match Group's CEO Spencer Rascoff will temporarily lead Tinder and has not named a replacement for Iosotaluno [4][5] Activist Investor Influence - Activist investors, including Elliott Management, Starboard Value, and Anson Funds, have acquired significant stakes in Match Group, prompting calls for cost-cutting and margin improvements [6][8] - Match Group signed an agreement with Elliott Management after the activist firm reportedly purchased a $1 billion stake in the company [6] Company Strategy and Performance - Rascoff has initiated a turnaround strategy, including a 13% workforce reduction, primarily affecting Tinder [7] - Iosotaluno previously indicated that Tinder would not return to revenue growth until 2027, while Rascoff expressed optimism about recent product momentum [11] - Tinder is testing new features, such as double-dating options and an AI "wingman" prototype to enhance user engagement [11][12]
Juve Stabia Advances in Serie A Playoffs; Semifinal Match at Cremonese to be Broadcast Live in English via Destination Calcio TV Today
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-05-21 12:00
Core Insights - Brera Holdings PLC is expanding its international presence through its multi-club ownership strategy, with a focus on increasing the visibility of its football clubs, particularly S.S. Juve Stabia, in key markets like the U.S., Canada, and the UK [2][3][4] Group 1: Company Strategy and Expansion - The live streaming of Juve Stabia's Serie A playoff match on Destination Calcio TV highlights the club's growing international profile and aligns with Brera Holdings' strategy to expand its footprint [2][3] - Brera Holdings aims to build sustainable, globally recognized football brands by prioritizing international media visibility, matchday revenue growth, and community engagement [5] - The company has made significant acquisitions and investments, including a 90% stake in Fudbalski Klub Akademija Pandev and a majority stake in UYBA Volley, diversifying its portfolio across different sports [7][8] Group 2: Performance and Market Position - Juve Stabia finished 5th in the Serie B standings and won its opening playoff match against Palermo, showcasing the club's competitive performance [4] - The club's strategy to reach international audiences is part of a broader trend in football towards the internationalization of media rights, catering to fans seeking authentic stories beyond traditional clubs [4][5] Group 3: Future Growth Opportunities - Brera Holdings is focused on creating opportunities for tournament prizes, sponsorships, and professional consulting services, aiming for innovation-driven growth and social impact [6][8] - The acquisition of Juve Stabia marks a significant step in the company's multi-club ownership model, with a strategic emphasis on bottom-up value creation [8]
Match Group (MTCH) FY Conference Transcript
2025-05-13 14:30
Match Group (MTCH) FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Match Group (MTCH) - **Date of Conference**: May 13, 2025 - **Key Focus**: Reorganization, product innovation, and growth strategies for dating apps, particularly Tinder and Hinge Key Points Company Culture and Leadership - The new CEO emphasizes rebooting company culture as a top priority, focusing on motivating over 2,000 employees to enhance productivity and innovation [1][2] - The CEO aims to streamline operations by reducing the company’s structure from 20 different entities to a more unified approach, similar to the successful model at Zillow Group [3][4] Product Innovation and AI Integration - Significant focus on improving the Tinder product roadmap and innovation to regain audience growth [2] - AI is being leveraged to enhance user engagement through personalized content recommendations, with a reported 15% improvement in match rates from new AI-driven algorithms [5][6] - AI is also being used to improve profile quality through prompt feedback, making user profiles more engaging [7][8] Cost-Cutting Measures - A reorganization led to a 13% reduction in workforce, with 18% cuts at Tinder, aimed at increasing accountability and agility within teams [11][12] - The company expects to save $45 million annually, which will be reinvested into expanding individual brands into new geographies and enhancing user features [13][14] Macroeconomic Considerations - The company is not directly affected by tariffs but acknowledges potential impacts from macroeconomic conditions, particularly on younger, price-sensitive consumers [18][19] - A slight decline in a la carte purchases has been observed among less affluent younger users, indicating sensitivity to economic conditions [20] Tinder's Turnaround Strategy - Tinder's brand awareness is high, but it faces challenges as its core audience ages and perceptions shift towards being a "hookup app" [21][22] - The CEO plans to innovate Tinder's offerings to appeal to younger audiences, focusing on features that promote social interactions rather than purely dating [24][26] - New features like "duos" for double dating are being tested in various markets to create a more relaxed and engaging user experience [27][29] Hinge's Growth and Strategy - Hinge is performing well due to its strong culture and consumer insights, which the CEO aims to replicate at Tinder [46][48] - Hinge is expanding globally and integrating AI features to maintain its leadership in the "intentioned dating" category [51][54] Expansion in Asia - Pairs is expanding in Korea, while Azar is performing well in the Middle East, with plans to broaden its reach in various countries [55][57] - A unified marketing team for Asia has been established to streamline brand expansion efforts across the region [59][60] M&A Strategy - The CEO expresses a continued interest in M&A, particularly for small acquisitions that can be integrated into the existing platform, while maintaining a high bar for larger deals [64][66] Financial Commitments - The company is committed to returning 100% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, with a current pacing of 135% year-to-date [67] Additional Insights - The CEO emphasizes the importance of audience growth over payer metrics, focusing on monthly and daily active users as key indicators of success [34][36] - The competitive landscape is viewed as more about offline social interactions rather than direct competition with platforms like TikTok and Instagram [70][71]