Key Takeaways BMBL shares fell 8% after Q2 earnings revealed that paying users declined 8.7% to 3.8 million.Total users dropped from 58 million in 2023 to 50 million, while revenues fell 7.6% to $248M.Q3 guidance projects further decline with revenues expected to fall 9% to 12% year over year.Bumble (BMBL) shares tumbled 8% in after-hours trading following second-quarter 2025 earnings that revealed deepening customer retention challenges, with paying users declining 8.7% to 3.8 million. The dating app opera ...

DALLAS, Aug. 20, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Match Group (NASDAQ: MTCH) announced today that Steven Bailey, Chief Financial Officer of Match Group, will participate in a fireside chat at the Citi Global TMT Conference on Wednesday, September 3rd at 10:50 a.m. Eastern Time (ET). A live webcast and replay of the fireside chat will be available at https://ir.mtch.com/investor-relations/news-events/events-archive/default.aspx.About Match GroupMatch Group (NASDAQ: MTCH), through its portfolio companies, is a leading pr ...

Neither 𝕏 nor Grok are mentioned, but Tinder is “essential”, according to Apple …phil beisel (@pbeisel):Come on @Apple you can do better... this is quite ridiculous.First image show X at the top— this is clearly based on raw data.But then "Try these AI-Powered Apps" doesn't present X or Grok at all. REALLY?And then we have "Top Apps Right Now"... that seems like a curated https://t.co/HUoBIwnqDA ...

Core Viewpoint - The dating app industry, particularly dominated by Match Group, is facing significant challenges with declining user engagement and revenue, despite attempts to innovate through AI and personalized matching features [3][8][25]. Financial Performance - Match Group reported Q2 2025 revenue of $846 million, remaining flat year-over-year, but with a 5% decline in paid users to 141 million, down 24.55 million from its peak in Q3 2022 [3][6]. - Tinder's revenue per payer (RPP) increased by 3% year-over-year, but overall revenue still fell by 4% due to user attrition [6]. - Hinge continues to grow but only accounts for less than 40% of Tinder's revenue, insufficient to offset the overall decline [6]. - Bumble's Q2 revenue was $248 million, down 7.6% year-over-year, with a similar decline in paid users [6]. Industry Challenges - The dating app industry is experiencing a "vicious cycle" due to a structural imbalance in gender ratios, exacerbated by the swipe interaction model, which fails to provide precise matches and diminishes user enthusiasm [8][25]. - The inability to resolve gender ratio issues has led to a focus on improving matching accuracy as a potential solution [8]. Innovations and New Entrants - Match Group is introducing new features like "modes" on Tinder to allow users to match based on their intentions (e.g., serious dating, making friends) and is testing AI-driven recommendations [8][25]. - New AI-native dating products are emerging, such as Sitch, which uses 75 matching parameters to connect users, and Ditto AI, which simulates dates based on user preferences [9][11][14]. - N2my focuses on offline social events, facilitating connections through AI, and has successfully organized numerous gatherings [17]. Competitive Landscape - AI dating products are attempting to address the shortcomings of traditional apps by offering personalized matching based on extensive user information, but they face challenges such as higher entry barriers and slower feedback loops compared to swipe-based models [20][23]. - The success of Tinder was largely due to its low entry barriers and quick feedback mechanisms, which AI dating products may struggle to replicate [22][23]. Future Outlook - The dating app market is currently in a "deadlock," with established products declining and new entrants struggling to gain traction [25]. - Match Group and Bumble are focusing on personalized matching and effective guidance through AI, but the integration of AI features has yet to significantly alter user experiences [25].

Core Insights - Bumble (BMBL) reported a second-quarter 2025 revenue drop of 7.6% to $248.2 million and an 8.7% decline in total paying users to 3.8 million, indicating challenges in its business transformation [1][9] - The company is focusing on attracting higher-quality users, with full-price payers now representing 80% of total payers, up from 70% in the previous quarter [5] - Bumble's forward P/E ratio is approximately 10.9x, significantly lower than the industry average of 39.76x, suggesting a market that has priced in considerable pessimism [7][9] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $94.6 million, or 38.1% of revenues, compared to $75.0 million, or 27.9% of revenues, in the prior year, reflecting effective cost management [2] - The company recorded a net loss of $367 million, primarily due to non-cash impairment charges of $404.9 million, indicating a need to recalibrate growth expectations [3] - Cash flow generation was strong at $71 million in Q2, with a solid cash position of $262 million, providing financial flexibility during the transformation [16] Strategic Initiatives - Bumble is undergoing a comprehensive rebuild of its technology infrastructure with an AI-first approach, including enhanced trust and safety features [4] - The strategic pivot towards quality over quantity is expected to yield long-term benefits, although it may result in short-term pain reflected in declining user metrics and revenue guidance [5][15] Industry Context - The global online dating market is projected to grow from approximately $9.3 billion in 2024 to $13.4 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.3% [6] - Bumble's primary competitor, Match Group (MTCH), maintains market dominance with over 16 million paying users, while other players like Grindr and Momo also operate in the space [6] Market Performance - Bumble's shares have declined 22.4% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which has grown by 7.4% [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is projected at $244.2 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 10.75% [17]

Match Group was one of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 Wednesday, a day after the parent company of Tinder and several other dating apps reported better-than-expected quarterly revenue, powered by gains at Hinge. https://t.co/dHNFOXf7q4 ...

Core Insights - Match Group (MTCH) reported Q2 2025 earnings of $0.72 per share, missing estimates by 11.11%, but showing a 50% increase year-over-year [1][9] - Revenues were flat at $863.7 million, slightly beating estimates by 1.24%, with a 1% decrease on an FX-neutral basis [1][9] - The company expects Q3 2025 revenues of $910-$920 million, indicating 2-3% year-over-year growth [11] Revenue Breakdown - Direct revenues were $845.5 million, down 0.3% year-over-year, while indirect revenues increased 15.1% to $18.3 million [2] - Hinge drove top-line growth with direct revenues increasing 25.4% year-over-year [2][4] - Tinder's direct revenues decreased 3.9% year-over-year to $461.2 million, but surpassed estimates by 0.84% [3][9] User Metrics - Total payers decreased by 5% year-over-year to 14.09 million, missing estimates by 0.50% [3][9] - Revenue per payer (RPP) increased 5% year-over-year to $20, beating estimates by 1.56% [3][9] - Hinge's payers increased by 18% year-over-year to 1.75 million, with RPP rising 6% to $31.96 [4] Operating Performance - Total operating costs increased 1.6% year-over-year to $669.8 million, representing 77.6% of revenues [7] - Adjusted operating income was $289.9 million, down 5.4% year-over-year, with an adjusted operating margin of 33.6% [7] Financial Position - As of June 30, 2025, Match Group had cash and short-term investments of $340.4 million, down from $414 million as of March 31, 2025 [8] - Long-term debt remained flat at $3.5 billion [10] Future Guidance - For 2025, the company anticipates revenues towards the high end of the guided range of $3,375-$3,500 million, driven by positive FX impacts [12] - The expected adjusted operating income margin for the full year is 36.5%, factoring in $50 million in reinvestments [12]

User Engagement - Match Group's Tinder app experienced a decline in paying users during the second quarter [1] Product Development & Strategy - The company's CEO indicates that the accelerated rollout of new products is beginning to gain traction, particularly among Gen-Z users [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Match Group's total revenue for Q2 was $864 million, flat year over year, and down 1% on an FX neutral basis [27][28] - Adjusted operating income (AOI) was $290 million, down 5% year over year, representing an AOI margin of 34% [28] - Tinder's direct revenue in Q2 was $461 million, down 4% year over year, with payers declining 7% to 9 million [29] - Hinge's direct revenue was $168 million, up 25% year over year, with payers growing 18% to 1.7 million [30] - Match Group Asia's direct revenue was $69 million, down 6% year over year, with an operating loss of $300,000 [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Tinder's revenue declined due to a lack of innovation and focus on short-term monetization, while Hinge showed strong growth driven by product innovation [28][30] - The E and E segment's direct revenue was $148 million, down 8% year over year, with payers declining 15% [30] - Indirect revenue increased by 15% year over year, driven by strength in the advertising business [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hinge's MAU grew nearly 20% year over year in the first half of the year, with European markets seeing over 60% growth [22][30] - Match Group's overall user engagement metrics are showing signs of improvement, with a decrease in the rate of decline for new account registrations and MAU [54] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is undergoing a three-phase turnaround: reset, revitalize, and resurgence, with a focus on product innovation and user outcomes [6][12] - Tinder is being restructured to prioritize low-pressure connections, while Hinge aims to lead in intentional dating [25][26] - A $50 million investment plan is in place for product testing, geographic expansion, and new growth initiatives [25][73] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the online dating category's growth potential, citing Hinge's success as evidence of ongoing user interest [78] - The company is focused on regaining product market fit, particularly among younger users, and is optimistic about future growth driven by new product offerings [70][79] Other Important Information - The company plans to change its non-GAAP profitability measure from adjusted operating income to adjusted EBITDA starting next quarter [39] - A new marketing strategy is being implemented to support product launches and drive user growth [73] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Tinder's engagement with U.S. users under 30 - Management highlighted that recent product launches like DoubleDate are resonating well with younger users, with 90% of usage under 30 [43][44] Question: How to track the status of the turnaround - Management discussed monitoring metrics such as new account registrations, MAU, four-way chats, and contact exchanges to gauge progress [50][54] Question: Expansion of face check and alternative payments - Management is studying the impact of face check on user perception and safety, while alternative payments are showing promising results with a potential $65 million AOI savings opportunity [60][62] Question: Hinge's revenue acceleration drivers - Hinge's growth is attributed to product innovation, a focus on the female experience, and international expansion opportunities [88][91]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Match Group's total revenue for Q2 was $864 million, flat year over year, and down 1% on an FX neutral basis [28] - Operating income was $194 million, down 5% year over year, representing an operating income margin of 22% [29] - Adjusted operating income (AOI) was $290 million, down 5% year over year, with an AOI margin of 34% [29] - Tinder's direct revenue was $461 million, down 4% year over year, with payers declining 7% to 9 million [30] - Hinge's direct revenue was $168 million, up 25% year over year, with payers growing 18% to 1.7 million [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Tinder's revenue per payer (RPP) grew 3% year over year to $17.14 [30] - Hinge's RPP grew 6% year over year to $31.96, driven by strong user growth and monetization optimization [31] - E and E direct revenue was $148 million, down 8% year over year, with payers declining 15% to 2.3 million [32] - Match Group Asia's direct revenue was $69 million, down 6% year over year, with pairs increasing 6% year over year to 1.1 million [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hinge grew its monthly active users (MAU) by nearly 20% year over year in the first half of the year, with European markets seeing over 60% growth [23] - Match Group's indirect revenue was up 15% year over year, driven by strength in the advertising business [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is undergoing a three-phase turnaround: reset, revitalize, and resurgence, with a focus on user outcomes and product innovation [5][12] - Tinder is being restructured to prioritize low-pressure ways to connect, while Hinge focuses on intentional dating [12][20] - The company plans to allocate approximately $50 million in 2025 towards product testing, geographic expansion, and early-stage bets [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the online dating category's growth potential, citing Hinge's success as evidence of ongoing user interest [26][82] - The company anticipates a year-over-year revenue growth of 2% to 3% for Q3, with a focus on reinvesting savings into product innovation [36][38] Other Important Information - The company plans to change its non-GAAP profitability measure from adjusted operating income to adjusted EBITDA starting next quarter [41] - A new marketing strategy is being implemented to improve engagement with younger users, particularly under 30 [47][48] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Tinder's engagement with U.S. users under 30 - Management highlighted that features like DoubleDate are resonating well with this demographic, with 90% of users being under 30 [47][48] Question: How to track the status of the turnaround - Management indicated that they are monitoring metrics such as new account registrations, MAU, four-way chats, and contact exchanges to gauge progress [56][58] Question: Expansion of face check feature - Management is studying the impact of the face check feature on trust and safety, revenue, and user perception [63] Question: Insights on alternative payments - Testing of alternative payments has shown a 30% shift in transactions from in-app purchases to the web, resulting in a 10% increase in net revenue [66] Question: Addressing weaknesses among younger users - Management noted that while there is still some pressure on younger users, they are not seeing further macroeconomic impacts and are testing various monetization strategies [89] Question: Key drivers for Hinge's revenue acceleration - Hinge's growth is attributed to product innovation, a focus on the female experience, onboarding improvements, and international expansion [92][94]