Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of careful single-stock selection for investors, particularly focusing on small and mid-cap growth stocks that have unique catalysts to outperform the broader market [1] Group 2 - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in covering technology companies and has been involved with seed-round startups, providing insights into current industry themes [2]

nCino (NCNO) is expected to deliver flat earnings compared to the year-ago quarter on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended July 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 2 ...

Core Insights - nCino, Inc. will report its financial results for the second quarter ended July 31, 2025, on August 26, 2025, after market close [1] - A conference call and webcast will be held on the same day at 4:30 p.m. ET to discuss these results [2] Company Overview - nCino is a leading provider of intelligent banking solutions, aimed at helping financial institutions digitize and improve business processes [3] - The company serves over 2,700 customers globally, including community banks, credit unions, independent mortgage banks, and major financial entities [3] - nCino integrates artificial intelligence and actionable insights into its platform to enhance decision-making, risk management, and customer satisfaction [3]

Core Viewpoint - The digital banking space is identified as an attractive investment arena, with a focus on companies like Alkami Technology and Q2 Holdings, which are modernizing customer-facing software for credit unions and regional banks [1][3]. Company Summaries - **Alkami Technology**: - Rated as Overweight by the analyst, with organic revenue growth exceeding 20% and trading at six times EV/Sales for 2026E [4]. - Holds less than 5% market share in a ~$10 billion market, with up to 60% of the market being an addressable opportunity [3]. - Benefits from high customer retention and long contract lengths, supporting revenue visibility [1]. - **Q2 Holdings**: - Also rated as Overweight, with similar characteristics to Alkami Technology in terms of customer retention and contract lengths [1]. - Holds less than 10% market share in the same ~$10 billion market, with significant growth potential [3]. - **nCino**: - Rated as Neutral, focusing on cloud-based banking software solutions for financial institutions [2]. - The analyst has noted idiosyncratic factors that have kept her on the sidelines regarding nCino compared to broader vertical SaaS [2]. Market Dynamics - The digital banking industry is characterized by a defensive monetization model based on the number of bank accounts and products subscribed to by banks [2]. - The opportunity for improving bank efficiency is described as seemingly limitless, indicating a strong growth potential for the sector [2]. Price Actions - As of publication, stock prices are as follows: - Alkami Technology (ALKT) is up 5.26% at $28.24 - Q2 Holdings (QTWO) is up 3.56% at $89.07 - nCino (NCNO) is down 0.44% at $26.96 [5].

Summary of nCino Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: nCino - **Industry**: Banking Software Solutions Key Points and Arguments Leadership and Background - The CEO of nCino has over 30 years of experience in the software industry, transitioning through various technological shifts, including mainframe to client-server, enterprise to big data, and now to cloud and AI in banking [4][5]. Commercial Business Performance - nCino's organic commercial Annual Contract Value (ACV) grew approximately 10% in fiscal year 2025 despite normalization in the business [6][7]. - The company aims to deepen its penetration in the commercial sector, currently at 30% within its existing installed base, with a focus on enhancing efficiency through AI [8][10]. Banking Advisor Functionality - The banking advisor functionality has gained significant traction, with 16 new skills launched, aimed at automating manual tasks and improving efficiency in commercial workflows [15][16]. - Early data suggests a potential ACV uplift of 20% to 25% from the banking advisor, although the CEO refrains from committing to specific figures at this stage [17][18]. Consumer Business Growth - The consumer lending segment is growing, with 20 new deals signed in Q4, including a significant deal with a $200 billion asset bank [20][22]. - The consumer business is currently about 15% to 20% the size of the commercial business, with similar growth rates expected to accelerate [21][23]. Mortgage Business Strategy - nCino's acquisition of SimpleNexus aims to enhance its position in the mortgage market by providing a consistent digital front-end experience across all banking solutions [26][28]. - The mortgage business has shown resilience, growing every year despite challenging market conditions, with a focus on transitioning to a new pricing model [30][32]. International Expansion - nCino operates in North America, EMEA, Australia, New Zealand, and Japan, with plans to expand aggressively in the European market [35][36]. - The international subscription business is growing in the high teens, but year-over-year growth in EMEA has been disappointing, prompting leadership changes to drive improvement [39][41]. Pricing Model Transition - Currently, 15% of revenue is on a new pricing model, primarily in the mortgage segment, with expectations for gradual conversion over the next few years [43][44]. - The new model is designed to align value and growth with customers, allowing for annual adjustments based on asset growth [46][47]. Implementation and Efficiency - nCino is focused on reducing implementation timelines from months to weeks through pre-configured solutions and leveraging AI [54][55]. - The company aims to deploy all solutions in under 200 consulting hours, enhancing speed to market and decision-making for clients [54][57]. Future Growth Initiatives - nCino is optimistic about growth opportunities across various segments, including commercial, consumer, and mortgage, with a focus on AI integration and international expansion [61][62]. - The company has increased its sales capacity by 14% and believes its customer base is healthier than in previous years, setting the stage for reacceleration of growth [66][67]. Additional Important Insights - The CEO emphasizes the importance of speed and efficiency in banking operations, suggesting that banks will need to adapt quickly to remain competitive in the evolving landscape [49][67]. - The transition to AI banking is seen as a significant opportunity for nCino, positioning the company as a leader in this emerging category [67].

Summary of nCino Conference Call Company Overview - nCino is a software company that provides a unified platform to help banks improve efficiency by addressing legacy infrastructure issues and enhancing customer interactions [2][4] - The platform focuses on four key areas: customer onboarding, loan origination, account opening, and portfolio management across various banking sectors [3] Financial Performance - nCino reported a strong first quarter, exceeding revenue and subscription revenue guidance by $1.8 million, with $800,000 attributed to mortgage services [5][6] - The company raised its subscription revenue guidance by $4 million and operating income guidance by $5 million for the second half of the year, indicating a positive outlook [7] Investor Sentiment and Market Conditions - Investors are concerned about macroeconomic factors, including tariffs and international business impacts, but nCino has not experienced negative effects so far [9][10] - There is optimism among customers regarding potential deregulation under the current administration [10] - The transition to a new CEO, Sean Desmond, has generated interest and positive discussions about leadership changes [10][11] Investor Day Highlights - The recent Investor Day showcased a multi-year R&D initiative that culminated in a unified platform across various banking sectors [12][13] - The company emphasized its "Rule of 40" target, which combines revenue growth and non-GAAP operating margins, as a key performance metric [14][16] Pricing Model Transition - nCino is transitioning from a seat-based pricing model to a platform-based model, which is expected to enhance customer value and align pricing with asset growth on the platform [21][24] - Approximately 15% of the customer base has transitioned to the new pricing model, with expectations for further adoption in Q4 [26] Market Position and Competition - nCino serves a diverse customer base, from community banks to large institutions like Bank of America, and has a unique position in the market due to its comprehensive platform [35][36] - The total addressable market (TAM) is estimated at nearly $20 billion, with significant growth potential since going public [38] AI Strategy - nCino aims to lead in AI banking, leveraging its existing customer trust and unique datasets to develop AI-driven solutions [47][48] - The AI strategy includes three pillars: Banking Advisor (generative AI), AgenTic (workflow automation), and iPass (integration platform as a service) [48][51][52] M&A Strategy - The company is currently in a digestion phase following four acquisitions made over the past year, focusing on integration and maximizing returns from these assets [60][62] - Future M&A opportunities will be evaluated based on their potential to enhance shareholder value [66][67] Conclusion - nCino is positioned for growth with a strong financial performance, a clear strategy for AI integration, and a focus on executing its product vision while navigating market challenges and opportunities [70][71]

nCino Conference Call Summary Company Overview - nCino is recognized as the leader in cloud-based lending systems, focusing on transforming financial services through innovation, reputation, and speed [2][3] - The company aims to lead in AI banking, addressing long-standing issues in financial institutions by democratizing data and enhancing digital collaboration [3][4] Key Points Industry Position and Strategy - nCino serves 2,700 customers globally, including 15 of the top 30 banks in the U.S. and five of the top seven in the U.K. and Ireland [5][6] - The company is focused on onboarding, account opening, loan origination, and portfolio monitoring across commercial, consumer, and mortgage lines of business [4][5] - nCino's strategy includes leveraging a rich data set to capitalize on vertical AI opportunities in banking [5][7] Financial Performance and Outlook - The customer base is recovering from previous liquidity crises and rising interest rates, with increasing activity in pipelines [12][13] - The company has set a bookings plan for the year, with a midpoint guidance of $3 million more than the previous year [13] - nCino aims to achieve a "Rule of 40" by the fourth quarter of next year, indicating a commitment to balancing growth and profitability [16][17] AI Integration and Product Development - nCino has been proactive in AI product development, with a threefold strategy: Banking Advisor skill sets, Agentic AI, and a data backbone [20][21][24] - The company has already launched 18 Banking Advisor skills and is working on automating workflows to enhance efficiency [21][22] - The focus is on connecting value delivered to fees charged, moving from a per-user model to an outcome-based pricing strategy [25][26] Market Dynamics and Growth Opportunities - nCino is positioned to drive efficiency in banks regardless of interest rate environments, with a sustainable business model that has proven resilient through various economic conditions [27][28] - The company sees significant growth potential in the remaining 70% of the market, particularly in international markets like Japan and EMEA [34][35] - The acquisition of SimpleNexus has strengthened nCino's position in the mortgage space, providing a consistent digital experience for customers [46][47] Competitive Landscape - nCino differentiates itself by offering a global platform that integrates various banking solutions, unlike competitors that focus on point solutions [31][32] - The company is aware of competitors attempting to undercut contracts but remains committed to sustainable business practices [48][49] Future Directions - nCino is currently in a "digestion mode" regarding recent acquisitions, focusing on integration and maximizing the potential of existing resources [52][53] - The company remains open to opportunistic acquisitions but emphasizes growth through current capabilities [53] Additional Insights - The company has successfully navigated challenging market conditions, demonstrating durability and adaptability [28][29] - nCino's approach to customer engagement emphasizes fulfilling promises and delivering measurable outcomes, which is critical for maintaining customer trust [10][11]

Group 1 - The previous investment rating for nCino Inc. (NCNO) was a sell due to significant headwinds, particularly its exposure to mortgage volume [1] - The investment approach focuses on long-term investments while incorporating short-term shorts to uncover alpha opportunities [1] - The analysis emphasizes bottom-up analysis to assess the fundamental strengths and weaknesses of individual companies [1] Group 2 - The investment duration is medium to long-term, aiming to identify companies with solid fundamentals, sustainable competitive advantages, and growth potential [1]

Group 1 - nCino held its first quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings call, featuring CEO Sean Desmond and CFO Greg Orenstein [3] - The call included discussions on forward-looking statements regarding trends, strategies, and anticipated business performance, which are based on current management views and expectations [4] - The company plans to discuss non-GAAP metrics to aid in understanding financial results, with reconciliations to GAAP metrics available in the earnings release [5]

Group 1 - NCino reported quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but down from $0.19 per share a year ago [1] - The company posted revenues of $144.14 million for the quarter ended April 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.90% and up from $128.09 million year-over-year [2] - NCino has surpassed consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters [2] Group 2 - The stock has underperformed, losing about 19.7% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 gained 0.7% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.15 on revenues of $144.2 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.68 on revenues of $577.15 million [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Internet - Software is in the top 24% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]