21 January 2026 | 12:13AM EST Equity Research Netflix Inc. (NFLX) Q4'25 Earnings Review: Consistent Core Operating Performance; Transaction Debates Remain as Overhang NFLX 12m Price Target: $100.00 Price: $87.26 Upside: 14.6% Netflix reported a solid Q4'25 earnings report driven by above guided total revenue, operating income and strong free cash flow generation. On engagement trends, NFLX management gave some more nuanced commentary in our view that performance is being increasingly driven by original cont ...

January 21, 2026 06:30 AM GMT Netflix Inc | North America M Idea Playing Offense, Organically and Inorganically - Reiterate OW | What's Changed | | | | --- | --- | --- | | Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) | From | To | | Price Target | $120.00 | $110.00 | Reaction to earnings Unchanged Modest upside Modest revision lower Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month consensus EPS Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research We remain bullish shares after a strong '25 and guidance f ...

该行维持奈飞"增持"评级，目标价由142美元下调至126美元。尽管华纳兄弟探索的并购不确定性仍未完 全消除，但预计不会对2026年业绩造成实质性影响；随着估值显著回调，当前股价水平具备吸引力。 招商证券国际发表研报指，奈飞上季度业绩超预期，营收为120亿美元，同比增长18%(三季度同增 17%)，符合预期。增长主要由强劲的爆款内容上线所驱动，如《怪奇物语》最终季；尽管2026年一季 度及全年收入指引符合市场预期，但利润率指引不及预期，导致股价在盘后交易中回调。 展望2026年，招商证券国际看好公司前景，预计在业务持续规模化扩张的过程中，内容驱动的订阅用户 增长、定价能力提升、广告业务推进以及营运利润率扩张将形成持续增长动力。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant rebound following President Trump's cancellation of new tariffs on European countries and his announcement of a "framework agreement" regarding Greenland [1][3]. Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 1.21%, closing at 49,077.23 points; the S&P 500 increased by 1.16%, ending at 6,875.62 points; and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.18%, finishing at 23,224.82 points [2]. Political Developments - Trump stated at the World Economic Forum in Davos that he would not use military force to acquire Greenland, which positively influenced the stock market. He mentioned a productive discussion with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, leading to a future agreement framework concerning Greenland and the Arctic region [3]. - Trump had previously announced a 10% tariff on goods from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland, set to take effect on February 1, with a potential increase to 25% by June 1 if an agreement on Greenland was not reached [4]. Market Reactions - The stock market had previously declined sharply due to Trump's escalation of tariff threats and the possibility of military action regarding Greenland, marking the worst single-day performance since October 10 [6]. - The market's reaction to Trump's tariff cancellation reflects a trend where investors no longer assume his statements will be executed, indicating a level of unpredictability in his administration's policies [7]. Stock Performance - Major technology stocks mostly rose, with Nvidia up 2.95%, Apple up 0.39%, Microsoft down 2.29%, Google up 1.98%, Amazon up 0.13%, Meta up 1.46%, Tesla up 2.91%, Broadcom down 1.14%, Oracle down 3.36%, Netflix down 2.18%, Micron Technology up 6.61%, AMD up 7.11%, and Intel up 11.72% [7]. - Chinese concept stocks also saw gains, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising 2.21%, Alibaba up 3.87%, JD.com up 2.43%, Pinduoduo up 1.40%, NIO up 2.41%, Xpeng up 1.70%, Li Auto up 2.48%, Bilibili up 5.65%, Baidu up 8.17%, while NetEase fell 4.07%, Tencent Music down 0.80%, and Pony.ai up 2.55% [7].

Group 1: Beijing Economic Performance - In 2025, Beijing's GDP reached 52,073.4 billion yuan, growing by 5.4% year-on-year, surpassing the national average of 5% and marking it as the second city in China to exceed 50 trillion yuan in GDP after Shanghai [2] - The per capita disposable income in Beijing was 89,090 yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.3%, with urban residents earning 96,292 yuan and rural residents 42,012 yuan, reflecting a narrowing income gap [3] - The growth in Beijing's economy is supported by a high proportion of the tertiary sector and strong performance in high-energy industries, despite a slowdown in operating income growth and stagnant property net income [3] Group 2: 6G Technology Development - China has completed the first phase of 6G technology trials and is now entering the second phase, focusing on typical application scenarios and verifying technical feasibility [4] - The integration of air, land, sea, and space in 6G technology is expected to create revolutionary applications and drive upgrades in related industries such as chips and smart terminals [5] Group 3: TCL and Sony Joint Venture - TCL is set to acquire a controlling stake in Sony's television and audio business, forming a joint venture with 51% ownership by TCL and 49% by Sony, expected to start operations in April 2027 [6] - TCL's television shipment is projected to reach 30.41 million units in 2025, with a market share increase to 13.8%, narrowing the gap with the leading brand Samsung [6] Group 4: Vanke Bond Repurchase Plan - Vanke A's bondholders approved a plan to adjust the repayment arrangement for its bonds, allowing for a fixed repayment of 100,000 yuan and 40% principal repayment, providing some relief from potential default [7] - The company faces significant cash flow challenges, with a total debt of approximately 6.5 billion yuan maturing in the second quarter, raising concerns about its ability to avoid substantial defaults [8] Group 5: Douyin's New App Development - Douyin is developing an app called "Dou Sheng Sheng," aimed at enhancing offline consumption through group buying, with a focus on providing value and convenience [9] - Douyin's local life services are showing significant growth, with a total transaction volume increase of over 59% in 2025, indicating a successful expansion into the local service market [10] Group 6: Yonghui Supermarket's Financial Struggles - Yonghui Supermarket expects a net loss of 2.14 billion yuan in 2025, a 45.6% increase in losses compared to the previous year, primarily due to strategic adjustments and store closures [11] - The company's restructuring efforts, while necessary, have led to significant short-term losses, raising questions about its long-term viability in a changing retail landscape [11] Group 7: Netflix's Acquisition Strategy - Netflix reported a fourth-quarter revenue of $12.05 billion, exceeding expectations, and announced a shift to an all-cash acquisition of Warner Bros. for $72 billion [12][13] - The acquisition aims to bolster Netflix's content library with top-tier IPs, although it raises concerns about increased debt and financial risk as the company transitions from rapid growth to a more mature phase [13]

Netflix, Inc. ( NFLX ) just reported Q4 earnings, and the market reaction was quite a surprise to me. Netflix managed to beat estimates. In my view, the quarter and the earnings call were very rich in information that enhanced my assumptions. And now, after the recentEquity Research Analyst with a broad career in the financial market, covered both Brazilian and global stocks. As a value investor, my analysis is primarily fundamental, focusing on identifying undervalued stocks with growth potential. Feel fre ...

Netflix, Inc. ( NFLX ) just reported Q4 earnings, and the market reaction was quite a surprise to me. Netflix managed to beat estimates. In my view, the quarter and the earnings call were very rich in information that enhanced my assumptions. And now, after the recentEquity Research Analyst with a broad career in the financial market, covered both Brazilian and global stocks. As a value investor, my analysis is primarily fundamental, focusing on identifying undervalued stocks with growth potential. Feel fre ...

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), a provider of on-demand streaming of movies and TV shows globally, closed Wednesday at $85.36, down 2.18%. The stock moved lower as investors weighed a Q4 earnings beat and a new all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery. Trading volume reached 124.8 million shares, more than double the three-month average of 48.1 million. Netflix IPO'd in 2002 and has grown 71,247% since going public. How the markets moved today S&P 500 rose 1.16% to finish Wednesday at 6,875, while the Nasdaq Compos ...

Core Viewpoint - Netflix's shares declined over 4% intra-day following weaker-than-expected guidance while pursuing a significant acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery's studio and streaming assets [1] Financial Performance - For Q4 ended December 31, Netflix reported earnings of $0.56 per diluted share on revenue of $12.05 billion, slightly exceeding analyst expectations of $0.55 per share and $11.97 billion in revenue [2] - The company ended the year with 325 million global paid subscribers, and advertising revenue more than doubled from 2024, reaching over $1.5 billion [2] Future Guidance - For Q1, Netflix forecasts earnings of $0.76 per share on revenue of $12.16 billion, below analyst estimates of $0.81 per share and $12.19 billion in revenue [3] - For the full year 2026, projected revenue is between $50.7 billion and $51.7 billion, compared to forecasts of $51.03 billion, indicating annual revenue growth of 12% to 14%, a slowdown from the 16% growth rate in 2025 [3] Content and Market Dynamics - The company noted a decline in viewing hours for non-branded licensed content due to increased licensing activity in 2023 and 2024, influenced by the 148-day Writers Guild of America strike that affected production [4] - The guidance was released alongside news of Netflix enhancing its $72 billion offer for Warner Bros.' studios and HBO Max streaming business, aiming to strengthen its competitive position against Paramount Skydance [4]

Group 1 - The fourth quarter earnings season is gaining momentum, with major financial institutions like Charles Schwab and regional banks such as Fifth Third set to report results, alongside Netflix and Intel, which are expected to be focal points [1][5] - An optimistic consensus is emerging, with 7% of S&P 500 companies having reported fourth quarter results as of January 16, and analysts projecting an 8.2% increase in earnings per share for the quarter, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth for the index [2] - Analysts had initially anticipated an 8.3% increase in earnings per share heading into the reporting period, a decrease from the previous quarter's 13.6% growth rate, but expectations have been raised recently, particularly for technology companies [3] Group 2 - The current earnings season is expected to test the improved stock market breadth observed at the beginning of 2026, with ongoing themes from 2025, such as artificial intelligence and economic policies, continuing to influence market dynamics [4] - This week's earnings releases will also include reports from notable companies such as United Airlines, 3M Company, D.R. Horton, Johnson & Johnson, GE Aerospace, Procter & Gamble, Abbott Laboratories, and Capital One [5]