Northrop Grumman(NOC)

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Will Higher Expenses Hurt Northrop's Q1 Earnings Results?
ZACKS· 2025-04-17 15:10
Core Viewpoint - Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is expected to report its first-quarter 2025 results on April 22, with a projected earnings per share (EPS) of $6.27, reflecting a 0.8% decline year-over-year. The overall revenue is estimated at $10.05 billion, indicating a slight decrease of 0.8% from the previous year, primarily due to a downturn in the Space Systems segment [1][7][9]. Revenue Performance by Segment - **Aeronautics Systems**: Anticipated revenue of $3,171.5 million, representing a 6.8% increase from the prior year, driven by higher production volumes of B-21 and F-35 aircraft, and increased sustainment work [2][4]. - **Defense Systems**: Expected revenue of $1,886.1 million, showing a significant growth of 33.6% year-over-year, supported by higher sales from the Sentinel program and international ammunition sales [3]. - **Mission Systems**: Projected revenue of $2,763.4 million, indicating a growth of 3.9% from the previous year, bolstered by increased sales in advanced microelectronics and marine systems [4]. - **Space Systems**: Estimated revenue of $2,657.9 million, reflecting a decline of 27.3% year-over-year, primarily due to the wind-down of work on restricted space and NGI programs [5]. Backlog and Operational Insights - The backlog for NOC is projected to increase by 16.5% year-over-year to $91.98 billion, indicating strong future demand [6]. - Despite the decline in the Space Systems segment, the overall performance is expected to benefit from favorable operating margins due to efficiency initiatives and international growth [8]. Earnings Prediction and Market Position - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a potential earnings miss for NOC, with an Earnings ESP of -2.74% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting a cautious outlook for the upcoming earnings report [10][11].
Unlocking Q1 Potential of Northrop Grumman (NOC): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-04-16 14:20
Core Viewpoint - Northrop Grumman (NOC) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $6.27 per share, reflecting a 0.8% decline year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $10.05 billion, also down 0.8% from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their projections [1][2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [2] Key Metrics Forecast - Analysts predict 'Sales- Mission Systems' at $2.76 billion, a year-over-year increase of 3.9% [4] - 'Sales- Aeronautics Systems' is expected to reach $3.17 billion, reflecting a 6.8% increase year-over-year [4] - 'Sales- Space Systems' is forecasted to decline to $2.66 billion, a significant decrease of 27.3% year-over-year [4] Operating Income Projections - 'Sales- Defense Systems' is anticipated to reach $1.89 billion, marking a 33.6% increase from the prior-year quarter [5] - 'Operating income (loss)- Defense Systems' is expected at $182.36 million, up from $177 million in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Operating income (loss)- Mission Systems' is forecasted at $398.01 million, compared to $378 million in the previous year [5] - 'Operating income (loss)- Space Systems' is estimated at $285.17 million, down from $332 million year-over-year [6] - 'Operating income (loss)- Aeronautics Systems' is projected at $303.28 million, slightly up from $297 million in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Segment operating income adjustment- FAS/CAS operating adjustment' is expected to be $64.69 million, a significant increase from $6 million in the same quarter last year [7] Stock Performance - Northrop Grumman shares have increased by 8.1% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's decline of 4.2% [8] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [8]
Earnings Preview: Northrop Grumman (NOC) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-04-15 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in Northrop Grumman's earnings due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Northrop Grumman is expected to report quarterly earnings of $6.29 per share, reflecting a -0.5% change year-over-year, with revenues projected at $10.07 billion, down 0.6% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.04% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight positive adjustment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Northrop Grumman is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.21%, indicating bearish sentiment among analysts [10][11]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3, which increases the likelihood of a positive surprise [8]. Historical Performance - Northrop Grumman has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +1.91% in the most recent quarter [12][13]. Conclusion - Northrop Grumman does not appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and sentiment, but other factors should also be considered when evaluating the stock ahead of its earnings release [16].
Northrop's Arm Wins Contract to Support E-2C & D Hawkeye Jets
ZACKS· 2025-04-07 17:10
Core Viewpoint - Northrop Grumman Corp. has secured a $24.1 million modification contract for its E-2C and E-2D Hawkeye jets, which will enhance its position in the military aviation market and is expected to be completed by April 2026 [2][5]. Group 1: Contract Details - The contract involves continued sustainment and technical support for E-2C and E-2D aircraft, including foreign military sales to France, Japan, Taiwan, and Egypt [2]. - Most of the work will be conducted in Melbourne, FL, and Misawa, Japan [2]. Group 2: Significance of E-2C & E-2D Jets - The E-2D Hawkeye provides advanced battle management, missile defense, and sensor fusion capabilities, enhancing situational awareness for military operations [3]. - The E-2C Hawkeye serves as a modern airborne early warning aircraft, crucial for air and missile defense missions [4]. Group 3: Market Demand and Growth Potential - The demand for Northrop's E-2C and E-2D jets is driven by rising military conflicts and technological advancements, which are expected to boost the company's top-line performance [5]. - The global military aviation market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 4.7% from 2025 to 2030, benefiting Northrop due to its established product portfolio [6][7]. Group 4: Competitors and Market Landscape - Other aerospace companies like Embraer, Boeing, and Lockheed Martin are also positioned to benefit from the expanding military aviation market, with each having strong growth forecasts [8][10][11]. Group 5: Stock Performance - Northrop's stock has increased by 5% over the past three months, contrasting with a 7.2% decline in the industry [12].
Northrop Grumman Aerospace & Defense Industry Playbook 2025: Strategy Focus, Key Plans, SWOT, Trends & Growth Opportunities, Market Outlook
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-04-03 10:56
Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of Northrop Grumman Corporation's strategy amid a challenging global macroeconomic environment characterized by rising geopolitical tensions and potential trade wars under the Trump Administration 2.0 [2][4]. Industry Overview - The Global Aerospace & Defense Market is experiencing a significant upswing due to increased defense spending globally, driven by geopolitical conflicts and challenges to the traditional world order [3][4]. - The resurgence of Russia and China's military advancements pose serious challenges to the U.S.-led world order, prompting a surge in global defense spending, which has reached record levels [4][5]. Company Strategy - Northrop Grumman's strategy focuses on transitioning the B-21 Raider Long Range Strike Bomber program from prototype to Low Rate Initial Production (LRIP), while managing profitability on fixed-cost programs [7]. - The company aims to capitalize on the surging demand for missiles, missile defenses, and ammunition, particularly in light of ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Europe [7]. Market Dynamics - There is a revitalization of defense industrial bases globally to increase production rates for core systems, including artillery, armor, and missiles, alongside modernization of Cold War-era defense systems [5][6]. - The report highlights the importance of adapting to emerging market landscapes and leveraging growth opportunities from increased defense spending and modernization needs [6]. Key Decision-Makers - The report targets key decision-makers across the industry value chain, including defense departments, program managers, and executives from industry players and suppliers [8]. Financial Performance Analysis - The report includes a financial performance analysis based on the latest available financial results, providing insights into revenue trends, profitability, and growth [10]. SWOT Analysis - A SWOT analysis is included to identify strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats relevant to Northrop Grumman's strategic positioning [11]. Market Outlook - The report discusses the global aerospace and defense market outlook, including growth projections and key trends through 2028, emphasizing the importance of technological advancements and investment priorities [15][17].
How Many Drones Can the U.S. Navy Buy From Northrop Grumman for $267.2 Million?
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-29 14:10
Core Insights - Northrop Grumman is experiencing significant cost overruns in its MQ-4C Triton drone program, with the per-unit cost rising from an initial estimate of over $30 million to more than $133 million, and projections suggesting it could reach $618 million per unit by the program's end [4][5][6] - The U.S. Navy has drastically reduced its orders for Tritons, with the last order placed nearly 18 months ago, indicating a shift in defense procurement priorities towards cheaper and more expendable drone systems [2][3][8] - The company is expected to wind down Triton production by October 2028, with the program's future appearing bleak as the market shifts away from complex systems like Triton [8][10] Company Performance - Northrop Grumman's stock performance is under scrutiny due to disappointing free cash flow relative to reported earnings and a low long-term earnings growth rate of 3% [10] - Despite challenges in the drone segment, Northrop has other projects, including the B-21 stealth bomber and a $3.5 billion contract for E-130J Doomsday Planes, indicating diversification in its defense portfolio [9]
Northrop Secures a Contract for Supplying Precision Guidance Kits
ZACKS· 2025-03-20 17:20
Company Overview - Northrop Grumman Corp.'s business unit, Northrop Grumman Systems Corp., secured a contract valued at $40.5 million for supplying precision guidance kits (PGKs) from the Army Contracting Command, with completion expected by May 21, 2028 [1] - The U.S. Army has effectively utilized Northrop Grumman's PGKs to enhance the accuracy of conventional 155mm artillery for nearly a decade [4] Industry Trends - Global military spending has significantly increased over the past decade due to geopolitical tensions, driving demand for precision-guided munitions that minimize collateral damage [2] - Technological advancements in navigation and targeting systems, such as GPS and inertial navigation, have led to a rise in demand for PGKs, benefiting defense manufacturers like Northrop Grumman [3] Market Projections - The global precision-guided munition market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.6% from 2025 to 2034, indicating strong growth opportunities for Northrop Grumman [5] - Northrop Grumman is positioned to capitalize on this market growth through continuous innovations in their PGK offerings [6] Product Innovations - Northrop Grumman has developed the Precision Guidance Kit – Extended Range (PGK-ER), which is designed to function effectively in GPS-degraded environments, ensuring operational effectiveness under electronic warfare conditions [7] Competitive Landscape - Other defense companies expected to benefit from the growth in the precision-guided munition market include BAE Systems, Lockheed Martin, and Boeing, each with their own innovative products and growth projections [8][10][11] - BAE Systems' APKWS laser guidance kit has a long-term earnings growth rate of 11.9% and is projected to see a 53.7% increase in sales from 2024 to 2025 [9] - Lockheed Martin's Paveway II Plus has a long-term earnings growth rate of 7.8%, with a 4.6% sales improvement expected from 2024 to 2025 [10] - Boeing's JDAM has a long-term earnings growth rate of 17.4%, with a projected 25.6% increase in sales from 2024 to 2025 [12] Stock Performance - Northrop Grumman's stock has increased by 9% over the past month, outperforming the industry average rise of 5.4% [13]
Northrop Grumman Announces Webcast, Conference Call of First Quarter 2025 Financial Results
GlobeNewswire· 2025-03-20 13:00
Core Points - Northrop Grumman Corporation will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on April 22, 2025 [1] - A conference call to discuss the financial results will take place at 9:30 a.m. Eastern time on the same day [2] - The company is recognized as a leading global aerospace and defense technology provider [3] Financial Results Announcement - The financial results will be available on the investor relations website [1] - An advisory release will notify the public of the availability of the earnings release [1] Conference Call Details - The conference call will be webcast live on the company's website [2] - Replays of the call will be accessible for a limited time [2] - Presentations may include supplementary slides on the investor relations homepage [2] Company Overview - Northrop Grumman focuses on providing pioneering solutions for aerospace and defense [3] - The company aims to equip customers with capabilities for global connectivity and protection [3] - Employees are driven by a purpose to solve complex problems and expand the boundaries of human exploration [3]
Northrop Wins $267M Contract to Support MQ-4C Triton UAS
ZACKS· 2025-03-19 16:36
Core Viewpoint - Northrop Grumman Corp. has secured a $267.2 million modification contract for the MQ-4C Triton unmanned air systems program, which is expected to be completed by October 2028 [2][4]. Deal Details - The contract involves the manufacture and delivery of two MQ-4C Triton unmanned air systems, along with a main operating base and associated support services for the U.S. Navy [2]. - Additionally, the contract includes the delivery of MQ-4C spare parts for the Australian government, with significant work to be conducted in California and Texas [3]. Industry Context - The increase in geopolitical tensions, such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East, has led to heightened defense spending globally [4]. - The adoption of unmanned air systems (UAS) is becoming essential in modern warfare, providing advantages in surveillance and combat effectiveness while minimizing risks to human life [5]. Market Outlook - The global unmanned combat aerial vehicle (UCAV) market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 8% from 2025 to 2030, driven by rising defense budgets and ongoing conflicts [7]. - Northrop Grumman's product portfolio includes several autonomous systems, positioning the company well to capitalize on this growth [8]. Peer Prospects - Other defense companies, such as RTX Corp. and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, are also expected to benefit from the growth in the UCAV market, with their respective advanced UAS technologies [9][11]. - Lockheed Martin is noted for its extensive portfolio of autonomous systems, further indicating a competitive landscape in the defense sector [12]. Price Performance - Northrop Grumman's shares have increased by 11.8% over the past month, outperforming the industry average rise of 1.8% [14].
Tower Semiconductor Recognized by Northrop Grumman with Supplier Excellence Award
Newsfilter· 2025-03-17 11:00
Core Insights - Northrop Grumman Corporation has recognized Tower Semiconductor as one of its top supplier partners during the Supplier Excellence Awards Ceremony, highlighting the importance of their collaboration in enhancing national security technologies for the U.S. and its allies [1][2]. Group 1: Recognition and Performance - Tower Semiconductor has been awarded for Performance Excellence, emphasizing its role in delivering innovative and cost-effective military and security solutions that provide competitive advantages in complex fields [2]. - The recognition from Northrop Grumman underscores Tower Semiconductor's commitment to exceptional quality, reliability, and service in the Aerospace & Defense sector [3]. Group 2: Company Overview - Tower Semiconductor is a leading foundry specializing in high-value analog semiconductor solutions, serving various markets including consumer, industrial, automotive, mobile, infrastructure, medical, and aerospace & defense [4]. - The company offers a wide range of customizable process platforms, including SiGe, BiCMOS, mixed-signal/CMOS, RF CMOS, and CMOS image sensors, among others [4]. - Tower Semiconductor operates multiple facilities globally, including one in Israel, two in the U.S., and two in Japan, with additional access to a 300mm capacity corridor in Intel's New Mexico factory [4].