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Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-03 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales increased by 13% to $577 million, driven by new store openings and an increase in comparable store sales growth [17] - Adjusted net income was $46.1 million, with adjusted earnings per share at $0.75 [21] - Gross margin remained flat at 41.1%, slightly ahead of expectations, while SG&A expenses as a percentage of sales increased by 60 basis points to 28.6% [19][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comparable store sales grew by 2.6%, driven by an increase in transactions [18] - The company opened 25 new stores in the first quarter, a record for any period in its history, bringing the total to 584 stores, a 13% year-over-year increase [17][20] - Ollie's Army membership increased by over 9% to 15.5 million members, with sales to members representing over 80% of total sales [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The closeout market remains fluid, with significant retail store closures creating excess inventory and strong deal flow [7][9] - Demand for consumer staples was consistently strong, while certain seasonal categories were impacted by weather [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is aggressively pursuing market share by accelerating store growth, expanding digital marketing capabilities, and enhancing the Ollie's Army customer loyalty program [10][26] - The strategic focus includes investing in people and delivering extraordinary value to consumers [26] - The company plans to maintain its gross margin target of 40% and expects to open 75 new stores in the fiscal year [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current complex environment and reaffirmed the financial outlook for the fiscal year [14] - The company anticipates significant product and market share opportunities due to retail store closures and supply chain disruptions [9][10] - Management expects second quarter comparable store sales growth to be at the lower end of the 1% to 2% range [25] Other Important Information - The company completed the initial rollout of a co-branded credit card, seeing strong spending and shopping frequency [12] - A new private shopping event for Ollie's Army members is planned, enhancing the loyalty program [13][66] Q&A Session Summary Question: State of closeout availability and impact of tariffs - Management noted strong deal flow and access to product pipelines due to retail bankruptcies and store closures, with expectations for increased product availability in the back half of the year [31][33] Question: Traffic trends and confidence in second quarter comps - Traffic has been strong, with core comps running in the low to mid single-digit range, despite some impact from seasonal categories [35][36] Question: Impact of tariffs on supplier negotiations and pricing - Management emphasized maintaining value propositions and price gaps, while reducing reliance on Chinese imports [40][42] Question: Real estate opportunities and store openings - The pipeline for new store openings is strong, with expectations for above-average growth in 2026 [50] Question: Impact of Big Lots closures on comps - The liquidation of Big Lots stores had a minor impact on comps, with some stores seeing a low to mid single-digit lift [54][55] Question: Cadence of comps and Ollie's Army Night - The company expects the Ollie's Army Night to provide a slight lift, though not at the same level as the December event [90][91] Question: Gross margin expectations and tariff impact - Management anticipates gross margin to follow a seasonal flow, targeting 40% for the year, with some tariff impact already included [70][71] Question: Pricing strategy amidst tariff pressures - The company remains committed to maintaining price gaps and is closely monitoring competitor pricing strategies [74][76] Question: Ollie's Army membership growth and performance - Newer stores are seeing higher conversion rates to Ollie's Army membership, benefiting from customer familiarity with loyalty programs [86][88]
Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) - 2026 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-06-03 11:35
Financial Performance - Net sales increased by 13.4% to $576.8 million, compared to $508.8 million in the same quarter last year[2] - Adjusted net income per diluted share was $0.75, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.7%[7] - Adjusted net income increased to $46,073 thousand in Q1 2025, up from $45,210 thousand in Q1 2024, reflecting a growth of 1.9%[18] - The net income per diluted share increased to $0.77 in Q1 2025 from $0.75 in Q1 2024, representing a growth of 2.7%[18] Store Performance - Comparable store sales rose by 2.6%, driven by an increase in transactions[7] - The number of stores open at the end of the period rose to 584 in Q1 2025, compared to 516 in Q1 2024, indicating a year-over-year store growth of 13.2%[19] - Comparable store sales change was 2.6% in Q1 2025, slightly down from 3.0% in Q1 2024[19] - The average net sales per store rose to $1,005 in Q1 2025 from $993 in Q1 2024, reflecting a growth of 1.2%[19] Outlook and Projections - The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 earnings outlook, projecting net sales between $2.579 billion and $2.599 billion[6] - The projected increase in comparable store sales for fiscal 2025 is between 1.4% and 2.2%[6] Cash and Investments - Cash and cash equivalents, along with short-term investments, totaled $369.5 million, with a total cash and investment position of $414.9 million, up 21.5% year over year[7] - Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments increased to $369,508 thousand in Q1 2025 from $341,500 thousand in Q1 2024, marking a rise of 8.2%[19] Expenses and Margins - Gross margin remained flat at 41.1%, with lower supply chain costs offset by a decrease in merchandise margin[7] - Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of sales increased by 60 basis points to 28.6%[7] Share Repurchases - The company invested $17.1 million to repurchase 159,757 shares of its common stock, with $315.5 million remaining for future repurchases[7] - Share repurchases totaled $17,107 thousand in Q1 2025, down from $25,007 thousand in Q1 2024[19] Operating Activities - Net cash provided by operating activities decreased to $28,702 thousand in Q1 2025 from $40,184 thousand in Q1 2024, representing a decline of 28.8%[17] Capital Expenditures - Capital expenditures were $26,740 thousand in Q1 2025, slightly down from $26,865 thousand in Q1 2024[19] EBITDA - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $72,159 thousand, compared to $69,431 thousand in Q1 2024, showing an increase of 3.9%[18]
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Announces First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results
GlobeNewswire· 2025-06-03 11:30
Core Insights - Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, with net sales increasing by 13.4% year-over-year to $576.8 million, driven by new store openings and an increase in comparable store sales [2][5][4] - The company opened 25 new stores during the quarter, including 18 former Big Lots locations, bringing the total number of stores to 584, a 13.2% increase from the previous year [5][4] - The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 earnings outlook, maintaining expectations for net sales between $2.579 billion and $2.599 billion and comparable store sales growth of 1.4% to 2.2% [6][7] Financial Performance - Net income for the quarter was $47.6 million, or $0.77 per diluted share, compared to $46.3 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, in the same quarter last year [4][16] - Adjusted net income per diluted share increased to $0.75, up from $0.73 year-over-year, reflecting a 2.7% increase [5][21] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $72.2 million, representing a margin of 12.5% of net sales [11][21] Operational Highlights - Comparable store sales increased by 2.6%, driven by a rise in transactions, although this was slightly lower than the 3.0% increase in the prior year [5][4] - The gross margin remained flat at 41.1%, with lower supply chain costs offset by a decrease in merchandise margin due to changes in product mix [5][4] - Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses as a percentage of sales rose to 28.6%, primarily due to higher medical and casualty claims [5][4] Store Expansion - The company ended the quarter with a total of 584 stores across 32 states, marking a significant expansion from 516 stores a year earlier [5][23] - The new store openings included 18 locations acquired through the bankruptcy auction of Big Lots, highlighting the company's strategic growth initiatives [5][4] Cash and Investments - The company reported cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaling $369.5 million, an increase of 21.5% year-over-year [11][23] - Ollie's invested $17.1 million in share repurchases during the quarter, with $315.5 million remaining available for future repurchases under the current authorization [11][23]
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Likely To Report Lower Q1 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call
Benzinga· 2025-06-02 16:50
Core Viewpoint - Ollie's Bargain Outlet is set to release its first-quarter earnings results, with expectations of a slight decline in earnings per share and an increase in revenue compared to the previous year [1]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to report quarterly earnings at 71 cents per share, down from 73 cents per share in the same period last year [1]. - Quarterly revenue is expected to reach $565.75 million, an increase from $508.82 million a year earlier [1]. - In the fourth quarter, adjusted earnings per share were reported at $1.19, aligning with analyst consensus, while quarterly sales were $667.1 million, which was a 2.8% year-over-year increase but fell short of the consensus estimate of $674.5 million [2]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Keybanc analyst Bradley Thomas maintained an Overweight rating and increased the price target from $125 to $135 [9]. - JP Morgan analyst Matthew Boss also maintained an Overweight rating, raising the price target from $135 to $137 [9]. - Piper Sandler analyst Peter Keith maintained an Overweight rating but reduced the price target from $126 to $124 [9]. - UBS analyst Mark Carden maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $117 to $123 [9]. - Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman maintained an Equal-Weight rating and increased the price target from $108 to $118 [9].
Ollie's Bargain Q1 Earnings on Deck: Key Trends Investors Should Track
ZACKS· 2025-06-02 15:05
Key Takeaways OLLI is expected to report Q1 revenues of $564.7M, up 11% year over year. OLLI's earnings per share are projected at $0.70, marking a 4.1% decline from the prior year. Strong loyalty growth, store expansion and vendor ties fuel sales, but rising costs may hurt OLLI's margins.Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) is set to report its first-quarter fiscal 2025 results on June 3, before the opening bell. OLLI is likely to have registered an increase in the top line. The Zacks Consensus E ...
Curious about Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) Q1 Performance? Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 14:21
Wall Street analysts expect Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) to post quarterly earnings of $0.70 per share in its upcoming report, which indicates a year-over-year decline of 4.1%. Revenues are expected to be $564.69 million, up 11% from the year-ago quarter.The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. This reflects how the analysts covering the stock have collectively reevaluated their initial estimates during this timeframe.Before a company reveals its earnings, it ...
Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-27 15:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Ollie's Bargain Outlet despite higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on June 3, 2025, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.70, reflecting a -4.1% change year-over-year [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $564.69 million, indicating an 11% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting stability in analyst expectations [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Ollie's is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +4.29%, indicating a bullish outlook from analysts [10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8]. - Ollie's currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Ollie's was expected to post earnings of $1.20 per share but delivered $1.19, resulting in a surprise of -0.83% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13]. Conclusion - While Ollie's Bargain Outlet is positioned as a compelling earnings-beat candidate, other factors may also influence stock performance beyond just the earnings results [16].
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Announces First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call Information
GlobeNewswire· 2025-05-20 12:00
HARRISBURG, Pa., May 20, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: OLLI) (the "Company") today announced that it will report its financial results for the first quarter fiscal 2025 before the market opens on Tuesday, June 3, 2025. Eric van der Valk, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Robert Helm, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will host a conference call with the investment community to discuss the financial results and answer questions at 8:30 a. ...
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings: Too Expensive And Too Risky In This Environment
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-02 15:39
One company that I really wish I could be bullish about is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (NASDAQ: OLLI ). If this is your first time being introduced to the business, it would be helpful to know that the company operates asCrude Value Insights offers you an investing service and community focused on oil and natural gas. We focus on cash flow and the companies that generate it, leading to value and growth prospects with real potential.Subscribers get to use a 50+ stock model account, in-depth cash flow ana ...
Ollie's Bargain Stock Up 11% in a Month: Lock in Gains or Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-04-16 15:30
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has caught the attention of investors, with its stock climbing 10.8% in the past month, fueled by robust financial results and strategic growth initiatives. While this performance has been impressive, it raises a critical question: Is there still room for further upside, or has OLLI reached its peak?With the company’s solid fundamentals, aggressive expansion plans and increasing consumer loyalty, OLLI appears well-positioned to maintain its upward trajectory. The ...