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OPFI vs. SOFI: Which Fintech Credit Stock Is the Better Buy Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-27 19:11
Core Insights - Both OppFi Inc. (OPFI) and SoFi Technologies (SOFI) are positioned in the fintech lending sector, with OPFI focusing on underserved non-prime customers and SOFI targeting mass-market consumers [1] Group 1: OppFi Inc. (OPFI) - OPFI's niche strategy for non-prime customers allows it to tap into a fintech market projected to grow at a CAGR of 15.3% from 2025 to 2030 [2] - In Q2 2025, OPFI reported a 12.8% year-over-year revenue growth and a 13.8% increase in net originations, with an improved loan auto approval rate of 80% [3] - Management forecasts full-year revenues between $578 million and $605 million, up from a previous estimate of $563 million to $594 million, and expects adjusted net income to rise to $125-$130 million from $106-$113 million [4] - OPFI's forward P/E ratio is 6.93, significantly lower than its 12-month median of 8.52, indicating a cheaper valuation compared to SOFI [14] Group 2: SoFi Technologies (SOFI) - SOFI added 850,000 members in Q2 2025, bringing total membership to 11.7 million, a 34% year-over-year increase [6] - The company achieved a 34% year-over-year growth in product adoption, with 35% of new products taken up by existing members, indicating effective customer engagement [7] - SOFI's annualized fee-based revenues exceeded $1.5 billion, and its adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 600 basis points, showcasing improved profitability [8] - SOFI's forward P/E ratio stands at 54.82, higher than its median of 50.59, reflecting a premium valuation compared to OPFI [14] Group 3: Comparative Analysis - OPFI's estimated sales and EPS for 2025 indicate year-over-year growth of 12% and 49.5%, respectively, with no recent changes in analyst estimates [12] - SOFI's 2025 sales and EPS estimates show year-over-year increases of 32.3% and 113.3%, with three upward revisions in the past 60 days [13] - Both companies exhibit strong growth narratives, but OPFI's risk management and optimistic guidance enhance investor confidence, making it a potentially more attractive investment due to its lower valuation [16]
How Should You Play OppFi Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-10-27 19:02
Core Insights - OppFi Inc. (OPFI) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 29, with revenue expectations of $152.6 million, reflecting an 11.7% year-over-year growth, while earnings per share are projected to decline by 6.1% to 31 cents [1][9] Financial Performance - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, having beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 54.4% [2] - Current earnings expectations indicate a low chance of an earnings beat, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3][4] Strategic Initiatives - OppFi's customer-first strategy is expected to drive revenue growth, supported by AI and machine learning models, which have improved the loan auto approval rate to 80% from 76% year-over-year [5][6] - The company reported a Net Promoter Score of 79, indicating strong customer satisfaction and the effectiveness of its customer-driven approach [6] Stock Performance - OppFi's stock has surged 88.9% over the past year, outperforming the industry and the S&P 500 composite, which rose by 18.9% [7][9] - The stock is currently trading at a trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 6.93, significantly lower than the industry average of 21.58 and its peers FirstCash (16.26) and Corpay (11.97) [11] Risk Management - OppFi has shown effective risk mitigation strategies, with a notable decline in its Net Charge-Off rate, which dropped by 400 basis points year-over-year in Q4 2024 and further declines in the first two quarters of 2025 [14][15] - The company maintains a strong liquidity position, with a current ratio of 1.72, above the industry average of 1.17, indicating its capability to cover short-term obligations [16] Conclusion - The company's customer-first strategy and risk management initiatives are expected to support revenue growth, although the outlook for earnings remains less favorable [18] - Investors are advised to monitor the stock closely for potential entry points, given the challenges ahead of the earnings release [19]
OppFi Soars 104% in a Year: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 16:35
Core Insights - OppFi Inc. (OPFI) shares have increased by 104.2% over the past year, significantly outperforming its industry growth of 5.8% and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 18.1% rise [1][9] - Recent performance indicates a correction phase, with OPFI shares declining by 3% in the past month, while the industry fell by 6.6% and the S&P 500 rose by 3.6% [4][22] Company Strengths - OppFi targets the underbanked population, utilizing AI and machine learning to assess credit profiles, which enhances service speed [6] - The loan auto approval rate reached 80% in Q2 2025, up from 76% in the previous year, and a Net Promoter Score of 79 indicates strong customer satisfaction [7] - The Net Charge-Off (NCO) rate has decreased, with a notable drop of 400 basis points to 42% in Q4 2024, and further declines of 700 bps and 300 bps in subsequent quarters, showcasing effective risk management [8][10] Valuation and Liquidity - OppFi's stock is trading at 6.91 times forward earnings, significantly lower than the industry average of 20.2 times, indicating a potentially attractive investment opportunity [11] - The trailing 12-month EV-to-EBITDA ratio stands at 4.55 times, below the industry average of 12.12 times, suggesting growth potential [11] - The current ratio improved to 1.72 in Q2 2025 from 1.57 a year ago, surpassing the industry average of 1.17, indicating strong short-term obligation coverage [14] Revenue and Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects OPFI's 2025 revenues at $588.9 million, reflecting a 12% year-over-year growth, with earnings per share expected to rise by 49.5% [16] Challenges - The core business model involves lending to subprime borrowers, which carries inherent credit default risks, with 28% of consumers in the 580-669 credit score range likely to become seriously delinquent [17] - Competition in the fintech market is intensifying, with threats from companies like SoFi and Dave, which may attract customers away from OppFi [18][19] Strategic Positioning - OppFi's customer-centric strategy leverages AI and ML to manage credit risk while meeting customer demand, positioning the company favorably despite market challenges [20] - The liquidity position and strong revenue and earnings outlook contribute to a positive assessment of the stock, although credit risks and competition remain concerns [21]
OppFi's NCO Rate Falling: Is Risk Mitigation Strategy Paying Off?
ZACKS· 2025-10-03 14:26
Core Insights - OppFi (OPFI) has shown a consistent decline in its Net Charge-Off (NCO) Rate, which decreased from 42% in Q4 2024 to 32% in Q2 2025, indicating improved credit quality [1][2][9] - The company's advanced underwriting model, Model 6, has enhanced loan auto-approval rates from 79% to 80%, contributing to effective risk management [4][5][9] - In Q2 2025, OppFi achieved record revenues of $142 million, reflecting a 12.8% year-over-year increase, alongside a 59% rise in adjusted net income [5][9] NCO Rate Trends - The NCO rate has consistently decreased, moving from 54% in Q4 2024 to 47% in Q1 2025, and further down to 43% in Q2 2025, showcasing the company's effective lending strategy [3][9] - The annualized NCO rate as a percentage of average receivables also followed a downward trend, reinforcing the company's focus on high-quality borrowers [3] Financial Performance - OppFi's revenue growth and profitability are supported by its internal risk-selection strategy, allowing it to navigate economic challenges effectively [6] - The stock has increased by 137.4% over the past year, outperforming competitors like Green Dot and PagSeguro Digital, which saw gains of 22.7% and 16.8%, respectively [7] Valuation Metrics - OppFi trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 7.32, significantly lower than the industry average of 20.32, indicating potential undervaluation [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OppFi's earnings for 2025 and 2026 has risen by 15.4% and 4.9%, respectively, over the past 60 days [14]
OppFi Announces New $150 Million Revolving Credit Facility
Prnewswire· 2025-10-02 11:00
Core Points - OppFi Inc. has closed a new $150 million revolving credit facility, replacing a prior facility, which is expected to significantly improve financing costs with a reduction in the interest rate from SOFR + 7.5% to SOFR + 6.0% [1][2] - The new credit facility is aimed at supporting the company's growth in receivables and enhancing access to credit for underserved Americans [2] Company Overview - OppFi is a tech-enabled digital finance platform that partners with banks to provide financial products and services to everyday Americans, focusing on financial inclusion and customer experience [3] - The company has a high customer satisfaction rating, maintaining a 4.4/5.0 star rating on Trustpilot based on over 5,200 reviews [3] - OppFi holds a 35% equity interest in Bitty Holdings, LLC, which offers revenue-based financing and working capital solutions to small businesses [3]
OppFi: Deep Value In Non‑Prime Lending, With Possible Regulatory Storm Clouds (NYSE:OPFI)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-26 11:30
Core Insights - OppFi Inc. is a technology-driven specialty finance company that provides unsecured installment loans to borrowers who lack access to mainstream credit [1] - The company has developed a digital lending platform through partnerships with banks, enhancing its ability to serve its target market [1] Company Overview - OppFi Inc. operates in the specialty finance sector, focusing on unsecured loans [1] - The company targets borrowers who are typically underserved by traditional financial institutions [1] Business Model - The digital lending platform of OppFi is designed to streamline the loan application and approval process, making it more accessible for borrowers [1] - Partnerships with banks are a key component of OppFi's strategy, allowing it to leverage existing financial infrastructure [1]
OPFI vs. FUTU: Which Fintech Stock Is the Smarter Buy Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-09-23 17:41
Core Insights - Both OppFi Inc. (OPFI) and Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) are significant players in the fintech sector, with OPFI focusing on credit access for the underbanked and FUTU providing online brokerage and wealth management services [1] Summary of OppFi - OPFI targets the underbanked demographic, addressing their challenges in accessing credit from traditional banks [2] - In Q2 2025, OPFI reported a 12.8% year-over-year growth in revenue and a 13.8% increase in total net originations, driven by a customer-first and dynamic pricing strategy [3] - The company’s AI and machine learning-based Model 6 improved the loan auto approval rate to 80% from 76% year-over-year, enhancing service quality [3] - OPFI's credit quality strategy led to high customer satisfaction scores, with a net promoter score of 79 and a customer satisfaction score of 89% [4] - The company raised its 2025 revenue guidance to $578-$605 million and adjusted net income guidance to $125-$130 million [5] - Estimates indicate a 49.5% growth in EPS for OPFI in 2025 [9] Summary of Futu Holdings - FUTU operates as a fully digital platform with low fees, competing against traditional brokerage services [6] - In Q2 2025, FUTU experienced a 69.7% year-over-year revenue increase and a 1570-basis-point rise in operating margin [6] - Growth factors included increased funded accounts, robust trading volumes, and a 98% client retention rate [7] - AI plays a crucial role in FUTU's strategy, with tools like Futubull AI and moomoo AI enhancing global reach and investment offerings [8] - Total assets under management surged by 104.4% year-over-year as of Q2 [9] - Estimates suggest a 64.5% growth in EPS for FUTU in 2025 [13] Comparative Analysis - OPFI trades at a forward earnings multiple of 7.95, lower than its median of 8.55, while FUTU trades at 18.81, above its median of 15.87 [14] - OPFI is considered a smarter buy due to its focus on the underbanked market and competitive edge in credit access [16] - Despite both companies being fundamentally strong, OPFI's discounted valuation presents a more attractive opportunity for growth-focused investors [17]
Top Stock Picks for Week of September 22, 2025
[Music] Stocks our strategists feel are poised to deliver positive returns are featured now in their top stock picks of the week. Hi, Shiraz Mian here uh with the top stock video. Uh uh today uh Brian Hayes will be joining me and uh both of us have picked one stock uh each uh uh from the finance sector uh for both of us.Uh so so let me jump into mine. Um as you could see here on this slide uh I'm featuring JP Morgan. Uh needs no introduction.In this slide I'm showing the trailing one-year performance of JP ...
OppFi Stock: High Charge-Off Rates But Strong Free Cash Flow (NYSE:OPFI)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-17 06:44
Group 1 - The equity market serves as a significant mechanism for wealth creation or destruction over the long term through daily price fluctuations [1] - Pacifica Yield focuses on long-term wealth creation by targeting undervalued high-growth companies, high-dividend stocks, REITs, and green energy firms [1]
OppFi Soars 139% in a Year: Should You Buy the Stock Now or Wait?
ZACKS· 2025-09-11 16:50
Core Viewpoint - OppFi Inc. (OPFI) has experienced a remarkable stock price increase of 139.2% over the past year, significantly outperforming its industry and the broader market [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - OPFI's stock has gained 33% year-to-date, while competitors PayPal and Repay have seen declines of 23.1% and 25.8%, respectively [4]. - The stock's performance is compelling enough to attract investor interest, but further analysis is needed to understand the reasons behind this growth [4]. Group 2: Business Model and Strategy - OppFi utilizes a bank-partner model to cater to everyday American users, specifically targeting individuals with Fair Issac Corporation scores below 650, who often lack access to traditional lending options [5]. - The company has implemented AI and machine learning models to mitigate default risks, resulting in an 80% loan auto-approval rate in the June quarter, up from 76% the previous year [6]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Management has raised its revenue guidance for 2025 to between $578 million and $605 million, up from a previous estimate of $563 million to $594 million, and adjusted net income guidance to $125 million to $130 million from $106 million to $113 million [8]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OPFI's 2025 revenues is $588.9 million, indicating a 12% year-over-year growth, with earnings per share expected to rise by 49.5% [14][15]. Group 4: Valuation and Liquidity - OppFi's stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 6.97, significantly lower than the industry average of 21.74 [9]. - The company's current ratio improved to 1.72 in the second quarter of 2025, surpassing the industry average of 1.17, indicating strong liquidity [11].