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Peloton: Buy The Technical Weakness
Seeking Alpha· 2025-01-17 03:56
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON ) has had a dramatic past few years, to say the least. During the pandemic years, the stock surged to eye-popping levels, but when the lockdown ended, Peloton's business got crushed as people moved outdoorsI'm a technically-oriented Canadian investor with a focus on U.S. markets, particularly in tech and financials. I graduated with a Bachelor of Commerce Degree with Distinction, with a major in Finance. I'm also a proud lifetime member of the Beta Gamma Sigma Interna ...
3 Contrarian Stock Picks That Could Surprise the Market in 2025
The Motley Fool· 2024-12-25 14:43
Group 1: Roku - Roku stock has seen a significant decline, currently 83% off its all-time highs, despite a recent 50% increase over the past six months [2] - The company is experiencing growth in its membership base and revenue while reducing expenses, leading to improved profitability [3] - Roku's ad platform is gaining traction, with viewing hours on its free ad-supported channel increasing by 80% year over year in Q3, contributing to its recent gains [4] - The price-to-sales ratio is less than 3, indicating potential for growth in 2025 [5] Group 2: Wayfair - Wayfair's sales have declined post-pandemic, but the online home furnishings platform remains a strong contender for recovery [6] - The company has made progress by lowering expenses and improving its net loss, despite a challenging housing market [7][9] - Revenue per active customer increased by 1.3% over the trailing 12 months, highlighting strategic investments in customer relationships [8] - Wayfair stock is currently 87% off its all-time highs and trades at a low ratio of 0.5 times trailing 12-month sales, presenting a potential opportunity for risk-tolerant investors [10] Group 3: Peloton - Peloton stock has dropped 94% from its all-time highs due to overexpansion and management issues during the pandemic [11] - The company is working on improving its cost structure and reducing total expenses, with gross profit up 6% and gross margin expanding to 51.8% [12][13] - The new CEO, Peter Stern, has experience in subscription businesses, which may help in turning the company around [14]
3 Facts About Peloton You Must Know Before Buying the Stock
The Motley Fool· 2024-12-14 08:24
What goes up, must come down. But can it come back up again?This is precisely the path that Peloton Interactive (PTON 2.46%) is taking. Its shares surged 550% from their initial public offering in September 2019 to their peak in January 2021. They then tanked 98% as they hit a 52-week low in May of this year.However, there's been a bit of a resurgence. This consumer discretionary stock has soared 219% in just over seven months, as it aims to win back investors. Before you decide to ride the momentum and buy ...
Peloton: Big Winner For The Holidays And 2025
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-05 10:20
This account is managed by Noah's Arc Capital Management. Our goal is provide Wall Street level insights to main street investors. Our research focus is mainly on 20th century stocks (old economy) undergoing a 21st century transformation, but occasionally we'll write on companies that help transform 20th century firms as well. We look for innovations in a business model that will cause a stock to change dramatically. Associated with SA contributors Thomas Potter and Elijah Buell.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we h ...
2 Former Pandemic Darlings Eyeing a Big 2025 Turnaround
MarketBeat· 2024-11-20 12:45
The pandemic triggered a boom in stocks that accommodated physical isolation, convenient access from home, and fitness. Many of these stocks hit unbelievable highs during the lockdowns but collapsed just as hard in the post-pandemic normalization period afterward. While many of these stocks faded into oblivion, leaving a trail of bagholders, some stocks are attempting to regain some footing as they learn from past missteps. Here are two former high-flying momentum stocks in the consumer discretionary and me ...
Peloton Stock Skyrockets 159% in 3 Months: Is it Too Late to Buy?
ZACKS· 2024-11-14 16:27
Core Viewpoint - Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) has demonstrated significant stock performance, with a 158.9% increase over the past three months, outperforming both the industry and the S&P 500 [1][2]. Stock Performance - As of the latest close, PTON stock was at $8.31, below its 52-week high of $8.97 but above its low of $2.70 [2]. - PTON has outperformed competitors such as Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT), Vista Outdoor Inc. (VSTO), and Acushnet Holdings Corp. (GOLF), which saw increases of 21.3%, 13.1%, and 2.2% respectively in the same period [2]. Technical Indicators - Technical analysis indicates strong performance for PTON, with the stock trading above its 50-day moving average, suggesting positive market sentiment and confidence in the company's financial health [3]. Leadership Changes - Peloton appointed Peter Stern, a leader with over 20 years of experience in technology and content integration, to lead the company starting January 2025, aligning with its goals to enhance member engagement and attract subscribers [4]. Product Innovations - The company has launched new software features, including personalized workout plans and a strength-training app, which enhance user engagement and support subscriber retention [5]. Financial Restructuring - Peloton's $200-million restructuring plan has led to significant cost reductions, resulting in three consecutive quarters of positive free cash flow, with first-quarter fiscal 2025 operating income at $13 million and free cash flow at $11 million [6]. Subscription Business Strength - The first-quarter fiscal 2025 results highlight the strength of Peloton's connected fitness subscription business, boasting over 6 million members and annualized subscription revenues exceeding $1.7 billion with a gross margin of 68% [7]. Market Strategy - Peloton has improved unit economics by adjusting pricing and minimizing promotions, and has shifted to third-party retail partners in markets like Germany, which has proven to be a more capital-efficient approach [8]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 adjusted loss per share has improved from 65 cents to 38 cents, indicating a narrowing of losses compared to the previous fiscal year [9]. Valuation - PTON is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 1.27, which is lower than the industry average, suggesting it is undervalued [9]. Conclusion - Peloton's stock surge indicates recovery and growth potential, supported by technical momentum, new content features, cost efficiencies from restructuring, and a favorable valuation, making it an attractive investment opportunity [11].
What Makes Peloton (PTON) a Strong Momentum Stock: Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2024-11-11 18:06
Momentum investing revolves around the idea of following a stock's recent trend in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will be essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." With this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving that way. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Even though momentum is a popular stock char ...
Peloton: Big Cost Improvement, Decent CEO Hiring, More Upside Ahead
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-11 16:20
Core Insights - Peloton (NASDAQ: PTON) reported Q3 earnings on October 31st, which exceeded market expectations, indicating a positive surprise for investors [1] - The company has made progress in addressing its cost structure, which has been previously identified as significantly misaligned [1] Company Analysis - Peloton's recent earnings report suggests a potential turnaround in its financial performance, which could attract investor interest [1] - The company is part of a broader investment strategy that seeks asymmetric risk/reward opportunities, highlighting its potential as a target for hedge fund investments [1]
David Einhorn Believes Peloton Is Undervalued, but His Bull Case Comes With a Big "If"
The Motley Fool· 2024-11-05 14:06
The high-profile hedge fund manager has no solution for the company's biggest problem right now.Shares of Peloton Interactive (PTON 3.59%) are undervalued, according to hedge fund manager David Einhorn. Speaking at a recent investor conference, the founder and chief of Greenlight Capital argued the fitness equipment maker's stock could be worth as much as $31.50 per share. That's about 330% higher than where the stock trades as of this writing.The catch? The struggling company needs to ... tweak a few of it ...
Peloton Stock Has Soared 195% From Its 52-Week Low. Is It Too Late to Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2024-11-05 10:27
The connected fitness company's incoming CEO has an impressive resume that includes a seven-year stint at Apple.Peloton Interactive (PTON 3.59%) was a savior for fitness enthusiasts during the depths of the pandemic. When lockdowns and social distancing protocols were implemented in 2020 and 2021, demand soared for the company's connected exercise equipment and virtual fitness classes.However, Peloton's revenue has declined in each of its last three fiscal years as social conditions gradually returned to no ...