Core Insights - Rigetti Computing has seen a significant stock price increase of 855% this year, attracting substantial investments from major firms like American Assets Investment Management, Vanguard Group, and BlackRock [2][3] - Despite the stock's performance, Rigetti's business fundamentals are deteriorating, with a 43% decline in trailing-12-month revenue compared to 2022 and annual losses exceeding $350 million [6][5] Group 1: Stock Performance - Rigetti Computing's stock has risen 855% this year, outperforming other quantum computing stocks [2] - The stock is currently priced at $30.06, with a market capitalization of $9 billion [4][5] Group 2: Insider Buying - Major investment firms have increased their stakes in Rigetti, with American Assets holding 2.6%, Vanguard at 9.9%, and BlackRock at 6.4%, collectively controlling nearly 20% of the shares [3][2] - These firms began purchasing Rigetti stock earlier this year, indicating strong insider confidence despite the stock's high valuation [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - Rigetti's sales have decreased by 43% from 2022 levels, and the company has experienced a fivefold increase in annual losses over the past three years [6][5] - Analysts predict that Rigetti will continue to incur losses for at least the next five years, raising concerns about the sustainability of its stock price [6]

Core Insights - China is rapidly advancing in quantum computing, with John Martinis expressing concern that the U.S. may only be marginally ahead in this technology race [1][2] - Rigetti Computing's stock surged by 15.34%, closing at $4.00, amidst broader market gains [1] - The U.S. government is focusing on quantum technology following its efforts in artificial intelligence, indicating potential future investments in quantum companies [3] Company Overview - Rigetti Computing has a market capitalization of approximately $9 billion, which appears inflated compared to its $7.5 million in sales over the past year and a reported loss of $350 million during the same period [4] - The stock's performance is under scrutiny, with concerns about its valuation given the company's financial metrics [4] Market Context - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite experienced slight gains on the same day Rigetti's stock rose significantly [1] - Martinis has been actively engaging with the U.S. administration regarding quantum technology, emphasizing its importance for national security [2]

Core Viewpoint - Quantum stocks are showing signs of recovery after a significant correction, with IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum experiencing bullish momentum and breaking higher on increased volume [1][3][13]. Group 1: Market Context - The selloff in quantum stocks was triggered by fears of a broader collapse in AI stocks, leading to a risk-off behavior in the market [2]. - Some quantum stocks experienced declines of up to 65% from their October highs, indicating a dramatic reset after a strong performance earlier in the year [2]. - The recent pullback is viewed as a necessary shakeout for late-to-enter traders, allowing for a potential rebound as speculative appetite returns [2][3]. Group 2: Company Performances - **IonQ**: - IonQ is recognized as the leader in the quantum sector, with the largest market capitalization and significant annual revenue [5]. - The stock surged nearly 12% in a single session after a period of consolidation, indicating a strong technical breakout [5][6]. - Maintaining above the breakout zone is crucial for continued positive momentum, with pullbacks into this region seen as favorable entry points [6]. - **D-Wave Quantum**: - D-Wave has shown one of the strongest rebounds, recovering from a more than 60% drop during the selloff [8]. - The stock has formed a tight base and is positioned for further gains as long as it holds above recent breakout levels [9]. - **Rigetti Computing**: - Rigetti's stock has mirrored the broader sector's trends, with a significant pullback followed by a breakout above resistance [11]. - The reclaiming of key levels is a positive sign, and if it remains above the breakout point, momentum could continue to rise [11][12]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - Quantum stocks are still considered highly speculative, but the technical outlook has improved significantly across the sector [13]. - All three companies have reclaimed key levels and attracted renewed buying interest, suggesting a potential new upward trend in quantum computing [13][14]. - While volatility remains high, the recent market shakeout has reset sentiment, creating cleaner setups for investors willing to take on higher-risk opportunities [14].

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing's stock experienced a significant decline of 42.2% in November 2025, erasing the previous month's gains of 48.6% and resulting in a total loss of 14.2% from September 30 to November 29 [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Rigetti reported revenues of $1.95 million, an 18% decrease year-over-year, while net losses surged from $14.8 million to $201.0 million [2] - The company burned $19.7 million in free cash flow during the quarter, with a notable $149 million non-cash expense related to derivative warrant liabilities impacting the bottom line [3][2] - Rigetti's research and development costs amounted to $15.0 million, representing the largest expense on its income statement [3] Market Position and Investor Sentiment - Investors remain skeptical, viewing Rigetti more as an early-stage research entity rather than a serious commercial player in quantum computing [4] - The stock's decline accelerated following the disappointing earnings report, with a 28.3% drop occurring just three days later [4] - Rigetti's stock has seen a remarkable increase of 729.3% over the past 52 weeks, despite the recent downturn [3] Industry Context - The quantum computing sector is characterized by high investor expectations and volatility, similar to trends observed in cannabis stocks and cryptocurrencies [6][7] - Rigetti is developing a comprehensive suite of quantum computing solutions, which may provide a competitive edge over peers focusing on narrower segments [8] - The company has a substantial cash cushion of $559 million, allowing it to sustain operations despite current losses [8] Long-term Outlook - The future of Rigetti remains uncertain, with comparisons drawn to past high-flying stocks that ultimately faced significant declines [9][10] - While Rigetti may experience sporadic growth, the overall price trend is expected to be negative in the near term [10]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) has a strong balance sheet with approximately $559 million in cash, surpassing $600 million after warrant exercises, providing a strategic advantage for funding roadmap execution without dilutive capital raises or debt [1][9] - The company is on track to achieve significant milestones in quantum computing, including a 100-plus qubit system with 99.5% fidelity this year and a 150-plus qubit system with 99.7% fidelity targeted for 2026 [2][9] - Rigetti's operating expenses increased to $21 million in Q3 due to new hires and higher compensation, indicating a focus on talent and engineering to enhance competitive positioning [3] Financial Performance - Rigetti's shares have increased by 56.6% year-to-date, contrasting with a 5.9% decline in the industry [8] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 20.9, which is above the industry average, and carries a Value Score of F [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 earnings indicates an 88.9% decline compared to the previous year [13] Earnings Estimates - Current Zacks Consensus Estimates for Rigetti's earnings show a projected loss of -$0.68 for the current year and -$0.16 for the next year [14] - Year-over-year growth estimates indicate a 37.5% improvement for the current quarter and next quarter, but a significant decline of 88.89% for the current year [14]

Shares of Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) collapsed 40% over the past month, falling from $39 in early November to $23.45 on December 1. ...

Core Insights - Quantum computing has emerged as the hottest stock market trend in 2025, surpassing artificial intelligence as the primary catalyst on Wall Street [1] - Quantum computing pure-play stocks have seen significant price increases, with some rising by up to 965% over the past year [2] - The technology is expected to create substantial economic value, with estimates ranging from $450 billion to $850 billion by 2040 [7] Industry Overview - Quantum computing utilizes specialized computers based on quantum mechanics to solve complex problems that classical computers cannot address, potentially revolutionizing various industries [3][6] - Applications include drug development and accelerating AI learning processes, which are driving investor excitement [6] Market Dynamics - Institutional investors, including JPMorgan Chase, are recognizing the potential of quantum computing, with the bank identifying it as a key area in its $1.5 trillion Security and Resiliency Initiative [9][10] - Collaborations with major tech companies like Amazon and Microsoft are providing quantum computing firms access to significant customer bases [10] Historical Context - Historical trends indicate that new technologies often face significant adoption delays, with investors typically overestimating the speed of market acceptance [11][12] - Previous tech trends, such as the internet and blockchain, have experienced bubble-bursting events, suggesting that quantum computing may follow a similar trajectory [13][14] Valuation Concerns - Current price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for quantum computing stocks are significantly above historical bubble thresholds, indicating potential overvaluation [17] - Historical data shows that leading companies in tech trends can lose 80% or more of their value during market corrections [18][20]

Core Insights - The National Quantum Initiative (NQI) has seen a significant increase in federal investment, with approximately $1 billion allocated annually for quantum information science in FY 2025, up from about $456 million in 2019 [1][3] - The upcoming reauthorization of the NQI for 2025-2029 is expected to further enhance funding, with proposals of $1.8 billion from the House and $2.7 billion from the Senate, focusing on applied projects and public-private partnerships [3][9] - Companies like IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave are benefiting from government contracts, which are crucial for their growth narratives despite their current low revenues and operating losses [4][6] Federal Investment and Support - Federal agencies are collectively investing around $1 billion annually in quantum information science, indicating a strategic focus on this technology [1] - The NQI reauthorization plans aim to scale funding significantly, with the House proposing $1.8 billion and the Senate proposing $2.7 billion over five years [3] - DARPA's selection of quantum firms for contracts signals government confidence in their technologies, which can represent a substantial portion of these companies' revenues [4][5] Market Dynamics and Valuations - Despite being in early stages with low revenues, quantum companies have seen their valuations rise, largely driven by expectations of government spending rather than immediate commercial demand [6][9] - Defense contracts, even in the range of $5-10 million, can significantly impact stock prices, highlighting the importance of government as a primary customer for quantum technologies [7][9] Investment Strategy and Future Outlook - Investors should focus on policy and procurement as key factors in valuing quantum companies, rather than traditional product cycles [13][16] - The recent example of xLight illustrates the potential for government equity-like investments in critical technology sectors, which could extend to quantum firms [11][17] - The trajectory of quantum stocks will be influenced more by government funding and support than by the timing of technology mainstreaming [18][19]

We recently published 10 Stocks Already Hurting in December. Rigetti Computing, Inc. (NASDAQ:RGTI) is one of the top performers on Monday. Rigetti Computing dropped its share prices by 8.27 percent on Monday to close at $23.45 apiece, mimicking an overall market pessimism following the recent holiday rush. Additionally, investors unloaded portfolios amid the company’s lack of positive developments to bolster buying appetite. Early last month, Rigetti Computing, Inc. (NASDAQ:RGTI) announced its earnings ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the potential of quantum computing as the next major investment opportunity, likening it to Nvidia's success in the GPU market [1][2] - It highlights three publicly traded quantum companies that are leading the charge in this emerging field: IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum [1][2] Company Summaries IonQ - IonQ is recognized as a leading candidate in the quantum race, achieving a world-record 99.99% 2-qubit gate fidelity, which is crucial for efficient error correction [3] - The company reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of $39.9 million, marking a 222% year-over-year growth, with full-year guidance of $106 million to $110 million [5] - IonQ has a strong cash position of $3.5 billion, enabling strategic acquisitions and talent acquisition, with recent purchases including Vector Atomic and Oxford Ionics [5] Rigetti Computing - Rigetti employs a modular, multichip architecture using superconducting qubits, which is compared to AMD's strategy in the semiconductor industry [6] - The company's Ankaa-3 system has a median 2-qubit gate fidelity of 99.5%, with a focus on speed as superconducting qubits operate in nanoseconds [8] - Rigetti has commercialized its technology through sales to various sectors and has approximately $600 million in cash and investments, supporting its roadmap for larger quantum systems [9] D-Wave Quantum - D-Wave is often misunderstood as merely an annealer but is generating revenue through its specialized quantum computing for optimization problems [10] - The Advantage2 system features over 4,400 annealing qubits and has secured 133 customers, including major corporations [11] - D-Wave is also developing a universal gate-model computer and has a cash position of around $836 million, reducing liquidity risk [12] Investment Perspective - The article suggests that no single qubit architecture is guaranteed to dominate, with trapped ions offering fidelity, superconducting systems providing speed, and annealing systems delivering utility [13] - Investors are encouraged to consider a diversified approach by investing in all three companies to capitalize on the quantum computing trend [13] - The potential market for quantum computing is projected to reach between $45 billion and $131 billion by 2040, indicating significant upside potential despite current unprofitability and high expectations [14]