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Is Rigetti's Growth Model Too Dependent on Government Deals?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 16:50
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) heavily relies on U.S. government contracts to fund and validate its quantum technologies, including a $1.5 million contract with the Air Force Research Lab and a $3.9 million contract with DARPA [1][6] - The company's dependence on public sector revenue raises concerns about scalability and commercial maturity, as government projects often have long procurement cycles and may not lead to high-margin contracts [2][6] - Rigetti's stock has decreased by 14.3% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry's growth of 14.7%, and it trades at a high price-to-book ratio of 18.12, indicating weak value metrics [5][8] Government Contracts and Partnerships - Rigetti has secured multiple government contracts, including a multi-year project with the Department of Energy's Superconducting Quantum Materials and Systems Center, which reinforces its status as a trusted partner in early-stage quantum research [1] - The company delivered its 84-qubit Ankaa-1 system to the DoE's Quantum Systems Accelerator, showcasing its technological capabilities [1] Comparison with Peers - IonQ has also received significant government support, including a $13.4 million contract, while successfully converting private sector pilots into active engagements, indicating a more balanced revenue stream [3] - D-Wave collaborates with various agencies and has launched pilot projects in enterprise applications, positioning itself for broader revenue flexibility compared to Rigetti [4] Financial Performance and Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 earnings suggests an 86.1% rise from the previous year, although the company still faces challenges in achieving commercial uptake [9][10] - Current estimates indicate negative earnings per share for the upcoming quarters, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 14.29% for the current quarter [10]
What's Next For Rigetti Stock?
Forbes· 2025-07-03 15:50
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) has seen a significant stock price increase of 15% on July 2, contributing to a nearly 70% rise over the past four months, following Cantor Fitzgerald's initiation of coverage with an Overweight rating and a $15 price target, indicating a potential further increase of about 19% from current prices [2][3] Company Overview - Rigetti specializes in quantum computing, developing superconducting quantum processors and offering cloud-based Quantum Computing as a Service (QCaaS) [4] - The company is advancing its technology with the Ankaa-3, an 84-qubit system, and aims to transition to multi-chip modules, targeting machines with over 100 qubits and the 336-Qubit Lyra by 2026 [4] Financial Performance - Despite technological advancements, Rigetti is still in the research and development phase, with CEO Subodh Kulkarni stating that commercial demand is expected to be 3–5 years away, and widespread adoption could take up to a decade [5] - The company reported a 50% year-over-year revenue decline in Q1 2025, with revenue at $1.5 million and operating losses of $21.6 million [6] Competitive Landscape - Rigetti's end-to-end approach provides flexibility in chip design and cloud access, enhancing its competitive position against rivals like IBM, IonQ, and Google [7] - The partnership with Quanta is expected to bolster commercialization potential, although competition is intensifying with advancements from Google's Willow chip and Amazon's Quantum Embark program [7] Investment Considerations - Rigetti is well-funded with over $575 million in cash, supported by a $350 million equity capital raise and a $250 million partnership with Quanta, and has no debt [6] - The company's valuation is notably high, trading at 478 times the expected sales for 2025, indicating a speculative investment environment [6][8]
Why Rigetti Computing Stock Lit Up Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-02 21:06
Rigetti stock isn't an investment, but a gamble.Rigetti Computing (RGTI 15.45%) surged ahead to close up 15.5% Wednesday after investment bank Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage of the quantum computing stock with an outperform rating (i.e., buy) and a $15 price target -- which, if correct, implies Rigetti stock could go up another 20% over the next 12 months. Quantum investing"Quantum computing is in its infancy," explains Cantor in a note covered on StreetInsider.com today, "but remains one of the most ...
Quantum Computing's Dark Horse Rigetti Stands At The Edge Of Greatness
Benzinga· 2025-07-02 18:53
Core Viewpoint - Rigetti Computing has experienced a significant stock price increase of over 1,000% in the past year, attracting attention from Wall Street, particularly after Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Troy Jensen initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $15 price target [1][2]. Group 1: Market Position and Competitors - Rigetti is competing with major technology firms such as Alphabet Inc, IBM, Intel, and Microsoft, but the presence of these industry leaders is expected to facilitate advancements in quantum capabilities, benefiting Rigetti [3]. - The analyst highlighted that superconducting technology has received the most investment among the primary technologies capable of achieving quantum status [2]. Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - Rigetti's partnership with Quanta Computer is seen as a strategic move to accelerate the development and commercialization of superconducting quantum computing, with both companies committing to invest at least $250 million over five years [4]. - Quanta's investment of $35 million in Rigetti through a stock purchase in April is part of this collaboration, allowing Rigetti to focus on quantum technology while Quanta handles packaging and manufacturing [5]. Group 3: Financial Projections and Market Potential - Jensen projects that Rigetti could capture 15% of the quantum hardware, software, and services market by 2035, translating to a revenue present value of $477 million at a 10% discount rate [6]. - The analyst anticipates second-quarter revenue of $1.8 million and an EPS of $(0.06) for Rigetti [6]. - Despite a 22% year-to-date correction in Rigetti's stock price, this is viewed as an opportunity for investors to accumulate shares [6]. Group 4: Recent Stock Performance - Rigetti's stock price was reported at $12.52, reflecting a 10.4% increase as of the latest check [7].
Quantum Computing Stock Lands Another 'Buy' Rating
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-02 14:59
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing Inc (NASDAQ:RGTI) is experiencing a significant stock surge of 8.3%, reaching $12.27, following Cantor Fitzgerald's initiation of coverage with an "overweight" rating and a price target of $15, highlighting the potential of quantum computing technology as a highly coveted milestone [1] - Despite a strong start in 2024, Rigetti's stock is down 21% year-to-date, with the 100-day moving average providing support and the stock approaching a recent ceiling at $12 [2] - The options market shows a potential shift in sentiment, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.19 indicating higher bearish sentiment compared to the past year, which could lead to positive momentum for the stock [3] - Call options are currently favored, with 49,000 calls traded, significantly higher than the average intraday volume, and the July 15 call being the most popular [4]
华尔街嗅到量子投资机遇 热门“量子计算概念股”Rigetti Computing喜获“增持”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 14:20
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing has gained significant attention in the U.S. stock market due to Cantor Fitzgerald initiating coverage with a "buy" rating and a target price of $15, indicating Wall Street's growing interest in quantum computing as a lucrative investment opportunity [1][2] - The quantum computing sector is still in its infancy but is recognized as a highly sought-after technological milestone with potential for substantial economic impact in the future [1][3] - Major tech companies like NVIDIA, Microsoft, and IBM are heavily investing in quantum computing, signaling a competitive landscape and the potential for significant advancements in commercial applications [1][4][8] Company Developments - Rigetti recently completed a $350 million stock issuance to strengthen its balance sheet [2] - NVIDIA's CEO Huang Renxun highlighted that quantum computing is approaching a critical technological turning point, with the potential to solve significant global issues in the coming years [4][5] - Cisco has announced its entry into the quantum computing field by showcasing a prototype chip for connecting quantum computers, indicating a broadening interest in the sector [6] Industry Trends - The concept of a "Transformer moment" in quantum computing is emerging, which refers to the development of controllable and commercially valuable quantum computing applications [7][8] - Recent advancements in technologies such as ion traps and quantum annealing are paving the way for practical quantum computing applications, moving from theoretical concepts to real-world implementations [7][8] - The involvement of major tech giants and government support is expected to accelerate the commercialization of quantum computing on a global scale [8]
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-07-01 23:00
In the latest close session, Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) was down 4.47% at $11.33. The stock fell short of the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.11% for the day. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 0.91%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, lost 0.82%. Coming into today, shares of the company had lost 3.26% in the past month. In that same time, the Computer and Technology sector gained 8.76%, while the S&P 500 gained 5.17%. Market participants will be closely following the financial results of Rigetti Computin ...
Rigetti vs. D-Wave: Which Quantum Computing Stock Has Better Prospects?
ZACKS· 2025-07-01 16:25
Core Insights - The article discusses the contrasting approaches of Rigetti Computing and D-Wave Quantum Inc. in the quantum computing sector, highlighting their technological differences and business models [2][3][24] - Rigetti focuses on gate-based quantum systems, while D-Wave specializes in quantum annealing, with both companies advancing quantum adoption through innovation and strategic partnerships [2][3][9] Company Overview - Rigetti is developing modular gate-based quantum systems, aiming to launch a 108-qubit chip by 2025, and currently operates the 84-qubit Ankaa-3 system with 99.5% two-qubit fidelity [7][8] - D-Wave's Advantage2 processor supports over 5,000 qubits and is already applied in real-world optimization problems, with a focus on hybrid quantum-classical solutions [9][12] Price Performance & Valuation - Rigetti's stock has declined by 22.3% year-to-date, while D-Wave's stock has increased by 74.2% [4][7] - Rigetti's price-to-book ratio is 16.43, which is lower than D-Wave's 18.82, indicating a slightly more attractive valuation for Rigetti [6] Business Models - Rigetti operates as a niche hardware innovator, generating revenue primarily through its Quantum Cloud Services platform, and partners with government labs and universities for long-term R&D [10][11] - D-Wave positions itself as a solution-oriented service provider, with diversified revenue streams from quantum application consulting and enterprise contracts, targeting large-scale industries [12][13] Growth Strategies - Rigetti's growth relies on hardware scalability and partnerships, with a $250 million Quanta partnership aimed at boosting chip production [16] - D-Wave is expanding its customer base and hybrid capabilities while moving towards a universal gate-based system, indicating a strategic pivot to remain competitive [17] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year decline of 18.63%, with projected losses per share of 5 cents [18] - In contrast, D-Wave's 2025 sales and earnings estimates imply year-over-year growth of 183.4% and 72%, respectively [21] Investment Sentiment - Rigetti holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) despite a solid Growth Score of 'B', while D-Wave has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) supported by strong sales momentum [24][25]
Down 48%, Should You Buy the Dip on Rigetti Computing?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-28 17:11
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing's stock has seen a significant decline, trading 48% below its peak in January 2025 after a surge at the end of 2024 [1] - The company operates in the quantum computing sector, utilizing superconducting materials and a hybrid approach to integrate quantum and digital computing [3][4] - Despite a promising breakthrough in quantum error correction, the stock's gains were not sustainable, with Wall Street adopting a cautious stance [5][7] Company Overview - Founded in 2013, Rigetti Computing began offering quantum computing services in 2017, relying on costly superconducting materials [3] - The company aims to provide integrated solutions that combine quantum chips and traditional software for specific workloads [4] Financial Performance - Rigetti reported $10.8 million in revenue for 2024, a decrease from $12 million in 2023, while net losses increased from $75 million to $201 million [10] - The company incurred significant expenses, including $50 million on R&D and $24 million on SG&A, against its limited sales [10] Competitive Landscape - Rigetti faces competition from major players like Google, IBM, and Nvidia, which are also developing quantum computing technologies [11] - The recent advancements in quantum error correction were achieved by Google Quantum AI, highlighting the competitive pressure on Rigetti [11] Stock and Investment Dynamics - The company has raised capital through stock sales, leading to a 61.7% increase in share count over the past year, resulting in dilution for existing investors [12] - Despite a 52-week return of over 1,100%, the stock has experienced significant volatility, with a 76% drop in value at one point [14][17]
Rigetti Bets on In-House Manufacturing to Accelerate Quantum Advantage
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 16:31
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is enhancing its competitive edge through deep vertical integration, with its Fab-1 facility now supporting the entire quantum chip lifecycle from design to packaging [1][6] - The company has nearly doubled Fab-1's capacity by adding 5,000 square feet of clean-room space and new testing capabilities, positioning itself for faster improvements in fidelity and scale [1][6] - Unlike competitors that rely on outsourced manufacturing, Rigetti's strategy focuses on hardware self-sufficiency, allowing for rapid prototyping and system-level customization [2][4] Competitive Positioning - Rigetti's in-house manufacturing differentiates it from cloud-led models, enabling it to meet the specific needs of research institutions and enterprises seeking customized solutions [2] - Competitors like IBM utilize external fabrication foundries, which limits their ability to iterate hardware quickly compared to Rigetti's integrated approach [3] - Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) focuses on software and remains asset-light, but this limits its performance tuning capabilities at the hardware level, contrasting with Rigetti's end-to-end control [4] Financial Performance - RGTI shares have decreased by 27.2% year-to-date, while the industry has grown by 14.1% [5] - The company trades at a price-to-book ratio of 15.39, which is above the industry average, and carries a Value Score of F [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 earnings suggests a significant year-over-year increase of 86.1% [10]