Summary of RTX FY Conference Call - November 13, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: RTX (NYSE:RTX) - **Segments**: - Pratt & Whitney - Collins Aerospace - Raytheon Key Financial Performance - **Q3 Performance**: - 13% top-line organic sales growth - Aftermarket sales up 18% - Defense and Original Equipment (OE) sales up 10% each - **Free Cash Flow**: - $4 billion in Q3, on track for $7-$7.5 billion for the full year - **Sales Guidance**: - Expected sales between $86.5 billion and $87 billion - Adjusted earnings per share projected at $6.10-$6.20 [4][5][6] Demand and Backlog - **Backlog**: - $251 billion, not including significant defense demand - **Government Reopening**: - Positive impact on fourth-quarter performance, reducing risks associated with government shutdowns [8][10] Defense Sector Insights - **Defense Growth**: - 10% growth in defense segment in Q4 - Strong demand for munitions and defense systems, particularly in the U.S. and Europe - **Investment in Capacity**: - $300 million investment in Raytheon for capacity expansion - Focus on synchronizing supply chain with delivery profiles [31][45][46] Commercial Aerospace Insights - **Production Rates**: - 8%-10% increase in Pratt's output for new engines - 16% sales increase in Collins Aerospace - **GTF Engine Production**: - 55% increase in production since 2019 - Anticipated 30% year-over-year increase in PW-1100 engine output [61][75] Pension and Financial Management - **Pension De-risking**: - Transferring $2.5 billion of pension obligations to an insurer, resulting in a one-time non-cash charge of approximately $300 million in Q4 - **Long-term Financial Outlook**: - Anticipated $200 million year-over-year decline in non-service pension income, but not affecting adjusted earnings per share [19][20][38] Working Capital and Inventory Management - **Inventory Management**: - Focus on reducing working capital, particularly inventory - Digital tools being employed to improve material allocation and visibility [25][29] Capital Allocation Strategy - **Investment Focus**: - Over $2.5 billion in CapEx and nearly $3 billion in R&D annually - Prioritizing dividends and debt reduction, with $5.78 billion of debt paid down so far [86][87] Conclusion - **Overall Outlook**: - Strong momentum heading into 2026 with a focus on execution and capitalizing on growth opportunities in both defense and commercial sectors - **Market Position**: - RTX is well-positioned to meet increasing demand and enhance operational efficiency through digital transformation and strategic investments [34][88]

Core Viewpoint - RTX Corp announced a non-cash pretax charge of approximately $300 million in the fourth quarter due to the transfer of $2.5 billion in pension obligations to a Prudential Financial unit [1] Financial Impact - The non-cash pretax charge will be recorded in the fourth quarter, impacting the company's financial statements [1] - The pension obligations being transferred amount to $2.5 billion, indicating a significant financial maneuver by the company [1]

Core Insights - Pratt & Whitney has opened its European Technology and Innovation Center (ETIC) in the Netherlands, focusing on advanced propulsion technologies for commercial aircraft, aiming for improved energy efficiency and performance [1][2] - The facility will enhance collaboration with industry and academia in Europe, targeting high-impact technologies such as advanced gas turbine systems, hybrid-electric, and hydrogen propulsion [1][2] Group 1: Collaboration and Innovation - ETIC is designed as an independent innovation center, complementing existing engineering centers globally, and aims to leverage the Netherlands' strong engineering talent and aerospace innovation history [2] - The center is co-located with Collins Aerospace's European Innovation Hub, reinforcing RTX's engagement with the Dutch aerospace industry through recent agreements with the Netherlands Aerospace Group and TU Delft [2][3] - TU Delft's Dean emphasized the importance of close collaboration with aerospace companies for developing sustainable aviation technologies and shaping future industry talent [3] Group 2: Workforce and Economic Impact - RTX employs approximately 21,000 staff across 65 locations in Europe, with around 300 based in the Netherlands, primarily at Collins Aerospace sites [3] - Pratt & Whitney has over 7,000 employees in Europe, mainly in engineering, manufacturing, and maintenance facilities located in Poland [3] Group 3: Company Background - Pratt & Whitney is a leader in aircraft engine design, manufacturing, and service, supporting over 90,000 in-service engines globally through a network of maintenance and repair facilities [4] - RTX, as the largest aerospace and defense company, employs over 185,000 people worldwide and reported sales exceeding $80 billion for 2024 [5]

Core Insights - RTX Corporation (RTX) shares have increased by 15.1% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry's growth of 3.7% and the broader Zacks Aerospace sector's gain of 3% [1][8] - Other industry players like Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) and General Dynamics (GD) have also shown strong performance, with HII shares rising by 18.9% and GD by 11.3% in the same period [3] - RTX's recent gains are attributed to strong quarterly results, strategic collaborations, and notable contract wins, contributing to investor optimism [5][8] Financial Performance - RTX reported a solid revenue growth of 11.9% in its third-quarter 2025 results, with a bottom line improvement of 17.2% compared to the same quarter last year [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RTX's 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year growth of 7.8%, while the estimate for 2026 sales suggests an improvement of 6.4% [10] - The consensus estimate for RTX's earnings in 2025 and 2026 implies year-over-year growth of 7.9% and 9%, respectively [10] Strategic Developments - In November 2025, RTX signed a Memorandum of Understanding to assist Avio in establishing a solid rocket motor facility in the U.S., enhancing its vertical integration [6] - RTX's Raytheon business secured a contract to support the UK's Space Domain Awareness mission, utilizing NORSSTrack software for satellite tracking and debris monitoring [7] - The company delivered its first PhantomStrike radar to Korea Aerospace Industries for the FA-50 Light Combat Aircraft fleet in October [7] Valuation Metrics - RTX's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 26.91X, which is below the industry average of 28.93X, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [14] - Comparatively, HII and GD have lower forward P/E ratios of 19.02X and 20.62X, respectively [15] Market Outlook - The steady flow of contract wins from the Pentagon and U.S. allies for RTX's defense products serves as a significant growth catalyst [9] - Recent upward revisions in RTX's earnings estimates over the past 60 days reflect increasing investor confidence in the company's earnings generation capabilities [12]

Core Points - Avio and Raytheon have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to establish a solid rocket motor (SRM) facility in the United States [1] - The facility will serve Raytheon and other customers as a vertically integrated merchant supplier [1] - Raytheon will have preferred access to a share of the production capacity of the Avio plant to meet future demand [1] - This partnership represents a significant milestone in the collaboration between the two companies [1]

Group 1 - U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth emphasized the need for major defense contractors, including Lockheed Martin, RTX, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, and General Dynamics, to accelerate weapons development and production to avoid obsolescence [1][3] - A new "deal team" has been established within the Wartime Production Unit to transform production capacity through innovative business agreements [2] - The Pentagon plans to ease contract requirements, reporting standards, testing rules, and oversight regulations to boost competition and speed up production [3][4] Group 2 - Hegseth highlighted the importance of foreign military sales, stating they are critical to the U.S. strategic vision and pledged to expedite arms sales to allies [5] - The number of major defense contractors in the U.S. has decreased from 51 in 1990 to only five currently, largely due to post-Cold War budget cuts [6] - The reforms aim to attract private capital investment and new competitors to challenge established aerospace firms [6]

Core Insights - The quarterly earnings results provide a snapshot of a company's performance relative to its peers in the defense contractors industry [1] - Geopolitical tensions have increased the need for defense spending, impacting demand for defense products [2] Industry Overview - Defense contractors require technical expertise and government clearance, leading to high barriers to entry and limited competition [2] - The 13 defense contractors tracked reported strong Q3 results, with revenues exceeding analysts' consensus estimates by 3.6% [3] Company Performance: RTX - RTX reported revenues of $22.48 billion, reflecting an 11.9% year-on-year increase and surpassing analysts' expectations by 5.4% [4] - The company achieved double-digit organic sales growth across all segments and marked its sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted segment margin expansion [5] - RTX's stock price increased by 8.6% post-earnings report, currently trading at $174.50 [6] Company Performance: Mercury Systems - Mercury Systems reported revenues of $225.2 million, a 10.2% year-on-year increase, outperforming analysts' expectations by 9.5% [7]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai trading group successfully held a "first day" event at the National Exhibition and Convention Center, signing procurement orders for V2500 aircraft engine components valued at over 100 million USD [1] Group 1 - The procurement order was completed by a company registered and operating in the Qingpu Comprehensive Bonded Zone [1]

Core Insights - Major defense ETFs experienced a decline at the start of November 2025, with SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) slipping approximately 2.6% and iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) dropping 1.9% over two trading sessions [1][2] - Despite the recent pullback, defense ETFs are considered attractive for long-term investors due to sustained increases in government defense spending, technological advancements, and geopolitical tensions [5][6] Market Dynamics - The recent slump in Defense ETFs is attributed to short-term market mechanics and broader industry-specific concerns, including inflationary pressures, labor shortages, and the ongoing U.S. government shutdown [3][4] - Negative sentiment in segments like commercial aerospace can weigh on the entire fund, even if core defense holdings remain resilient [3] Industry Outlook - Global defense spending reached a record $2.46 trillion in 2024, driven by deteriorating security environments and heightened threat perceptions, particularly in Europe and MENA [5][6] - The aerospace and defense manufacturing sector is expected to maintain a strong pace, with increased investments in advanced weapon systems and emerging technologies [6] Company Performance - Prominent defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics, Boeing, and Northrop Grumman reported strong earnings in their third-quarter results, indicating robust underlying business health supported by solid product demand [7] - These companies have a strong backlog, suggesting solid revenue growth prospects, making the recent ETF dips likely a short-lived matter [7] Investment Opportunities - Current dips in defense ETFs present attractive buying opportunities for long-term investors, with specific ETFs highlighted for their growth potential: - SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) has $4.71 billion in assets under management and has surged 46.5% year to date [8][9] - Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA) has a net asset value of $155.40 and gained 36.1% year to date [10] - iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) has net assets worth $12.37 billion and gained 46.6% year to date [11]

Core Insights - RTX Corporation is recognized as one of the top 8 defense stocks, with a price target increase from BofA analyst Ronald Epstein to $215 from $175, maintaining a Buy rating [1][2] - The company is experiencing growing momentum across its business segments, including Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon, indicating a positive outlook following the merger of Raytheon Company and United Technologies Corporation in 2020 [2][3] - Following the Q3 FY25 results announcement, several firms, including UBS, Morgan Stanley, and Susquehanna, raised their price targets for RTX, reflecting strong financial performance [3][4] Financial Performance - RTX reported robust sales and profit growth across its three main segments in Q3 FY25, leading to an increase in revenue and profit guidance for the full year [3] - The company is benefiting from soaring demand for missiles and aftermarket services, which enhances its resilience against tariff impacts [3] Market Outlook - Wall Street analysts maintain a positive outlook for RTX, with a one-year average share price target of $192.06, indicating an upside potential of 8.5% as of October 29 [4] - RTX operates in the global aerospace and defense industry, providing systems and services to commercial, military, and government clients through its three main businesses [5]