Core Viewpoint - Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO.US) experienced a rise of over 4%, reaching $122.25, due to significant disruptions in global copper production caused by natural disasters [1] Group 1: Copper Production Disruptions - Freeport's Grasberg copper mine in Indonesia suffered severe damage from a landslide, leading to an expected 35% decrease in copper output by 2026, which is a reduction of 270,000 tons from previous plans [1] - The Kamoa-Kakula copper mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo faced a 150,000-ton reduction in output due to seismic activity [1] - Chile's state-owned Codelco's El Teniente copper mine also halted production due to a collapse incident [1] Group 2: Market Conditions and Trends - According to data from Zhonghang Futures, the copper concentrate spot treatment charge (TC) for Q3 2025 is expected to remain in a deep negative range of -$40 per ton, marking a historical low [1] - Despite a year-on-year increase of 14.8% in domestic refined copper production to 1.301 million tons in August, planned maintenance for 10 smelting plants from September to October is anticipated to reduce output by 14,000 tons month-on-month [1] - The tightening supply at the mining level is gradually affecting the refined copper supply [1]

Core Viewpoint - Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO.US) shares rose over 4% to $122.25 amid global copper production disruptions due to force majeure events [1] Group 1: Copper Production Disruptions - Recent incidents have severely impacted global copper mining, including a landslide at Freeport's Grasberg mine in Indonesia, which is expected to reduce copper output by approximately 35% by 2026, a decrease of 270,000 tons from previous plans [1] - The Kamoa-Kakula copper mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo has experienced a 150,000-ton reduction in output due to seismic activity [1] - Chile's state-owned Codelco's El Teniente mine has halted production due to a collapse incident [1] Group 2: Market Conditions and Trends - According to data from Zhonghang Futures, the copper concentrate spot treatment charge (TC) for Q3 2025 remains in a deep negative range of -$40 per ton, marking a historical low [1] - Despite a 14.8% year-on-year increase in refined copper production in China in August to 1.301 million tons, planned maintenance for 10 smelting plants from September to October is expected to reduce output by 14,000 tons month-on-month, indicating a tightening supply from the mining sector to refined copper [1]

Industry Overview - Copper prices are rising due to supply issues, particularly from a production stoppage at the Grasberg mine in Indonesia, one of the largest copper producers globally [1] - Demand for copper is high, especially from China, which accounts for approximately 60% of global demand over the past year [2] - The demand for copper is expected to increase significantly as infrastructure and clean energy projects expand, particularly in electric vehicles and AI data centers [6] Market Activity - Copper trading activity has increased by around 50% compared to normal expectations [4] - Recent price fluctuations include a 7% bounce following news from Freeport regarding its Grasberg operations, although prices remain about 20% below pre-tariff highs [5] - Investors have shown strong interest in copper assets, with sector ETFs attracting $2.3 billion in net inflows in 2025, nearly 50% higher than in 2024 [3] Company Performance - Freeport-McMoRan has faced challenges due to its Grasberg operations but remains a significant player in the copper market [9] - Southern Copper Corp. has shown strong operational and financial performance, with year-to-date performance at +33.01% and high EBITDA margins of 56% [11][12] - Antofagasta PLC reported a year-to-date performance of +65.22% and is well-positioned for growth through projects initiated last year [13][14] Investment Opportunities - The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) is recommended for investors seeking exposure to the copper mining industry without the risks associated with individual stocks [15] - Investing in copper is seen as a way to capture growth tied to electrification and AI expansion, contrasting with gold, which is often viewed as a hedge against economic downturns [6][7]

Group 1 - Southern Copper Corp. (NYSE:SCCO) shares reached a new 52-week high, closing at $119.50 after an 8.38% increase, driven by a rally in copper prices [1][2] - The price of copper surged to a 15-month high, influenced by Freeport-McMoran Inc. declaring force majeure at its Grasberg mine in Indonesia, a significant copper mining site [3] - The benchmark three-month copper index at the London Metal Exchange rose by 3.63% to $10,336.50 per metric ton, the highest price since May 2024, indicating potential supply disruptions that could benefit Southern Copper and other producers [4]

Core Viewpoint - Southern Copper (SCCO) shares experienced an 8.4% increase, attributed to rising copper prices and significant trading volume [1][2]. Company Performance - Southern Copper is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.11 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 3.5%, while revenues are projected to be $3.09 billion, marking a 5.3% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate for Southern Copper has been revised 11.1% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive trend that may lead to further price appreciation [4]. Industry Context - The rise in Southern Copper's stock is linked to higher copper prices, which surged 3.77% to $4.84 per pound due to Freeport-McMoRan Inc. declaring force majeure at its Grasberg mine, impacting supply [2]. - Other companies in the non-ferrous mining industry, such as Energy Fuels, also showed positive stock performance, with Energy Fuels closing 1.2% higher [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant rise in the U.S. copper mining sector, with companies like Ero Copper, Southern Copper, Taseko Mines, and Hudbay Minerals experiencing notable stock price increases [1] - The international copper futures contract saw an increase of over 2%, currently priced at 72,480.00 yuan per ton [1] - UBS has revised its copper price forecasts upward for the next two years, increasing the projections by 3% to $4.37 per pound for 2024 and $4.80 per pound for 2025 [1] Group 2 - The rise in copper prices is attributed to limited supply growth, pressure on refined output, and a recovery in traditional demand dynamics [1] - The fundamental outlook for copper in 2026 and 2027 is expected to continue supporting prices due to these factors [1]

Company Performance - Southern Copper (SCCO) closed at $99.91, reflecting a -3.37% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.27% [1] - Over the past month, shares of Southern Copper have appreciated by 7.56%, outperforming the Basic Materials sector's gain of 5.86% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.85% [1] Earnings Forecast - The upcoming earnings disclosure is anticipated to show an EPS of $1.11, indicating a 3.48% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is forecasted to be $3.09 billion, reflecting a 5.28% growth compared to the corresponding quarter of the previous year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, earnings are projected at $4.84 per share and revenue at $12.29 billion, showing changes of +11.78% and +7.52% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent changes in analyst estimates are crucial as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating analyst optimism [3] Valuation Metrics - Southern Copper is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 21.35, which is below the industry average of 23.94, indicating a discount [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.47, compared to the Mining - Non Ferrous industry's average PEG ratio of 0.83 [7] Industry Context - The Mining - Non Ferrous industry is part of the Basic Materials sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 174, placing it in the bottom 30% of over 250 industries [8] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry faces challenges due to metal price volatility, weak demand, and tariff uncertainties, alongside inflated costs, labor shortages, and supply-chain issues [1][4][5] - Despite these challenges, demand for non-ferrous metals is expected to be supported by the energy-transition trend, which may buoy the industry [1][6] Key Companies to Watch - Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) is positioned for growth with significant copper reserves and ongoing investments exceeding $10.3 billion in Peru and $10.2 billion in Mexico [2][16] - Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) is expanding reserves and implementing new technologies, targeting an annual run rate of 300 million pounds of copper by year-end, with plans to increase to 800 million pounds in 3-5 years [2][21] - First Quantum Minerals (FQVLF) has received government approval for its Cobre Panamá mine and expects to achieve production targets of 160,000-190,000 tons of copper in 2025 [2][24] - Coeur Mining (CDE) has enhanced its position in the silver market through the acquisition of SilverCrest Metals, reporting a 79% year-over-year increase in silver production [2][28] - Centrus Energy (LEU) is pioneering High-Assay, Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) production, with a solid backlog of $3.6 billion in contracts and plans to expand production capacity [2][31] Market Performance - The Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry has underperformed compared to the Zacks Basic Materials sector and the S&P 500, with a collective loss of 7.5% over the past year [9] - The industry's current trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio is 9.48X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 17.81X and the Basic Materials sector's 13.85X [12] Future Outlook - The demand for non-ferrous metals is expected to remain high, driven by sectors such as transportation, construction, and renewable energy, particularly for metals like copper and nickel [6] - The industry is facing a potential future deficit in metal supply due to depleting resources and declining production from old mines, which may eventually bolster metal prices [4][6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current marginal growth pattern of global silver shows "limited primary growth + increased by - product output + regional disturbances." The short - term supply elasticity is weak, and the price is more sensitive to demand and financial variables [42]. - Recent dovish signals from Fed officials strengthen the downward expectation of the forward real - interest - rate curve. The financial attribute premium of silver is supported. In the benchmark scenario, the view of "declining gold - silver ratio, silver outperforming gold, and price rising with high volatility" is maintained [43]. 3. Summary according to the Table of Contents 3.1 Recent Market Background and Summary of Major Silver Mining Enterprises - Major silver producers generally have the characteristics of "tightening primary ore increment and relying on by - products for silver increment." Pure silver ore increment is limited, and global new supply more depends on by - product recovery from copper/zinc projects. The supply side continues to feature "low elasticity + regional disturbances" [2]. 3.2 Hedging Strategy Suggestions - At the macro level, the co - existence of global growth slowdown and the bottom - up repair of the manufacturing industry, along with the rising market expectation of the Fed's moderate easing within the year and the high - level slowdown of real interest rates, support the main line of silver's "financial elasticity + stable industrial demand" [3]. 3.3 Global Major Silver Producers' Situation 3.3.1 Fresnillo plc - In 2024, its silver equity production was 56.31 million ounces, basically flat with 2023. In 2025 H1, the silver equity production was 24.9 million ounces, a year - on - year decline of about 8.30%. The company maintains the annual production guidance of 49 - 56 million ounces [8][9]. 3.3.2 KGHM Polska Miedz S.A. - In 2024, its silver production was 1341 tons, a year - on - year decline of 6%. In 2025 H1, it was about 657.2 tons, a year - on - year decline of 3%. The Sierra Gorda mine in Chile is expected to expand in mid - 2025, which may increase copper and silver production [14][15]. 3.3.3 Newmont Corporation - In 2024, its silver production was about 33 million ounces, a year - on - year increase of 83%. In 2025 H1, it was about 14 million ounces, a year - on - year decline of 17.6%. The 2025 annual production guidance is about 28 million ounces, a year - on - year decline of 15.21% compared with 2024 [21]. 3.3.4 Pan American Silver Corp. - In 2024, its silver production was 21.061 million ounces, a year - on - year increase of 3.05%. In 2025 H1, it was 10.097 million ounces, a year - on - year increase of 5.44%. The main increments come from La Colorada and El Peñon [23][24]. 3.3.5 Southern Copper Corporation - In 2024, its silver production was 20.983 million ounces, a year - on - year increase of 14%. In 2025 H1, it was 11.43 million ounces, a year - on - year increase of 14.6%. The 2025 annual guidance is 23 million ounces, a 9% increase compared with 2024 [30][31]. 3.3.6 Glencore plc - In 2024, its silver production was 19.286 million ounces, a year - on - year decline of 4%. In 2025 H1, it was 9.097 million ounces, basically flat year - on - year. The decline in Collahuasi is offset by the increase in Antamina, Kazzinc, and Kidd [33][34]. 3.4 Gold - Silver Ratio Review - Since 1980, the gold - silver ratio has generally shown a long - cycle pattern of "high - level fluctuation - periodic convergence - expansion again." The ratio converges when "loose policy + industrial recovery + re - inflation" resonate, and expands in the stage of "tightening/stagflation + declining risk appetite" [39]. 3.5 Summary and Hedging Suggestions - The short - term supply elasticity of silver is weak. If the Fed continues to compress the real - interest - rate spread and the economy has a "moderate slowdown," silver will benefit from the dual - drive of "metal financial attribute + industrial buffer" [42][43].

Group 1 - Hudbay Minerals dropped over 4%, while Freeport-McMoRan, Southern Copper, and Ero Copper fell more than 2% [1] - The Chilean National Copper Corporation significantly revised down its copper production growth forecast for 2025, now expecting a 1.5% increase compared to last year's figures, which is only half of the growth predicted in May [1] - The downward revision in production growth is attributed to a decline in output from BHP's Escondida mine (the world's largest copper mine) and the Collahuasi mine operated by Anglo American and Glencore [1]