申洲国际 20250910 摘要 申洲国际通过纵向一体化模式，覆盖面料制造到成衣生产全环节，提升 盈利能力并快速响应客户需求，交付周期缩短至 45 天甚至 15 天，增强 供应稳定性，尤其在危机时期表现突出。该模式通过降低品牌商成本、 提高内部效率和面料利润留存，显著提升产品附加值，但因准入条件和 客户利益冲突，难以被竞争对手复制。 公司前瞻性地在东南亚布局产能，享受成本和税收优惠，分散风险，确 保交付稳定。此举应对了中国人力成本上涨，并顺应纺织制造业中心转 移趋势。2021-2023 年，受疫情和成本压力影响，公司盈利能力和资 产周转率下降，但 2024 年随行业补库和产能扩张，盈利能力和资产周 转率有望修复。 申洲国际与 Nike、优衣库等头部品牌深度合作，共同研发创新面料，提 升产品附加值和盈利能力。与优质客户的合作不仅基于价格，更看重交 期和质量，形成双赢局面，加速收入和利润增长。2012-2020 年间， 公司凭借产能优势和优质客户支持，保持稳定高水平运营。 2021 年至 2023 年，申洲国际面临库存积压和疫情管控等挑战，导致 LV 中枢下降，净利润下滑，资产周转率创新低。海外市场停工和成本压 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 15 billion with a year-on-year growth of 15% and a net profit of 3.177 billion, reflecting an 8.39% increase [1] - The sports segment generated 10.1 billion in revenue, up 10%, driven by increased demand in Europe and the US [1] - The leisure segment saw a significant revenue increase of 37% to 3.8 billion, mainly due to demand in Japan and Europe [1] - The lingerie segment achieved 900 million in revenue, growing by 4%, supported by sales in Japan and Europe [1] - The gross profit margin decreased by 1.9 percentage points to 27%, primarily due to increased labor costs from employee salary hikes [1] Production Expansion - The company is expanding its production capacity overseas, with a second fabric factory in Vietnam nearing completion and expected to start production by the end of the year [1] - A new garment factory in Cambodia began operations in March 2025, employing around 4,000 workers, with plans for further production scale increases [1][2] - Domestically, the company is upgrading its existing production facilities, including a new weaving factory in Ningbo and renovations in the garment factory [2] Internal Control and Management - The company is enhancing its internal control systems and optimizing management processes to support global operations [2] - Efforts include standardizing control processes, increasing automation in business reviews, and strengthening procurement controls [2] - The company values long-term relationships with suppliers and is improving supplier evaluation and entry processes to ensure a fair operating environment [2] Financial Forecast Adjustments - Due to tariff uncertainties, the company adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 31.9 billion, 35.5 billion, and 39 billion, respectively [2] - The net profit estimates for the same period are revised to 6.6 billion, 7.3 billion, and 8 billion [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) projections are adjusted to 4.37, 4.83, and 5.31 [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company reported a revenue of 15 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15%, and a net profit of 3.177 billion RMB, which is an increase of 8.39% compared to the previous year [1]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to increased demand for sportswear in Europe and the United States, with sportswear sales reaching 10.1 billion RMB, a 10% increase year-on-year. Casual wear saw a significant increase of 37%, reaching 3.8 billion RMB, driven by demand in Japan and Europe [1]. - The company is expanding its production capacity both domestically and internationally, with a new fabric factory in Vietnam nearing completion and a garment factory in Cambodia that began production in March 2025 [2]. - The company is also upgrading its existing domestic production facilities, including a new weaving factory in Ningbo and renovations in its garment factory [2]. - The company is enhancing its internal control systems and optimizing management processes to support its global operations, focusing on standardizing control processes and improving procurement controls [3]. - The revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted to 31.9 billion RMB, 35.5 billion RMB, and 39 billion RMB respectively, with net profits projected at 6.6 billion RMB, 7.3 billion RMB, and 8 billion RMB [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 15 billion RMB, a 15% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.177 billion RMB, an 8.39% increase [1]. Product Segmentation - Sportswear revenue was 10.1 billion RMB, up 10% year-on-year; casual wear revenue was 3.8 billion RMB, up 37%; underwear revenue was 900 million RMB, up 4%; and other knitted products generated 100 million RMB, up 6% [1]. Production Capacity Expansion - The company is making significant investments in expanding production capacity in Vietnam and Cambodia, with new factories expected to enhance production efficiency [2]. Internal Control and Management - The company is focusing on improving internal controls and management processes to enhance operational efficiency and supplier relationships [3]. Earnings Forecast - Adjusted revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 reflect a cautious outlook due to tariff uncertainties, with expected revenues of 31.9 billion RMB, 35.5 billion RMB, and 39 billion RMB, and net profits of 6.6 billion RMB, 7.3 billion RMB, and 8 billion RMB respectively [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10][11] Core Insights - The company achieved a sales revenue of 14.966 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.3%, with a net profit of 3.177 billion RMB, up 8.4% year-on-year [5][7] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by product diversification and the expansion of overseas production capacity [7][10] - The gross margin decreased to 27.1%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to rising labor costs [5][7] Financial Performance - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for H1 2025 was 2.11 RMB, reflecting an 8.2% increase year-on-year [5][7] - The revenue breakdown shows that the sports category generated 10.129 billion RMB (67.7% of total revenue), the leisure category 3.792 billion RMB (25.3%), and the underwear category 0.94 billion RMB (6.3%) [7] - Revenue from key regions includes Europe at 3.029 billion RMB (20.2%), the US at 2.555 billion RMB (17.1%), and Japan at 2.499 billion RMB (16.7%) [7] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 32.039 billion RMB, 35.386 billion RMB, and 38.571 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 12%, 10%, and 9% [9][10] - The projected net profit for the same years is 6.587 billion RMB, 7.323 billion RMB, and 7.996 billion RMB, with growth rates of 6%, 11%, and 9% respectively [9][10] Market Position - The company's four core customers accounted for 82.1% of total revenue, indicating a strong market position and stable order growth [7][8] - The company is well-positioned for future growth due to its brand client expansion and integrated domestic and overseas production capacity [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by strong orders from major clients and a robust performance in the leisurewear segment, particularly in the U.S. market [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 25H1 reached 14.966 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.177 billion yuan, up 8.4% year-on-year [1]. - The interim dividend per share was 1.38 HKD, representing a 10.4% increase year-on-year, with a payout ratio of approximately 59.6% [1]. Product Performance - Revenue growth by product category for 25H1 was as follows: sportswear +9.9%, leisurewear +37.4%, and underwear +4.1%, with respective revenue shares of 67.7%, 25.3%, and 6.3% [1]. - Leisurewear emerged as the fastest-growing category, benefiting from increased demand in markets such as Japan and Europe, while sportswear growth was steady, driven by demand in the U.S. and Europe [1]. Client Contribution - Revenue from major clients in 25H1 was as follows: Uniqlo 4.33 billion yuan (+27.4%), Adidas 3.44 billion yuan (+6.0%), Nike 2.99 billion yuan (+28.2%), and Puma 1.53 billion yuan (+14.7%) [1]. - Strong order growth was noted from Uniqlo and Adidas, while Nike's order growth remained relatively stable [1]. Regional Performance - Revenue growth by region for 25H1 was as follows: U.S. +35.8%, Europe +19.9%, Japan +18.1%, and mainland China -2.1%, with respective revenue shares of 17.1%, 20.2%, 16.7%, and 24.4% [1]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for 25H1 was 27.1%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased labor costs from wage hikes for frontline employees [2]. - The selling and administrative expense ratios for 25H1 were 0.73% and 7.23%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.07 percentage points and a decrease of 0.04 percentage points, respectively [2]. - Financial expenses decreased by approximately 15.5 million yuan year-on-year, attributed to lower average financing costs and interest rates [2]. Other Financial Insights - Government subsidies increased by approximately 179 million yuan to 274 million yuan year-on-year, while income tax expenses rose by about 137 million yuan to 455 million yuan due to changes in Vietnam's tax policies [2]. - The net profit margin for 25H1 was 21.2%, down 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Future Outlook - The company is progressing well with the construction of its second fabric factory in Vietnam, expected to gradually commence production by the end of 2025, with a planned capacity of 200 tons per day [3]. - The new garment factory in Cambodia began operations in March 2025 and is in the process of expanding its workforce [3]. - Net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted from 6.62 billion, 7.38 billion, and 8.16 billion yuan to 6.58 billion, 7.30 billion, and 8.09 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13, 12, and 10 times [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Shenzhou International (02313) has seen its performance stabilize in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year sales increase of 15.3%, particularly strong in the leisurewear segment [1] - The dividend payout ratio reached 59.6%, with a dividend yield of approximately 4-5% [1] - Despite rising labor costs leading to a decline in gross margin, it is expected that the adjustment in labor costs has already been reflected in the stock price, and gross margins are anticipated to stabilize in the second half of the year [1] Group 2 - The target price for Shenzhou International has been raised from HKD 49.2 to HKD 67.5 [1] - The rating has been upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that DBS has upgraded its target price for Shenzhou International (02313) to HKD 67.5 and raised its rating to "Buy" [1] - Shenzhou International's sales increased by 15.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, with strong performance in the leisurewear segment [1] - The company has a dividend payout ratio of 59.6%, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 4-5% [1] Group 2 - Despite rising labor costs leading to a decrease in gross margin, it is expected that the gross margin will stabilize in the second half of the year as labor cost adjustments have already been reflected in the stock price [1] - DBS has raised its target price from HKD 49.2 to HKD 67.5, indicating a positive outlook for the company's performance [1] - The rating upgrade from "Hold" to "Buy" reflects confidence in Shenzhou International's recovery and growth potential [1]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 申洲國際集團控股有限公司 (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) 呈交日期: 2025年9月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02313 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 HKD | | 300,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 HKD | | 300,000,000 | 本月底 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a robust performance in H1 2025, with revenue of 14.966 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.177 billion yuan, up 8.4% year-on-year. The interim dividend per share is 1.38 HKD, a 10.4% increase, with a payout ratio of approximately 59.6% [9] - The growth is driven by strong demand in the leisurewear segment, particularly in the US market, with significant revenue contributions from major clients such as Uniqlo, Adidas, Nike, and Puma [9] - The company is expanding its vertical integration with the construction of a new fabric factory in Vietnam, expected to start production by the end of 2025, and a new garment factory in Cambodia that began operations in March 2025 [9] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 24.970 billion yuan in 2023, 28.663 billion yuan in 2024, 32.019 billion yuan in 2025, 35.258 billion yuan in 2026, and 38.692 billion yuan in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of -10.12%, 14.79%, 11.71%, 10.11%, and 9.74% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 4.557 billion yuan in 2023, 6.241 billion yuan in 2024, 6.583 billion yuan in 2025, 7.301 billion yuan in 2026, and 8.086 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -0.12%, 36.94%, 5.49%, 10.90%, and 10.76% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 3.03 yuan in 2023, 4.15 yuan in 2024, 4.38 yuan in 2025, 4.86 yuan in 2026, and 5.38 yuan in 2027 [1] - The company’s P/E ratios are expected to be 18.45 in 2023, 13.47 in 2024, 12.77 in 2025, 11.51 in 2026, and 10.40 in 2027 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance in 1H25 met expectations, with a revenue increase of 15% to 15 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 8% to 3.2 billion yuan, alongside a mid-term dividend of 1.38 HKD per share, reflecting a payout ratio of 60% [1] Revenue Growth - Revenue growth of 15% was primarily driven by rapid sales growth and market share gains among major clients [1] - Revenue contributions from major brands were as follows: Uniqlo +27%, Nike +6%, adidas +28%, and Puma +15% [1] - Regional revenue changes included: China -2%, Europe +20%, Japan +18%, and the US +36%, with respective revenue shares of 24%, 20%, 17%, and 17% [1] - The company outperformed the growth rates of its four major clients, indicating strong core competitiveness [1] Gross Margin and Cost Factors - Gross margin decreased by 1.9 percentage points to 27.1% in 1H25 due to several factors: significant wage increases starting in 2H24, rising employee numbers in Cambodia, and changes in customer structure [2] - Other income sources, including government subsidies and exchange gains, increased by 230 million yuan, but were offset by a higher tax rate, which rose by 1.7 percentage points to 12.5% [2] Tariff and Production Capacity - Tariff impacts are manageable, with stable order patterns and pricing agreements under current tariff arrangements with the US [2] - The company continued to increase employee numbers in Cambodia and Vietnam, enhancing production capacity in Southeast Asia, which is expected to rise as efficiency improves [2] Future Outlook - Management maintains a low double-digit growth forecast for order volume in 2025, with expectations of high single-digit growth in 2H25 [2] - An improvement in gross margin is anticipated in 2H25 as the one-time wage increases and customer structure changes are expected to stabilize [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 4.39 and 4.80 yuan, respectively, with current stock prices reflecting 12 and 11 times the 2025 and 2026 earnings [3] - The target price has been raised by 5.5% to 73.72 HKD, corresponding to 15 and 14 times the 2025 and 2026 earnings, indicating a 24% upside potential [3]