Molson Coors(TAP)
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Molson Coors(TAP) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-11-07 17:13
Financial Data and Key Metrics - Consolidated net sales revenue decreased by 7.8%, underlying pre-tax income decreased by 8.7%, and underlying earnings per share decreased by 6.2% in Q3 [8] - U.S. financial volume declined by 17.9%, and brand volume declined by 6.2% due to macroeconomic pressures [8] - Underlying free cash flow for the first nine months of the year was $856 million, with $717 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [16] - The company adjusted its 2024 net sales revenue guidance to a decline of approximately 1%, down from previous low single-digit growth expectations [11] Business Line Performance - Core power brands in the U.S. (Coors Lite, Miller Lite, and Coors Banquet) saw a combined volume share decline of 0.5 points year-over-year, but retained significant share gains compared to 2022 [17] - Coors Banquet grew brand volume by 8% and gained industry share for the 13th consecutive quarter, making it the fastest-growing top 15 beer brand in the U.S. by volume percentage growth [17] - In Canada, Coors Lite gained segment share and remained the number one lite beer in the industry [18] - EMEA and APAC regions saw strong performance, with Ožujsko in Croatia growing volume by 6% and the successful relaunch of Caraiman in Romania, which reached over 250,000 hectoliters since March [19][20] Market Performance - The U.S. market faced challenges due to macroeconomic pressures, leading to value-seeking behavior and channel/pack shifting, particularly during the summer [10] - Canada and EMEA/APAC regions performed strongly, with Canada's top-line growth at 5.7% and EMEA/APAC also growing at 5.7% for the first nine months of 2024 [48][49] - The U.K. market saw soft consumer demand and increased promotional intensity, but Madri continued to drive volume and value growth [110][112] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company is focusing on premiumization, with over half of EMEA and APAC net brand revenue coming from above-premium products [21] - Investments in local production for Peroni in the U.S. aim to improve supply consistency and introduce new pack sizes, with plans to scale the brand significantly by 2025 [24][25] - The company increased its ownership stake in Zoa to 51%, aiming to leverage its network for marketing and distribution growth [27][28] - The company is divesting underperforming craft breweries to focus on scalable above-premium opportunities in the U.S. [23] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the impact of macroeconomic pressures on the U.S. beer industry but expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential of the business [9][11] - The company reaffirmed its mid-single-digit growth guidance for underlying pre-tax income and narrowed its EPS guidance to the higher end of the range, supported by cost savings and share repurchases [11][12] - Management highlighted the importance of premiumization, innovation, and supply chain efficiencies in driving long-term profitable growth [32] Other Important Information - The company completed its multi-year Golden Brewery upgrade, providing more flexibility for future investments and cost savings [36] - Moody's upgraded the company's credit rating to BAA1 stable, the highest investment-grade rating in over a dozen years [37] - The company repurchased 7.5 million shares in the first nine months of 2024, utilizing 29% of its $2 billion share repurchase plan [39] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of shipment timing and macroeconomic pressures on U.S. financial volumes [52] - The decline in U.S. financial volumes was driven by a 17.9% drop in shipments, a 6.2% decline in brand volume, and a 2.6% impact from Pabst contract brewing [57] - The company expects a remaining headwind of 500,000 hectoliters in Q4 due to the termination of the Pabst contract [42] Question: Consumer behavior and industry trends [59] - The U.S. beer industry saw value-seeking behavior and channel/pack shifting during the summer, but trends improved in September and October [61][62] - Premiumization continues to be a key trend, particularly in the U.S. and Canada [63] Question: Shelf space retention and gains [66] - The company retained the significant shelf space gained in 2023 and achieved additional gains in the fall reset [69][70] Question: Marketing investment levels [71] - Marketing investment was down in Q3 compared to the prior year but is expected to be up for the full year 2024 [72][73] Question: Pricing and promotional environment [84] - Pricing remains in the historical range of 1% to 2%, with no significant changes in promotional activity except for deeper discounting in the above-premium tier [86][87] Question: Performance of Happy Thursday and flavor portfolio [88] - Happy Thursday has shown early positive results, particularly among Gen Z consumers, and the company plans to continue supporting the brand [92][93] Question: Plans for Blue Moon and Coors Banquet [95] - Blue Moon is showing signs of stability, with sequential improvement in total industry dollar share, while Coors Banquet continues to grow strongly [97][100] Question: COGS per hectoliter outlook [95] - The company expects cost savings from supply chain efficiencies and the removal of Pabst contract brewing to positively impact COGS [101][102] Question: Category trends and Q4 outlook [104] - The company has a good handle on Q4 drivers, including pricing and shipment trends, and remains confident in its long-term growth algorithm [105][107] Question: EMEA and APAC volume weakness [109] - Soft consumer demand in the U.K. and increased promotional intensity contributed to volume declines, but Madri continues to perform well [110][112] Question: Zoa's performance and future plans [114] - Zoa is gaining traction as a better-for-you energy drink, with strong performance on Amazon and new distribution opportunities [116][117]
Compared to Estimates, Molson Coors (TAP) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2024-11-07 15:36
Core Insights - Molson Coors Brewing reported a revenue of $3.04 billion for the quarter ended September 2024, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 7.8% [1] - The company's EPS for the same period was $1.80, down from $1.92 a year ago, with an EPS surprise of +9.09% compared to the consensus estimate of $1.65 [1] Revenue and Earnings Performance - The reported revenue of $3.04 billion was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.14 billion, resulting in a surprise of -2.98% [1] - The year-over-year decline in revenue indicates challenges in maintaining sales levels compared to the previous year [1] Key Metrics Analysis - Consolidated Brand Volume was 21.33 million, below the three-analyst average estimate of 21.93 million [3] - Brand Volumes in the Americas reached 15.37 million, slightly above the average estimate of 15.34 million [3] - Brand Volumes for EMEA & APAC were 5.97 million, below the average estimate of 6.31 million [3] - Net Sales for EMEA & APAC were reported at $704.40 million, compared to the average estimate of $716.25 million, representing a year-over-year change of +5.1% [3] - Net Sales in the Americas were $2.35 billion, below the average estimate of $2.40 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 11% [3] - Unallocated & Eliminations reported -$6.70 million, worse than the average estimate of -$4.93 million, with a year-over-year change of +24.1% [3] Stock Performance - Molson Coors shares have returned +4.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.2% change [4] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [4]
Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-11-07 13:40
Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.80 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.65 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.92 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 9.09%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this beer maker would post earnings of $1.68 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.92, delivering a surprise of 14.29%.Over the last four quarters, the co ...
Can Molson Coors Maintain Its Earnings Surprise Trend in Q3?
ZACKS· 2024-11-04 13:35
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is expected to register top and bottom-line declines when it reports third-quarter 2024 earnings on Nov. 7, before market open. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $3.1 billion, indicating a 4.8% decline from the prior-year reported figure.Stay up-to-date with all quarterly releases: See Zacks Earnings Calendar.The consensus mark for earnings has moved down a penny in the past 30 days to $1.66 per share, indicating a decline of 13.5% from the year-ago r ...
Molson Coors Stock Falls 19% in Six Months: Time to Hold or Fold?
ZACKS· 2024-09-26 21:46
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) has seen its stock price fall 18.2% in the past six months against the industry's 9% growth. This decline has raised concerns among investors about the company's prospects. To understand the situation, it's essential to examine the factors contributing to this decline and evaluate the company's long-term strategies. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research At the current price of $54.60, the stock trades below its 52-week high of $69.18 achieved on April 9, 2024. The curre ...
Molson Coors' Premiumization & Other Efforts Aid: Apt to Hold?
ZACKS· 2024-09-12 17:45
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) appears to be in good shape, thanks to the immense strength in its brands and strong performances across its portfolio. Smooth progress of the Acceleration Plan and the premiumization of its portfolio have been aiding results. The company has been seeing strong success in EMEA&APAC, Canada and Latin America. However, in the United States, it has plans on track to drive improvement. Let us delve deeper. Details on Molson Coors' Strategies Last year, Molson Coors introduced ...
Beer Is Buzzing as Staples Shares Rise, Tech Stocks Droop
Investopedia· 2024-09-03 18:05
Group 1 - The S&P 500's consumer staples sector was the best-performing sector, up approximately 1.1%, as tech stocks pulled the benchmark index lower [2][4] - Molson Coors (TAP) was the best-performing stock in the index, rising about 5%, with other top gainers including JM Smucker (SJM), Campbell Soup (CPB), and Constellation Brands (STZ) [3] - Constellation Brands updated its full-year guidance, increasing the low end of its earnings per share (EPS) outlook [3] Group 2 - Most consumer staples stocks were performing well, with exceptions including Costco Wholesale (COST), Target (TGT), and Dollar Tree (DLTR), which were among the few retailers declining [4] - Dollar Tree's shares were slipping ahead of its second-quarter financial results, expected to be released soon [4]
Here's Why Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) is a Strong Momentum Stock
ZACKS· 2024-08-30 14:50
Taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals for new and old investors, and Zacks Premium offers many different ways to do both. The popular research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor, giving you access to daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens. It also includes access to the Zacks Style Scores. What are the Zacks Style Scores? Developed alo ...
Molson Coors: Premiumization And Expertise Are Stock Price Drivers
Seeking Alpha· 2024-08-27 05:52
Jack Andersen/DigitalVision via Getty Images Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP) continues to report beneficial quarterly figures from its ongoing strategy of premiumization of the portfolio, mainly in the EMEA and APAC regions. Even if the volume declines, in my view, TAP could deliver net sales growth driven by successful favorable price and sales mix. I also expect that inorganic growth could bring additional net income growth. In my view, the company's net debt/EBITDA and expertise in acquiring tar ...
Molson Coors' (TAP) Revitalization Plan & Innovation Aid
ZACKS· 2024-08-14 17:31
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) seems well-poised for growth, thanks to its sturdy business strategies. The company has been gaining from brand strength and robust performances across its portfolio and geographical segments. Smooth progress on its Acceleration Plan also bodes well. The company is on track with its revitalization plan, which focuses on achieving sustainable top-line growth by streamlining the organization and reinvesting resources into its brands and capabilities. It intends to invest in ...