Core Viewpoint - The Trade Desk's premium valuation is increasingly difficult to justify due to competitive pressures and slowing growth [2][3][11]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, The Trade Desk reported a revenue increase of 19% year-over-year to $694 million, with adjusted EBITDA of approximately $271 million, reflecting a 39% margin [5]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue increase of 25% to $616 million, while full-year 2024 revenue grew by 26% [7]. - For Q3 2025, management guided revenue of at least $717 million, implying a 14% year-over-year growth [7]. Growth Dynamics - Connected TV (CTV) remains the fastest-growing channel for The Trade Desk, with no signs of slowing down [6]. - However, growth is decelerating, with a drop from 25% in Q1 to 19% in Q2, and guidance suggesting mid-teens growth for the upcoming quarter [7][11]. Competitive Landscape - Netflix's announcement to allow programmatic ad purchases through Amazon's DSP poses significant competitive risks for The Trade Desk [2][9]. - The entry of Amazon into the programmatic advertising space could pressure The Trade Desk's pricing power and market share, as large buyers may prefer Amazon's tools [10]. - The Trade Desk remains the leading independent DSP, with a customer retention rate above 95% and a strong product roadmap [11]. Valuation Concerns - The stock trades at a price-to-earnings multiple in the high 50s, which assumes sustained growth and market share gains without significant pressure from larger platforms [11]. - A more appropriate price-to-earnings ratio in the 30s may better reflect the competitive and execution risks associated with connected TV [12].

Company Overview - The Trade Desk, Inc. is a global technology company headquartered in Ventura, California, providing a cloud-based platform for advertisers to manage and optimize digital ad campaigns across various formats and devices [3]. Allegations and Investigation - Edelson Lechtzin LLP is investigating potential violations of federal securities laws involving The Trade Desk, based on allegations of providing misleading business information to investors [1]. - The investigation follows The Trade Desk's announcement of its second-quarter 2025 earnings on August 7, 2025, which missed market expectations, leading to multiple analyst downgrades, including a double downgrade from Bank of America [4]. Financial Performance and Market Reaction - The Trade Desk's second-quarter results raised concerns about rising competition, operational errors, and doubts regarding its ability to sustain long-term growth above 20%, which is critical for its high valuation [4]. - Following the earnings announcement, The Trade Desk's stock price fell by $34.10 per share, or 38.6%, closing at $54.23 per share on August 8, 2025 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The Trade Desk, Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is viewed positively, with a Buy rating reiterated, and the perceived threat from Amazon (AMZN) is considered misguided [1]. Company Overview - The Trade Desk is a technology company that specializes in digital advertising, providing a platform for ad buyers to manage their campaigns across various channels [1]. Investment Strategy - The investment strategy focuses on sustainable, growth-driven companies that aim to maximize shareholder equity [2]. - The family office fund led by Amrita emphasizes meeting growth-oriented goals while democratizing financial literacy [2]. Market Context - The article suggests that the competitive landscape, particularly regarding Amazon's influence, may not be as threatening to The Trade Desk as some analysts believe [1].

Group 1 - The Trade Desk, Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is viewed positively, with a reiterated Buy rating, and the perceived threat from Amazon (AMZN) is considered misguided [1] Group 2 - Amrita leads a boutique family office fund in Vancouver, focusing on sustainable, growth-driven companies to maximize shareholder equity [2] - The fund aims to break down complex financial concepts into easily digestible formats, enhancing financial literacy [2]

The Trade Desk stock price has suffered a harsh reversal as it moved from the best performer in the Nasdaq 100 Index in 2024 to the worst one. TTD plunged to a low of $46.50 on Wednesday, its lowest l... ...

The U.S. stock market is poised for a pivotal day on Thursday, September 11, 2025, with investors keenly awaiting the release of the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. This crucial economic data point is expected to heavily influence expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's next move on interest rates, particularly after a surprisingly soft wholesale inflation report yesterday. Premarket trading activity indicates a cautious but generally positive sentiment, with major index futures showing sligh ...

摩根士丹利将Trade Desk的目标价从80美元下调至50美元，评级从"增持"下调至"持有"。(格隆汇) ...

Core Viewpoint - The Trade Desk, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTD) experienced a significant decline of 11.95% in stock price, closing at $46.14, following a downgrade by Morgan Stanley from "overweight" to "equal weight" and a reduction in price target from $80 to $50 [1][2]. Group 1: Downgrade and Price Target Adjustment - Morgan Stanley downgraded The Trade Desk due to concerns regarding the sustainability of its growth in the connected TV business, citing execution issues, a soft open web ad market, and increasing competition [2][3]. - The new price target of $50 represents a substantial decrease from the previous target of $80, reflecting the firm's cautious outlook on the company's future performance [1][2]. Group 2: Revenue Growth and Market Challenges - The Trade Desk's guidance for Q3 indicates a revenue growth of only 14%, raising concerns about ongoing challenges following a disappointing Q4:24 performance [3]. - Factors contributing to the negative outlook include pushback from advertisers and the rapid expansion of Amazon's advertising platform, which has recently partnered with Roku and Disney [3][4]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - Morgan Stanley expressed that fundamental uncertainties and tough comparisons into 2026, along with headwinds in the open web space, suggest limited upside potential for The Trade Desk [4]. - The firm believes that while The Trade Desk has investment potential, other AI stocks may offer better returns with less downside risk [5].

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley downgraded The Trade Desk's investment rating from "Overweight" to "Market Perform" due to increasing concerns about the company's connected TV (CTV) business [1] - The Trade Desk's Q3 revenue growth guidance of 14% was below expectations, reigniting doubts about its performance and indicating ongoing challenges ahead [1] - Factors contributing to uncertainty include rising resistance from advertisers, Amazon's rapid expansion of its demand-side platform (DSP) through new deals with Roku and Disney, and risks to the company's gross billings (excluding CTV) due to a weak open web advertising market [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley believes that fundamental uncertainties, a challenging year-over-year comparison in 2026, and resistance in the open web advertising market limit The Trade Desk's stock upside potential, making risk and reward more balanced [2] - The target price for The Trade Desk was lowered from $80 to $50, indicating nearly a 4% downside from the current price [2]

Core Insights - The Trade Desk's stock is experiencing significant declines, down 12.1% following news of Netflix's integration with Amazon's DSP and a downgrade from Morgan Stanley [1][5] - The Trade Desk has been the worst-performing stock in the S&P 500 this year, facing challenges from competition, particularly from Amazon [3] - The partnership between Netflix and Amazon will enhance Amazon's DSP attractiveness to advertisers, further complicating The Trade Desk's competitive landscape [4] Company Performance - The Trade Desk's growth has slowed, leading to poor stock performance in two of the last three earnings reports, raising concerns among investors [6] - Morgan Stanley downgraded The Trade Desk's rating from overweight to equal weight and reduced its price target from $80 to $50, citing "mounting headwinds" [5] Competitive Landscape - Amazon is emerging as a significant competitor in connected TV, having signed a deal with Roku and integrating its DSP with major streaming services [7] - The collaboration between Netflix and Amazon represents a strengthening of "walled gardens," which poses a challenge for The Trade Desk [4]