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What is Driving Trade Desk's Rapid CTV and Retail Media Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 17:36
Core Insights - The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is experiencing significant growth in connected TV (CTV) and retail media, with Q3 2025 revenues rising 18% year over year to $739 million, exceeding expectations of at least $717 million [1][9] - The shift towards biddable CTV is gaining traction, with decision-based buying becoming the preferred method for advertisers due to its flexibility and measurable performance [2] - Retail media is also accelerating, driven by demand for measurable outcomes, with TTD's platform integrating retail data and identity solutions to enhance targeting and attribution [3] CTV and Retail Media Growth - CTV remains TTD's fastest-growing channel, with decision-based buying gaining industry momentum [1][9] - Retail media is seeing increased investment as brands seek to connect consumer behavior directly to business results, supported by TTD's AI-enhanced Kokai platform [3][4] Ecosystem Strategy - TTD's broader ecosystem strategy includes innovations like OpenPath, OpenAds, and Deal Desk, which enhance supply chain transparency and auction integrity, positioning the company for sustained growth into 2026 and beyond [4] Competitive Landscape - TTD faces competition from Magnite, Inc. (MGNI) and Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), both of which are also making strides in the CTV and advertising space [5][6][7] - MGNI reported Q3 2025 revenues of $179.5 million, up 11% year over year, with strong performance in CTV [6] - Amazon's AI initiatives are gaining momentum, with significant growth in its AI chip business and overall sales [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - TTD's shares have declined 23.4% in the past month, contrasting with the Internet – Services industry's growth of 9.3% [10] - The forward price/earnings ratio for TTD is 32.76X, higher than the industry average of 26.45X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTD's earnings for 2025 has been slightly revised upward over the past 60 days [12]
TTD vs. GOOGL: Which Ad Tech Stock Is the Better Pick for Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 15:31
Core Insights - The Trade Desk, Inc (TTD) and Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) are key players in the programmatic advertising ecosystem, with TTD focusing on data-driven ads through its demand-side platform and GOOGL dominating the digital ad space via its extensive ecosystem including Google Search and YouTube [1][2] Group 1: The Trade Desk (TTD) - TTD is positioned well for long-term growth, driven by trends in connected TV (CTV), retail media, and its AI-powered platform Kokai [3][4] - CTV is the fastest-growing segment in digital advertising, with TTD expecting it to become the default buying model due to its advantages over traditional models [4] - In Q3, video advertising, including CTV, accounted for over 50% of TTD's total business, with audio also emerging as a growth driver [5] - Kokai, used by 85% of TTD's clients, has shown significant performance improvements, delivering 26% better cost per acquisition and 94% better click-through rates compared to its previous platform [6] - TTD's OpenPath and OpenAds initiatives enhance transparency and efficiency by connecting advertisers directly to publishers [7] - Despite being a leading independent DSP, TTD faces increasing competition from major players like Meta, Apple, Google, and Amazon [8] - TTD is focusing on geographic expansion, but this comes with complexities and risks, including regulatory challenges and macroeconomic volatility [9] Group 2: Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) - GOOGL reported Q3 2025 ad revenues of $74.18 billion, a 12.6% year-over-year increase, with Search and YouTube being the primary revenue sources [11][12] - AI is significantly enhancing GOOGL's advertising capabilities, with Search revenues up 14.5% year-over-year, driven by AI tools [13] - The launch of AI Max has led to rapid adoption among advertisers, resulting in higher conversion values and expanded reach [14] - YouTube ads generated $10.3 billion in revenue, a 15% increase year-over-year, supported by AI features that enhance content creation [15] - GOOGL's cloud segment also shows strong momentum, with a backlog of $155 billion, up 82% year-over-year [17] - The company generated $48.41 billion in cash from operations in Q3 2025, with cash equivalents and marketable securities totaling $98.5 billion [18] Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past month, TTD's stock has decreased by 23.3%, while GOOGL's stock has increased by 11.1% [19] - Both TTD and GOOGL are considered overvalued, with TTD trading at a forward P/E ratio of 19.55X and GOOGL at 26.14X [22][23] - Analysts have made slight revisions to TTD's earnings estimates, while GOOGL has seen a 5% upward revision [24][27] - In terms of Zacks Rank, GOOGL is rated as a better investment option compared to TTD [28]
These 3 Stocks Are Using Buybacks to Signal Market Confidence
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-18 14:32
Group 1: Trade Desk - Trade Desk has announced a $500 million buyback authorization, representing 2.5% of its market capitalization, following a challenging year where shares fell 64% after a disappointing Q3 earnings report [3][4]. - The buyback amount is modest compared to the $1.14 billion spent on buybacks last year, indicating a potential slowdown in repurchase pace [4]. - The speed of utilizing the current buyback authorization will reflect management's confidence in the company's ability to recover [5][7]. Group 2: Thermo Fisher - Thermo Fisher Scientific has introduced a $5 billion buyback program, capitalizing on its strong Q3 2025 earnings that exceeded sales and earnings per share estimates [5][6]. - The company has seen a total return of approximately 12% in 2025, indicating positive market sentiment [6]. - A significant deal with Vaxcyte, involving a commitment of up to $1 billion for manufacturing space, has further bolstered investor confidence [6]. Group 3: Tapestry - Tapestry plans to return 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders in FY2026, increasing its buyback target to $1 billion [7].
Why I Keep Buying These 10 Incredible Growth Stocks
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-17 13:45
Group 1: Rubrik - Rubrik achieved a sales growth of 55% in the last quarter and is currently trading at 79 times free cash flow (FCF) [1] - The company is recognized as the No. 1 player in its niche, holding a "leader" designation from Gartner and has an impressive +80 Net Promoter Score, ranking it among the top 1% of enterprise software companies [1] Group 2: Rocket Lab - Rocket Lab's sales grew by 48% in the last quarter, and its next-generation Neutron rocket is expected to launch in the first quarter of 2026 [4] - The company holds a market cap of approximately $25 billion and is positioned as the No. 2 player in a space industry projected to exceed $1 trillion by 2035 [2] Group 3: Dutch Bros - Dutch Bros reported a 25% sales growth in the last quarter, but its stock has dropped by 33% from its all-time high due to decelerating revenue growth [7] - The company aims to expand to 2,029 total shops by 2029, doubling its current total, and is now funding store construction through its own cash flow [8] Group 4: Halozyme Therapeutics - Halozyme Therapeutics holds a near monopoly on subcutaneous drug deliveries, significantly reducing the time required for drug administration [9] - The company has increased sales by 38% annually over the last decade and is trading at 15 times FCF, indicating strong growth potential [10] Group 5: Global-e Online - Global-e Online facilitates international sales for brands, with its technology being utilized by major e-commerce platforms like Shopify [11] - Despite a 28% sales growth in the last quarter and a 40% drop in share price from its peak, the company remains a dominant player in its niche, trading at 42 times FCF [12] Group 6: Wingstop - Wingstop has experienced a decline in same-store sales for two consecutive quarters, leading to a 37% drop in its stock price [13] - Management believes the company can quadruple its store count, indicating potential for future growth despite recent challenges [15] Group 7: The Trade Desk - The Trade Desk's stock has fallen by 69%, but it still managed a 26% sales growth over the past year [16] - The company is trading at 25 times forward earnings, with improving adoption rates for its new AI-powered platform, Kokai [17] Group 8: Kinsale Capital - Kinsale Capital specializes in excess and surplus insurance lines, achieving 45% annualized net income growth over the last decade [18] - The company is currently trading at its lowest-ever P/E ratio of 19, making it an attractive investment opportunity [20] Group 9: SPS Commerce - SPS Commerce has delivered 99 consecutive quarters of sales growth but has guided for only 8% growth in 2026, resulting in a 59% drop in stock price [21] - The company trades at 21 times free cash flow, significantly below its five-year average, suggesting a potential buying opportunity [22] Group 10: MercadoLibre - MercadoLibre has shown a 39% sales increase in its last quarter and has become a core player in the Latin American economy with 77 million active e-commerce buyers [23] - The company is trading at 52 times forward earnings, which is considered reasonable given its strong growth trajectory [24]
Down 63%, Should You Buy the Dip on The Trade Desk Stock?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-15 11:15
Core Viewpoint - The Trade Desk's stock has significantly declined by 63% in 2025 due to a slowdown in growth, increased competition, and high valuation concerns [1][2] Company Performance - The Trade Desk reported Q3 revenue of $739 million, reflecting an 18% year-over-year increase, while non-GAAP earnings rose by 10% to $0.45 per share [3] - The company's adjusted earnings increased by only 10% in the first nine months of 2025, indicating a premium valuation that may not be justified [4] - Revenue guidance for the current quarter is set at $840 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $830 million, but represents only a 13% increase from the previous year [5] Competitive Landscape - The Trade Desk is facing challenges in the programmatic advertising market, particularly from competitors like Amazon, which is expanding its presence in connected TV advertising [6][9] - Amazon's recent partnerships with Disney and Netflix for programmatic ad inventory may be impacting The Trade Desk's growth [9] - The Trade Desk's management noted that supply is significantly outstripping demand, making it difficult to attract advertisers to its platform [10] Market Position - The Trade Desk's growth rate is now slower than the overall programmatic advertising market, which is projected to grow at an annual rate of 23% through 2030 [6][7] - The current market cap of The Trade Desk is $20 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 61, significantly higher than the Nasdaq-100 index's P/E of 34 [8]
Baron Fifth Avenue Growth Fund Q3 2025 Performance Update
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-14 15:00
Core Insights - Baron Fifth Avenue Growth Fund gained 5.7% in Q3 2025, underperforming the Russell 1000 Growth Index (10.5%) and the S&P 500 Index (8.1%) [2] - Year-to-date, the Fund is up 14.4%, compared to 17.2% and 14.8% for its benchmarks [2] Top Contributors to Performance - NVIDIA Corporation's shares rose 18.1% due to its strong position in AI infrastructure, with a long-term total addressable market (TAM) expansion from $1 trillion to between $3 and $4 trillion [3] - Shopify Inc. saw a 28.6% increase in shares, driven by a 30% year-over-year revenue growth and a 29% increase in gross merchandise volume (GMV) [4][5] - Tesla, Inc. shares increased by 40.0%, supported by record delivery volumes, renewed investor confidence in leadership, and advancements in AI initiatives [6] Top Detractors from Performance - The Trade Desk's shares declined 31.9% due to in-line earnings and competitive pressures, particularly from Amazon's entry into the market [7] - Intuitive Surgical, Inc. shares fell 17.7% as system placements in the U.S. did not meet expectations, compounded by financial pressures on hospital customers [8] - MercadoLibre, Inc. shares decreased by 10.6% due to macroeconomic pressures in Argentina and increased competition from Amazon, despite strong quarterly results [9] Recent Activity - The Fund initiated a small investment in Figma and added to existing holdings in KKR, Alphabet, Taiwan Semiconductor, and CrowdStrike, funded by reducing positions in seven other holdings [10]
Baron Fifth Avenue Growth Fund Q3 2025 Shareholder Letter
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-14 14:45
Core Insights - Baron Fifth Avenue Growth Fund gained 5.7% in Q3, underperforming the Russell 1000 Growth Index (10.5%) and S&P 500 Index (8.1) [3][4] - Year-to-date, the Fund is up 14.4%, lagging behind the Russell 1000 Growth Index (17.2%) and S&P 500 Index (14.8%) [3][4] - The Information Technology sector has been a significant driver of returns, representing 52.6% of the Russell 1000 Growth Index [5] Fund Performance - Q3 performance: Fund Retail Shares gained 5.78%, Institutional Shares gained 5.72% [4] - Year-to-date performance: Retail Shares up 14.29%, Institutional Shares up 14.35% [4] - 1-year performance: Institutional Shares up 27.76%, outperforming the Russell 1000 Growth Index (25.53%) [4] Sector Analysis - The IT sector has appreciated 186% since the start of 2023, significantly outperforming the Russell 1000 Growth Index [5] - The Fund's underweight in the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks contributed to its relative underperformance [7] - Health Care overweight and underweight in IT negatively impacted the Fund's performance [7] Key Contributors and Detractors - Top contributors: NVIDIA (2.02%), Shopify (1.42%), Tesla (1.27%), Alphabet (1.22%) [16] - Top detractors: The Trade Desk (-0.85%), Intuitive Surgical (-0.59%), MercadoLibre (-0.55%) [20] Investment Strategy - The Fund's portfolio is constructed on a bottom-up basis, focusing on quality ideas and conviction [23] - As of September 30, 2025, the top 10 holdings represented 60.3% of the Fund's net assets [24] - Recent activity includes initiating a position in Figma and increasing stakes in KKR, Alphabet, Taiwan Semiconductor, and CrowdStrike [28] Market Trends - AI investments are accelerating, with significant commitments from companies like Oracle ($455 billion backlog) and NVIDIA ($100 billion investment in OpenAI) [6][12] - The market is currently characterized by cautious investor sentiment, contrasting with the "bubble thinking" seen in the late 1990s [13] - Valuations today are considered more rational compared to the dot-com era, with major tech companies trading at lower P/E ratios than during the previous bubble [13][14] Company Insights - NVIDIA is positioned as a leader in AI infrastructure, with a total addressable market expanding from $1 trillion to $3-4 trillion [16] - Shopify's growth is driven by a 30% year-over-year revenue increase and successful expansion into various channels [18] - Tesla's stock surged due to strong delivery volumes and advancements in AI initiatives [19] Future Outlook - The Fund remains optimistic about long-term prospects, particularly in AI and technology sectors [44] - The anticipated downward trend in interest rates may lead to increased capital inflows into the stock market [14]
Norsemont Commences Drill Program at Choquelimpie Project
Thenewswire· 2025-11-14 14:00
Core Viewpoint - Norsemont Mining Inc. has initiated its Phase 3 exploration drill program at the Choquelimpie project in northern Chile, focusing on high-grade gold zones at depth beneath the current resource [1][3]. Group 1: Phase 3 Drill Program - The Phase 3 drill program will involve up to 5,000 meters of diamond drilling using two drill rigs, with drilling expected to continue through late December [1][8]. - The program aims to evaluate down-dip extensions of high-grade gold mineralization within hydrothermal breccia zones, consisting of up to 20 holes averaging 250 meters in length [3][8]. Group 2: Management Insights - CEO Marc Levy expressed excitement about the Phase 3 drilling, highlighting the potential for discovering higher-grade gold zones at depth and the importance of this program in defining the scale and continuity of mineralization [3][9]. - The drilling will target several zones, including Choque, Vizcacha, and Suri, with expectations for steady progress and consistent updates over the coming months [3][9]. Group 3: Historical Context and Infrastructure - Historical production at Choquelimpie from 1988 to 1996 focused on near-surface oxidized mineralization, leaving deeper sulphide resources largely unexplored [5]. - The project has over 1,710 drill holes and significant existing infrastructure, including roads, power, water, camp, and a 3,000-tonne-per-day mill, indicating strong exploration upside [9]. Group 4: Operational Details - Norsemont's Chilean subsidiary, SCM Vilacollo, has contracted DV Drilling Ltd. to conduct the drilling program, which will operate on a 24-hour schedule [4][8].
The Trade Desk: Don't Let The Bears Fool You This Time
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-14 14:00
Core Insights - The article discusses the potential for The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) to present a favorable investment opportunity, suggesting that the stock may be nearing a bottom and could experience a recovery [1] Group 1: Analyst Profile - JR Research is identified as an opportunistic investor recognized by TipRanks and Seeking Alpha for his expertise in Technology, Software, and Internet sectors [1] - The analyst focuses on identifying growth investing opportunities with attractive risk/reward profiles, aiming to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1] - The investment strategy combines price action analysis with fundamental investing, avoiding overhyped stocks while targeting undervalued ones with recovery potential [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investing group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in identifying high-potential opportunities across various sectors, focusing on stocks with strong growth potential and attractive valuations [1] - The investment outlook is typically set for 18 to 24 months, allowing time for the thesis to materialize [1] - The group aims to capitalize on growth stocks with robust fundamentals and buying momentum, as well as turnaround plays [1]
The Trade Desk: Don't Let The Bears Fool You This Time (NASDAQ:TTD)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-14 14:00
Core Insights - The article discusses the potential for The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) to present a favorable investment opportunity, suggesting that the stock may be nearing a bottom and could experience significant recovery [1] Group 1: Analyst Profile - JR Research is identified as an opportunistic investor recognized by TipRanks and Seeking Alpha for his expertise in Technology, Software, and Internet sectors, as well as Growth and GARP [1] - The analyst focuses on identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities that can generate alpha above the S&P 500, demonstrating a history of outperformance with his picks [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes growth investing opportunities with strong upside potential, avoiding overhyped stocks while targeting beaten-down stocks with recovery possibilities [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investing group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in identifying high-potential opportunities across various sectors, focusing on stocks with robust fundamentals and attractive valuations [1] - The investment outlook is typically set for 18 to 24 months, aiming to capitalize on growth stocks and turnaround plays [1]