It could be a third time unlucky for UPS (UPS -0.75%) in 2025. Having failed to meet its initial full-year guidance in 2023, and then again in 2024, UPS is under real pressure to avoid doing so this year due to the slowdown in the economy. There's a strong case for buying the stock, but it would be even stronger if management decided to cut the dividend.The dividend is not well covered under the best of assumptionsInvestors should be wary when a blue-chip stock like UPS yields almost 7%. The market is hinti ...

The 6.8% dividend yield of UPS (UPS 1.80%) stock and the 9.1% dividend yield of Whirlpool (WHR 2.87%) stock are obviously attractive for passive income-seeking investors. However, there's no such thing as a free lunch, and their yields reflect some doubt in the marketplace around the sustainability of their dividends. That said, which stock is better, and what risks do you need to know about before buying the stock?Whirlpool stock analysis (9.1% dividend yield)Both Whirlpool's and UPS' shares are down heavi ...

Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) stock is currently trading at deep value levels, presenting a generational buying opportunity, as confirmed by Q1 results which indicate that market fears were overreactions [1][5] Financial Performance - UPS reported a -0.9% revenue decline in Q1, primarily due to a nearly 15% contraction in Supply Chain Solutions linked to a divestiture, although core businesses are growing [8] - The U.S. segment grew by 1.4%, while the international segment saw a 2.7% increase driven by a 7.1% rise in average daily volume [9] - Adjusted earnings increased by 4.2% year-over-year to $1.49, significantly exceeding analysts' forecasts by nearly 800 basis points [11] Market Sentiment and Analyst Outlook - Analyst sentiment has shifted from Moderate Buy to Hold, with a consensus price target forecasting a 30% upside from the current trading price near $97 [5] - The stock is trading at a nearly 50% discount to the broader market and under 8X its 2023 EPS forecast, indicating potential undervaluation [6] Institutional Activity - Institutional activity reached a multi-year high in Q1, contributing to market volatility but remained net bullish by the end of the quarter, providing substantial support with ownership above 60% [7] Capital Return and Dividends - UPS has a significant capital return strategy, including dividends and share repurchases, with a reliable annual yield of over 6% and a payout ratio of approximately 60% [12] - Share repurchases reduced the share count by roughly 0.8% year-over-year in Q1, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [12] Margin Improvement - The company has seen steady improvement in operating margins due to transformation efforts, with a 20 basis points improvement in Q1 despite macroeconomic challenges [10] - CFO Brian Dykes anticipates reaching a $3.5 billion target for margin improvement by year-end [11] Balance Sheet Health - Despite the impact of the divestiture, UPS maintains a healthy balance sheet with low leverage relative to equity and assets, suggesting potential for future distribution increases [13]

Group 1 - Analyst Fadi Chamoun at BMO Capital lowered the price target for UPS stock to $125 from $130, maintaining an outperform rating, which indicates a buy recommendation with a 29% premium to the current price [1] - UPS' first-quarter earnings exceeded expectations, and management is reducing lower-margin Amazon delivery volume while investing in higher-margin volume, which is seen as a long-term benefit [2] - Management expects to achieve $3.5 billion in expense reductions through ongoing efficiency initiatives and the reduction in Amazon volume [2] Group 2 - Trade conflicts are negatively impacting transportation companies, and the uncertainty surrounding tariff conflicts led UPS management to refrain from updating investors on its full-year target during the recent earnings presentation [4] - UPS may cut its guidance if the trading environment does not improve, and the lack of a full-year guidance update raises concerns about potentially missing initial full-year guidance for the third consecutive year [5] - Strategic initiatives such as reducing Amazon volume, cutting costs, and focusing on higher-margin deliveries are expected to support long-term growth, justifying the outperform rating despite potential volatility [6]

各位好，我是帮主郑重。今天咱们聊聊最近美国快递行业扔下的一颗重磅炸弹——UPS突然宣布裁员2万人，还计划关闭73个设施。这事儿背后可不简 单，我花了两天时间研究财报和行业动态，发现这可能是一场影响全球物流格局的大变革。 总的来说，UPS的裁员不是孤立事件，而是行业变革的缩影。未来的快递行业，要么像亚马逊一样自建生态，要么像UPS一样断臂求生，要么像极兔一样 用技术突围。作为中长线投资者，我会持续关注那些能在效率、成本和客户结构上找到平衡点的企业。这就是今天的解读，我是帮主郑重，咱们下期 见。 第三个原因，人力成本压得喘不过气。UPS去年和卡车司机工会签了个"天价合同"，5年内要多花300亿美元，司机时薪涨到49美元，还取消了强制加班。 这本来是为了避免罢工，但没想到直接把利润率压到了地板上。现在裁员关厂，其实是在"拆东墙补西墙"，用减少人力来对冲工会的压力。 不过，这事儿背后还有更深层的行业逻辑。首先，快递行业正在经历"效率革命"。中通、极兔这些中国企业已经用上了无人车和自动分拣机，一小时能处 理1万件包裹。UPS也在投钱搞自动化，计划把400个设施改造成智能枢纽。这就像当年的柯达，不拥抱数字化就得被淘汰。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Rising trade tensions and macroeconomic concerns are negatively impacting transportation companies, particularly United Parcel Service (UPS), which has seen a significant decline in its stock value and revenue due to reduced demand for shipping services and strategic business changes [1][4][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Reaction - UPS shares dropped as much as 18% following the U.S. tariff announcement in early April, finishing down 13.4% for the month [1]. - The stock has lost more than half of its value in less than three years, indicating ongoing challenges for the company [3]. Group 2: Business Strategy and Revenue Impact - UPS is focusing on streamlining operations by targeting more profitable business lines and reducing exposure to lower-margin customers, such as Amazon, which has led to a decline in revenue in the short term [4]. - The company is planning to reduce costs by $3.5 billion by 2025 through network reconfigurations and closing over 100 less productive facilities, with approximately 20,000 positions targeted for reduction this year [6]. Group 3: Future Prospects and Market Position - Despite current challenges, UPS is expanding into higher-margin sectors, such as healthcare shipping, and has announced a $1.6 billion acquisition of Andlauer Healthcare Group to enhance its capabilities in Canada [7]. - The long-term demand for transportation services remains strong, and UPS is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends due to its national scale [8]. Group 4: Investment Considerations - Investors may need to be patient, but UPS offers a nearly 7% dividend yield at current prices, making it an attractive option for those seeking a mix of growth and income [9].

If you want full access to all our reports, data and investing ideas, join The Aerospace Forum , the #1 aerospace, defense and airline investment research service on Seeking Alpha, with access to evoX Data Analytics, our in-house developed data analytics platform.Dhierin runs the investing group The Aerospace Forum , whose goal is to discover investment opportunities in the aerospace, defense and airline industry. With a background in aerospace engineering, he provides analysis of a complex industry with si ...

Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) plans to lay off up to 20,000 employees due to a significant reduction in its business with Amazon, which has been halved, amidst the backdrop of a trade war and shifting delivery strategies [1][8]. Group 1: Business Relationship with Amazon - UPS's CEO, Carol Tome, indicated that while Amazon is the largest client, it is not the most profitable, leading to a reassessment of their business relationship [3]. - Amazon's efforts to enhance its own delivery capabilities, including drone shipments, may have influenced UPS's decision to cut back on its services [3]. - The ongoing conflict involving the White House, Amazon, and Chinese suppliers raises questions about the future of UPS's business with Amazon [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Stock Movement - Despite a strong quarterly report where UPS achieved $21.50 billion in revenue, surpassing the forecast of $21.02 billion, and an EPS of $1.49 against an expected $1.38, the stock has seen a significant decline [12]. - UPS stock has dropped nearly 22% year-to-date, with a 1.68% decline in the last week and a 12.06% drop over the past 30 days [12]. - On April 29, UPS shares fell 0.37% to close at $96.73, with a slight pre-market decline to $96.72 [7].

Logistics provider FedEx (FDX -0.75%) holds the second-largest market share in the category, behind UPS (UPS -0.33%), in the U.S. market.*Stock prices used were the afternoon prices of April 25, 2025. The video was published on April 27, 2025. ...

【导读】美国货运巨头UPS拟裁员2万人 中国基金报记者 安曼 特朗普关税引发大规模裁员的第一个受害者出现了！ 据新华社报道，美国航运巨头联合包裹（UPS）周二宣布，今年将裁员2万人，并在6月底前关闭73栋办公楼，以提高美国业务的利润率和效率。 UPS指出，此次业务重构与零售巨头亚马逊业务量减少相关。计划通过成本削减，帮助公司减少35亿美元成本支出。同时，UPS还撤回了今年的财务指 引，强调特朗普关税引发的宏观环境不确定性导致公司无法提供预测。 "在过去的100多年里，世界还没有面临过如此巨大的潜在贸易影响。"该公司首席执行官卡罗尔·托梅 (Carol Tomé）在财报电话会议上表示。 史上规模最大的裁员 此次裁员是继去年早些时候裁减1.2万人后的又一轮大规模人员调整，也是UPS历史上规模最大的一次裁员。 UPS首席执行官卡罗尔·托梅表示，鉴于宏观经济环境的不确定性，UPS重组网络并降低成本的举措可谓恰逢其时。关税是一大不确定因素。 今年1月，UPS与亚马逊达成原则性协议，到2026年6月将其运输量削减50%以上，亚马逊曾占据UPS约12%的收入。 彼时，卡罗尔·托梅表示，减少与亚马逊的合作是为了避免收益递减， ...