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UPS Just Delivered Good News, Bad News, and Great News for Investors
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-29 07:55
Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) is showing signs of a turnaround, with a stock increase of approximately 25% over the last four months, despite mixed results in its Q4 2025 earnings report [1] Good News - UPS exceeded Wall Street expectations in Q4, generating revenue of $24.5 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $24 billion, and reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.38, above the consensus estimate of $2.20 [2] - CEO Carol Tomé highlighted strong revenue quality and solid cost management as key drivers of the results, noting the highest Q4 revenue in four years for the international small package business [3] - Despite a 10.8% year-over-year decline in U.S. daily volume, revenue per piece increased by 8.3%, indicating a successful focus on revenue quality [4] - The company achieved its highest small- and medium-sized business (SMB) penetration in history during Q4, and business-to-business (B2B) penetration reached the highest level in six years, with healthcare logistics identified as a robust growth area [5] Bad News - Following the Q4 update, UPS shares fell moderately as investors focused on negative outlooks, anticipating a 30% year-over-year profit decline in Q1 2026 [7][8] - Factors contributing to the weak first half of 2026 include a decline in Amazon volume, transition costs from shifting Ground Saver back to the U.S. Postal Service, higher costs from retiring the MD-11 aircraft fleet, and tariff impacts [9] Great News - UPS is expected to experience an inflection point in 2026, shifting focus from shrinking its business to growth in higher-margin areas, with the Amazon glide-down expected to be completed this year [10] - Although overall shipment volume may decline, UPS anticipates a lower cost structure and a more agile network due to the Amazon strategy [10] - For income investors, the dividend yield is projected to be more secure in 2026, with expected free cash flow of $6.5 billion and planned dividends of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval [11] - The voluntary driver separation program is expected to enhance future free cash flow, making a dividend cut unlikely in the near term [12]
UPS Plans to Continue Delivering its 6%-Yielding Dividend in 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 22:50
At over 6%, UPS (NYSE: UPS) has one of the highest dividend yields in the S&P 500, where the average is below 2%. A high-yielding payout is often a warning sign of potential sustainability issues. While UPS is experiencing some headwinds, the logistics giant expects to continue delivering its high-yielding dividend to shareholders. Here's a look at what drives its view. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now, when you join ...
UPS Cost-Cutting Measures, Fleet Leasing Strategy Are Positives: Analyst
Benzinga· 2026-01-28 19:15
On Tuesday, United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $24.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.38, beating the $2.20 estimate.For 2026, UPS forecasts revenue of about $89.7 billion, above the $87.938 billion analyst estimate, and a non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of about 9.6%.Analyst TakeB of A Securities analyst Ken Hoexter raised the price forecast for United Parcel Service from $114.00 to $118.00, while keeping a Neutral rating.The analyst writes that UPS reported qua ...
United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Faces Market Adjustments Amid Restructuring
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-28 18:08
Core Viewpoint - UPS is undergoing significant restructuring, including job reductions, in response to competitive pressures and its separation from Amazon, while BMO Capital has adjusted its rating and price target for the company [2][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - UPS is a global leader in logistics and package delivery services, providing a wide range of solutions including transportation, distribution, and freight services [1]. - The current stock price of UPS is $107.22, reflecting a slight increase of 0.25, or 0.23% [3]. - UPS has a market capitalization of approximately $90.96 billion, indicating its significant presence in the logistics industry [4]. Group 2: Market Position and Competition - UPS faces competition from companies like FedEx and DHL, particularly in the US delivery market [1]. - The company is undertaking significant restructuring efforts, including reducing up to 30,000 jobs, as a response to the financial impact of its separation from Amazon and increasing competition [2][5]. Group 3: Stock Performance - During the trading day, UPS's stock has fluctuated between $104.75 and $112.67, with a yearly high of $136.99 and a low of $82, reflecting market volatility [3]. - BMO Capital raised its price target for UPS from $105 to $110 while maintaining a "Market Perform" rating [2][5]. - Today's trading volume for UPS is 13,594,642 shares, indicating active investor interest [4].
118-year-old shipping giant just delivered workers a harsh message
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 17:03
United Parcel Service (UPS) announced its fourth quarter earnings report on Tuesday, Jan 27, before the market opened. But it was a double-edged surprise underscoring that a revenue beat can also come with a high cost: a massive secondary wave of 30,000 job cuts in operational roles in 2026 as part of a sweeping cost-reduction effort tied largely to Amazon. While the parcel delivery giant beat expectations, people focused more on the company’s plan to reconfigure operations, reduce total operational hour ...
UPS retires entire fleet of planes involved in deadly Louisville crash
Fox Business· 2026-01-28 16:36
United Postal Service CEO Carol Tome said Tuesday that the company is officially retiring its fleet of McDonnell Douglas MD-11 cargo planes after one of them was involved in a deadly crash in Louisville. Tome told analysts on its fourth-quarter earnings call that the shipping giant has taken a "systematic programmatic approach to modernizing" its global air fleet, which included "the decision to accelerate our plans and retire all MD-11 aircraft in our fleet." That was completed in the fourth quarter.Tome ...
联合包裹计划裁减至多3万个岗位
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 16:03
联合包裹服务公司(UPS)周三早盘下跌1.4%,此前该公司宣布将在2026年前削减至多3万个运营岗 位,主要通过自然减员和买断方案实现;该公司正缩减亚马逊业务量,关闭另外24处设施,并目标节约 约30亿美元成本。 联合包裹服务公司(UPS)周三早盘下跌1.4%,此前该公司宣布将在2026年前削减至多3万个运营岗 位,主要通过自然减员和买断方案实现;该公司正缩减亚马逊业务量,关闭另外24处设施,并目标节约 约30亿美元成本。 责任编辑:张俊 SF065 责任编辑:张俊 SF065 ...
Why United Parcel Service (UPS) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 15:50
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UPS to Trim Workforce to Reduce Amazon Deliveries: What Lies Ahead?
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 14:51
Key Takeaways UPS plans to cut Amazon deliveries by over 50% by June 2026 to boost overall profitability. UPS will eliminate up to 30,000 jobs and close 24 more facilities as part of its cost-cutting strategy. UPS targets $3B in savings by 2026 through automation and reduced reliance on low-margin Amazon volumes. In 2025, United Parcel Service’s (UPS) management had reached an agreement in principle with Amazon. com (AMZN) to reduce the e-commerce giant’s volume by more than 50% by June 2026. CEO Carol Tome ...
UPS Is Firing Its Biggest Customer -- And Wall Street Finally Understands Why
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 14:40
Core Viewpoint - UPS is undergoing a significant restructuring due to a planned reduction in deliveries for Amazon, which is expected to lead to a decline in revenue and necessitate changes in its delivery network [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, Amazon accounted for 11% of UPS's revenue but contributed between 20% and 25% of U.S. network volume, indicating a reliance on low-margin packages [4]. - UPS's revenue declined in the fourth quarter of 2025, but revenue per piece increased by 8.3%, reflecting a shift towards more profitable operations [7]. - The adjusted operating margin for the U.S. segment improved to 10.2% in Q4 2025, up from 10.1% in the previous year, despite costs related to grounding aircraft [7]. Group 2: Operational Changes - UPS plans to reduce Amazon volume by 1 million pieces per day in 2025 and another 1 million in 2026, aiming for a more economically viable business model [5]. - The company closed 93 buildings in the U.S. in 2025, consolidating its network and achieving $3.5 billion in cost savings [5]. - UPS eliminated 48,000 positions in 2025, with an additional 30,000 job cuts planned for 2026, resulting in a significant reduction in labor hours [6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company anticipates a challenging path ahead, with expected overall adjusted operating margin of 9.6% in 2026, down from 9.8% in 2025, due to revenue declines and restructuring costs [8].