目前，传统的金融业也已经嗅到了稳定币市场的商机，越来越多的银行开始涉足稳定币市场。法国兴业银行、德 国Oddo BHF、英国Revolut，甚至连香港金管局都开始纷纷布局稳定币市场，期望在这一领域分得一杯羹。 法国兴业银行的子公司Forge已经向散户投资者推出了欧元支持的稳定币。Visa于10月推出了一个供银行发行稳定 币的代币化网络，并计划在2025年与BBVA合作进行试点。Visa的加密货币主管Cuy Sheffield透露，来自香港、新 加坡和巴西的银行对稳定币表现出浓厚兴趣，Visa正与全球多家银行合作。 渣打银行同样在积极参与，已被香港金融管理局选为港币稳定币的首批发行商之一，计划于2025年上线。 稳定币最初主要用于加密资产的交易，但近年来其应用范围迅速扩展。目前，稳定币在跨境支付和外汇储蓄等常 规金融活动中的应用越来越广泛，同时在去中心化金融（DeFi）等新型金融活动中也有重要应用。稳定币的跨境 属性和价值稳定性使其成为国际支付和资产储备的理想选择。 据媒体报道，3月下旬原中国社科院金融研究所所长李扬对比特币和稳定币的发展提出了自己的看法，他介绍说， 美国不仅明确要发展比特币，而且把比特币列为国 ...

When it comes to quality, Visa (NYSE: V ) is one of the highest-quality stocks investors could own. This is also a likely reason why the greatest investor of all time, Warren Buffett, owns them in his portfolio.Contributing analyst to the iREIT+Hoya Capital investment group. The Dividend Collectuh is not a registered investment professional nor financial advisor and these articles should not be taken as financial advice. This is for educational purposes only and I encourage everyone to do their own due dili ...

Core Viewpoint - Visa Inc. is expected to report strong second-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with earnings projected at $2.68 per share and revenues at $9.56 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 6.8% and 9% respectively [1][2] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Visa's fiscal 2025 revenues is $39.6 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.2%, while the EPS estimate is $11.30, indicating a 12.4% rise [2] - Visa has a history of exceeding earnings estimates, having beaten them in the last four quarters by an average of 3% [2] Earnings Predictions - The model predicts a likely earnings beat for Visa, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.10% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - Total Gross Dollar Volume is estimated to increase by 5.5% year-over-year, with the model predicting 5% growth [4] Transaction Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total processed transactions indicates a 10.1% year-over-year growth, while the model predicts a 9.5% increase [5] - Total payment volumes are expected to rise by 7.4% year-over-year, with U.S. operations projected to grow by 6% [6] Revenue Growth - Data processing revenues are estimated to grow by 9.2% year-over-year, while service revenues are expected to increase by 9.1% [7] - International transaction revenues are projected to grow by 12.7% year-over-year, supported by continuous growth in cross-border volumes [8] Expense Considerations - Adjusted total operating expenses are expected to rise by more than 10% year-over-year due to increased costs in various areas [10] - Client incentives are estimated to be around $3.8 billion for the fiscal second quarter [10] Stock Performance - Visa's stock has declined by 2.5% in the past month, outperforming the industry and S&P 500 declines of 4.1% and 5.9% respectively [11] - Visa is currently trading at 27.73X forward 12-month earnings, above its five-year median of 26.92X and the industry's average of 22.52X [14] Investment Outlook - Visa's low-risk, transaction-based business model positions it well in a volatile macroeconomic environment, benefiting from the shift to digital payments [17] - The company continues to invest in real-time payments and blockchain, reinforcing its long-term growth potential [17] - However, Visa faces regulatory risks and its stock is trading close to its 52-week high, suggesting limited short-term upside [18]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an OUTPERFORM rating for VISA [2][9]. Core Insights - VISA is positioned as a global leader in digital payments, transitioning from a payment clearing network operator to a comprehensive digital payment infrastructure provider and fintech empowerment platform [3][9]. - The company has established a robust competitive moat through its first-mover advantage, network effects, and continuous technological innovation, which supports its market leadership [9][46]. Financial Overview - Current price: US$334.37, Target price: US$364.35, Market capitalization: US$653.22 billion [2]. - Revenue projections for FY25, FY26, and FY27 are US$39.33 billion, US$43.15 billion, and US$47.54 billion respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% [4][8]. - Net profit estimates for the same periods are US$22.06 billion, US$24.36 billion, and US$26.68 billion, reflecting a CAGR of around 10% [4][8]. Business Segments - VISA's revenue is derived from four main segments: data processing income (35.6%), payment services income (32.4%), international transaction income (25.5%), and other income (6.4%) [4][6]. - The company anticipates growth in payment services income driven by innovative technologies and increased penetration among high-end consumers [4][8]. Strategic Growth Pillars - The report highlights three strategic pillars for growth: consumer payments, new payment flows, and value-added services, which are expected to drive revenue diversification and enhance platform value [15][16]. - The potential market for new payment flows is estimated at US$200 trillion, with significant opportunities in B2B, B2C, G2C, and P2P transactions [21][22]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - VISA maintains a leading market share of 61.1% in the U.S. payment card industry, significantly ahead of competitors [3][38]. - The company's light-asset model and high leverage support a strong return on equity (ROE) of 56.5% in FY25, with expectations of continued shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends [7][8]. Technological Innovation - VISA's investment in technology, such as tokenization and contactless payment solutions, enhances transaction security and user experience, contributing to its competitive edge [46][47]. - The company has processed over 100 billion transactions through its VISA Direct platform, which supports real-time fund transfers, further solidifying its position in the digital payment ecosystem [25][28].

Core Insights - Analysts project Visa will announce quarterly earnings of $2.68 per share, a 6.8% increase year over year, with revenues expected to reach $9.56 billion, reflecting a 9% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted upward by 0.1% over the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [1][2] Revenue Projections - 'Revenues - Other revenues' are projected to reach $894.31 million, indicating an 18.3% increase year over year [4] - 'Revenues - Service revenues' are expected to be $4.40 billion, suggesting a 9.1% year-over-year change [4] - 'Revenues - Data processing revenues' are forecasted to reach $4.65 billion, reflecting a 9.2% increase from the prior year [4] - 'Revenues - International transaction revenues' are estimated at $3.36 billion, indicating a 12.7% increase from the previous year [5] Transaction Metrics - 'End of Period Connections - Total transactions' are expected to be 61.08 billion, up from 55.46 billion in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Payments Volume - Europe' is projected at $680.29 billion, compared to $620 billion a year ago [6] - 'Total volume' is expected to reach $3,988.87 billion, up from $3,780 billion in the previous year [6] Payments Volume Estimates - 'Payments volume - U.S.A' is forecasted at $1,675.64 billion, compared to $1,561 billion in the same quarter last year [7] - 'Payments volume - LAC' is estimated at $234.23 billion, up from $213 billion a year ago [7] - 'Payments volume - CEMEA' is projected to be $209.41 billion, compared to $182 billion last year [8] - 'Total payments volume' is expected to reach $3,406.83 billion, up from $3,173 billion in the previous year [8] - 'Payments volume - Canada' is estimated at $100.52 billion, compared to $95 billion in the same quarter last year [8] Stock Performance - Visa shares have decreased by 2.9% in the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has declined by 5.1% [9]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and financial instruments [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, publications, and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It does not constitute any recommendation or advice for taking action, including making investments or purchasing products [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own due diligence checks and apply their discretion when making financial decisions [1]. Group 2 - The information on the website may not be provided in real-time and is not necessarily accurate [1]. - Prices may be provided by market makers rather than exchanges, indicating potential discrepancies [1]. - The website includes advertisements and promotional content, with the company potentially receiving compensation from third parties [1].

Core Insights - Dividend stocks act as financial fortresses during market volatility, with 85% of the S&P 500's cumulative total return since 1960 attributed to reinvested dividends and compounding power [1] - Dividend growers have outperformed the broader market since 1973 while exhibiting lower volatility [1] Costco Wholesale - Costco has transformed into a global retail leader with a loyal customer base, utilizing a membership model that ensures predictable revenue [4] - The company has a strong commitment to shareholder returns, boasting 20 consecutive years of dividend increases and an average growth rate of 12.6% over the past decade [5] - Despite a current dividend yield of 0.47%, Costco's stock has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 since 2015, reflecting strong price appreciation [6] - With a conservative payout ratio of 27%, Costco has ample room for future dividend increases, supported by projected net sales of $250 billion for fiscal year 2024, a 5% year-over-year increase, and a growing membership base of nearly 137 million [8] Visa - Visa operates one of the largest electronic payment networks globally, connecting various stakeholders without issuing cards or extending credit [9] - The company has a remarkable 10-year dividend growth rate of 17.5%, with 16 consecutive years of dividend increases [10] - Visa offers a higher current yield of 0.71% compared to Costco, with a conservative payout ratio of 21.7%, indicating strong potential for continued dividend growth [11] - The asset-light business model allows Visa to benefit from increased transaction volumes and expansion into emerging markets, positioning it for robust free cash flow and sustained dividend growth [12][13] Comparative Analysis - For investors focused on dividend growth, Visa is identified as the more compelling option due to its higher historical growth rate, lower payout ratio, and higher current yield [14] - Both Costco and Visa can complement each other in a diversified dividend growth strategy, as they have different business models and industry exposures while maintaining a commitment to shareholder returns [15] - If only one stock can be chosen, Visa is considered the better choice in this comparison [16]

Core Viewpoint - President Trump's global tariffs have created volatility in U.S. stocks, prompting investors to seek companies less affected by trade tensions, with Visa Inc. identified as a potential safe investment due to its low-risk, transaction-based model [1] Company Overview - Visa has a market capitalization of $619.4 billion and is a leader in global digital payments, operating an asset-light model that minimizes credit risk [2] - Unlike Visa, American Express, valued at $176.4 billion, issues credit cards and extends credit, exposing it to higher risks in inflationary environments [3] Economic Factors - Inflation may benefit Visa as it charges a percentage on transactions, potentially increasing revenues with rising prices, although a decline in consumer demand could offset this advantage [4] - Visa is well-positioned for long-term growth due to the global shift from cash to digital payments and its strong network effect [5] Financial Performance - Visa has shown steady earnings and revenue growth despite macroeconomic uncertainties, investing in innovations like real-time payments and blockchain technology [6] - In fiscal 2024, Visa repurchased shares worth $16.7 billion and returned $5.1 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends in Q1 of fiscal 2025 [7] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a 12.5% and 12.6% increase in Visa's EPS for fiscal 2025 and 2026, respectively, with revenue growth estimates of 10.2% and 10.3% [8] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Visa shares increased by 0.2%, outperforming Mastercard and American Express, which declined by 3.7% and 3.4%, respectively [10] Valuation - Visa is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 27.76X, above its five-year median of 26.91X and the industry average of 22.10X [13] Challenges - Visa faces rising costs, with adjusted operating expenses increasing by 10.8% in fiscal 2024 and 11.4% in Q1 of fiscal 2025, alongside a rise in client incentives [15] - Regulatory challenges include a lawsuit from the U.S. Department of Justice and scrutiny over interchange fees in the U.K., which could impact Visa's pricing power [16][17] Investment Outlook - Visa's strong global network and resilience amid economic challenges make it a compelling long-term investment, although short-term upside appears limited as shares are near their 52-week high [18][19]

Core Insights - Visa is set to join the Global Dollar Network (USDG) stablecoin consortium, marking it as the first traditional finance entity to participate in this initiative aimed at enhancing connectivity and liquidity among participants [1][2] - The USDG consortium includes notable members such as Paxos, Robinhood, Kraken, and others, and focuses on a stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar to promote its global use [2][3] - The Global Dollar Network aims to return nearly all rewards to its participants, contrasting with existing unregulated stablecoins that retain reserve economics [4] Company Developments - Visa's involvement in the USDG consortium aligns with its recent launch of the Visa Tokenized Asset Platform (VTAP), which allows banks to issue fiat-backed tokens, including stablecoins [5][6] - The VTAP leverages Visa's expertise in smart contract technologies to facilitate the issuance and transfer of fiat-backed tokens over blockchain networks, reinforcing Visa's leadership in digital payments [6] Industry Trends - The adoption of stablecoins is increasing in mainstream financial activities such as B2B payments, capital markets, lending, cross-border payments, and treasury management [5] - Stablecoins are evolving to become integral components of real-world financial infrastructure, moving away from their previous reliance on crypto exchanges [4]

Core Insights - Visa and PayPal are leading companies in the digital payments sector, each with distinct strengths and market positions [1][2] - Visa is the dominant player in card-based transactions, while PayPal excels in peer-to-peer payments and e-commerce [1][2] Visa Overview - Visa has a market capitalization of $572.7 billion and processed over $13 trillion in payment volume in fiscal 2024 [3] - The company operates in over 200 countries, with more than 65% of transactions originating outside the U.S., indicating strong international growth potential [4] - Visa reported an adjusted operating margin of 69.3% and generated $5.1 billion in free cash flow in the first quarter of fiscal 2025 [6] - The company returned $16.7 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2024, with additional buybacks and dividends in fiscal 2025 [6] - Visa's strategic investments in real-time payments, B2B services, and blockchain solutions position it for future growth [7] PayPal Overview - PayPal has a market capitalization of $63.3 billion and over 434 million active accounts, focusing on e-commerce and peer-to-peer payments [8] - The total payment transactions for PayPal fell 3% year-over-year in the December quarter of 2024, while Visa saw an 11% increase [8] - PayPal's adjusted operating margin in the fourth quarter of 2024 was 18%, with revenue growth slowing post-pandemic [10] - The company relies heavily on the U.S. market for 57% of its net revenues, making it more vulnerable to domestic economic fluctuations [11] Financial Comparisons - Visa's fiscal 2025 sales and EPS estimates imply year-over-year increases of 10.2% and 12.5%, respectively, with positive trends in EPS estimates [12] - In contrast, PayPal's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest only 3.7% and 7.5% growth, with recent downward trends in EPS estimates [13] - Visa's forward 12-month earnings are priced at 27.57X, compared to PayPal's 12.35X, reflecting Visa's premium valuation due to its operational consistency and growth opportunities [14] Performance Insights - Over the past month, Visa's shares have outperformed both PayPal and the S&P 500 Index [16] - Visa's unmatched scale and international presence make it a more reliable investment compared to PayPal, which faces greater volatility and localized growth challenges [19][20]