Group 1 - The stock price of Vistra Corporation (NYSE: VST) has increased by more than 100% over the past year, yet the rating remains at "buy" for capital investment [1] - Laura Starks, the founder and CEO of Starks Energy Economics, has extensive experience in the energy sector, covering various companies including utilities and independent power producers [1] - The analysis indicates a beneficial long position in shares of VST, CEG, and NEE, highlighting a personal investment strategy in the energy sector [1]

Group 1: Company Performance - Vistra Corp. (VST) closed at $139.28, reflecting a +1.44% change from the previous session, which lagged behind the S&P 500's gain of 1.47% [1] - Over the past month, shares of Vistra Corp. have increased by 26.88%, significantly outperforming the Utilities sector's gain of 0.44% and the S&P 500's loss of 0.47% [1] Group 2: Earnings Expectations - Vistra Corp. is expected to report earnings on May 7, 2025, with an anticipated EPS of $0.54, representing a 134.78% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projected at $4.4 billion, which is a 44.14% increase from the previous year [2] Group 3: Full-Year Estimates - The full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates for Vistra Corp. indicate earnings of $5.72 per share and revenue of $21.25 billion, reflecting year-over-year changes of -18.29% for earnings and +23.35% for revenue [3] Group 4: Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Vistra Corp. are important as they reflect the changing dynamics of short-term business patterns, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the company's outlook [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks Vistra Corp. as 3 (Hold), with the EPS estimate having moved 0.45% lower over the past month [6] Group 5: Valuation Metrics - Vistra Corp. has a Forward P/E ratio of 24.01, which is a premium compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 18.35 [7] - The PEG ratio for Vistra Corp. is currently 2.26, while the average PEG ratio for the Utility - Electric Power industry is 2.69 [7] Group 6: Industry Context - The Utility - Electric Power industry, part of the broader Utilities sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 30, placing it in the top 13% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Dividend Announcements - Vistra's board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.2250 per share, amounting to an estimated total payment of approximately $75 million for the quarter, reflecting a 3% increase from the second quarter 2024 dividend [1] - A semi-annual dividend of $35.00 per share was declared for the 7.0% Series B Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Green Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock, equating to $70.00 on an annualized basis [2] - The board also declared a semi-annual dividend of $44.375 per share for the 8.875% Series C Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock, which translates to $88.75 on an annualized basis [3] Company Overview - Vistra is a leading Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company, providing essential resources across the United States from California to Maine [4] - The company focuses on energy transformation with an emphasis on reliability, affordability, and sustainability, operating a diverse power generation fleet including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities [4]

Core Viewpoint - The recent rally in shares of nuclear power providers is driven by positive financial results and capital spending guidance from AI leaders, indicating strong future demand for nuclear power due to the increasing electricity needs from AI data centers [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Constellation Energy, Vistra Energy, and Oklo saw significant share price increases of 8%, 5.8%, and 8.5% respectively [1]. - Constellation Energy has the largest nuclear capacity among U.S. utilities and plans to reopen Three Mile Island by 2028 to support Microsoft data centers [5]. - Microsoft reported a revenue and earnings beat, with its Azure cloud platform growing 35% in constant currency terms, and reiterated its capital expenditure plans despite supply constraints [7][8]. - Meta Platforms also exceeded revenue and earnings expectations and raised its capital expenditure guidance for 2025 from $60 billion to a range of $64 billion to $72 billion [9]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The demand for electricity is projected to soar due to the needs of AI data centers, making nuclear power a viable solution for meeting this demand in a carbon-neutral manner [3][4]. - Despite recent volatility in utility stocks, the positive outlook from Microsoft and Meta has reassured investors about the sustainability of AI spending and its impact on electricity demand [6][10]. - The growth opportunities in AI infrastructure spending are significant, and leading companies in this space are expected to continue investing heavily in data centers, thereby driving electricity demand [10].

Core Viewpoint - Vistra Corp. is trading at a premium compared to the Zacks Utility Electric Power industry, with a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 20.41X against the industry average of 14.28X, indicating strong performance and demand in its service regions [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported stable performance, reflected in its share prices, and has outperformed the industry's rally over the past year [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vistra's 2025 earnings per share shows a year-over-year decline, while 2026 earnings per share are expected to improve [11]. Demand Drivers - Rising demand for clean electricity is driven by the development of large-scale data centers, electrification of oil field operations in the Permian Basin, and increasing power needs from semiconductor manufacturers and residential customers [7]. - Vistra's diversified generation capacity of 41,000 MW, including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, positions the company well to support the anticipated energy demand [10]. Growth Strategy - The company is expanding its clean energy portfolio through organic development and strategic acquisitions, having secured over 70 sites for future renewable energy projects [8]. - Vistra's strong hedging strategy enhances the visibility of future earnings, with 100% of projected production for 2025 and 80% for 2026 already hedged [9]. Shareholder Value - Vistra has been increasing shareholder value through a share repurchase program, buying back over $4.9 billion in shares since November 2021, with plans to repurchase an additional $1.9 billion by the end of 2026 [14]. - The company has approved a quarterly dividend of 22.35 cents for Q1 2025, targeting an annual dividend payment of $300 million, and has raised its dividend 14 times in the past five years [14][15]. Profitability Metrics - Vistra's trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) stands at 71.84%, significantly higher than the industry average of 9.77%, indicating effective utilization of shareholders' funds [16].

In the latest market close, Vistra Corp. (VST) reached $126.63, with a +1.93% movement compared to the previous day. The stock outpaced the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.74%. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 0.05%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, added 1.26%.The the stock of company has risen by 4.12% in the past month, leading the Utilities sector's gain of 2.17% and the S&P 500's loss of 4.77%.Market participants will be closely following the financial results of Vistra Corp. in its upcoming release. The company ...

Nuclear energy is emerging as a key solution to the world's growing electricity demand and the transition to cleaner power sources. Unlike solar and wind, which rely on weather conditions, nuclear plants provide a constant, around-the-clock energy supply, ensuring uninterrupted power generation.The energy sector is clearly undergoing a transition, with most utilities independently committing to reducing emissions in their electricity generation. Nuclear power stands out as one of the most dependable sources ...

IRVING, Texas, April 7, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Vistra (NYSE: VST) plans to report its first quarter 2025 financial and operating results on Wednesday, May 7, 2025, during a live conference call and webcast beginning at 10 a.m. ET (9 a.m. CT).The live webcast can be accessed via Vistra's website at www.vistracorp.com under "Investor Relations" and then "Events & Presentations." Participants can also listen by phone by registering here prior to the start time of the call to receive a conference call dial-in num ...

I'm initiating coverage of Vistra (NYSE: VST ) with a $159.99 PT and a Buy rating. VST is an integrated retail electricity and power generation company with a diversified portfolio across key US markets. My investment thesis is driven byMy name is Oskar Goyvaerts, and I'm the Chief Investment Officer at Moretus Investments, a value-driven investment firm. I focus on identifying undervalued businesses that are trading far below their intrinsic value. We've been highly successful over the last three years, wi ...

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