中兴通讯 中芯国际 华虹公司 东风集团股份 中兴通讯 中芯国际 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 45.02 -0.82 -1.79% 3.12% 2.07% 1.05% 0.00% 1.05% 2.07% 3.12% 44.41 44.89 45.36 45.84 46.32 46.79 47.27 09:30 10:30 11:30/13:00 14:00 15:00 0 277万 553万 830万 8月25日港股市场，北水成交净卖出13.76亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净卖出24.36亿港元，港股通(深)成交净买入10.6亿港 元。 北水净买入最多的个股是阿里巴巴-W(09988)、快手-W(01024)、中兴通讯（000063）(00763)。北水净卖出最多的个股是盈 富基金(02800)、小米集团-W(01810)、中芯国际(00981)。 | 港股通(沪)活跃成交股 | | --- | | 腾讯控股 | 15.57 乙 | 17.09亿 | 32.66亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HK 00700 | | | -1.52 乙 | | 小米集团-W | 9.20亿 ...

浦银国际研究 公司研究 | 科技行业 小米集团（1810.HK）：汽车毛利率表 现持续强劲，看好公司长期价值成长 图表 1：盈利预测和财务指标（2023-2027E） | 人民币百万元 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 270,970 | 365,906 | 480,258 | 632,234 | 756,748 | | 同比增速 | (3%) | 35% | 31% | 32% | 20% | | 经调整净利润 | 19,273 | 27,235 | 41,555 | 57,939 | 71,496 | | 同比增速 | 126% | 41% | 53% | 39% | 23% | | 目标 P/E (x) | 90.2 | 63.7 | 41.7 | 29.9 | 24.3 | E=浦银国际预测 资料来源：公司报告、浦银国际 沈岱 首席科技分析师 tony_shen@spdbi.com (852) 2808 6435 黄佳琦 科技分析师 sia_huang@spdbi ...

智通财经APP获悉，8月25日港股市场，北水成交净卖出13.76亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净卖出24.36亿港元，港股通(深) 成交净买入10.6亿港元。 北水净买入最多的个股是阿里巴巴-W(09988)、快手-W(01024)、中兴通讯(00763)。北水净卖出最多的个股是盈富基金 (02800)、小米集团-W(01810)、中芯国际(00981)。 阿里巴巴-W(09988)、美团-W(03690)分别获净买入5.86亿、1.12亿港元。消息面上，8月23日，国家发展改革委、市场监管总 局、国家网信办日前宣布联合起草《互联网平台价格行为规则(征求意见稿)》。花旗指出，为维持市场份额及应对中国新消 费观念下用户消费行为转变，相信各大电商平台仍将保留一定程度的补贴，从而巩固市场地位，但估计有助于促使平台更 规范地管理定价内卷行为。 | 华虹未营体 HK 01347 | 8.47 亿 | 9.50亿 | 17.96亿 -1.03亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 东方甄选 | 8.40亿 | 7.67亿 | 16.07亿 | | HK 01797 | | | +7345.23万 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with revenue of 115.96 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, and adjusted net profit of 10.83 billion RMB, up 75.4% year-on-year, exceeding Bloomberg consensus expectations and setting historical highs [1] Group 1: Smartphone Performance - Xiaomi's smartphone revenue decreased by 2.1% year-on-year to 45.52 billion RMB, primarily due to a 2.7% decline in average selling price (ASP) to 1,073.2 RMB, partially offset by a 0.6% increase in shipment volume to 42.4 million units [1] - Despite an increase in high-end smartphone shipments in mainland China, the launch of the REDMIA5 series in April 2025 led to a decline in ASP in overseas markets, contributing to a 0.6 percentage point drop in smartphone gross margin to 11.5% [1] Group 2: IoT and Internet Services - IoT and lifestyle consumer products achieved revenue of 38.71 billion RMB in Q2, a year-on-year growth of 44.7%, setting a historical high, with a gross margin of 22.5%, up 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Internet services revenue reached 9.1 billion RMB, growing 10.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 75.4%, slightly down year-on-year but still a core profit contributor [2] - Global monthly active users increased to 731.2 million, up 8.2% year-on-year, supporting revenue growth in services [2] Group 3: Automotive Business - The company delivered 81,302 new vehicles in Q2, a historical high, with the Xiaomi YU7 series SUV achieving over 240,000 orders within 18 hours of launch, indicating strong market interest [2] - The vehicle models feature high-end configurations such as an 800V silicon carbide high-voltage platform and laser radar, with an ASP of 253,700 RMB, up 10.9% year-on-year, contributing to improved profitability [2] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company's effective execution of its "high-end + full ecosystem + globalization" strategy led to another quarter of unexpected growth in Q2 2025, with short-term growth driven by YU7 vehicle deliveries and AIoT product launches [3] - Long-term growth potential is anticipated from the implementation of large model technology and the synergy of the "people, vehicle, home" ecosystem [3] - The company is assigned a target price of 62.3 HKD per share, indicating an upside potential of 18.6% from the recent closing price, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights Xiaomi's strong performance in the automotive sector, with a significant increase in revenue and profit margins, while the smartphone business faces challenges due to ASP declines and rising component costs [1][2][3] Group 2 - In Q2 2025, Xiaomi reported revenues of 116 billion yuan and adjusted net profits of 10.8 billion yuan, meeting market expectations [1] - Automotive revenue grew by 40% year-on-year, with a gross margin reaching a historical high of 26.4%, driven by ASP growth and economies of scale [1] - Smartphone revenue declined by 2% year-on-year, primarily due to the impact of the REDMI A5 release on overseas ASP, while ASP in mainland China benefited from a higher proportion of high-end models [1] - AIOT revenue increased by 45% year-on-year, although gross margin decreased by 2.7 percentage points to 22.5% due to promotional activities [1] - The management maintains a sales target of 350,000 vehicles for the year, emphasizing the scale effects of the platform [1] Group 3 - In Q2 2025, 81,000 smart vehicles were delivered, with ASP increasing by 6.7% to 254,000 yuan, and adjusted net losses narrowed to 300 million yuan [2] - The automotive gross margin increased by 3.2 percentage points to 26.4% in Q2 2025, with forecasts for 2025/26 adjusted to 26.0% and 27.1% respectively [2] - The smartphone gross margin is expected to stabilize and recover with the release of new high-end models, despite a downward trend due to rising memory prices [2] Group 4 - The target price for Xiaomi has been lowered to 60 HKD, with revenue forecasts for 2025/26 adjusted to 483 billion and 605.8 billion yuan respectively [3] - Adjusted EPS for 2025/26 has been revised down to 1.67 and 2.01 yuan, reflecting uncertainties in the smartphone and AIoT businesses [3] - The valuation for the smartphone and AIoT segment is set at 25 times earnings, while the automotive business maintains a sales multiple of 2.2 times [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the company maintains strong brand momentum in the mid-term, but requires the release of automotive production capacity and the 2026 new vehicle product cycle to drive growth [1] - The company's net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised down from 471/674/731 billion to 415/555/686 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52%/34%/24% [1] - The current stock price of 52.55 HKD corresponds to a PE ratio of 30.1/22.6/18.2 for 2025-2027 [1] Group 2 - In Q2 2025, the company's non-GAAP net profit was 10.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 75%, which was in line with expectations [1] - Mobile business revenue was 45.5 billion, with an average selling price (ASP) declining by 3% and 11% quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year respectively, primarily due to increased shipment volume in Africa and intense price competition in overseas markets [1] - IoT revenue reached 38.7 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 45% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 20%, exceeding previous expectations, mainly driven by large home appliances [1] Group 3 - The automotive and new business segment is expected to achieve profitability in a specific month or quarter in H2 2025 [2] - The company anticipates a decline in main business net profit in Q3 2025, primarily due to rising storage costs and the absence of new product launches, with a projected gross margin drop to 11% [2] - The IoT business is expected to see seasonal revenue decline to around 30 billion, while gross margin is anticipated to improve [2]

机构：银河证券 研究员：石金漫/高峰/秦智坤 研发投入稳定增长，坚定不移推进底层核心技术研发：2025年H1公司研发费用同比增长35.8%至144.8 亿元，研发费用率同比-0.1Pct至6.4%，Q2 单季研发费用同比增长41.2%至77.6亿元，研发费用率同比 +0.5pct至6.7% 研发费用的增长主要来源于智能电动汽车与AI等创新业务的研发开支，公司坚定不移的 推进A工芯片、大模型、操作系统等底层技术研发，提升科技硬实力，截止2025年6月30日，公司研发 人员达到22641人，创历史新高。期间费用率方面，2025年H1公司销售/管理/财务费用率分别为 6.6%/1.4%/ 0.4%，同比分别-0.3pct/-0.5pct/+1.0pct，良好的费用管控能力叠加收入规模高速扩张带来费 用分摊，公司期间费用率稳中有降，推动公司盈利能力提升。 投资建议：预计2025年-2027年公司将分别实现营业收入4977.35亿元、6303.60亿元、7245.73亿元，实 现净利润417.17亿元、557.10亿元， 667.90亿元，EPS分别为1.60元、2.14元、2.57元，对应PE分别为 32.78倍、2 ...

小米集团-W(01810) 公司研究/公司点评 创新业务快速发展，IoT 业务收入创新高 ——小米集团（01810）2025 年第二季度业绩点评 ◼ 事件描述 根据公司公告，小米集团于 8 月 19 日披露 2025 年第二季度业绩。该 季度公司收入同比增长 30.5%至 1159.56 亿元，经调整净利润同比增 长 75.4%至 108.31 亿元。 ◼ 核心观点 创新业务快速发展：2025 年第二季度，公司智能电动汽车及 AI 等创 新业务分部实现收入 213 亿元，经营亏损 3 亿元。其中，智能电动汽 车收入为 206 亿元，交付新车达 81,302 辆。公司于 2025 年 6 月正式 发布了 Xiaomi YU7 系列，开售 18 小时锁单量突破 240,000 台。我们 认为，在公司销量持续增长以及规模效应不断显现的基础上、以及在 公司强劲产品力以及"人车家全生态"战略的推动下，公司创新业务 有望实现持续的收入快速增长及盈利能力提升。 智能手机业务海外渗透率不断提升：2025 年第二季度，公司智能手机 业务收入 455 亿元，毛利率 11.5%；全球出货量为 42.4 百万台，同比 增长 0.6% ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Xiaomi Group's automotive performance in Q2 is impressive, while the smartphone business adjustments are largely in line with expectations [1] - Xiaomi's Q2 revenue and adjusted net profit were 116 billion and 10.8 billion RMB respectively, meeting market expectations [1] - Automotive revenue increased by 40% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 26.4%, a historical high driven by average selling price growth and platform scale effects [1] Group 2 - Smartphone revenue decreased by 2% year-on-year, primarily due to the REDMI A5 launch lowering overseas average selling prices, while domestic average selling prices benefited from an increase in high-end model proportions [1] - Smartphone gross margin declined by 0.9 percentage points to 11.5% quarter-on-quarter, attributed to rising storage prices impacting mid-to-low-end models [2] - AIOT revenue grew by 45% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.5%, slightly down by 2.7 percentage points due to the 618 promotion [2] Group 3 - The company maintained a "buy" rating but adjusted the target price from 67 HKD to 60 HKD based on a 25x P/E for mobile and a 2.2x P/S for automotive business by 2026 [1] - The forecast for automotive revenue in 2026 was slightly adjusted to 182 billion RMB from a previous estimate of 181.7 billion RMB [2] - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 were lowered to 483 billion and 605.8 billion RMB respectively, along with adjusted earnings per share estimates for those years [2]

全生态协同发力，盈利创历史新高 事件：小米集团于 8 月 20 日发布业绩公告，公司 2025 第二季度实现营收 1159.6 亿元（人民币，下同，标明除外），同比增长 30.5%，经调整净利润为 108.3 亿元，同比大幅增长 75.4%，营收与经调整净利润表现均小幅超出彭博一致性 预期，且均创下历史新高。业绩高增源于三大动力：智能手机高端化与份额提 升双轮驱动，AIoT 生态规模效应持续放大，智能电动汽车业务表现继续突破 贡献增量。 报告摘要 手机表现优于同行，出货量增加被 ASP 下降抵消。2025Q2 公司智能手机收入同 比减少 2.1%至人民币 455.2 亿元，主要是由于智能手机平均销售单价（ASP）下 降 2.7%至 1073.2 元，部分被智能手机出货量增加 0.6%至 4240 万台所抵消。尽 管中国大陆市场高端智能手机出货量占比提升，但 2025 年 4 月成功发布 REDMI A5 系列导致境外市场 ASP 下降带动整体 ASP 的下滑，境外市场竞争加剧及毛利 率较低的产品收入占比增加使得智能手机毛利率同比下降 0.6 个百分点至 11.5%。 根据 Canalys 的数据，2025Q2 ...