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市场策略报告:四月金股
Capital Securities· 2024-04-01 16:00
[Table_Title] 首创|四月金股 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|---------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
医药行业周报:建议关注高股息率和业绩确定性强的公司
Capital Securities· 2024-04-01 16:00
[Table_Title] 【首创证券医药行业周报】建议关注高股息率和业绩 确定性强的公司 [Table_ReportDate] 医药生物 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.04.01 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [Tabl e_Summary] 王斌 ⚫ 医药周观点:建议关注高股息率和业绩确定性强的公司 首席分析师 SAC执证编号:S0110522030002 近期多家公司发布23年年报并披露了23年利润分配方案。分行业来看, wangbin3@sczq.com.cn 中药公司股息率和股利支付比例处于行业前列,部分化学药、生物制品公 电话:86-10-81152644 司股息率也处于较高水平。 陈智博 我们认为,中药行业公司核心品种受益于老龄化,“量增”确定性强,同 分析师 时由于独家品种在集采中具有一定议价能力,价格降幅有限,长期看业绩 SAC执证编号:S0110524020001 有望维持稳定增长,同时中药行业产品生命周期长,部分OTC产品自费属 chenzhibo@sczq.com.cn 电话:86-10-81152642 性强,产能弹性大,无需长期 ...
基础化工行业简评报告:二氯甲烷价格涨幅居前,关注2023业绩高增标的
Capital Securities· 2024-04-01 16:00
[二Tab氯le_甲Titl烷e] 价格涨幅居前,关注 2023 业绩高增标的 [Table_ReportDate] 基础化工 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.04.01 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [⚫T abl本e_S周um化m工ar板y] 块表现:本周(3 月 25 日-3 月 29 日)上证综指报收 翟绪丽 3041.17,周跌幅 0.23%,深证成指报收 9400.85,周跌幅 1.72%,中小 首席分析师 板 100 指数报收 5792.62,周跌幅 2.40%,基础化工(申万)报收 SAC执证编号:S0110522010001 3240.86,周涨幅0.32%,跑赢上证综指0.55pct。申万31个一级行业, zhaixuli@sczq.com.cn 9 个涨幅为正,申万化工 7 个二级子行业中,4个涨幅为正,申万化工 电话:010-81152683 23 个三级子行业中,9 个涨幅为正。涨幅居前的个股有三祥新材、宁 科生物、雅本化学、丰山集团、联创股份、天禾股份、江天化学、新 赵帅恒 纶新材、银禧科技、元力股份。 化工行业研究助理 ⚫ 化工 ...
公司简评报告:23年归母净利润再创新高,内生外延打造高成长性
Capital Securities· 2024-04-01 16:00
[Table_Title] 23 年归母净利润再创新高 内生外延打造高成长性 [Table_ReportDate] 银泰黄金(000975)公司简评报告 | 2024.04.01 [评Ta级ble:_R an买k]入 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [⚫T abl金e_价Su走mm高a,ry2]0 23年归母净利润再创新高。2023年公司实现营业收入81.06 吴轩 亿元,同比-3.29%;归母净利润14.24亿元,同比26.79%;扣非后归母 有色行业首席分析师 净利润14.11亿元,同比37.21%。其中,Q4实现营业收入10.11亿元, SAC执证编号:S0110521120001 同比-48.15%,环比-59.94%;归母净利润 3.06 亿元,同比 58.29%,环 wuxuan123@sczq.com.cn 比-20.27%;扣非后归母净利润3.23亿元,同比149.09%,环比-14.19%。 刘崇娜 ⚫ 价格:2023年矿产金销售单价449.64元/克,同比增长14.4%;矿产银 有色行业研究助理 销售单价4.61元/克,同比增长28.8%。 liuchongna@sczq.co ...
有色行业周报:现货铜精矿TC继续下滑,继续看多铜价
Capital Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[有Ta色bl行e_业Tit周le]报 :现货铜精矿 TC 继续下滑 继续看多 铜价 [Table_ReportDate] 有色金属 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.04.01 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [ Table_Summary] 吴轩 ⚫ 现货铜精矿TC继续下滑 继续看多铜价 有色行业首席分析师 1)铜:在 CSPT 商定联合减产背景下,铜精矿现货加工费继续 SAC执证编号:S0110521120001 下滑,本周进口铜精矿现货 TC 为 6.38 美元/吨,较前一周下降 wuxuan123@sczq.com.cn 电话:021-58820297 4.25 美元/吨,表明铜精矿供应紧张局面尚未缓解。库存方面, LME + COMEX + SHFE三大交易所总库存为 43.28万吨,较前 刘崇娜 一周增长 3050 吨。三大铜库存保持回升态势,但库存回升幅度 有色行业研究助理 放缓。短期高铜价抑制消费进而限制铜价上方空间,长期供给 liuchongna@sczq.com.cn 电话:010-81152687 增长受限,新能源车、光伏、数据中心等领域 ...
公司简评报告:全年业绩表现亮眼,童装及电商高增
Capital Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[Table_Title] 全年业绩表现亮眼,童装及电商高增 [Table_ReportDate] 361度(01361.HK)公司简评报告 | 2023.03.29 [评Ta级ble:_R 买ank入] 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [Tabl e_Summary] 陈梦 ⚫ 事件:公司发布2023年年报,全年实现营业收入84.23亿元,同比+21%; 首席分析师 归母净利润9.61亿元,同比+28.7%;拟派发末期股息每股13.9港仙。 SAC执证编号:S0110521070002 点评: chenmeng@sczq.com.cn 电话:010-81152649 ⚫ 童装及电商增速亮眼,海外市场拓展顺利。分业务看,23 年大装/童装 分别实现收入63.34/19.58亿元,同比分别增长17.4%/35.7%,营收占比 郭琦 分别为75.2%/23.2%,童装业务增速亮眼,主因公司丰富产品矩阵及以 分析师 科技创新赋能产品迭代升级。分品类看,大装鞋/服销售额分别同增 SAC执证编号:S0110523070001 23%/9.8%,其中销量分别同增19.4%/9.4%,批发均价分别同增3%/0. ...
市场策略报告:关注周期品涨价的持续性
Capital Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[Table_Title] 关注周期品涨价的持续性 [Table_ReportDate] 市场策略报告 | 2024.04.01 | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------|-------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ...
市场策略报告:高风偏资金流入放缓
Capital Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
Group 1: Fund Flow Review - This week, net financing outflow was 7.726 billion, with the financing transaction ratio dropping to approximately 8.17% [7][16] - Foreign capital saw a net inflow of 5.381 billion over four trading days, with the 30-day average net inflow trend upward, comparable to mid-June 2021 [8][16] - In terms of industry, northbound funds mainly increased positions in banking, food and beverage, and automotive sectors, while reducing positions in pharmaceuticals, media, and power equipment sectors [49][16] Group 2: Fund Market Review - Overall, ETF funds experienced net redemptions this week, with the major indices seeing net subscriptions for CSI 300 ETF (1.5 billion) and SSE Dividend ETF (190 million), while the top redemptions were for CSI 1000 ETF (-2.03 billion), ChiNext ETF (-1.74 billion), and SSE 50 ETF (-780 million) [27][31] - The issuance scale of funds decreased week-on-week, with equity and index funds issuing a total of 6.159 billion units, down by 0.695 billion units from the previous week [31][16] Group 3: Money Market Tracking - This week, funding prices rose significantly, with R001 and R007 closing at 2.17% and 2.81%, respectively, reflecting week-on-week changes of +27.39 basis points and +73.27 basis points [37][16] - The interest rate spread between R007 and DR007 widened to 0.80%, with a week-on-week change of +58.42 basis points, indicating an intensifying segmentation in the funding market [37][16] Group 4: Bond Market Tracking - In terms of government bonds, the long-term government bond yields decreased this week, with the 10-year and 2-year yields reported at 2.29% and 1.90%, respectively, reflecting week-on-week changes of -1.50 basis points and -7.74 basis points [83][16] - The spread between long-term and short-term government bonds widened to 0.39%, with a week-on-week change of +6.24 basis points [83][16] - For U.S. Treasury bonds, the long-term yields also saw a decline, with the 10-year and 2-year yields reported at 4.20% and 4.59%, respectively, with week-on-week changes of -2 basis points and 0 basis points [69][16]
公司简评报告:单季度业绩继续回升,内蒙项目投产渐行渐近
Capital Securities· 2024-03-30 16:00
[Table_Title] 单季度业绩继续回升,内蒙项目投产渐行渐近 [Table_ReportDate] 宝丰能源(600989)公司简评报告 | 2024.03.29 [评Ta级ble:_R an买k]入 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [⚫T abl事e_件Su:mm公a司ry]发 布2023年年报,报告期内实现营业收入291.36亿元,同 翟绪丽 比+2.48%,实现归母净利润56.51亿元,同比-10.34%,Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4分 首席分析师 别实现归母净利润分别为11.85/10.72/16.34/17.60亿元,同比分别为 SAC执证编号:S0110522010001 -32.13%/-52.76%/+20.34%/+89.25%。 zhaixuli@sczq.com.cn 电话:010-81152683 ⚫ 聚烯烃及焦炭产销量带动营收增长,但价格和盈利能力降低导致利润下 滑。2023年8月,公司宁东三期后段聚烯烃装置投产,新增聚乙烯和聚 [市Ta场bl指e数_Ch走a势rt]( 最近1年) 丙烯产能90万吨/年,项目投产后,公司聚烯烃产能由之前的120万吨 0.2 宝丰能源 沪 ...
农林牧渔&食品饮料:食品掘金品类红利,生猪产能去化持续
Capital Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the continuous de-capacity of pig production and the potential for profit in the food sector, particularly in the snack food category [1] Summary by Sections 1. Important Information Updates - The food and beverage sector saw a decline of 0.85%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.64 percentage points. The agricultural sector, however, increased by 4.49%, outperforming the index by 4.70 percentage points [5][7] - Notable companies with significant weekly gains include Huadong Group (18.98%) and Liziyuan (15.14%) in the food sector, while Shennong Group (34.23%) and Aonong Biological (29.06%) led in the agricultural sector [5] 2. Industry Data Tracking - As of March 22, 2024, the wholesale price index for agricultural products decreased by 0.21% to 123.61, with a year-on-year decline of 6.24%. Vegetable prices also saw a year-on-year decrease of 7.01% [17] - The price of live pigs and pork has been declining, with the number of breeding sows decreasing by 1.80% month-on-month and 6.90% year-on-year as of January 2024 [17] - The price of fresh milk has decreased by 11.03% year-on-year, with the current price at 3.55 yuan/kg [11] - The price of chicken has risen to 7.77 yuan/kg, while chick prices have increased to 4.02 yuan each as of March 22, 2024 [20] - The price of sea cucumbers has dropped to 170 yuan/kg, while scallops remain at 10 yuan/kg and abalone at 110 yuan/kg [22] 3. Industry Information and Important Company Announcements - The report mentions that the company "Peach Li Bread" achieved a revenue of 6.76 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 1.08%, but net profit decreased by 10.29% due to rising raw material costs and increased management expenses [28] - "Wahaha" has launched a laboratory water support plan for 2024, aiming to provide 596 tons of pure water to research institutions and medical facilities [30] - "Golden Dragon Fish" reported a revenue of 251.5 billion yuan in 2023, a decrease of 2.3%, with net profit down by 5.4% [31] - "Qianyin High-Tech" achieved a revenue of 410.29 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.54%, with net profit rising by 17.37% [32]