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电子行业2023&2024Q1业绩点评:行业2024Q1业绩表现亮眼,抓住国产替代和顺周期机遇
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-05-08 05:30
证券研究报告/行业研究 行业 2024Q1 业绩表现亮眼,抓住国产替代和顺周期机遇 ——电子行业2023&2024Q1 业绩点评 投资要点 投资评级: 看好 ➢ 2024Q1电子行业经营表现亮眼,周期复苏趋势明显 分析师:吴起涤 2024Q1申万电子行业营收同比增长13.99%,在31个申万一级行业中增速位 执业登记编号:A0190523020001 居第二。2024Q1申万电子行业归母净利润同比增长75.20%,在31个申万一 wuqidi@yd.com.cn 级行业中增速位居第一。从2024Q1看,受益下游需求复苏和库存消化,显示 面板、消费电子和半导体等行业都有明显复苏迹象。2023年申万电子行业营 研究助理:程治 收同比增长2.98%,在31个申万一级行业中增速位居第十七位。2023年申万 执业登记编号:A0190123070008 电子行业归母净利润同比下降33.90%,在31个申万一级行业中增速位居第二 chengzhi@yd.com.cn 十九位。2023年电子行业经营不佳主要系受下游需求低迷及产能过剩影响。 ➢ 细分板块经营均有改善,关注半导体、消费电子和显示行业 电子指数与沪深300指数走势 ...
河北上市公司系列研究:发展稳健、量质齐升、前景光明
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-05-07 08:30
证券研究报告/行业研究 发展稳健,量质齐升,前景光明 河北上市公司系列研究 投资要点 投资评级: 看好 ➢ 河北经济发展稳健,上市公司业绩总体拉升 分析师:吴起涤 2023河北GDP为43944亿元,相较去年同比上涨约3.7%,河北所有上市公司 执业登记编号:A0190523020001 2023财年共实现营业收入10569亿元,相较去年同比上升3%,实现归母净利 wuqidi@yd.com.cn 润448亿元,相较去年同比上升21%。经济发展与上市公司业绩增长趋势一 致,钢铁、汽车、煤炭、电力设备等行业发展稳健继续领跑河北经济。 ➢ 新兴行业开始发力,产业升级成果显现 电力设备行业:2020年河北电力设备行业上市公司实现归母净利润总额为 25.6亿元,2021年为36.5亿元,2022年为78.3亿元,2023年为93.6亿元,三 沪深300指数近期走势 年复合增速达54%,2023年河北电力设备行业上市公司归母净利润总额占 2023财年河北所有上市公司归母净利润总额的21%。电力设备行业利润增长 沪深300近期走势 系受产业升级,新能源赛道发力所致。行业内诸如晶澳科技、海泰新能、纳科 5.00% 0.00 ...
河北上市公司系列研究:发展稳健,量质齐升,前景光明
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-05-07 03:30
Overview of Hebei Listed Companies - Hebei's GDP in 2023 reached 4394.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [3] - The total operating income of Hebei's listed companies in 2023 was 1056.9 billion yuan, up 3% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to the parent company reaching 44.8 billion yuan, a 21% increase [3] - Hebei has 78 listed companies, accounting for 1.45% of the national total, with a total market value of 1092.2 billion yuan, representing 1.22% of the national total [20] - The industries with the most listed companies in Hebei are basic chemicals and machinery equipment, each with 10 companies, followed by power equipment with 9 companies [9] Key Industries in Hebei - The power equipment industry in Hebei achieved a net profit attributable to the parent company of 9.36 billion yuan in 2023, with a three-year compound growth rate of 54% [3] - The electronic industry in Hebei turned profitable in 2023, with net profit attributable to the parent company reaching 3.29 billion yuan, up from a loss of 2.38 billion yuan in 2020 [14] - The automotive industry has the largest market value in Hebei, reaching 250.6 billion yuan, with companies like Great Wall Motors contributing significantly [28] - The pharmaceutical and biological industry, a traditional strength in Hebei, has a market value of approximately 110.4 billion yuan [28] Regional Distribution of Listed Companies - Listed companies in Hebei are concentrated in Shijiazhuang, Tangshan, and Baoding, with 44 companies in these three cities, accounting for 56% of the total [24] - Shijiazhuang has 23 listed companies with a total market value of 346.5 billion yuan, Tangshan has 13 companies with a market value of 137.6 billion yuan, and Baoding has 8 companies with a market value of 268.4 billion yuan [24] Emerging Industries and Industrial Upgrading - The power equipment industry's growth is driven by industrial upgrading and the development of the new energy sector, with companies like JA Solar and Haitai New Energy showing rapid growth [3] - The electronic industry's profitability has improved significantly due to Hebei's strategic layout in the semiconductor sector [14] - Hebei is actively promoting the development of strategic emerging industries such as information technology, biomedicine, and new energy, aiming to optimize its industrial structure [70] Policy Support and Economic Development - Hebei has introduced multiple policies to support the development of traditional industries, strategic emerging industries, and high-potential industries, aiming to accelerate industrial transformation and upgrading [4] - The government is encouraging private enterprises to participate in technological innovation and international market expansion, with 44 private enterprises among the 78 listed companies, contributing significantly to the local economy [79] Industry Performance and Future Outlook - The power equipment industry is expected to maintain strong growth due to clear demand for new energy installations and the broad market for new energy vehicles [77] - The electronic industry, with its focus on semiconductor and chip development, is expected to continue its growth trajectory, contributing more to Hebei's economic development [14] - The automotive industry, led by companies like Great Wall Motors, remains a key driver of Hebei's economy, with significant market value and revenue contributions [28]
光伏支架行业研究:光伏支架市场空间广阔,跟踪支架渗透率有望提升
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-04-28 10:00
投资要点 ➢ ➢ 10% ➢ 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% 000300.SH 857354.SL ➢ ...
增持回购策略周报
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-04-26 10:00
Group 1: A-Share Companies' Buyback Situation - From April 22 to April 26, 2024, a total of 216 companies announced buyback plans, with 46 companies having more than 10 rating agencies involved [4][16]. - Kangyuan Pharmaceutical plans to invest between 150-300 million yuan for stock buybacks, representing 1.30%-2.61% of the market value on the announcement date; as of April 26, the company has spent 14 million yuan to repurchase 849,300 shares, accounting for 0.15% of the total share capital [4][35]. - Kailaiying intends to invest 600-1,200 million yuan for stock buybacks, aimed at employee stock ownership plans or capital reduction through cancellation, representing 1.79%-3.58% of the market value on the announcement date; as of April 25, the company has spent 578 million yuan to repurchase 6,898,400 shares, accounting for 2.02% of the total share capital [4][35]. - Chenguang Biological plans to invest 300-400 million yuan for stock buybacks, representing 6.08%-8.11% of the market value on the announcement date [4][35]. Group 2: A-Share Companies' Increase in Holdings - From April 22 to April 26, 2024, a total of 12 companies announced increases in holdings, with notable announcements from Yian Technology, Aihua Group, and Tainkang [11][22]. - The companies with significant increases in holdings include Qibin Group and Xilinmen, which have positive fundamentals and larger increase ratios [5][22]. - From January 1 to April 26, 2024, a total of 864 companies announced increase plans, with 43 companies having more than 10 rating agencies involved; notable companies include Yili Te, Xilinmen, Qibin Group, and Shanying International, with their proposed increase amounts representing 1.04%-2.08%, 1.00%-1.25%, 0.66%-1.32%, and 3.71% of the market value on the announcement date, respectively [22][32].
半导体材料行业研究系列一:国内加快成熟制程扩产,光刻胶国产替代加速突破
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-04-24 09:00
Investment Rating - The report gives an investment rating of "Positive" for the semiconductor materials industry, specifically focusing on photoresists [5]. Core Insights - Photoresists are critical materials in the photolithography process, with the domestic market expected to recover in 2024, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence and a cyclical recovery [2][17]. - The domestic production of mature process technology is accelerating, providing more opportunities for domestic photoresist manufacturers to enter the supply chain [3][21]. - The photoresist market is currently dominated by Japanese and American companies, but domestic manufacturers are making significant progress in replacing imported products [4][24]. Summary by Sections 1. Photoresists as Core Materials - Photoresists are essential in the photolithography process, where patterns are transferred onto substrates through photochemical reactions [10][11]. 2. Global and Domestic Market Growth - The global photoresist market is valued at over $10 billion, with the domestic market showing continuous growth. In 2022, the global market size was $10.16 billion, growing by 6.4%, while China's market reached 19.07 billion yuan, increasing by 8.5% [15][16]. 3. Acceleration of Domestic Mature Process Expansion - In 2023, China's wafer production capacity reached 6.5872 million pieces per month, a year-on-year increase of 13.8%. The 12-inch capacity accounted for 56.9% of this, primarily using ArF and KrF photoresists [19][20]. 4. Market Monopoly and Domestic Breakthroughs - The photoresist market is monopolized by Japanese companies, with over 90% of advanced photoresists for 8-inch and 12-inch wafer production still relying on imports. However, domestic manufacturers are achieving breakthroughs in g/I line and KrF photoresists, with ArF photoresists also progressing [4][25][26]. 5. Key Companies - **Tongcheng New Materials**: A leading domestic semiconductor photoresist company, with significant market share in g-line photoresists and nearing international standards in I-line photoresists. The company reported a revenue of 2.196 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2023, up 18.89% year-on-year [27][28]. - **Huamao Technology**: Engaged in the semiconductor photoresist business through its subsidiary, which has secured orders from domestic 12-inch wafer fabs. The company achieved a revenue of 1.458 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2023, a 31.50% increase year-on-year [29][30]. 6. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies like Tongcheng New Materials and Huamao Technology, as the domestic photoresist market is expected to grow due to increased production capacity and a shift towards domestic sourcing [31].
深度报告:2024年公司持续扩张海澜之家直营店数量,收入规模有望进一步提升
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-04-14 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 9.62 CNY per share based on a PE valuation of 14.2 times for 2024 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company aims to expand its direct store count significantly, with plans to add 1,000 new stores from 2023 to 2025, which is expected to enhance revenue growth [4]. - The company operates a multi-brand retail group, focusing on high dividend payouts, with cash dividends from 2019 to 2022 amounting to 12.15, 11.06, 22.03, and 18.57 billion CNY, reflecting a high cash dividend ratio [2][15]. - The company employs a unique franchise model that separates ownership and management rights, allowing franchisees to operate stores with reduced entry barriers, thus accelerating network expansion [3][19]. - The procurement strategy emphasizes a "returnable goods first, non-returnable goods second" model, which mitigates inventory risks for both the company and its franchisees, leading to a higher proportion of returnable goods in inventory [3][22]. Summary by Sections Multi-Brand Retail Group - The company has developed a diverse product matrix, including men's, women's, children's, and professional clothing, as well as home goods, under various brands [11]. - The ownership structure is stable, with the founding Zhou family holding 60.13% of the shares, ensuring strong governance [13]. Sustainable Business Model - The "platform + brand" chain operation model allows for independent brand management while providing centralized support services [18]. - The company does not rely on discounting as a marketing strategy, maintaining a flat sales structure that enhances price competitiveness [25]. Operational Performance - The company has seen a steady increase in store numbers, with a total of 8,219 stores by 2022, despite a decline in total store count in 2023 due to the sale of a brand [28]. - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2023 reached 155.69 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.85% [30]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 29.41, 32.53, and 38.48 billion CNY from 2023 to 2025, with corresponding EPS of 0.61, 0.68, and 0.80 CNY [4][44]. - The report anticipates continued growth in the main brand's revenue, driven by the planned expansion of direct stores and a focus on high-quality franchise operations [44].
增持回购策略周报
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-04-11 16:00
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoints - A total of 103 companies announced share repurchase plans from March 18 to March 22, 2024, with 22 companies having more than 10 rating agencies involved. Notable repurchase plans include 聚和材料 planning to repurchase between 300-600 million yuan, accounting for 4.21%-8.42% of its market value on the announcement date [1][31] - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant shareholding increases and positive fundamentals, including 伊力特, 喜临门, 浙江鼎力, and 林洋能源 [2][22] A-Share Listed Companies' Shareholding Increase - From January 1 to March 22, 2024, a total of 856 companies announced shareholding increase plans, with 43 companies having more than 10 rating agencies involved. Notable companies include 伊力特, 喜临门, and 山鹰国际, with proposed increases accounting for 1.04%-2.08%, 1.00%-1.25%, and 3.71% of their market values, respectively [8][22] - In the week of March 18 to March 22, 2024, 23 companies announced shareholding increases, with 林洋能源's controlling shareholder planning to invest between 50-100 million yuan, representing 0.37%-0.74% of the market value on the announcement date [27] A-Share Listed Companies' Repurchase Situation - A total of 1506 companies announced repurchase plans from January 1 to March 22, 2024, with 385 companies having more than 10 rating agencies involved. Notable repurchase plans include 健盛集团, which plans to repurchase approximately 3.00%-5.99% of its market value [23] - Specific repurchase plans include 聚和材料 planning to repurchase between 300-600 million yuan, accounting for 4.21%-8.42% of its market value, and as of March 20, 2024, it had already repurchased 2.02 billion yuan worth of shares [31]
机构调研策略周报:重点关注业绩超预期的公司
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-04-11 16:00
-25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 2023/03 2023/07 2023/11 2024/03 000300.SH Q:公司已披露 2023 年业绩快报,营收及利润指标双双取得高速增长,公司业绩增长主 证券研究报告/投资策略 ➢ 机构调研热门公司梳理 1)中控技术:公司是流程工业智能控制解决方案领域的领军供应商。公司多 项智能控制软件均在国内市场市占率保持多年第一。中东、东南亚等新兴市 场逐步拓展有望成为新的增长点。 资本市场发生波动的风险、上市公司业绩不达预期的风险。 7d 源达 | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------------------|-------| | | | | | | | 表 2: 近 7 天机构调研次数前二十公司排名(2024/03/16-2024/03/22) . | | | 表 3:部分业绩存在亮点的公司简介 | | | 表 4:近 30 天外资机构调研次数前十公司排名(2024/02/22-2024/03/22) | | | 表 5: 中控技术机构调研公告摘录 (202 ...
低空经济行业研究:产业支持政策频出,低空经济商业进程提速
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2024-04-10 16:00
投资要点 ➢ ➢ 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% ➢ 000300.SH 886067.TI ...