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Why the US dollar is likely to stay 'stronger for longer'
Goldman Sachs· 2024-06-05 16:00
Economic Outlook - The US dollar has maintained a strong position in the first five months of 2024, supported by a robust US economy despite high interest rates[5] - Goldman Sachs forecasts that the dollar will remain at similar levels against currencies like the euro and British pound over the next 12 months[50] - The US economy is projected to continue solid growth, with a two-quarter annualized real GDP growth rate of around 5%[51] Market Dynamics - Limited prospects for global macroeconomic divergence are expected to support the dollar's strength[14] - The convergence of economic activity in the US, Europe, and China has kept major currencies, including the dollar, within a tight trading range[8] - The Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts in the next year are not expected to significantly diminish the yield on dollar bonds[5] Risk Factors - The upcoming US election poses a risk that could lead to increased fiscal spending or higher tariffs, potentially strengthening the dollar further[22] - Divergence in real interest rates, particularly between the US and Japan, may lead to continued weakness in the yen, impacting dollar dynamics[19] - A divided government may limit the ability to pass significant fiscal measures, affecting dollar strength and global economic stability[57]
高盛:ogleAlphabet将人工智能作为ogle进入新纪元的核心内容
Goldman Sachs· 2024-05-24 02:20
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要关注公众号:水木纪要 Goldman Equity Sachs Research 21 May 2024 |7:02PM EDT Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL Google Marketing Live 2024: Alphabet Frames its Al Vision for Advertisers as Google's Gemini Era Deepens 12m Price Target: $195.00 Price: $177.85 Upside: 9.6% Eric Sheridan +1(917)343-8683le idan@gs.con Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC 开报数据 Expanded upon its recent Al announcements (in particular at Google I/O last week - link), Google's Marketing Live keynote outlined Alphabet's vision for how Al tools and service ...
ogle 专家小范围
Goldman Sachs· 2024-05-20 13:25
Summary of Conference Call Company/Industry Involved - OpenAI Core Points and Arguments - OpenAI recently held a press conference to announce the release of GDPCO, which has significant highlights in its features [1] - The improvement in user interaction experience is notably enhanced, primarily due to reduced latency [1] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The technology utilized by OpenAI for these enhancements was requested for further details, indicating a focus on the technical aspects of the product [1]
GS计算机ogle IO 大会纪要
Goldman Sachs· 2024-05-16 13:01
太平洋时间5月14日10点,GoogIe召开2024 IO大会 内容来自Google官方发布会,视频链接:https://io.google/2024/intl/zh/ Gemini大模型 现有成果: 超过 150 万开发人员在使用 Gemini 的API 我们拥有20 亿用户的产品都使用了 Gemini。 ...
风口研报洞察OpenAI官宣下周一发布新产品,分析师猜测为语音助手或Agent智能体,目前GPT-5智能大幅提高预期,ogle I O开发者大会临近,全球模型龙头快速进步;港股红利税调整影响
Goldman Sachs· 2024-05-13 01:28
Googlel/o开发 116 能股份 海外,OpenA 行业机构关注度 值得买 +2.4% 昆仑万维 +0.46% ...
风口研报洞察OpenAI官宣下周一发布新产品,分析师猜测为语音助手或Agent智能体,目前GPT-5智能大幅提高预期,ogle I O开发者大会临近,全..
Goldman Sachs· 2024-05-13 00:53
Googlel/o开发 116 能股份 海外,OpenA 行业机构关注度 值得买 +2.4% 昆仑万维 +0.46% ...
Al, data centers and the coming US power demand surge
Goldman Sachs· 2024-04-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report highlights 16 Buy-rated stocks across sectors exposed to the US data center power demand surge [7][8][49]. Core Insights - The report forecasts that global data center power demand will more than double by 2030, driven by AI and broader demand, leading to a 2.4% CAGR in US electricity demand through the end of the decade [2][6][49]. - Data centers are expected to comprise approximately 8% of total US power demand by 2030, up from about 3% currently, with a projected 160% increase in data center power demand from 2023 to 2030 [11][49]. - The report estimates that about $50 billion in capital investment will be required for new power generation capacity in the US to support this growth, with a 60/40 split between gas and renewables [2][11][49]. Summary by Sections Data Center Power Demand - Data center power demand is projected to grow at a 15% CAGR from 2023 to 2030, contributing approximately 90 basis points to the overall US power demand CAGR [6][49]. - The report anticipates that data centers will account for 8% of total US power demand by 2030, translating to a 16% CAGR for data centers from 2023 to 2030 [11][49]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies underappreciated equity investment opportunities in utilities, renewable generation, and industrials that will support the anticipated growth in data center power demand [2][7]. - It emphasizes that investor interest in the data center growth is not new, but differentiation among enablers and beneficiaries will be crucial for future investment strategies [8][49]. Infrastructure and Capacity Needs - An estimated 47 GW of incremental power generation capacity will be required to support US data center power demand growth cumulatively through 2030 [6][11]. - The report discusses potential bottlenecks in generation and transmission, highlighting the importance of expediting the permitting process for new projects to alleviate constraints [6][20]. AI's Role in Power Demand - AI is expected to represent about 20% of overall data center power demand by 2030, with a projected increase of around 200 TWh in power demand from AI between 2024 and 2030 [22][29]. - The report notes that new AI innovations are increasing computing speed while also raising power consumption per server, indicating a complex relationship between demand and efficiency [31][38].