Core Viewpoint - Nexteer launched 23 new projects in Q1 2025, with 60.9% focused on new energy vehicles (NEVs), driven by strong demand from Chinese NEV OEMs and significant bookings from North American clients [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The Company secured bookings totaling US$0.8 billion in Q1 2025, representing 16.0% of its full-year target of US$5.0 billion [1] - New energy vehicle projects accounted for 14 out of 23 new projects, highlighting the Company's focus on this sector [1] - The Company is actively developing new products, including Electro-Mechanical Braking (EMB) and enhancing its Rear Wheel Steering (RWS) systems [1] Group 2: Market Environment - The Company is facing manageable impacts from US tariffs, primarily affecting parts and raw materials from Canada and Mexico, with a 25% tariff on non-compliant automobile parts [1] - Most products exported from Mexico to the U.S. comply with USMCA, allowing them to maintain tariff-free status [1] - The Company is optimizing its supply chain and manufacturing strategies to mitigate market uncertainties and policy risks [1] Group 3: Regulatory Developments - The Trump administration plans to relax regulations on autonomous driving, which will benefit Nexteer's autonomous driving-related business, particularly in high-capacity EPS and advanced SBW and RWS business units [2] - The relaxation of compliance procedures for self-driving vehicles for non-commercial purposes is expected to further support the development of autonomous driving in the U.S. [2] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The Company maintains a "Buy" investment rating with a target price of HK$6.50 per share, reflecting a 15.6x 2025 PER [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue of 46.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11%, and non-IFRS net profit of 750 million yuan, up 13% year-on-year, indicating a positive outlook for long-term profit release [1][2] Revenue Summary - Integrated supply chain business showed steady growth, with client revenue increasing by 13% year-on-year to 23.2 billion yuan, driven by a 14% increase in revenue from JD Group to 14.7 billion yuan, reflecting strong collaboration and efficiency improvements [1] - External client revenue rose by 12% year-on-year to 8.5 billion yuan, with the number of clients increasing by 14% to 63,600, although average revenue per client decreased by 2% to 134,000 yuan, indicating potential for long-term improvement [1] - Revenue from express and freight services increased by 10% year-on-year to 23.8 billion yuan, with external revenue accounting for 69%, maintaining a high level [1] Cost and Expense Summary - Operating costs increased by 12% year-on-year, with specific costs such as employee benefits, outsourcing, and other operating costs rising by 14%, 18%, and 6% respectively, while rental costs decreased by 9% [2] - Gross margin slightly declined by 0.5 percentage points to 7.2% due to increased investment in transportation and delivery resources aimed at expanding customer base and improving service quality [2] - Total expenses for Q1 2025 were 3.18 billion yuan, up 1.3% year-on-year, with the expense ratio decreasing by 0.7 percentage points to 6.8% [2] Development Trends - The company is expected to enter a phase of simultaneous scale expansion and product upgrades in 2025, focusing on four key drivers: integration of the TaoTian platform for customer and revenue growth, optimization of operational efficiency in supply chain and express services, new market opportunities from international business and overseas warehouse construction, and synergy from integration with Debon Network [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Based on continuous improvement in operational efficiency and realization of scale effects, the non-IFRS net profit forecast for 2025 has been raised by 35% to 8.54 billion yuan, with a projected 10% growth to 9.43 billion yuan in 2026 [2] - The current price corresponds to 8.5 times and 7.6 times non-IFRS P/E ratios for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with a target price of 18.5 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 57.3% from the current stock price [2]

Core Viewpoint - JD Logistics reported 1Q25 results that met expectations, with revenue growth driven by increased investment in product competitiveness and a focus on medium to long-term profit growth [1]. Revenue Performance - Total revenue for 1Q25 increased by 11% YoY to Rmb46.97 billion, with non-IFRS net profit rising 13% YoY to Rmb751 million [1]. - Revenue from the integrated supply chain business grew 13% YoY to Rmb23.2 billion, with JD.com contributing Rmb14.7 billion, a 14% YoY increase [2]. - Revenue from external customers rose 12% YoY to Rmb8.5 billion, with the number of customers increasing by 14% YoY to 63,601 [3]. - Revenue from express delivery and freight delivery industries increased by 10% YoY to Rmb23.8 billion, maintaining a high external revenue proportion of about 70% [4]. Cost and Expense Analysis - Operating costs rose 12% YoY, with specific increases in employee compensation (+14%), outsourcing costs (+18%), and other operating costs (+6%) [5]. - Gross margin decreased by 0.5 percentage points YoY to 7.2%, attributed to increased investments in transportation and delivery resources [5]. - Total expenses rose 1.3% YoY to Rmb3.18 billion, with the expense proportion in revenue decreasing by 0.7 percentage points to 6.8% [5]. Future Trends and Growth Drivers - The company is expected to enter a development phase in 2025, focusing on scale expansion and product upgrades, driven by channel integration with the Taotian platform and improvements in operational efficiency [6]. - Expansion of overseas warehouses is anticipated to unlock new market opportunities for the international business [7]. - Integration with Deppon's network is expected to enhance economies of scale [7]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The non-IFRS net profit forecast for 2025 has been raised by 35% to Rmb8.54 billion, with a new forecast for 2026 at Rmb9.43 billion, reflecting a 10% YoY increase [7]. - The stock is currently trading at 8.5x 2025e and 7.6x 2026e non-IFRS P/E, with a target price of HK$18.5, indicating a potential upside of 57.3% [7].

Industry Background - In 2025, the food industry is influenced by various factors including policy, economy, social structure, and technology, showcasing unique development trends and consumption patterns [2][4] - The government prioritizes "boosting consumption" as a key task, aiming to transition the food industry from "recovery growth" to "high-quality development" [2][4] - The GDP growth for 2024 is projected at 5%, but the food industry's added value has been declining for four consecutive years, indicating structural supply-demand issues [2][4] - The aging population is accelerating, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 15.6% of the population, while urbanization has reached 67%, shifting consumer dietary preferences from "sufficient" to "quality" [2][4] Core Consumption Trends - Six core consumption trends are identified as new directions for industry development: 1. **Diverse Channel Innovations**: 84.2% of consumers are purchasing alternative products, with retailers optimizing supply chains to lower prices and enhance value [3] 2. **Precision Nutrition Products**: New products targeting different age groups, including senior nutrition and children's dietary needs, are emerging [3] 3. **Emotional Value Experiences**: Marketing strategies focus on sensory and situational engagement, enhancing consumer emotional experiences [3] 4. **Key Demographic Opportunities**: Brands are targeting family nutrition, with rapid growth in urban markets and services for overseas tourists [3] 5. **Smart Information Experiences**: AI is being integrated into product development and production, enhancing personalized nutrition services [3] 6. **Green Revolution in Food and Beverage**: Transparency in supply chains and innovations in green packaging are gaining traction, with over 70% of consumers concerned about "no additives" [3] Strategic Focus for 2025 - The food industry must focus on channel efficiency, precision nutrition, and emotional value, leveraging AI and green technologies to address the needs of the aging population and urban-rural integration [4][5] - The transition from scale expansion to value creation is essential for building a sustainable development ecosystem [4][5]

海外高端运动品牌，正在扎堆进入中国户外运动市场。 来自英国的专业跑步装备品牌soar、挪威高端户外品牌Norrøna，以及更早前的加拿大越野跑品牌norda先后进军中国户外市场，在专业圈层引发不小 关注。 值得注意的是，这些运动品牌并非单枪匹马而来，他们背后有一个共同的合作伙伴——运动零售运营商滔搏。 恐怕很多人的记忆，还停留在去滔搏买耐克、阿迪的场景。但随着近几年市场的急速变化，这样的消费习惯开始悄然淡出人们的生活。 而眼下，滔搏频频与海外运动品牌达成运营合作关系，与其说是在顺应当下市场变化，不如说是在开展一场自救行动——通过密集布局新品牌，构 建「品牌管理商」的新角色，以此摆脱对耐克阿迪的强依赖，重新撑起属于自己的生存空间。 在竞争加剧的中国运动市场，滔搏能否成功破局实现转型，还有待时间验证。但可以肯定的是，在这场运动零售运营商的生存突围赛之下，中国运 动市场的格局正在迎来新一轮洗牌。 海外合作不断 滔搏开始去「耐克化」 进入 5 月以来， 滔搏先后成为 Norrøna 和soar 的中国独家运营方 的新动作，几乎在第一时间成为业内关注的大事件。 其中，拥有百年历史的挪威国宝级户外品牌Norrøna，因为 ...

杨元庆将超级智能体技术定义为个人与企业的"认知操作系统"，标志着人工智能从工具型助手向全场景 智能伙伴和"人工智能双胞胎"的跨越式进化。 2024年，联想推出了小天智能体，由PC内置的天禧大模型驱动，通过自然交互，在一些场景中带来全 新AI体验。同时，借助用户个人本地文档，它能不断加深对用户的认知和理解。 杨元庆说，小天只和PC捆绑，未来，超级智能体不是和设备捆绑，而是和人捆绑。每个人会有自己的 智能体。它可以使用个人所有设备上的所有数据，在保障安全和隐私的前提下，达到L3（协作级）水 平，自主处理各类任务。 杨元庆认为，超级智能体具有感知与交互、认知与决策、自主与演进三大核心功能特征。 感知与交互是超级智能体的第一层能力。通过文本、语音、手势、眼动追踪等多模态协同，智能体可实 时捕捉用户状态与环境信息，跨终端实现对用户意图的精准解读和响应。例如，当用户佩戴智能眼镜进 入超市时，智能体会结合健身数据与当日饮食记录，动态推荐健康食品；若用户刚完成长跑，则会"宽 容"调整推荐策略。 第二层是认知与决策能力。"超级智能体具有一些长期记忆，包括用户在各个电子设备、生态中的操作 和习惯"。产生这些记忆，缘于超级智能体能 ...

机构：中金公司 研究员：Qibin FENG/Gangxian LIU/Xin YANG Investment positives We initiate coverage on S.F. Holding with an OUTPERFORM rating and a target price of HK$50.37. We resume coverage of SF Holding's A-shares (002352) with an OUTPERFORM rating and a target price of Rmb51.87 (based on 7.7x 2025e EV/EBITDA). We initiate coverage of its H-shares (06936) with an OUTPERFORM rating and a target price of Rmb50.37 (based on 7.0x 2025e EV/EBITDA). We are upbeat on the firm's efforts to integrate resources to reduce cost ...

Group 1 - The company reported a significant increase in unaudited net profit for Q1 2025, reaching 602 million yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of approximately 32% compared to Q1 2024's 457 million yuan [1][2] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upward to 0.51, 0.60, and 0.68 yuan respectively, from previous estimates of 0.47, 0.52, and 0.58 yuan [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating with a target price of 10.20 yuan per share, equivalent to 10.97 Hong Kong dollars per share based on the exchange rate of 0.93 [1] Group 2 - The decline in raw material prices, specifically polyester bottle chips and white sugar, has positively impacted the company's profitability, with polyester bottle chips prices down 12.07% and white sugar prices down 7.75% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [2] - The company is expected to benefit from continued cost reductions in Q2 2025, as prices for polyester bottle chips and white sugar have shown further declines [2] - New product launches, including a sugar-free tea and an energy drink with promotional activities, are anticipated to drive future sales and enhance overall performance [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with total revenue increasing by 13% year-on-year to 180 billion RMB, surpassing market expectations [1][2]. Revenue Breakdown - Gaming revenue grew by 24% year-on-year, driven by a low base from the previous year and the success of several long-standing games, as well as new titles like "MDnF" and "Delta Operation" [1]. - Social revenue increased by 7%, supported by growth in music subscriptions, mini-game service fees, and mobile game in-app purchases [1]. - Marketing revenue accelerated by 20%, primarily due to strong demand for advertising on platforms like Video Accounts (up 60%+) and improved performance in search queries and mini-programs [1][2]. Profitability Metrics - Gross profit rose by 20% year-on-year, outpacing revenue growth, with gross margin improving by approximately 3 percentage points [1]. - Adjusted net profit reached 61.3 billion RMB, a 22% increase year-on-year, benefiting from high-margin businesses and cost optimization in payment and cloud services [1]. Capital Expenditure and Investments - Capital expenditures amounted to 27.5 billion RMB, a 91% increase year-on-year, reflecting ongoing investments in AI and cloud service infrastructure [2]. - Some of these investments have already started to contribute to revenue, enhancing user engagement and activity in long-standing games [2]. Future Outlook and Valuation - The company expects Q2 total revenue to grow by 10% to 177.8 billion RMB, with a full-year revenue forecast of 723.5 billion RMB, representing a 9.6% increase [3]. - New game releases are anticipated to alleviate concerns regarding high revenue bases in the latter half of the year [3]. - The current price corresponds to a 17x P/E ratio for 2025, with a target price adjustment to 604 HKD based on stable performance and shareholder returns [3].

Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 1800.2 billion RMB, exceeding the forecast of 1756 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 13% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4% [1] - Net profit for Q1 2025 was 478.2 billion RMB, slightly below the forecast of 516.9 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 14% [1] - Adjusted net profit reached 613.3 billion RMB, surpassing the expected 596.8 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22% [1] Gaming Sector - The domestic gaming sector experienced rapid growth, with value-added service revenue reaching 921.33 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 17% [1] - Local market game revenue grew by 24%, driven by record-high revenue from evergreen games like "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite" [1] - International game revenue increased by 23%, attributed to revenue growth from games such as "Brawl Stars" and "Clash of Clans" [1] Advertising Revenue - Marketing services (advertising) revenue was 318.53 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 20%, exceeding market expectations [2] - The growth was primarily driven by strong demand for advertising inventory from video accounts, mini-programs, and WeChat search [2] - The company’s financial technology and enterprise services revenue was 549.07 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5% [2] Profitability and Capital Expenditure - The overall gross margin improved to 56%, up approximately 3 percentage points year-on-year, due to the growth of high-margin businesses [2] - Capital expenditure for Q1 was 275 billion RMB, accounting for about 15.3% of revenue, aimed at supporting AI-related business development [2] - The company indicated that AI capabilities have made substantial contributions to performance advertising and evergreen games [2] AI Integration and Future Prospects - The integration of DeepSeek is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge in the internet traffic domain, with WeChat's daily search volume nearing 600 million [3] - The shift towards AI search and AI agents is anticipated to transform the internet landscape, positioning the company favorably for future growth [3] - The upcoming AI interactive game "Whispers from the Star" showcases the potential for AI to enhance user engagement and game dynamics [4] Profit Forecast - The company projects net profit attributable to equity holders to reach 2235 billion RMB, 2542 billion RMB, and 2882 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.2%, 13.7%, and 13.4% respectively [4] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are 24.3 RMB, 27.7 RMB, and 31.4 RMB, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 20, 18, and 15 [4]