Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for EuroEyes (01846.HK) with a target price of HKD 6.92, indicating an upside potential from the current price of HKD 5.36 [4][11][20]. Core Insights - EuroEyes' overall performance in 2023 slightly fell short of expectations due to operational challenges at the London Vision Clinic and delayed clinic openings in Hong Kong and Germany. Despite this, demand for presbyopia correction treatments remained strong, leading to a 37.1% increase in lens exchange surgery revenue to HKD 371.8 million [7][11]. - The aging demographic is expected to drive demand for trifocal lens exchange surgery, which is anticipated to be a key growth driver for the company. The Knightsbridge clinic is projected to reach breakeven within 6 to 9 months, while the Hong Kong flagship clinic may take 1 to 2 years [8][11]. - The company plans to open new clinics in Kiel and Wiesbaden, Germany, by the end of the first half of 2024, and will also construct consultation centers in Beijing and Shanghai to enhance existing surgical center utilization [9][11]. - EuroEyes is pursuing an aggressive M&A strategy with a budget of HKD 500 million to acquire established practices in Europe, America, and Asia Pacific, aiming to complete these acquisitions within 24 months [11][19]. - The company has initiated a share buyback program to repurchase up to 3% of its outstanding shares, reflecting confidence in its future prospects [11]. Financial Performance - EuroEyes achieved a record turnover of HKD 714.3 million in 2023, marking a 17.0% year-on-year increase. Adjusted gross profit rose by 23.2% to HKD 339.4 million, with a gross profit margin of 47.5% [16][47]. - The adjusted net profit surged by 40.0% year-on-year to nearly HKD 141.7 million, resulting in a net profit margin of 19.8% [16][47]. - Revenue is projected to grow to HKD 842.7 million in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 18.0% [47].

M N 30 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Weichai Power (000338 CH) 1Q24 net profit +40% YoY in line; solid growth outlook Target Price RMB20.40 While Weichai Power (Weichai)’s revenue growth of 6% YoY in 1Q24 is below (Previous TP RMB20.40) our expectation, net profit of RMB2.6bn (+40% YoY) accounted for 21.4% of our Up/Downside 15.0% full-year estimates (run rate in 1Q23: 20.5%), which is still in line with our Current Price RMB17.74 expectation. The earnings grow ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Weichai Power with a target price of HK$22.00, indicating a potential upside of 33.3% from the current price of HK$16.50 [4]. Core Insights - Weichai Power's net profit for 1Q24 increased by 40% year-on-year to RMB2.6 billion, driven by margin expansion in both its core business and KION Group [2]. - The revenue growth of 6% year-on-year to RMB56.4 billion in 1Q24 was below expectations, but the earnings growth was in line with forecasts [2]. - The company is positioned as a sector top pick due to its significant market share in natural gas engines and the expected structural growth from high-speed large-bore engines [2]. Financial Performance Summary - 1Q24 revenue was RMB56.4 billion, with a gross margin expansion of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year to 22.1% [2][6]. - Pre-tax profit surged by 58% year-on-year to RMB4.2 billion, with the core business and KION reporting growth rates of 45% and 93% respectively [2]. - Operating cash flow improved significantly to RMB1.6 billion in 1Q24, compared to an outflow of RMB471 million in 1Q23 [2]. KION Group Performance - KION, in which Weichai holds a 46.5% stake, reported an adjusted EBIT of EUR227 million in 1Q24, a 46% increase year-on-year, attributed to easing cost pressures [2][7]. - KION has set a full-year adjusted EBIT target of EUR790-940 million, reflecting a potential growth of 0-19% year-on-year [2][7]. Market Position and Sales - Weichai's multi-cylinder engine sales grew by 13% year-on-year to 206,000 units in 1Q24, outperforming the industry average, which saw a decline of approximately 1% [2][8]. - The company holds a market share of around 18% in the multi-cylinder engine segment, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year [2][8]. Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for Weichai Power are as follows: FY24E at RMB236.3 billion, FY25E at RMB250.1 billion, and FY26E at RMB260.0 billion, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 10.4%, 5.8%, and 4.0% [3][13]. - Adjusted net profit estimates are RMB12.1 billion for FY24E, RMB13.1 billion for FY25E, and RMB13.8 billion for FY26E, reflecting growth rates of 34.4%, 7.7%, and 5.5% respectively [3][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for BYD with a target price of HK$262.00, indicating a potential upside of 21.1% from the current price of HK$216.40 [3][7]. Core Insights - Despite a net profit of RMB 4.6 billion in 1Q24 falling short of prior forecasts due to significant R&D spending of RMB 10.6 billion, BYD is still expected to meet the FY24E net profit forecast of RMB 33 billion [7]. - The report highlights that BYD's gross profit margin (GPM) in 1Q24 was better than expected, suggesting that price cuts implemented in February 2024 could be offset by cost reductions from suppliers [7]. - The forecast for FY24 sales volume growth of 20% remains achievable, supported by recent stimulus measures and overseas expansion [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY24E are set at RMB 700,048 million, with expected growth to RMB 800,518 million in FY25E and RMB 884,971 million in FY26E [5][10]. - Net profit estimates for FY24E are RMB 33,109 million, increasing to RMB 40,173 million in FY25E and RMB 45,095 million in FY26E [5][10]. - The gross margin is projected to be 20.1% for FY24E, slightly decreasing to 19.5% in FY25E and 19.3% in FY26E [5][10]. Earnings and Valuation - The report indicates that BYD's earnings quality has not been prioritized in 1Q24, with expectations for more disciplined management of SG&A and R&D expenses in upcoming quarters [7]. - The net profit per vehicle in 1Q24 was RMB 7,300, which is lower than the previous quarter, reflecting the impact of price cuts on profitability [7]. - The report maintains FY24-25E net profit estimates largely unchanged while revising up both GPM and SG&A [7].

Economic Outlook - China's economy has bottomed, with easier year-over-year comparisons and a reduction in the 'scarring effect' from COVID-19[1] - Trade within Asia is increasing, with 58% of Asian trade occurring within the region by 2021, projected to rise another 10%[17] Growth Drivers - The New Economy, including the Green Economy, AI, and industrial automation, constitutes about 20% of China's economy but accounts for 55% of GDP growth[3] - The green economy is growing at approximately 20% year-over-year, despite being only 10% of China's GDP[51] Challenges - The real estate sector remains overbuilt, with housing starts down nearly 60% from their peak, indicating a significant correction still in progress[32] - Savings as a percentage of household income have increased to 32.5%, up from 29.1% before COVID, indicating a need for restored consumer confidence[37] Investment Sentiment - Many investors are considering reducing their exposure to China from 10-12% to 5-6% due to uncertainty, despite improving fundamentals[47] - The potential for significant capital market reforms exists, which could attract both domestic and foreign investment[79] Policy Recommendations - Emphasis on supply-side reforms, urbanization incentives, and improved clarity around housing market reform is crucial for economic stability[76] - Modernizing the asset management industry is necessary to lower the cost of capital and enhance competitiveness on the global stage[80]

29 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Alphabet (GOOG US) 1Q24 earnings beat on efficiency gain; GenAI development on track Alphabet announced 1Q24 results: total revenue grew by 15% YoY to US$80.5bn, in line with consensus estimate; GAAP net income was up 57% YoY to US$23.7bn, 21% ahead of consensus estimate, thanks to Alphabet's organization optimization which leads to greater velocity and efficiency. The company further raised its shareholder return, announcing a ...

29 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update GAC Group (2238 HK) In-line 1Q24 earnings GAC Group (GAC)'s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn. We are more conservative than management about Aion's sales volume and profitability, as we believe that Aion needs quality growth (brand upscale, overseas expansion etc.) in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development. We are of the view that ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a HOLD rating for SANY Heavy with a new target price of RMB14.80, revised from RMB12.30, based on a 24x 2024E P/E ratio [2][3]. Core Insights - SANY Heavy's net profit for 2023 was RMB4.53 billion, a 6% year-over-year increase, but 12% below estimates. The 1Q24 net profit grew only 5% year-over-year to RMB1.58 billion, attributed to a revenue decline of 1% year-over-year [2][3]. - Concerns persist regarding a potential slowdown in exports, particularly in Europe, impacting overall performance [2][3]. - The report anticipates a moderate recovery in the Chinese market, leading to an 8% increase in 2025E earnings estimates, although these remain 24% to 29% below consensus [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - **2023 Results**: Revenue decreased by 17% year-over-year to RMB17.9 billion, with a gross margin contraction of 1.9 percentage points to 25.6%. Net profit fell by 29% year-over-year to RMB480 million [2][3]. - **1Q24 Results**: Revenue dropped 1% year-over-year, but gross margin improved by 0.5 percentage points to 28.4%. Operating cash flow significantly improved to RMB4.38 billion compared to -RMB1.6 billion in 1Q23 [2][3]. - **Overseas Revenue**: In 2H23, overseas revenue (62% of total) grew 4% year-over-year to RMB20.8 billion, with Europe showing a 15% increase to RMB8.1 billion [2][3][7]. Valuation and Market Outlook - The target price of RMB14.80 reflects a valuation that is 0.5 standard deviations above the average P/E of 20x since 2017, indicating initial signs of stabilization in excavator sales in China [2][3]. - Upside risks include stabilization in property investment in China, while downside risks involve further declines in overseas demand [2][3].

M N 29 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Tigermed (300347 CH) Meaningful demand recovery in 1Q24 Target Price RMB66.82 Tigermed reported 1Q24 revenue of RMB1,660mn, down 8.0% YoY, and (Previous TP RMB68.57) attributable recurring net income of RMB303mn, down 20.5% YoY, which was Up/Downside 15.8% mainly due to the substantially reduced gains on fair value changes and Current Price RMB57.70 investment changes (RMB8mn in 1Q24 vs RMB198mn in 1Q23). 1Q24 revenue / attr ...

Investment Rating - The report highlights 16 Buy-rated stocks across sectors exposed to the US data center power demand surge [7][8][49]. Core Insights - The report forecasts that global data center power demand will more than double by 2030, driven by AI and broader demand, leading to a 2.4% CAGR in US electricity demand through the end of the decade [2][6][49]. - Data centers are expected to comprise approximately 8% of total US power demand by 2030, up from about 3% currently, with a projected 160% increase in data center power demand from 2023 to 2030 [11][49]. - The report estimates that about $50 billion in capital investment will be required for new power generation capacity in the US to support this growth, with a 60/40 split between gas and renewables [2][11][49]. Summary by Sections Data Center Power Demand - Data center power demand is projected to grow at a 15% CAGR from 2023 to 2030, contributing approximately 90 basis points to the overall US power demand CAGR [6][49]. - The report anticipates that data centers will account for 8% of total US power demand by 2030, translating to a 16% CAGR for data centers from 2023 to 2030 [11][49]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies underappreciated equity investment opportunities in utilities, renewable generation, and industrials that will support the anticipated growth in data center power demand [2][7]. - It emphasizes that investor interest in the data center growth is not new, but differentiation among enablers and beneficiaries will be crucial for future investment strategies [8][49]. Infrastructure and Capacity Needs - An estimated 47 GW of incremental power generation capacity will be required to support US data center power demand growth cumulatively through 2030 [6][11]. - The report discusses potential bottlenecks in generation and transmission, highlighting the importance of expediting the permitting process for new projects to alleviate constraints [6][20]. AI's Role in Power Demand - AI is expected to represent about 20% of overall data center power demand by 2030, with a projected increase of around 200 TWh in power demand from AI between 2024 and 2030 [22][29]. - The report notes that new AI innovations are increasing computing speed while also raising power consumption per server, indicating a complex relationship between demand and efficiency [31][38].