Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for FIT Hon Teng, with a target price (TP) raised to HK$4.24 based on a rolled-over 13x FY25E P/E, up from the previous 11x P/E [2][13]. Core Insights - FIT Hon Teng has announced a positive profit alert for 1H24, projecting earnings between US$28-33 million, a significant recovery from a net loss of US$9 million in 1H23, primarily driven by stronger demand in the computing and networking segments [2][7]. - The stock price has faced pressure due to concerns regarding the pace of earnings recovery in 2024 and increased operating expenses (OPEX) related to AirPods and Voltaira businesses. However, the report suggests that the recent stock correction is overdone, and the company is expected to benefit from multiple product launches and operating leverage in the second half of 2024 [2][8]. - The management has maintained a core operating profit margin (OPM) estimate of 5.5% for FY24, up from 4.9% in 2023, indicating improved operational efficiency [2][7]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from US$4,196 million in FY23 to US$5,108 million in FY24, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.8%. This growth is expected to continue, reaching US$6,332 million in FY25 and US$7,497 million in FY26 [3][16]. - Net profit is forecasted to rebound significantly, from US$131.8 million in FY23 to US$194.3 million in FY24, representing a 47.4% year-on-year increase. The net profit is expected to further rise to US$298.3 million in FY25 and US$373.4 million in FY26 [3][16]. - The report revises FY25 and FY26 EPS estimates upward by 12% and 10%, respectively, reflecting stronger demand for AI servers and progress in AirPods production [2][8]. Market Outlook - The management has expressed optimism regarding the outlook for FY24, driven by recovery in the PC market, networking demand, and AirPods shipments. The company anticipates a 48% and 54% year-on-year increase in net profit for FY24 and FY25, respectively [2][8]. - Near-term catalysts include the progress of AirPods shipments, potential auto mergers and acquisitions, and updates on AI server products, which are expected to enhance earnings visibility [2][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for FIT Hon Teng with the target price currently under review [2][9][10]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from multiple growth drivers in FY24/25, including AI server connectors, AirPods production ramp-up, and new opportunities in the electric vehicle (EV) sector [2][9]. - Management has indicated that revenue and gross profit margin (GPM) guidance for Q2 2024 is on track, with potential upside in the smartphone and networking segments [2][9]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for the iPhone replacement cycle and potential order wins in AI server connectivity, which could significantly enhance revenue in the networking segment [2][9]. Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Revenue is projected to grow from US$4,196 million in FY23 to US$4,715 million in FY24, representing a year-over-year growth of 12.4% [3][12]. - Net profit is expected to increase from US$132 million in FY23 to US$200 million in FY24, reflecting a growth rate of 51.5% [3][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 2.81 cents in FY23 to 3.73 cents in FY24 [3][12]. Growth Drivers - Key growth drivers identified for 2025 include AirPods, AI server connectors/cables, and the auto business, particularly through a new joint venture in the EV charger market [2][9]. - The company is expected to ramp up production in Vietnam and India for AirPods, with management anticipating six additional production lines in India by 2025 [2][9]. Valuation Metrics - The company is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.3x for FY24 and 10.8x for FY25, which is considered attractive given the expected EPS growth of 51% and 33% for FY24 and FY25, respectively [2][9][10]. - The report notes that the valuation remains appealing compared to the anticipated recovery in the AI server and smartphone markets [2][9].

Investment Rating - ARK's expected value for Tesla in 2029 is $2,600 per share, with a bull case of $3,100 and a bear case of $2,000 [11][12] Core Thesis - ARK believes Tesla's robotaxi business will drive nearly 90% of its enterprise value and earnings by 2029, with electric vehicles contributing approximately 25% of total sales and -10% of earnings potential [13] - The robotaxi business is expected to have significantly higher margins compared to the electric vehicle segment [13] Business Line Breakdown - Revenue by business line in the expected value case: Electric Vehicles, Robotaxi, Human Driven Ride-hail, Insurance, Stationary Energy Storage [14] - EBITDA by business line in the expected value case: Electric Vehicles, Robotaxi, Human Driven Ride-hail, Insurance, Stationary Energy Storage [14] Example Bear and Bull Outcomes - Example bear outcome for 2029: 14.4 million cars sold, $250 billion electric vehicle revenue, $603 billion autonomous ride-hail revenue, 56% total gross margin, 32% total EBITDA margin, $7,000 billion market cap, $2,000 share price [16] - Example bull outcome for 2029: 14.4 million cars sold, $394 billion electric vehicle revenue, $951 billion autonomous ride-hail revenue, 53% total gross margin, 32% total EBITDA margin, $10,900 billion market cap, $3,100 share price [16] Updates to ARK's 2023 Tesla Model - Updated autonomous driving assumptions: ARK expects Tesla to launch a robotaxi service within the next two years, with a minimal probability of failure within five years [18] - Updated Tesla manufacturing growth rate: Vehicle production is expected to increase by 45% annually through 2029, scaling from 1.8 million units per year to 6-16 million units per year [23] Business Opportunities Not Included in the Model - Tesla Semi: Not expected to contribute significantly to Tesla's value within the five-year investment horizon [27] - Supercharging Network: Unlikely to generate significant revenue compared to the robotaxi business [27] - FSD Licensing: Discussions with one automaker are ongoing, but significant revenue impact is not expected within five years [27][28] - AI-As-A-Service: Distributed AI-inference-as-a-service and Dojo training-as-a-service are likely outside the five-year investment horizon [29] Risks and Limits of the Monte Carlo Model - ARK's model includes 45 independent variables covering plausible outcomes for Tesla over the next five years, but unexpected events could significantly alter these outcomes [30]

Investment Rating - Maintain HOLD rating with a target price reduction from US$6.20 to US$5.60, based on 1.3x revised FY24E revenue estimates [2][3][6]. Core Insights - NIO's average selling price (ASP) in 1Q24 decreased by RMB12,000 QoQ, falling 2% below prior projections, with further guidance indicating a drop of about RMB23,000 in 2Q24 [3][4]. - Vehicle gross profit margin (GPM) in 1Q24 was approximately 1 percentage point lower than forecasted, while GPM for other income exceeded expectations, resulting in an overall in-line GPM for the quarter [3][4]. - The company reported a net loss of RMB5.3 billion in 1Q24, with net cash decreasing by RMB10 billion QoQ, which was worse than previous projections [3][4]. - Management's breakeven assumptions for NIO and Onvo brands, as well as battery swap operations, are viewed as overly optimistic, particularly in the context of a price war [3][4]. - Projected FY24E sales volume is expected to rise 25% YoY to 0.2 million units, with a revised revenue forecast cut by 5% due to faster-than-expected ASP declines [3][4]. - The forecast for FY24E net loss has been adjusted from RMB17.2 billion to RMB17.8 billion, with expectations of net losses exceeding RMB10 billion in FY25E and FY26E [3][4]. Financial Summary - FY24E revenue is projected at RMB62.04 billion, with a gross profit of RMB4.648 billion and a net loss of RMB17.785 billion [4][11]. - Gross margin is expected to be 7.5% in FY24E, improving to 10.1% by FY26E [4][11]. - Operating profit is forecasted to be a loss of RMB19.268 billion in FY24E, narrowing to a loss of RMB14.376 billion by FY26E [4][11]. Earnings Summary - Revenue growth is projected at 11.5% YoY for FY24E, with further growth of 28.7% and 20.1% expected in FY25E and FY26E respectively [4][11]. - The company has seen a significant decline in gross margin from 10.4% in FY22A to an expected 7.5% in FY24E [4][11]. - Adjusted net profit is projected to improve from a loss of RMB18.475 billion in FY23A to a loss of RMB15.475 billion in FY24E [4][11].

CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update PLEASE READ THE ANALYST CERTIFICATION AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ON LAST PAGE MORE REPORTS FROM BLOOMBERG: RESP CMBR OR http://www.cmbi.com.hk1 PLEASE READ THE ANALYST CERTIFICATION AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ON LAST PAGE 2 Taobao and Tmall Group (38.5% of 4QFY24 revenue) In 4QFY24, revenue generated from Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group (AIDC) was RMB27.4bn, up 45.1% YoY, among which international commerce retail revenue was up ...

CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

M N 14 May 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Huya (HUYA US) Fundamentals to bottom out Target Price US$6.8 Huya’s 1Q24 results beat on margin, with topline/bottom line 1%/84% (Previous TP US$6.8) above consensus. Looking into 2Q24E, we expect revenue to achieve 5% Up/Downside 44.5% QoQ growth, in which livestreaming would bottom out and others revenue Current Price US$4.73 +25% OoQ. We are positive on Huya’s game-related business monetization and expect upside from mul ...

h 股 c r 票 a e s e R 研 y 究 tiu [ CTa ob mle_ pT ait nle y] Report: FIT Hon Teng (06088 HK) Gin Yu 余劲同 q E (852)2509 2113 公司报告： 鸿腾精密 (06088 HK) gin.yu@gtjas.com.hk 13 May 2024 1[T Qab 2le 0_S 2u 4m m Ra ery s] ults Were in Line with Expectations; 3+3 Strategy to Bring Continuous Increment, "Buy" tr 公 o p e 司 R  We maintain the investment rating as "Buy" and set TP to HK$2.42. We y [RTaabtlien_gR:a nk] Buy 报 n a forecast 2024-2026 EPS to be US$0.025/ US$0.034/ US$0.042, Maintained 告 p m respectively. Consider ...

M N 14 May 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update TME (TME US) 1Q24 beat on strong music business growth and GPM expansion Target Price US$16.00 TME reported 1Q24 results: total revenue declined by 3% YoY to RMB6.77bn, (Previous TP US$12.50) beating consensus estimate by 3% on strong online music revenue growth; non-IFRS Up/Downside 19.9% net income grew by 21% YoY to RMB1.70bn, 7% ahead of consensus estimate, Current Price US$13.34 primarily attributable to the solid GPM e ...

M N 14 May 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update SANY International (631 HK) Expect an unexciting set of results in 1Q24E, potential recovery in 2H24E SANYI is set to report 1Q24E financial data on 16 May (this Thu). We forecast Target Price HK$8.00 SANYI to deliver a ~15% YoY decrease in net profit from a high base, due to (1) (Previous TP HK$8.00) miners’ disciplined capex as a result of the decline in domestic coal production Up/Downside 24.8% in 1Q24; (2) keen competit ...